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  • 2000-2004  (55)
  • 1995-1999  (110)
  • Washington, D.C : The World Bank  (165)
  • Debt Markets  (165)
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  • 1
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (30 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Do, Quy-Toan Trade and Financial Development
    Schlagwort(e): Comparative Advantage ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Sector ; GDP ; Goods ; Income ; Increasing Returns ; Increasing Returns To Scale ; International Trade ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Comparative Advantage ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Sector ; GDP ; Goods ; Income ; Increasing Returns ; Increasing Returns To Scale ; International Trade ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Comparative Advantage ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Sector ; GDP ; Goods ; Income ; Increasing Returns ; Increasing Returns To Scale ; International Trade ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: The differences in financial systems between industrial and developing countries are pronounced. It has been observed, both theoretically and empirically, that the differences in countries' financial systems are a source of comparative advantage in trade. Do and Levchenko point out that to the extent a country's financial development is endogenous, it will in turn be influenced by trade. They build a model in which a country's financial development is an equilibrium outcome of the economy's productive structure: in countries with large financially intensive sectors, financial systems are more developed. When a wealthy and a poor country open to trade, the financially dependent sectors grow in the wealthy country, and so does the financial system. By contrast, as the financially intensive sectors shrink in the poor country, demand for external finance decreases and the domestic financial system deteriorates. The authors test their model using data on financial development for a sample of 77 countries. They find that the main predictions of the model are borne out in the data: trade openness is associated with faster financial development in wealthier countries, and with slower financial development in poorer ones. This paper—a product of the Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to investigate the relation between finance and trade
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  • 2
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (41 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Zhai, Fan Labor Market Distortions, Rural-Urban Inequality, and the Opening of China's Economy
    Schlagwort(e): Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Factor Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Household Survey ; Income Distribution ; Income Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Mobility ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Poverty Reduction ; Product Market ; Product Market Reform ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Social Protections and Labor ; Urban Development Policy ; Urban Housing and Land ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Factor Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Household Survey ; Income Distribution ; Income Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Mobility ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Poverty Reduction ; Product Market ; Product Market Reform ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Social Protections and Labor ; Urban Development Policy ; Urban Housing and Land ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Factor Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Household Survey ; Income Distribution ; Income Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Mobility ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Poverty Reduction ; Product Market ; Product Market Reform ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Social Protections and Labor ; Urban Development Policy ; Urban Housing and Land
    Kurzfassung: Hertel and Zhai evaluate the impact of two key factor market distortions in China on rural-urban inequality and income distribution. They find that creation of a fully functioning land market has a significant impact on rural-urban inequality. This reform permits agricultural households to focus solely on the differential between farm and nonfarm returns to labor in determining whether to work on or off-farm. This gives rise to an additional 10 million people moving out of agriculture by 2007 and lends a significant boost to the incomes of those remaining in agriculture. This off-farm migration also contributes to a significant rise in rural-urban migration, thereby lowering urban wages, particularly for unskilled workers. As a consequence, rural-urban inequality declines significantly. The authors find that reform of the Hukou system has the most significant impact on aggregate economic activity, as well as income distribution. Whereas the land market reform primarily benefits the agricultural households, this reform's primary beneficiaries are the rural households currently sending temporary migrants to the city. By reducing the implicit tax on temporary migrants, Hukou reform boosts their welfare and contributes to increased rural-urban migration. The combined effect of both factor market reforms is to reduce the urban-rural income ratio dramatically, from 2.59 in 2007 under the authors' baseline scenario to 2.27. When viewed as a combined policy package, along with WTO accession, rather than increasing inequality in China, the combined impact of product and factor market reforms significantly reduces rural-urban income inequality. This is an important outcome in an economy currently experiencing historic levels of rural-urban inequality. This paper—a product of the Trade Team, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to evaluate the poverty impacts of trade policy reforms
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  • 3
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (35 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Kee, Hiau Market Access for Sale
    Schlagwort(e): Debt Markets ; Export Growth ; Exporters ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Localization ; Market Access ; Multilateral Tariff Negotiations ; Preferential Access ; Preferential Scheme ; Public Sector Development ; Tariff ; Tariff ; Trade Policy ; Debt Markets ; Export Growth ; Exporters ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Localization ; Market Access ; Multilateral Tariff Negotiations ; Preferential Access ; Preferential Scheme ; Public Sector Development ; Tariff ; Tariff ; Trade Policy ; Debt Markets ; Export Growth ; Exporters ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Localization ; Market Access ; Multilateral Tariff Negotiations ; Preferential Access ; Preferential Scheme ; Public Sector Development ; Tariff ; Tariff ; Trade Policy
    Kurzfassung: Kee, Olarreaga, and Silva assess the foreign lobbying forces behind the tariff preferences that the United States grants to Latin American and Caribbean countries. The authors extend the basic framework developed by Grossman and Helpman (1994) to explain the relationship between foreign lobbying and tariff preferences. Their results suggest that returns to Latin American and Caribbean exporters lobbying for tariff preferences in the United States are around 50 percent. The reason for these large returns is the relatively low estimated weight given to social welfare in the U.S. government's objective function when deciding whether or not to grant tariff preferences to Latin American and Caribbean exporters. This paper—a product of Trade, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to study the issues related to trade and growth
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  • 4
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (64 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: McNulty, Mary East Asia's Dynamic Development Model and the Republic of Korea's Experiences
    Schlagwort(e): Capital ; Competition ; Criteria ; Cultural Policy ; Culture & Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Development ; E-Business ; Economic Development ; Economic Progress ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economic Thought ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Influence ; Inheritance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Technology Industry ; Capital ; Competition ; Criteria ; Cultural Policy ; Culture & Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Development ; E-Business ; Economic Development ; Economic Progress ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economic Thought ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Influence ; Inheritance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Technology Industry ; Capital ; Competition ; Criteria ; Cultural Policy ; Culture & Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Development ; E-Business ; Economic Development ; Economic Progress ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economic Thought ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Influence ; Inheritance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Technology Industry
    Kurzfassung: No region has been more dynamic in recent years than East Asia. Despite its successful economic development, evaluations of the East Asian development model have often been capricious, shifting from "miracle" to "cronyism." How can we explain East Asia's ups and downs consistently? To respond to this challenge, it is necessary to study the progress of East Asian development and to trace the influence of Asian cultural values. This study mainly focuses on cultural aspects of economic progress and analyzes East Asia's philosophical and historical backgrounds to explain the dynamic process. East Asians believe that balance between opposite but complementary forces, Yin and Yang, will ensure social stability and progress. Through repeated rebalancing to maintain harmony, the society comes to maturity. In traditional East Asian societies, a balance was maintained between Confucianism (Yang) and Taoism, Buddhism, and other philosophies (Yin). In modern societies, the challenge is to balance traditional systems (Yang) and Western style capitalism (Yin). This East Asian development model explains the Republic of Korea's rise, fall, and recovery. Korea was a poor country until the early 1960s, during the time when spiritualism (Yang) dominated. From the 1960s through the 1980s, Korea achieved rapid growth by finding a new balance and moving toward materialism (Yin) from spiritualism (Yang). But the failure to maintain a harmonious balance between cooperatism and collectivism (Yang) and individualism (Yin) led to major weaknesses in labor and financial markets that contributed significantly to the financial crisis in 1997. As Korea arrived at a new balance by instituting reform programs, the venture-oriented information and communication technology (ICT) industry blossomed and led to a rapid economic recovery. Since 2000, domestic financial scandals and political corruption have emerged as new social issues. Korea's next challenge is to find a new harmonization between moralism (Yang) and legalism (Yin). This paper—a product of the Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to examine institutional and cultural foundations of development across regions and countries
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  • 5
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Martin, Will Economic Impacts of China's Accession to the World Trade Organization
    Schlagwort(e): Base Year ; Consumption ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Growth Rate ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Prices ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; Trade Reform ; World Trade Organization ; Base Year ; Consumption ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Growth Rate ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Prices ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; Trade Reform ; World Trade Organization ; Base Year ; Consumption ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Growth Rate ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Prices ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; Trade Reform ; World Trade Organization
    Kurzfassung: Ianchovichina and Martin present estimates of the impact of accession by China and Chinese Taipei to the World Trade Organization. China is estimated to be the biggest beneficiary, followed by Chinese Taipei and their major trading partners. Accession will boost the labor-intensive manufacturing sectors in China, especially the textiles and apparel sector that will benefit directly from the removal of quotas on textiles and apparel exports to North America and Western Europe. Consequently, developing economies competing with China in third markets may suffer relatively small losses. China has already benefited from the reforms undertaken between 1995 and 2001 (US
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  • 6
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Ianchovichina, Elena The Impact of China's WTO Accession on East Asia
    Schlagwort(e): Capital ; Capital Markets ; Comparative Advantage ; Competition ; Competitiveness ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Development Economics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Exchange Rates ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; World Trade Organization ; Capital ; Capital Markets ; Comparative Advantage ; Competition ; Competitiveness ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Development Economics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Exchange Rates ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; World Trade Organization ; Capital ; Capital Markets ; Comparative Advantage ; Competition ; Competitiveness ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Development Economics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Exchange Rates ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; World Trade Organization
    Kurzfassung: China's World Trade Organization (WTO) accession will have major implications for China and present both opportunities and challenges for East Asia. Ianchovichina and Walmsley assess the possible channels through which China's accession to the WTO could affect East Asia and quantify these effects using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model. China will be the biggest beneficiary of accession, followed by the industrial and newly industrializing economies (NIEs) in East Asia. But their benefits are small relative to the size of their economies and to the vigorous growth projected to occur in the region over the next 10 years. By contrast, developing countries in East Asia are expected to incur small declines in real GDP and welfare as a result of China's accession, mainly because with the elimination of quotas on Chinese textile and apparel exports to industrial countries China will become a formidable competitor in areas in which these countries have comparative advantage. With WTO accession China will increase its demand for petrochemicals, electronics, machinery, and equipment from Japan and the NIEs, and farm, timber, energy products, and other manufactures from the developing countries in East Asia. New foreign investment is likely to flow into these expanding sectors. The overall impact on foreign investment is likely to be positive in the NIEs, but negative for the less developed East Asian countries as a result of the contraction of these economies' textile and apparel sector. As China becomes a more efficient supplier of services or a more efficient producer of high-end manufactures, its comparative advantage will shift into higher-end products. This is good news for the poor developing economies in East Asia, but it implies that the impact of China's WTO accession on the NIEs may change to include heightened competition in global markets. This paper—a product of the Economic Policy Division, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network—is part of a larger effort in the network to assess the impact of China's WTO accession
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  • 7
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (59 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Currie, Elizabeth Institutional Arrangements for Public Debt Management
    Schlagwort(e): Bank Policy ; Banks and Bank Policy ; Central Bank ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Market ; Emerging Market Countries ; Emerging Market Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debt ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Management ; International Economics & Trade ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Strategic Debt Management ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Bank Policy ; Central Bank ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Market ; Emerging Market Countries ; Emerging Market Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debt ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Management ; International Economics & Trade ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Strategic Debt Management ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Bank Policy ; Central Bank ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Market ; Emerging Market Countries ; Emerging Market Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debt ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Management ; International Economics & Trade ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Strategic Debt Management ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics
    Kurzfassung: This paper analyzes institutional arrangements for public debt management by reviewing the experience of OECD countries during the late 1980s and 1990s. It discusses principal-agent issues arising from the delegation of authority from the Minister of Finance to the debt management office and describes how countries have designed governance structures and control and monitoring mechanisms to deal with these issues. The paper also discusses what lessons emerging market countries and transition countries can draw from the experience of advanced OECD countries. The OECD experience clearly indicates that—regardless of whether the debt management office is located inside or outside the Ministry of Finance—four issues are of vital importance: • Giving priority to strategic public policy objectives rather than tactical trading objectives. • Strengthening the institutional capacity to deal with financial portfolio management and with the public policy aspects of debt management. • Modernizing debt management. • Creating mechanisms to ensure successful delegation and accountability to the Ministry of Finance and Parliament. This paper—a joint product of the Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics, and Public Debt Management Group, Banking, Capital Markets, and Financial Engineering Department—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to analyze the institutional dimentions of effective government policy
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  • 8
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Shleifer, Andrei The New Comparative Economics
    Schlagwort(e): Allocation ; Capital ; Capitalism ; Children and Youth ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Democracy ; Dictatorship ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economics ; Efficiency ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Gender ; Gender ; Institutional Economics ; Investment ; Labor Policies ; Law and Development ; Legal Products ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Protections and Labor ; Allocation ; Capital ; Capitalism ; Children and Youth ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Democracy ; Dictatorship ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economics ; Efficiency ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Gender ; Gender ; Institutional Economics ; Investment ; Labor Policies ; Law and Development ; Legal Products ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Protections and Labor ; Allocation ; Capital ; Capitalism ; Children and Youth ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Democracy ; Dictatorship ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economics ; Efficiency ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Gender ; Gender ; Institutional Economics ; Investment ; Labor Policies ; Law and Development ; Legal Products ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Protections and Labor
    Kurzfassung: In recent years, comparative economics experienced a revival, with a new focus on comparing capitalist economies. The theme of the new research is that institutions exert a profound influence on economic development. The authors argue that, to understand capitalist institutions, one needs to understand the basic tradeoff between the costs of disorder and those of dictatorship. They then apply this logic to study the structure of efficient institutions, the consequences of colonial transplantation, and the politics of institutional choice. This paper—a product of the Private Sector Advisory Department, Private Sector Development Vice Presidency—is part of a larger effort to understand institutional differences in the regulation of business
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  • 9
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    ISBN: 0821350447 , 9780821350447
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (274 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Serie: Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics
    Schlagwort(e): Access to Finance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Access to Finance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Access to Finance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: The Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics (ABCDE) is a global gathering of the world's leading scholars and development practitioners. Among the attendees were participants from developing countries, universities, think tanks, nongovernmental organizations, and international financial institutions. The 13th annual conference, held in May 2001, concentrated on the current thinking in development policy and the implications for the global economy with a particular focus on the two important and controversial themes of globalization and health. This book is a collection of conference papers from this forum
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  • 10
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Schiff, Maurice Trade Policy and Labor Services
    Schlagwort(e): Ban ; Benefits ; Choice ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Implications ; Economic Relations ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Political Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Taxes ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Ban ; Benefits ; Choice ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Implications ; Economic Relations ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Political Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Taxes ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Ban ; Benefits ; Choice ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Implications ; Economic Relations ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Political Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Taxes ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration
    Kurzfassung: Schiff considers the policy options of the West Bank and Gaza with respect to trade and the export of labor services. He concludes that: • Nondiscriminatory trade policy is unambiguously superior to a free trade agreement with Israel. • The West Bank and Gaza should pursue a nondiscriminatory trade policy with all its neighbors, but only on the condition that the trade policy be open, transparent, and enforced by a credible lock-in mechanism. Otherwise, a customs union with Israel may be preferable. • The Palestinian Authority should establish a system of fee-based permits for Palestinians working in Israel. • The Palestinian Authority should consider allowing Jordanians access to the West Bank and Gaza labor market. This paper—a product of Trade, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to analyze trade and regional integration policies in the Middle East. The author may be contacted at mschiffworldbank.org
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  • 11
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Hoekman, Bernard Economic Development and the World Trade Organization After Doha
    Schlagwort(e): Benchmarks ; Benefits ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Development Agencies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Generalized System of Preferences ; Goods ; Income ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Regulatory Policy ; Trade Law ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services ; Benchmarks ; Benefits ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Development Agencies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Generalized System of Preferences ; Goods ; Income ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Regulatory Policy ; Trade Law ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services ; Benchmarks ; Benefits ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Development Agencies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Generalized System of Preferences ; Goods ; Income ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Regulatory Policy ; Trade Law ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services
    Kurzfassung: Hoekman analyzes what actions could be taken in the context of the World Trade Organization's Doha negotiations to assist countries in reaping benefits from deeper trade integration. He discusses the policy agenda that confronts many developing countries and identifies a number of focal points that could be used both as targets and as benchmarks to increase the likelihood that WTO negotiations will support development. To achieve these targets, Hoekman proposes a number of negotiating modalities for both goods and services-related market access issues, as well as rule-making in regulatory areas. Throughout the analysis, the author refers to the work of J. Michael Finger, whose numerous writings in this area have not only greatly influenced the thinking of policymakers and researchers on the interaction between trade policy, economic development, and the GATT/WTO trading system, but also provides a model for how to pursue effective policy research. This paper--a product of Trade, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to analyze the development aspects of WTO rules. The author may be contacted at bhoekmanworldbank.org
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  • 12
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Klingebiel, Daniela Financial Crises, Financial Dependence, and Industry Growth
    Schlagwort(e): Adverse Consequences ; Adverse Effects ; Adverse Selection ; Bank Lending ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Research ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Sector ; Inequality ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Social Protections and Labor ; Adverse Consequences ; Adverse Effects ; Adverse Selection ; Bank Lending ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Research ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Sector ; Inequality ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Social Protections and Labor ; Adverse Consequences ; Adverse Effects ; Adverse Selection ; Bank Lending ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Research ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Sector ; Inequality ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Social Protections and Labor
    Kurzfassung: Laeven, Klingebiel, and Kroszner investigate the link between financial crises and industry growth. They analyze data from 19 industrial and developing countries that have experienced financial crises during the past 30 years to investigate how financial crises affect sectors dependent on external sources of finance. Specifically, the authors examine whether the impact of a financial crisis on externally dependent sectors varies with the depth of the financial system. They find that sectors highly dependent on external finance tend to experience a greater contraction of value added during a crisis in deeper financial systems than in countries with shallower financial systems. They hypothesize that the deepening of the financial system allows sectors dependent on external finance to obtain relatively more external funding in normal periods, so a crisis in such countries would have a disproportionately negative effect on externally dependent sectors. In contrast, since externally dependent firms tend to obtain relatively less external financing in shallower financial systems (and hence have relatively lower growth rates in such countries during normal times), a crisis in such countries has less of a disproportionately negative effect on the growth of externally dependent sectors. This paper—a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Department—is part of a larger effort in the department to study the link between financial development and economic growth. The authors may be contacted at llaevenworldbank.org, dklingebiel@worldbank.org, or randy.kroszner@gsb.uchicago.edu
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  • 13
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Fremond, Olivier The State of Corporate Governance
    Schlagwort(e): Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capacity Building ; Capital Allocation ; Corporate Governance ; Corporate Law ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Exchange ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Good ; Governance ; Governance Indicators ; International Financial Institutions ; Law and Development ; Lending ; Microfinance ; National Governance ; Private Sector Development ; Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capacity Building ; Capital Allocation ; Corporate Governance ; Corporate Law ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Exchange ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Good ; Governance ; Governance Indicators ; International Financial Institutions ; Law and Development ; Lending ; Microfinance ; National Governance ; Private Sector Development ; Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capacity Building ; Capital Allocation ; Corporate Governance ; Corporate Law ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Exchange ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Good ; Governance ; Governance Indicators ; International Financial Institutions ; Law and Development ; Lending ; Microfinance ; National Governance ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: Corporate governance deals with the ways in which the rights of outside suppliers of equity finance to corporations are protected and receive a fair return. Good practices reduce the risk of expropriation of outsiders by insiders and thus the cost of capital for issuers. Capaul and Fremond review the experience of the preparation of 15 corporate governance country assessments across five continents. The assessments have been prepared under the umbrella of the joint World Bank/IMF initiative of the "Reports on the Observance of Standards and Codes" (ROSCs). The assessments focus on the rights of shareholders, the equitable treatment of shareholders, the role of stakeholders, disclosure and transparency, and the duties of the board of listed companies, and use the OECD Principles of Corporate Governance as benchmark. The authors give an overview of the actual and potential contribution of the assessments to policy dialogue, diagnostic and strategic work, lending and nonlending operations, and technical assistance and capacity, and presents the unfinished agenda. This paper—a product of the Corporate Governance Unit, Private Sector Advisory Services Department—is part of a larger effort in the department to disseminate lessons learned in the assessment of the compliance of countries to global standards. The authors may be contacted at ofremondworldbank.org or mcapaul@worldbank.org
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  • 14
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (60 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Laffont, Jean-Jacques Telecommunications Reform in Côte d'Ivoire
    Schlagwort(e): Administration ; Competitiveness ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fraud ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Institutions ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Performance ; Price ; Prices ; Private Sector ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Radio ; Result ; Results ; Security ; Supervision ; Technology Industry ; Teleco ; Telecommunications Infrastructure ; Administration ; Competitiveness ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fraud ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Institutions ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Performance ; Price ; Prices ; Private Sector ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Radio ; Result ; Results ; Security ; Supervision ; Technology Industry ; Teleco ; Telecommunications Infrastructure ; Administration ; Competitiveness ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fraud ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Institutions ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Performance ; Price ; Prices ; Private Sector ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Radio ; Result ; Results ; Security ; Supervision ; Technology Industry ; Teleco ; Telecommunications Infrastructure
    Kurzfassung: This paper analyzes Côte d'Ivoire's experience with telecommunications liberalization and privatization. Côte d'Ivoire privatized its incumbent operator in 1997, and granted the newly privatized firm seven years of fixed-line exclusivity while introducing "managed competition" in the cellular market and free competition in value-added services (VAS). By March 2001, three cellular operators and a number of VAS providers had entered the market. Reform has thus significantly changed the landscape of Côte d'Ivoire's telecommunications sector and has brought with it tremendous improvement in sector performance. Between 1997 and 2001, fixed-line telephone penetration grew from 1.03 to 1.80 per hundred people, while mobile penetration skyrocketed from 0.26 to 4.46. But it is still too early to assess the validity of granting exclusivity to the incumbent operator. While penetration increased, the operator did not meet objectives regarding rural telephony and service quality. Moreover, fixed-line penetration increased in areas where the operator faced competition from mobile providers. This paper—a product of Regulation and Competition Policy, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to promote telecommunications competition, liberalization, and privatization in Africa
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  • 15
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Mckenzie, David An Econometric Analysis of the Creditworthiness of IBRD Borrowers
    Schlagwort(e): Arrears ; Bank Creditors ; Bank Policy ; Borrowers ; Commercial Bank ; Country Risk ; Creditor ; Creditworthiness ; Debt Markets ; Debt Service ; Default ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Government Budget ; Arrears ; Bank Creditors ; Bank Policy ; Borrowers ; Commercial Bank ; Country Risk ; Creditor ; Creditworthiness ; Debt Markets ; Debt Service ; Default ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Government Budget ; Arrears ; Bank Creditors ; Bank Policy ; Borrowers ; Commercial Bank ; Country Risk ; Creditor ; Creditworthiness ; Debt Markets ; Debt Service ; Default ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Government Budget
    Kurzfassung: Mckenzie econometrically ascertains the determinants of default to the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) through panel logit analysis. Creditworthiness with a lag of one period is determined by the extent of arrears to private creditors, the proportion of total debt service that is being paid, the government budget deficit, the extent of military involvement in the government of a country, and by the G7's current account balance. Default to the IBRD falls into a graduated hierarchy, whereby default occurs first to Paris Club and commercial bank creditors, with subsequent default triggered by portfolios with high proportions of IBRD and short-term debt, as well as the factors mentioned above. Default to these other creditor groups can be explained by more traditional country risk variables, although Mckenzie's analysis highlights the importance of political and external factors in explaining default to all creditors studied. He finds sovereign default to be a state-dependent process, whereby the repayment behavior of a country changes once it enters into default. Operationally, Mckenzie arrives at a model that can be used to assess short-term creditworthiness, although data imperfections and availability still limit the usefulness of the model for some countries. Longer-term risk assessment proves more difficult, which raises operational questions for the IBRD. This paper—a product of the Credit Risk Division, Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to monitor the creditworthiness of IBRD borrowers. The author may be contacted at mckenstanford.edu
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  • 16
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (34 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Alam, Asad A Decade of Fiscal Transition
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Recovery ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Adjustment ; Fiscal Imbalances ; Fiscal Management ; Fiscal Policies ; Fiscal Policy ; Fiscal Risks ; Fiscal Stabilization ; Fiscal Transition ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Recovery ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Adjustment ; Fiscal Imbalances ; Fiscal Management ; Fiscal Policies ; Fiscal Policy ; Fiscal Risks ; Fiscal Stabilization ; Fiscal Transition ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Recovery ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Adjustment ; Fiscal Imbalances ; Fiscal Management ; Fiscal Policies ; Fiscal Policy ; Fiscal Risks ; Fiscal Stabilization ; Fiscal Transition ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management
    Kurzfassung: Transition literature has emphasized stabilization and enterprise restructuring. Both cross-country analyses and country-specific studies have tended to focus on fiscal stabilization and its indicators, highlighting the importance of quantitative fiscal adjustment to stabilization outcomes. Less attention has been paid to the qualitative dimensions of fiscal adjustment in transition. Alam and Sundberg take stock of the extent to which fiscal adjustment has occurred during the first decade of transition in both qualitative and quantitative dimensions. They define quality as the extent to which: (1) pro-growth expenditure essential for creating future economic and social assets are maintained; (2) pro-poor expenditure, such as poverty-targeted transfers, necessary to ensure income for the poor and vulnerable are adequately provided; and (3) fiscal risks, impinging on both expenditure and revenue, are managed through transition. The authors conclude that while the quantitative magnitude of the fiscal adjustment was dramatic, the quality of this adjustment has compromised the social and economic objectives of transition, particularly in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). They draw four main conclusions: • Investments in public services fell in both absolute and relative terms. • Reduced spending on government transfers contributed to a sharp increase in income inequality in the CIS. • Fiscal risks increased during the transition. • Initial conditions allowed Central European and Baltic countries to maintain higher expenditures, which may have contributed to their faster economic recovery and political support for the reforms. The authors argue that the challenge today for fiscal policy in these countries is to facilitate the transition—particularly in reallocating resources from large state-owned enterprises to new small and medium-size firms, and providing priority public services and targeted transfers to assist those adversely affected by transition and reverse the deterioration in social outcomes. The interplay between fiscal policies and institutional arrangements is increasingly important as transition economies embark on their second decade of reforms. In particular, incentives embedded in the institutional arrangements for fiscal management needs to be strengthened so that policies, resources, and outcomes can be better aligned, and the fiscal adjustment is consistent with qualitative considerations. This paper—a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to understand economic transition in former centrally planned economies. The authors may be contacted at aalamworldbank.org or msundberg@worldbank.org
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  • 17
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (80 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Packard, G. Truman Pooling, Savings, and Prevention Mitigating the Risk of Old Age Poverty in Chile
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Contribution ; Contributions ; Debt Markets ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Investments ; Labor Market ; Minimum Pension ; Pension ; Pension Reform ; Pension System ; Population ; Private Sector Development ; Retireme ; Bank ; Contribution ; Contributions ; Debt Markets ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Investments ; Labor Market ; Minimum Pension ; Pension ; Pension Reform ; Pension System ; Population ; Private Sector Development ; Retireme ; Bank ; Contribution ; Contributions ; Debt Markets ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Investments ; Labor Market ; Minimum Pension ; Pension ; Pension Reform ; Pension System ; Population ; Private Sector Development ; Retireme
    Kurzfassung: Using data collected in a survey on risk and social insurance in Chile, Packard finds that workers who entered the labor market after the pension reform of 1981 have a greater "contribution density" than those who contributed to the previous social security system. Further, the expectation of care from children and the amount spent on their education significantly lowers the likelihood of contribution to the pension system. Workers who have met the contributory requirements to qualify for the minimum pension guaranteed by the government are significantly less likely to continue making contributions. The likelihood of contributions beyond the eligibility threshold being lowered further, the greater the market rental value of respondents' homes. Furthermore, individuals with a greater tolerance for risk contribute, suggesting that there are retirement security investments in Chile that are perceived as relatively less risky than saving in the reformed pension system. The results indicate that housing could be one such investment. This paper—a product of the Human Development Sector Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region—is part of a regional study on social security reform. The author may be contacted at tpackardworldbank.org
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  • 18
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Caprio, Gerard Banking Policy and Macroeconomic Stability
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Credit Emerging Markets ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Deepening ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Private Sector Development ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Credit Emerging Markets ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Deepening ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Private Sector Development ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Credit Emerging Markets ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Deepening ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: Whether and when does banking serve to stabilize the economy? Caprio and Honohan view the banking system as a filter through which foreign and domestic shocks feed through to the domestic economy. The filter can dampen or amplify the shocks through various credit market channels, including credit growth, import of foreign capital, and possibly interest rates. The question is whether the prudential quality of banking, as proxied by measures of regulatory quality and openness to foreign banking, amplify or dampen these shocks. The authors find that many of the regulatory characteristics that have been found to deepen a financial system and make it more robust to crises—notably those which empower the private sector—also appear to reduce the sector's ability to provide short-term insulation to the macroeconomy. It is as if prudent bankers are reluctant to absorb short-term risks that, if neglected, might cause solvency and growth problems in the longer run. Forbearance might dampen short-term volatility, but at the expense of the longer run health of the banking sector and the economy. One way to avoid this apparent tradeoff is evident: banking systems which have a higher share of foreign-owned banks, a feature already associated with financial deepening and lowered risk of crisis, also seem to score well in terms of short-term macroeconomic insulation. This paper—a joint product of Finance, Development Research Group, and the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Department—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to analyze bank regulation and supervision. The authors may be contacted at gcaprioworldbank. org or phonohan@worldbank.org
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  • 19
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Gonzalez, Y. Christian Stabilizing Intergovernmental Transfers in Latin America
    Schlagwort(e): Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Business Cycle ; Capital Accounts ; Capital Flows ; Capital Markets ; Consumption Smoothing ; Contingent Liability ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Developing Country ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Intergovernmental Fiscal ; Municipal Financial Management ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Business Cycle ; Capital Accounts ; Capital Flows ; Capital Markets ; Consumption Smoothing ; Contingent Liability ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Developing Country ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Intergovernmental Fiscal ; Municipal Financial Management ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Business Cycle ; Capital Accounts ; Capital Flows ; Capital Markets ; Consumption Smoothing ; Contingent Liability ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Developing Country ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Intergovernmental Fiscal ; Municipal Financial Management ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics
    Kurzfassung: The traditional theory of fiscal federalism assigns the role of macroeconomic stabilization to the federal government. In addition to this long-standing theoretical result, there is empirical observation that federal governments in developing countries typically have cheaper and more stable access to capital markets, relative to subnational governments. Drawing on the recent experience of four large federal countries in Latin America—Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico—Gonzalez, Rosenblatt, and Webb examine how intergovernmental transfers affect the division of the burden of stabilization across the levels of government, when the nation as a whole faces economic fluctuations. Imposing stabilizing rules on federal transfers that protect subnational governments from fluctuations in the business cycle can serve two purposes. During boom periods, stabilizing rules prevent subnational governments' tendency to increase inflexible expenditures. And during downturns, stabilizing rules place the burden of borrowing at the federal level—the level most appropriate for macroeconomic stabilization and often the level with superior access to credit. Despite the logic of these rules, recent experience of the four countries reveals that these rules can be risky, particularly in the face of high GDP volatility. Protection against falling revenues in the downturn constitutes a contingent liability for the central government. Argentina's stabilizing rule contributed to fiscal and political tensions during its ongoing crisis. Colombia is beginning to implement similar rules. Meanwhile, Brazilian and Mexican transfers do not implement such rules and fiscal and economic results do not appear to have fared any worse for this absence. The authors draw on the country experience to establish that certain conditions should be in place before establishing a stabilization rule to federal-to-subnational fiscal transfers—in particular the elimination of long-term structural fiscal imbalances, either within levels of government or across levels of government. This paper—a joint product of the Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics, and the Mexico, Colombia, and Venezuela Country Department, Latin America and the Caribbean Region—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to draw on lessons from cross-country experience on fiscal federalism. The authors may be contacted at cgonzalezworldbank.org, drosenblatt@worldbank.org, or swebb@worldbank.org
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  • 20
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (24 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Servén, Luis Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries
    Schlagwort(e): Capital Stock ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Development Bank ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Goods ; Income Level ; Inflation ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomic Un ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Capital Stock ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Development Bank ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Goods ; Income Level ; Inflation ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomic Un ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Capital Stock ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Development Bank ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Goods ; Income Level ; Inflation ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomic Un ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: Servén examines empirically the link between real exchange rate uncertainty and private investment in developing countries using a large cross country-time series data set. He builds a GARCH-based measure of real exchange rate volatility and finds that it has a strong negative impact on investment, after controlling for other standard investment determinants and taking into account their potential endogeneity. The impact of uncertainty is not uniform, however. There is some evidence of threshold effects, so that uncertainty only matters when it exceeds some critical level. In addition, the negative impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on investment is significantly larger in economies that are highly open and in those with less developed financial systems. This paper—a product of the Office of the Chief Economist, Latin America and the Caribbean Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to assess the effects of macroeconomic volatility. The author may be contacted at lservenworldbank.org
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  • 21
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Glewwe, Paul Economic Mobility in Vietnam in the 1990s
    Schlagwort(e): Communities & Human Settlements ; Correlation ; Covariance ; Data ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Equations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Inequality ; Instrumental Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Matrices ; Measurement ; Measurement Errors ; Poverty ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Reduction ; Probability ; Random Errors ; Reasoning ; Roads and Highways ; Science and Technology Development ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Transport ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Correlation ; Covariance ; Data ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Equations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Inequality ; Instrumental Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Matrices ; Measurement ; Measurement Errors ; Poverty ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Reduction ; Probability ; Random Errors ; Reasoning ; Roads and Highways ; Science and Technology Development ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Transport ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Correlation ; Covariance ; Data ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Equations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Inequality ; Instrumental Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Matrices ; Measurement ; Measurement Errors ; Poverty ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Reduction ; Probability ; Random Errors ; Reasoning ; Roads and Highways ; Science and Technology Development ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Transport
    Kurzfassung: Vietnam's high economic growth in the 1990s led to sharp reductions in poverty, yet over the same time period inequality increased. This increased inequality may be less worrisome if Vietnamese households experience a high degree of income mobility over time. This is because high mobility implies that the long-run distribution of income is more equally distributed than the short-run distribution, since some individuals or households are poor in some years, while others are poor in other years. Glewwe and Nguyen examine economic mobility in Vietnam using recent household survey panel data. The problem of measurement error in the income variable, which exaggerates the degree of economic mobility, is directly addressed. Correcting for measurement error dramatically changes the results. At least one half of measured mobility is because of measurement error. This paper—a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to study household welfare and poverty reduction in Vietnam. Paul Glewwe may be contacted at pglewwedept.agecon.umn.edu
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  • 22
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Morisset, Jacques Administrative Barriers to Foreign Investment in Developing Countries
    Schlagwort(e): Accounting ; Administrative Costs ; Application Form ; Bank ; Consumer ; Consumer Markets ; Contribution ; Country Strategy and Periodical ; Debt Markets ; Direct Investment ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Investment ; Information ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; Investor ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Regulation ; Trade Law ; Accounting ; Administrative Costs ; Application Form ; Bank ; Consumer ; Consumer Markets ; Contribution ; Country Strategy and Periodical ; Debt Markets ; Direct Investment ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Investment ; Information ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; Investor ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Regulation ; Trade Law ; Accounting ; Administrative Costs ; Application Form ; Bank ; Consumer ; Consumer Markets ; Contribution ; Country Strategy and Periodical ; Debt Markets ; Direct Investment ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Investment ; Information ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; Investor ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Regulation ; Trade Law
    Kurzfassung: Recent international experience has shown that excessively complex administrative procedures required to establish and operate a business discourage inflows of foreign direct investment. Morisset and Lumenga Neso present a new database on the administrative costs faced by private investors in 32 developing countries. The database is much more comprehensive than the existing sources, as it contains not only information on general entry procedures, such as business and tax registration, but also captures regulation on land access, site development, import procedures, and inspections. The data include measures on the number of procedures, direct monetary costs, and time. The cost of administrative procedures vary significantly across countries. The most important barriers appear to be the delays associated with securing land access and obtaining building permits, which in several countries take more than two years. Countries that impose excessive administrative costs on entry tend to be equally intrusive in firm operations, thereby weakening the argument that barriers to entry are a substitute for the government's unwillingness or inability to regulate enterprise operations. The level of administrative costs is positively correlated with corruption incidence and exhibits a negative correlation with the quality of governance, degree of openness, and public wages. These correlations suggest that administrative reforms need to be incorporated into the broader agenda for reforms such as trade and financial liberalization, the fight against corruption, and public sector administration. This paper—a product of the Foreign Investment Advisory Service—is part of a larger effort to study the role of administrative barriers in the investment decision of private firms. The authors may be contacted at jmorissetifc.org or lumenganeso@hec.unige.ch
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  • 23
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Mattoo, Aaditya Regional Agreements and Trade in Services
    Schlagwort(e): Benefits ; Choice ; Competition ; Competitive Advantage ; Competitive Markets ; Consumer Choice ; Consumers ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Markets and Market Access ; National Income ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Corruption ; Public Sector Development ; Trade Law ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services ; Benefits ; Choice ; Competition ; Competitive Advantage ; Competitive Markets ; Consumer Choice ; Consumers ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Markets and Market Access ; National Income ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Corruption ; Public Sector Development ; Trade Law ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services ; Benefits ; Choice ; Competition ; Competitive Advantage ; Competitive Markets ; Consumer Choice ; Consumers ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Markets and Market Access ; National Income ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Corruption ; Public Sector Development ; Trade Law ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services
    Kurzfassung: Every major regional trade agreement now has a services dimension. Is trade in services so different that there is need to modify the conclusions on preferential agreements pertaining to goods reached so far? Mattoo and Fink first examine the implications of unilateral policy choices in a particular services market. They then explore the economics of international cooperation and identify the circumstances in which a country is more likely to benefit from cooperation in a regional rather than multilateral forum. This paper--a product of Trade, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to assess the implications of liberalizing trade in services. The authors may be contacted at amattooworldbank.org or cfink@worldbank.org
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  • 24
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Mattoo, Aaditya China's Accession to the World Trade Organization
    Schlagwort(e): World Trade Organization ; General Agreement on Trade in Services ; Service industries Government policy ; Air ; Air Transport ; Airports ; Aviation Sector ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies of Scale ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Costs ; Freight ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Information and Communication Technologies ; International Economics & Trade ; Investments ; Knowledge ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Maritime Transport ; Multimodal Transport ; Policies ; Private Sector Development ; Rates ; Trade and Services ; Transport ; Transport Economics, Policy and Planning ; Air ; Air Transport ; Airports ; Aviation Sector ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies of Scale ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Costs ; Freight ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Information and Communication Technologies ; International Economics & Trade ; Investments ; Knowledge ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Maritime Transport ; Multimodal Transport ; Policies ; Private Sector Development ; Rates ; Trade and Services ; Transport ; Transport Economics, Policy and Planning ; China Commercial policy
    Kurzfassung: China's General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) commitments represent the most radical services reform program negotiated in the World Trade Organization. China has promised to eliminate over the next few years most restrictions on foreign entry and ownership, as well as most forms of discrimination against foreign firms. These changes are in themselves desirable. However, realizing the gains from, and perhaps even the sustainability of, liberalization will require the implementation of complementary regulatory reform and the appropriate sequencing of reforms. Three issues, in particular, merit attention: • Initial restrictions on the geographical scope of services liberalization could encourage the further agglomeration of economic activity in certain regions—to an extent that is unlikely to be reversed completely by subsequent countrywide liberalization. • Restrictions on foreign ownership (temporary in most sectors but more durable in telecommunications and life insurance) may dampen the incentives of foreign investors to improve firm performance. • Improved prudential regulation and measures to deal with the large burden of nonperforming loans on state banks are necessary to deliver the benefits of liberalization in financial services. And in basic telecommunications and other network-based services, meaningful liberalization will be difficult to achieve without strengthened pro-competitive regulation. This paper—a product of Trade, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to assess the implications of services trade reform. This research is supported in part by the U.K. Department for International Development
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  • 25
    ISBN: 0821351397 , 9780821351390
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (108 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Serie: Independent Evaluation Group Studies
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Adjustment and Lending ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Adjustment and Lending ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Adjustment and Lending ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
    Kurzfassung: This is the fifth Annual Review of Development Effectiveness (ARDE). This year's Review highlights the choice of lending and non-lending instruments and activities to achieve development objectives. It complements the Annual Report on Portfolio Performance, the Quality Assurance Group's assessment of the active lending portfolio and of recent analytical and advisory services. As in prior years, the Review concentrates on long-term development effectiveness trends. It finds that selecting the right combination and sequence of activities for a particular set of objectives can make the difference between success and failure. The findings of the 2001 ARDE demonstrate sustained progress in portfolio performance and suggest several directions for future Bank operations. First, the ongoing updating of the policy framework for investment and adjustment lending offer a good opportunity to offer operational guidance and improve instrument choice. Second in poor performing low-income countries simple operations, pilot projects, and non-financial activities have particular potential to deliver results. Third, for adjustment operations--a growing share of Bank lending-success is more likely when the domestic consensus for reform is strong and other Bank instruments are brought to bear both upstream and downstream of the adjustment process
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  • 26
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Cuevas, A. Mario Potential GDP Growth in Venezuela
    Schlagwort(e): Business Cycles ; Climate Change ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Fluctuations ; Economic Performance ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Energy ; Energy Demand ; Environment ; Exogenous Variables ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Growth Potential ; Growth Rate ; Industry ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Oil and Gas Industry ; Private Sector Development ; Business Cycles ; Climate Change ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Fluctuations ; Economic Performance ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Energy ; Energy Demand ; Environment ; Exogenous Variables ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Growth Potential ; Growth Rate ; Industry ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Oil and Gas Industry ; Private Sector Development ; Business Cycles ; Climate Change ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Fluctuations ; Economic Performance ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Energy ; Energy Demand ; Environment ; Exogenous Variables ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Growth Potential ; Growth Rate ; Industry ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Oil and Gas Industry ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: Real GDP and oil prices are decomposed into common stochastic trend and cycle processes using structural time series models. Potential real GDP is represented by the level of the trend component of real GDP. The potential rate of growth of real GDP is represented by the stochastic drift element of the trend component. Cuevas finds that there is a strong association at the trend and cycle frequencies between real GDP and the real price of oil. This association is also robust in the presence of key economic policy variables. From 1970–80, when the underlying annual rate of increase of the real price of oil was 12 percent, the underlying annual rate of increase of potential GDP in Venezuela was 2.6 percent. By contrast, from 1981–2000 when the underlying rate of increase of the real price of oil was –5 percent, the underlying growth rate of potential GDP fell 1.5 percent. However, the strength of association between the underlying growth of oil prices and real GDP has fallen considerably since the early 1980s, suggesting that oil cannot be relied on as an engine for future growth in Venezuela. This paper—a product of the Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela Country Management Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to encourage research on macroeconomic issues. The author may be contacted at mcuevasworldbank.org
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  • 27
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (30 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Pizzati, Lodovico Labor Market Implications of Switching the Currency Peg in a General Equilibrium Model for Lithuania
    Schlagwort(e): Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Board ; Currency Board Arrangement ; Currency Peg ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Domestic Currency ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange-Rate ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; General Equilibrium ; General Equilibrium Model ; Imports ; Labor Markets ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Board ; Currency Board Arrangement ; Currency Peg ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Domestic Currency ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange-Rate ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; General Equilibrium ; General Equilibrium Model ; Imports ; Labor Markets ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Board ; Currency Board Arrangement ; Currency Peg ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Domestic Currency ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange-Rate ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; General Equilibrium ; General Equilibrium Model ; Imports ; Labor Markets ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Kurzfassung: On February 2, 2002, Lithuania switched its currency anchor from the dollar to the euro. While pegging to the dollar (since April 1994) has proven successful throughout the transition years, the recent decision to peg to the euro was motivated by the increasing trade relations with European economies. Pizzati does not argue which peg is more appropriate, but he analyzes the implications of changing the exchange rate regime for different sectors and labor groups. While pegging to the euro entails more stability for the export sector, Lithuania is still dependent on dollar-based imports of primary goods from the Commonwealth of Independent States, more so than other Baltic countries or Central European economies. Pizzati uses a multisector general equilibrium model to compare the effects of dollar-euro exchange rate movements under these alternative pegs. Overall, simulation results suggest that while a euro-peg will provide more stability to GDP and employment, it will also imply more volatility in prices, suggesting that under the new peg macroeconomic policy should be more concerned with inflationary pressures than before. From a sector-specific perspective, pegging to the euro will provide a more stable demand for unskilled-intensive manufacturing and commercial services. But other sectors, such as agriculture, will still face the same vulnerability to exchange rate movements. This suggests that additional policy measures may be needed to compensate sector-specific divergences. This paper—a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to address European Union integration issues in transition economies. Please contact Lodovico Pizzati, room H4-214, telephone 202-473-2259, fax 202-614-0683, email address lpizzatiworldbank.org
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  • 28
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (56 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Love, Inessa Investor Protection, Ownership, and the Cost of Capital
    Schlagwort(e): Capital Investment ; Capital Stock ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Equity Stakes ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Holding ; Investment ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investor ; Investor Protection ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Capital Investment ; Capital Stock ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Equity Stakes ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Holding ; Investment ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investor ; Investor Protection ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Capital Investment ; Capital Stock ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Equity Stakes ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Holding ; Investment ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investor ; Investor Protection ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Kurzfassung: Himmelberg, Hubbard, and Love combine the agency theory of the firm with risk diversification incentives for insiders. Principal-agent problems between insiders and outsiders force insiders to retain a larger share in their firm than they would under a perfect risk diversification strategy. The authors predict that this higher share of insider ownership and the resulting exposure of insiders to higher idiosyncratic risk will result in underinvestment and higher cost of capital. Using firm-level data from 38 countries, the authors provide evidence in support of their theoretical model, showing that the premium for bearing idiosyncratic risk varies between zero and six percent and decreases in the level of outside investor protection. The results of the study imply that policies aimed at strengthening investor protection laws and their enforcement will improve capital allocation and result in higher growth. This paper—a product of Finance, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to study corporate governance and access to finance. The authors may be contacted at cph15columbia.edu or ilove@worldbank.org
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  • 29
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Grigorian, A. David Determinants of Commercial Bank Performance in Transition
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Banking ; Banking System ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Consolidation ; Credit Enterprises ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Services ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Private Sector Development ; Privatization ; Profitability ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking System ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Consolidation ; Credit Enterprises ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Services ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Private Sector Development ; Privatization ; Profitability ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking System ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Consolidation ; Credit Enterprises ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Services ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Private Sector Development ; Privatization ; Profitability
    Kurzfassung: Banking sectors in transition economies have experienced major transformations throughout the 1990s. While some countries have been successful in eliminating underlying distortions and restructuring their financial sectors, in some cases financial sectors remain underdeveloped and the rates of financial intermediation continue to be quite low. Grigorian and Manole estimate indicators of commercial bank efficiency by applying a version of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to bank-level data from a wide range of transition countries. They further extend the analysis by explaining the differences in efficiency between financial institutions and countries by a variety of macroeconomic, prudential, and institutional variables. In addition to stressing the importance of some bank-specific variables, the censored Tobit analysis suggests that: - Foreign ownership with controlling power and enterprise restructuring enhance commercial bank efficiency. - The effects of prudential tightening on the efficiency of banks vary across different prudential norms. - Consolidation is likely to improve efficiency of banking operations. Overall, the results confirm the usefulness of DEA for transition-related applications and may shed light on the optimal architecture of a banking system. This paper--a product of the Private and Financial Sector Development Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region--is part of a larger effort in the region to disseminate the results of research on transition issues. The authors may be contacted at dgrigorianimf.org or manole@wueconc.wustl.edu
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  • 30
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Dinh, Hinh The Impact of Cash Budgets on Poverty Reduction in Zambia
    Schlagwort(e): Budget ; Budget Discipline ; Budget Execution ; Cash Budget ; Cash Budget System ; Cash Budgeting ; Cash Budgeting System ; Cash Budgets ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Revenue ; Economic Growth ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial System ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Budget ; Budget Discipline ; Budget Execution ; Cash Budget ; Cash Budget System ; Cash Budgeting ; Cash Budgeting System ; Cash Budgets ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Revenue ; Economic Growth ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial System ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Budget ; Budget Discipline ; Budget Execution ; Cash Budget ; Cash Budget System ; Cash Budgeting ; Cash Budgeting System ; Cash Budgets ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Revenue ; Economic Growth ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial System ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management
    Kurzfassung: Facing runaway inflation and budget discipline problems in the early 1990s, the Zambian government introduced the so-called cash budget in which government domestic spending is limited to domestic revenue, leaving no room for excess spending. Dinh, Adugna, and Myers review Zambia's experience during the past decade, focusing on the impact of the cash budget on poverty reduction. They conclude that after some initial success in reducing hyperinflation, the cash budget has largely failed to keep inflation at low levels, created a false sense of fiscal security, and distracted policymakers from addressing the fundamental issue of fiscal discipline. More important, it has had a deeply pernicious effect on the quality of service delivery to the poor. Features inherent to the cash budgeting system facilitated a substantial redirection of resources away from the intended targets, such as agencies and ministries that provide social and economic services. The cash budget also eliminated the predictability of cash releases, making effective planning by line ministries difficult. Going forward, Zambia must adopt measures that over time will restore the commitment to budget discipline and shelter budget execution decisions from the pressures of purely short-term exigencies. This paper—a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Division 1, Africa Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to review public expenditure management
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  • 31
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (69 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Cowhey, Peter The WTO Agreement and Telecommunications Policy Reform
    Schlagwort(e): Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; E-Business ; Economic Policies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Education for the Knowledge Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Entry Barriers ; Equipment ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Future ; Global Market ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Interest ; International Financial Markets ; Macroeconomic Policy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Access ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Technology Industry ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; E-Business ; Economic Policies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Education for the Knowledge Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Entry Barriers ; Equipment ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Future ; Global Market ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Interest ; International Financial Markets ; Macroeconomic Policy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Access ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Technology Industry ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; E-Business ; Economic Policies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Education for the Knowledge Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Entry Barriers ; Equipment ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Future ; Global Market ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Interest ; International Financial Markets ; Macroeconomic Policy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Access ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Technology Industry
    Kurzfassung: Happily, the revolution going on in the telecommunications industry is benign. Technological change and competition are making possible changes considered improbable even 15 years ago. The WTO Agreement on Basic Telecommunications Services created a new regime for the world market. Now we must pay close attention to regulatory fundamentals. Every country serious about introducing competition finds that the transition from monopoly to competition is both economically rewarding and laden with policy dilemmas. As a new century begins, we have an essentially new market for telecommunications. Digital technology forced a reexamination of the opportunity costs of protecting traditional telecommunications equipment and service suppliers. An inefficient market for telecommunications threatened competitiveness in the computer, software, and information industry markets. Meanwhile, after dislocations created by global stagflation through the early 1980s, developing countries became interested in privatization of state enterprises as a tool of economic reform—and state telephone companies were especially promising targets for privatization. Those countries began exploring options for allowing selective competition, as phone companies in major industrial countries began looking to foreign markets for new business opportunities. The WTO Agreement on Basic Telecommunications Services created a new regime for the world market. Now we must pay close attention to regulatory fundamentals: • Low barriers to entry in the market for communications services. • Effective rebalancing of rates for services during the market transition. • Strong interconnection policies. • The creation of independent regulatory authorities with the resources and power necessary to foster competition and safeguard consumer welfare. Cowhey and Klimenko assess how developing and transition economies have fared in profiting from changes in the telecommunications market. They also examine the policy challenges that remain, paying special attention to the global market and regulatory milieu fostered by the 1997 WTO agreement. They ask what this latest transformation has taught us about wise management of this vital part of the world economy's infrastructure. They focus on the economics of managing the transition to competition, the design of proper regulatory policies and processes, and the embedding of domestic telecommunications in the world market. This paper—a product of Trade, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to help developing countries formulate negotiating positions for WTO talks. Mikhail Klimenko may be contacted at mklimenkoucsd.edu
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  • 32
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    ISBN: 0821349813 , 9780821349816
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (450 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Serie: Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Kurzfassung: These are the proceedings of the Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, which gathers the global perspective of scholars, and practitioners of development policy from academic life, government, and the private sector. The selected topics seek to include new areas of concern, and current research, as well as areas believed to benefit from exposure to recent knowledge, and experience. This year's conference focused on new development thinking, crises and recovery, corporate governance and restructuring, and, social security, public and private savings. The opening address outlines challenges for development, that include the intransigence of poverty in Africa, and ways to establish public-private partnerships at the country, and global levels, while the keynote address identifies equilibrium, and change as the focus of development economics: long-term sustainable growth requires development of a consensus behind the reform policies. Discussions varied from crises and recovery, through perspectives on the recent history of transition economies, to arguments on the possibilities of poverty reduction on a grand scale. Other topics include the exploration of development strategies, revision of the role of aid in providing finance, changing policies, and knowledge transfer, and, how to coordinate development problems
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  • 33
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (80 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: James, Estelle Administrative Costs and the Organization of Individual Retirement Account Systems
    Schlagwort(e): Administrative Costs ; Bank ; Contingencies ; Contribution ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Individual Account ; Individual Retirement ; Individual Retirement Account ; Individual Retirement Accounts ; Investing ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Administrative Costs ; Bank ; Contingencies ; Contribution ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Individual Account ; Individual Retirement ; Individual Retirement Account ; Individual Retirement Accounts ; Investing ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Administrative Costs ; Bank ; Contingencies ; Contribution ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Individual Account ; Individual Retirement ; Individual Retirement Account ; Individual Retirement Accounts ; Investing ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: Organizing individual retirement accounts through the institutional market and with constrained choice could substantially lower administrative costs. The tradeoff: rebidding problems, weaker performance incentives, inflexibility in the face of unforeseen contingencies, and an increased probability of corruption, collusion, and regulatory capture. What is the most cost-effective way to organize individual accounts that are part of a mandatory social security system? Defined-contribution individual-account components of social security systems are criticized for being too expensive. James, Smalhout, and Vittas investigate the cost-effectiveness of two methods for constructing mandatory individual accounts: Investing through the retail market with relatively open choice among investment companies (the method first used by Chile and adopted by most Latin American countries). Investing through the institutional market with constrained choice. For the retail market, they use data from mandatory pension funds in Chile and other Latin American countries and from voluntary mutual funds in the United States. For the institutional market, they use data from systems in Bolivia and Sweden and from larger pension plans and the federal Thrift Saving Plan in the United States. The institutional approaches aggregate numerous small accounts into large blocks of money and negotiate fees on a centralized basis, often through competitive bidding. They retain workers' choice on some funds. Fees and costs are kept low by reducing incentives for marketing, avoiding excess capacity at system start-up, and constraining choice to investment portfolios that are inexpensive to manage. In developed financial markets, the biggest potential cost saving stems from constrained portfolio choice, especially from a concentration on passive investment. The biggest cost saving for a given portfolio and for countries with weak financial markets comes from reduced marketing activities. In the retail market, where annualized fees and costs range from 0.8 percent to 1.5 percent of assets, use of the institutional market in individual retirement account systems has reduced those fees and costs to less than 0.2 percent to 0.6 percent of assets. This reduction can increase pensions by 10-20 percent relative to the retail market. Countries that can surmount rebidding problems, weaker performance incentives, inflexibility in the face of unforeseen contingencies, and an increased probability of corruption, collusion, and regulatory capture should seriously consider the institutional approach, especially at the start-up of a new multipillar system or for systems with small asset bases. This paper—a product of Finance, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to study pension systems. The authors may be contacted at ejames3worldbank.org or dvittas@worldbank.org
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  • 34
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Ianchovichina, Elena Trade Liberalization in China's Accession to the World Trade Organization
    Schlagwort(e): Comparative Advantage ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Monopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; World Trade Organization ; Comparative Advantage ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Monopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; World Trade Organization ; Comparative Advantage ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Monopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; World Trade Organization
    Kurzfassung: (June 2001) - China's forthcoming access to the World Trade Organization involves reform in many sectors, both domestic and trade-related. The starting point for reform is a partially reformed economy with relatively high import duties, in which export sectors benefit from liberal duty exemptions on inputs. Both China and its major trading partners will gain from access—with China gaining most (perhaps half of the estimated
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  • 35
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    ISBN: 0821349295 , 9780821349298
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (92 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Serie: Independent Evaluation Group Studies
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Corruption and Anitcorruption Law ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Corruption and Anitcorruption Law ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Corruption and Anitcorruption Law ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
    Kurzfassung: This Annual Review of Development Effectiveness (ARDE) builds on previous reviews, i.e., the 1998 review, released in a hostile environment of financial crisis, concluded that improvements in project performance cannot be enough, that improvements at a higher plane of program, and country performance should also be present; and, the 1999 review, inscribed within the Comprehensive Development Framework dilemmas, and challenges, identified practices for dealing with those challenges, namely to be based on country commitments to poverty reduction, and sustainable growth. The ARDE 2000 finds that progress was solid on a broad front, but that further progress is likely. Portfolio performance is likely to exceed the Strategic Compact target of seventy five percent satisfactory outcomes; and, sustainability, and institutional development ratings reflect improvements. Though progress is commendable, this review examines four tensions the Bank faces: learning to reconcile client, and corporate priorities; adapting global prescriptions to local conditions; balancing country performance and poverty incidence in allocating its resources; and, achieving efficiency/selectivity, seeking to implement a holistic vision of development. Bank strategies should acknowledge client needs, judicious adaptation to institutional, social, and political fronts should be pursued, and, an approach to poor-performing countries should be addressed
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  • 36
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (52 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Wang, Zhi Implicit Pension Debt, Transition Cost, Options, and Impact of China's Pension Reform
    Schlagwort(e): Average Wage ; Bank ; Contribution ; Current Pension ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Situation ; Income ; Income Tax ; Individual Account ; Labor Force ; Ownership ; Pensions and Retirement Systems ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Average Wage ; Bank ; Contribution ; Current Pension ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Situation ; Income ; Income Tax ; Individual Account ; Labor Force ; Ownership ; Pensions and Retirement Systems ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Average Wage ; Bank ; Contribution ; Current Pension ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Situation ; Income ; Income Tax ; Individual Account ; Labor Force ; Ownership ; Pensions and Retirement Systems ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Kurzfassung: China's population is aging rapidly: the old-age dependency ratio will rise from 11 percent in 1999 to 25 percent in 2030 and 36 percent in 2050. Currently, three workers support one retiree; without reform, the system dependency ratio will climb to 69 percent in 2030 and 79 percent in 2050. The pension system has been in deficit, with an implicit pension debt in 2000 as high as 71 percent of GDP. The lack of an effective, sustainable pension system is a serious obstacle to Chinese economic reform. The main problems with China's pension system—the heavy pension burdens of state enterprises and the aging of the population—have deepened in recent years. Using a new computable general equilibrium model that differentiates between three types of enterprise ownership and 22 groups in the labor force, Wang, Xu, Wang, and Zhai estimate the effects of pension reform in China, comparing various options for financing the transition cost. They examine the impact that various reform options would have on the system's sustainability, on overall economic growth, and on income distribution. The results are promising. The current pay-as-you-go system, with a notional individual account, remains unchanged in the first scenario examined. Simulations show this system to be unsustainable. Expanding coverage under this system would improve financial viability in the short run but weaken it in the long run. Other scenarios assume that the transition cost will be financed by various taxes and that a new, fully funded individual account will be established in 2001. The authors compare the impact of a corporate tax, a value-added tax, a personal income tax, and a consumption tax. They estimate the annual transition cost to be about 0.6 percent of GDP between 2000 and 2010, declining to 0.3 percent by 2050. Using a personal income tax to finance the transition cost would best promote economic growth and reduce income inequality. Levying a social security tax and injecting fiscal resources to finance the transition costs would help make the reformed public pillar sustainable. To finance a benefit of 20 percent of the average wage, a contribution rate of only 10 percent–12.5 percent would be enough to balance the basic pension pillar. Gradually increasing the retirement age would further reduce the contribution rate. This paper—a product of the Economic Policy and Poverty Reduction Division, World Bank Institute—was presented at the conference Developing through Globalization: China's Opportunities and Challenges in the New Century (Shanghai, China, July 5–7, 2000). The study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project "Efficiency and Distribution Effects of China's Social Security Reform" (RPO 683-52). The authors may be contacted at ywang2worldbank.org or zwang@ers.usda.gov
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  • 37
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Jack Public Policy toward Nongovernmental Organizations in Developing Countries
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Civil Society ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Government ; Income ; Intervention ; Labor Policies ; Learning ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; NGO ; Organizations ; Outcomes ; Participation ; Policies ; Policy ; Poverty ; Poverty Alleviation ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Reduction ; Programs ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Bank ; Civil Society ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Government ; Income ; Intervention ; Labor Policies ; Learning ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; NGO ; Organizations ; Outcomes ; Participation ; Policies ; Policy ; Poverty ; Poverty Alleviation ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Reduction ; Programs ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Bank ; Civil Society ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Government ; Income ; Intervention ; Labor Policies ; Learning ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; NGO ; Organizations ; Outcomes ; Participation ; Policies ; Policy ; Poverty ; Poverty Alleviation ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Reduction ; Programs ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Kurzfassung: July 2001 - If a developing country government is not good at providing public services such as health care, education, and social protection, would NGOs be better at doing so? What advantages do NGOs have over for-profit providers of publicly funded services? And considering the importance of donor funding, which is better for delivering such services, an international NGO or a grassroots NGO? Jack presents two descriptive models of nongovernmental organizations and poses normative questions about public policy toward NGOs. In situations in which optimal government intervention in a distorted or inequitable economy employs an NGO-like body, he considers which kinds of NGO might be used. First, in many developing countries NGOs participate in the delivery of what are essentially private goods—in particular, health care and education. In an economy without NGOs, there may be good redistributive and efficiency reasons for the government to provide these goods in kind. But if direct government provision of such services is ineffective or inefficient, when is contracting out to an NGO-like institution preferable to using a traditional for-profit firm? (Another way to frame this is to ask: What is the optimal taxation and regulation of private providers of publicly financed services?) NGOs also provide useful real and financial links with external donors. They are used to provide services the government favors and donors are willing to fund. In this model, the service provider is chosen to yield the best outcome for both government and donor. In this context, Jack compares an international NGO and a grassroots organization. It may be more efficient to transfer donor funds through an international NGO than through a local NGO, but when donor-government cooperation fails, a project implemented by an international NGO is effectively killed. If a project implemented by a local organization can limp along, this otherwise less efficient organization might be preferred. This paper—a product of Public Service Delivery, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the role of NGOs in delivering basic public services. The author may be contacted at wgjgeorgetown.edu
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  • 38
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (50 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Brixi, Polackova Hana Managing Fiscal Risk in Bulgaria
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Defic Budget Deficits ; Contingent Liabilities ; Currency ; Debt Markets ; Deficits ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Good ; Government Debt ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rate Risks ; Maturity ; Pensions ; Private Sector Development ; Public Investment ; Risk Management ; Risk Management System ; Security ; Sovereign Debt ; State Guarantees ; Stock ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Defic Budget Deficits ; Contingent Liabilities ; Currency ; Debt Markets ; Deficits ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Good ; Government Debt ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rate Risks ; Maturity ; Pensions ; Private Sector Development ; Public Investment ; Risk Management ; Risk Management System ; Security ; Sovereign Debt ; State Guarantees ; Stock ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Defic Budget Deficits ; Contingent Liabilities ; Currency ; Debt Markets ; Deficits ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Good ; Government Debt ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rate Risks ; Maturity ; Pensions ; Private Sector Development ; Public Investment ; Risk Management ; Risk Management System ; Security ; Sovereign Debt ; State Guarantees ; Stock
    Kurzfassung: Governments need to manage their contingent liabilities and other off-budget sources of fiscal risk - through policy, the budgetary process, and an integrated asset and liability management strategy. - To understand the fiscal position of a country, contingent liabilities and other sources of fiscal risk need to be considered. Brixi, Shatalov, and Zlaoui develop a framework to assess and manage fiscal risk in Bulgaria. Bulgaria's Currency Board Arrangement has effectively imposed fiscal discipline, but leaves only limited room to accommodate potential fiscal shocks. Through risks embedded in the portfolio of government contingent and direct liabilities, significant fiscal pressures could arise in the future. Major sources of risk include environmental liabilities and investment requirements, collection capacities of the social protection institutions, and further engagement in off-budget programs, such as government guarantees. To limit the government's exposure to risks, yet accommodate investment needs crucial to growth and development, Bulgaria must find an optimal strategy for liability management, fiscal reserves, and risk mitigation. Priorities for dealing with existing risks and limiting further accumulation of risks include: · Mitigating currency and interest rate risks in the government liability structure. · Implementing proposed institutional and finance reform of the country's pension and health care systems. · Building adequate contingency reserves. · Introducing risk-sharing arrangements. · Prioritizing and placing strict limits on the amounts of new guaranteed obligations. · Developing government capacity to analyze and manage risks. · Fully integrating fiscal risk management with other policy considerations in fiscal management, as part of an integrated asset and liability management strategy. This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to study the quality of fiscal adjustment in its client countries. Copies of the paper are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW, Washington, DC 20433. The authors may be contacted at lzlaouiworldbank.org, hpolackova@worldbank.org, or sshatalov@worldbank.org
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  • 39
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Desai, Raj The Vicious Circles of Control
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Cash Flows ; Competitive Auctions ; Conversion ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Illiquidity ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investors ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Municipal Financial Management ; National Governance ; Outside Investors ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Property ; Property Rights ; Revenue ; Revenues ; Safety Nets ; Tax ; Tax Debt ; Urban Development ; Voucher Privatization ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cash Flows ; Competitive Auctions ; Conversion ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Illiquidity ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investors ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Municipal Financial Management ; National Governance ; Outside Investors ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Property ; Property Rights ; Revenue ; Revenues ; Safety Nets ; Tax ; Tax Debt ; Urban Development ; Voucher Privatization ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cash Flows ; Competitive Auctions ; Conversion ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Illiquidity ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investors ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Municipal Financial Management ; National Governance ; Outside Investors ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Property ; Property Rights ; Revenue ; Revenues ; Safety Nets ; Tax ; Tax Debt ; Urban Development ; Voucher Privatization
    Kurzfassung: In Russia and other transition economies that have implemented voucher privatization programs, how can one account for the puzzling behavior of insider-managers who, in stripping assets from the very firms they own, appear to be stealing from one pocket to fill the other? - How can one account for the puzzling behavior of insider-managers who, in stripping assets from the very firms they own, appear to be stealing from one pocket to fill the other? Desai and Goldberg suggest that such asset-stripping and failure to restructure are the consequences of interactions between insiders (manager-owners) and regional governments in a particular property rights regime. In this regime, the ability to realize value is limited by uncertainty and illiquidity, so managers have little incentive to increase value. As the central institutions that rule Russia have ceded their powers to the regions, regional governments have imposed various distortions on enterprises to protect local employment. Prospective outsider-investors doubt they can acquire the control rights they need for restructuring firms and doubt they can avoid the distortions regional governments impose on the firms in which they might invest. The result: little restructuring and little new investment. And regional governments, knowing the firms' taxable cash flows will have been reduced through cash flow diversion, have responded by collecting revenues in kind. To disentangle these vicious circles of control, Desai and Goldberg propose a pilot for transforming ownership in insider-dominated firms through a system of simultaneous tax-debt-for-equity conversion and resale through competitive auctions. The objective: to show regional governments, by example, that a more sustainable way to protect employment is to give managers incentives to increase enterprises' value by transferring effective control to investors. The proposed mechanism would provide cash benefits to insiders who agree to sell control to outside investors. The increased cash revenue (rather than in-kind or money surrogates) would enable regional governments to finance safety nets for the unemployed and to promote other regional initiatives. This paper - a product of the Private and Financial Sectors Development Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to address growth, governance, and poverty in the former Soviet Union. The authors may be contacted at desairgunet.georgetown.edu or igoldberg@worldbank.org
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  • 40
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Torre, ladeAugusto Resolving Bank Failures in Argentina
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Bank Capitalization ; Bank Failure ; Bank Failure Resolution ; Bank Failures ; Banking ; Banking Associations ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Bis ; Capital ; Criteria ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Deposits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Year ; Going Concern Value ; Governance ; Legal Protection ; Liquidation ; Moral Hazard ; Value ; Bank ; Bank Capitalization ; Bank Failure ; Bank Failure Resolution ; Bank Failures ; Banking ; Banking Associations ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Bis ; Capital ; Criteria ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Deposits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Year ; Going Concern Value ; Governance ; Legal Protection ; Liquidation ; Moral Hazard ; Value ; Bank ; Bank Capitalization ; Bank Failure ; Bank Failure Resolution ; Bank Failures ; Banking ; Banking Associations ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Bis ; Capital ; Criteria ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Deposits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Year ; Going Concern Value ; Governance ; Legal Protection ; Liquidation ; Moral Hazard ; Value
    Kurzfassung: When the international financial community finally develops core principles and minimum standards for resolving bank failures, Argentina's experience should serve as an important reference in identifying best practices. - Policies and procedures to resolve bank failures have evolved significantly in Argentina since the introduction of currency convertibility in 1991 and particularly in reaction to the 1995 tequila crisis, which exposed the inadequacy of the bank exit framework in place then. De la Torre reviews the institutional changes introduced in Argentina in 1995 to handle bank failures more effectively, particularly the creation of the deposit guarantee scheme and the procedural framework for resolving bank failures, embedded in Article 35 of the Financial Institutions Law. This framework enables the Central Bank to carve out the assets and privileged liabilities of the failing bank and transfer them to sound banks, thereby sending only a residual balance sheet to judicial liquidation. Subsequent refinements in the application of Article 35 procedures eventually led to current Argentine practice. The author examines this practice in detail by considering the handling of the recent failure of Banco Almafuerte. The author assesses a number of issues that arise from the Argentine model of bank failure resolution, taking into account both country-specific circumstances and more general concepts and concerns. He emphasizes the potential tradeoffs between reducing contagion risk, limiting moral hazard, and avoiding unnecessary destruction of asset value; the implications of priority-of-claims rules and least-cost criteria; the pros and cons of alternative organizational and institutional arrangements; and the need for legal security. Finally, he outlines two prototypical approaches to striking a balance between rules and discretion, an issue underlying much of the ongoing policy discussion on alternative bank exit frameworks. This paper - a product of the Finance Cluster, Latin America and the Caribbean Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to document best practices in bank exit frameworks. The author may be contacted at adelatorreworldbank.org
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  • 41
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (52 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Kraay, Aart Do High Interest Rates Defend Currencies during Speculative Attacks?
    Schlagwort(e): Balance Of Payments ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Fixed Exchange Rates ; Fixed Nominal Exchange Rates ; Foreign Exchange ; Growth Rates ; Interest Rate Differentials ; Interest Rates ; International Capital Flows ; International Monetary Fund ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Authorities ; Monetary Authority ; Monetary Economics ; Monetary Policy ; Monetary Shocks ; Nominal Exchange Rate ; Private Sector Development ; Real Exchange Rate ; Real Interest Rates ; Tight Monetary Policy ; Balance Of Payments ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Fixed Exchange Rates ; Fixed Nominal Exchange Rates ; Foreign Exchange ; Growth Rates ; Interest Rate Differentials ; Interest Rates ; International Capital Flows ; International Monetary Fund ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Authorities ; Monetary Authority ; Monetary Economics ; Monetary Policy ; Monetary Shocks ; Nominal Exchange Rate ; Private Sector Development ; Real Exchange Rate ; Real Interest Rates ; Tight Monetary Policy ; Balance Of Payments ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Fixed Exchange Rates ; Fixed Nominal Exchange Rates ; Foreign Exchange ; Growth Rates ; Interest Rate Differentials ; Interest Rates ; International Capital Flows ; International Monetary Fund ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Authorities ; Monetary Authority ; Monetary Economics ; Monetary Policy ; Monetary Shocks ; Nominal Exchange Rate ; Private Sector Development ; Real Exchange Rate ; Real Interest Rates ; Tight Monetary Policy
    Kurzfassung: January 2000 - No - there is no systematic association between interest rates and the outcome of speculative attacks. Drawing on evidence from a large sample of speculative attacks in industrial and developing countries, Kraay argues that high interest rates do not defend currencies against speculative attacks. In fact, there is a striking lack of any systematic association between interest rates and the outcome of speculative attacks. The lack of clear empirical evidence on the effects of high interest rates during speculative attacks mirrors the theoretical ambiguities on this issue. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the causes and consequences of financial crises. The author may be contacted at akraayworldbank.org
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  • 42
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (52 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Harrison, E. Ann Ownership versus Environment
    Schlagwort(e): Budget ; Capital ; Competition ; Corporation ; Cost ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Economic Theory and Research ; Efficiency ; Elasticity ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Incentive ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Hands ; Private Sector ; Production ; Productivity ; Prof Public Sector ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Management and Reform ; Republic ; Social Protections and Labor ; State ; State Owned Enterprise Reform ; Utility ; Budget ; Capital ; Competition ; Corporation ; Cost ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Economic Theory and Research ; Efficiency ; Elasticity ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Incentive ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Hands ; Private Sector ; Production ; Productivity ; Prof Public Sector ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Management and Reform ; Republic ; Social Protections and Labor ; State ; State Owned Enterprise Reform ; Utility ; Budget ; Capital ; Competition ; Corporation ; Cost ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Economic Theory and Research ; Efficiency ; Elasticity ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Incentive ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Hands ; Private Sector ; Production ; Productivity ; Prof Public Sector ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Management and Reform ; Republic ; Social Protections and Labor ; State ; State Owned Enterprise Reform ; Utility
    Kurzfassung: January 2000 - Is public sector inefficiency due primarily to agency-type problems (ownership) or to the environment in which public enterprises operate (as measured by soft budget constraints or barriers to competition)? Both. Bartel and Harrison compare the performance of public and private sector manufacturing firms in Indonesia for 1981-95. They analyze whether public sector inefficiency is due primarily to agency-type problems (ownership) or to the business environment in which public enterprises operate, as measured by soft budget constraints or barriers to competition. They nest the two alternatives in a production function framework. The results, obtained from fixed-effects specifications, provide support for both models. The business environment matters. Only public enterprises that received loans from state banks or those shielded from import competition performed worse than private enterprises. Ownership matters. For a given level of import competition or soft loans, public enterprises perform worse than their counterparts in the private sector. Eliminating soft loans to Indonesia's public enterprises would raise total factor productivity by 6 percentage points; the same result could be achieved by increasing import penetration by 15 percentage points. Bartel and Harrison show that these findings are not due to selection effects for either privatization or the receipt of soft loans. This paper - a product of Poverty and Human Resources, Development Research Group - was part of a study funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project The Impact of Labor Market Policies and Institutions on Economic Performance (RPO 680-96). Ann Harrison may be contacted at aharrisoresearch.gsb.columbia.edu
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  • 43
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Panagariya, Arvind Evaluating the Case for Export Subsidies
    Schlagwort(e): Adverse Selection ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Competitiveness ; Cred Export ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Export Performance ; Export Subsidies ; Export Subsidy ; Exports ; Externalities ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Trade ; Free Trade ; Interest ; Interests ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moral Hazard ; Perfect Competition ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Rent ; Tariff ; Tariffs ; Tax ; Tax Law ; Taxation and Subsidies ; Taxes ; Trade Policy ; Adverse Selection ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Competitiveness ; Cred Export ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Export Performance ; Export Subsidies ; Export Subsidy ; Exports ; Externalities ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Trade ; Free Trade ; Interest ; Interests ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moral Hazard ; Perfect Competition ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Rent ; Tariff ; Tariffs ; Tax ; Tax Law ; Taxation and Subsidies ; Taxes ; Trade Policy ; Adverse Selection ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Competitiveness ; Cred Export ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Export Performance ; Export Subsidies ; Export Subsidy ; Exports ; Externalities ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Trade ; Free Trade ; Interest ; Interests ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moral Hazard ; Perfect Competition ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Rent ; Tariff ; Tariffs ; Tax ; Tax Law ; Taxation and Subsidies ; Taxes ; Trade Policy
    Kurzfassung: January 2000 - With import-substitution policies discredited, many have argued for interventions on behalf of export interests. But aren't arguments for export subsidies as flawed as arguments for import substitution? Now that import-substitution policies have failed and been discredited, there has been a shift in favor of interventions on behalf of export interests. Panagariya argues that close scrutiny reveals these arguments to be as flawed as the old arguments for import substitution. Among other things, Panagariya concludes that: · Under perfect competition, a country trying to retaliate against a trading partner's export subsidies by instituting its own export subsidies will only hurt itself. · The argument that export subsidies may be useful for neutralizing import tariffs is spurious. In most practical situations, this is not possible. Removal of tariffs is a far superior policy. · In principle a case can be made for protecting infant export industries in the presence of externalities. But the empirical relevance of externalities remains as illusory for export industries as it was for import-substituting industries. · Adverse selection and moral hazard can lead to the thinning of the market for credit insurance but that is not a case for government intervention. · India's experience shows export subsidies to have little impact on exports. Brazil and Mexico's experience shows export subsidies to be a costly instrument of export diversification. · Those who argue that pro-export interventions were important in East Asia have not provided convincing evidence of a causal relationship between the interventions and growth. This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to explore conceptual and practical issues in the export policies of developing countries. The author may be contacted at panagariecon.umd.edu
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  • 44
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (58 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Klingebiel, Daniela The Use of Asset Management Companies in the Resolution of Banking Crises
    Schlagwort(e): Asset Management ; Asset Management Companies ; Bad Debt ; Bank ; Bank Restructuring ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Distress ; Banking System ; Bankruptcy ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Debt Restructuring ; Enterprises ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Governments ; Impaired Assets ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Laws ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Asset Management ; Asset Management Companies ; Bad Debt ; Bank ; Bank Restructuring ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Distress ; Banking System ; Bankruptcy ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Debt Restructuring ; Enterprises ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Governments ; Impaired Assets ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Laws ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Asset Management ; Asset Management Companies ; Bad Debt ; Bank ; Bank Restructuring ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Distress ; Banking System ; Bankruptcy ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Debt Restructuring ; Enterprises ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Governments ; Impaired Assets ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Laws ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Systemic Banking Crises
    Kurzfassung: Asset management companies have been used to address the overhang of bad debt in a country's financial system - by expediting corporate restructuring or rapidly disposing of corporate assets. A study of seven cases suggests that such companies tend to be ineffective at corporate restructuring and are good at disposing of assets only when they're used to meet fairly narrow objectives in the presence of certain factors: an easily liquefiable asset (such as real estate), mostly professional management, political independence, adequate bankruptcy and foreclosure laws, skilled resources, appropriate funding, good information and management systems, and transparent operations and processes. - Asset management companies have been used to address the overhang of bad debt in the financial system. There are two main types of asset management company: those set up to expedite corporate restructuring and those established for rapid disposal of assets. A review of seven asset management companies reveals a mixed record. In two of three cases, asset management companies for corporate restructuring did not achieve their narrow goal of expediting bank or corporate restructuring, suggesting that they are not good vehicles for expediting corporate restructuring. Only a Swedish asset management company successfully managed its portfolio, acting sometimes as lead agent in restructuring - and helped by the fact that the assets acquired had mostly to do with real estate, not manufacturing, which is harder to restructure, and represented a small fraction of the banking system's assets, which made it easier for the company to remain independent of political pressures and to sell assets back to the private sector. Asset management companies used to dispose of assets rapidly fared somewhat better. Two of four agencies (in Spain and the United States) achieved their objectives, suggesting that asset management companies can be used effectively for narrowly defined purposes of resolving insolvent and inviable financial institutions and selling off their assets. Achieving these objectives required an easily liquefiable asset - real estate - mostly professional management, political independence, adequate bankruptcy and foreclosure laws, appropriate funding, skilled resources, good information and management systems, and transparent operations and processes. The other two agencies (in Mexico and the Philippines) were doomed from the start, as governments transferred to them politically motivated loans or fraudulent assets, which were difficult for a government agency susceptible to political pressure and lacking independence to resolve or sell off. This paper - a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the management of banking crises. The author may be contacted at dklingebielworldbank.org
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  • 45
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (76 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Zuluaga, MariaAna Reforming the Urban Water System in Santiago, Chile
    Schlagwort(e): Bill Collection ; Cubic Meters ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Infrastructure Economics and Finance ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Number Of Connections ; Price Of Water ; Private Participation in Infrastructure ; Private Sector Development ; Private Utility ; Public Works ; Sewage Treatment ; Sewerage Services ; Tariff Decisions ; Tariff Setting ; Tariff Setting Process ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Companies ; Water Conservation ; Water Consumption ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Services ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water Supply and Systems ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water Tariffs ; Water and Industry ; Bill Collection ; Cubic Meters ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Infrastructure Economics and Finance ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Number Of Connections ; Price Of Water ; Private Participation in Infrastructure ; Private Sector Development ; Private Utility ; Public Works ; Sewage Treatment ; Sewerage Services ; Tariff Decisions ; Tariff Setting ; Tariff Setting Process ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Companies ; Water Conservation ; Water Consumption ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Services ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water Supply and Systems ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water Tariffs ; Water and Industry ; Bill Collection ; Cubic Meters ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Infrastructure Economics and Finance ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Number Of Connections ; Price Of Water ; Private Participation in Infrastructure ; Private Sector Development ; Private Utility ; Public Works ; Sewage Treatment ; Sewerage Services ; Tariff Decisions ; Tariff Setting ; Tariff Setting Process ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Companies ; Water Conservation ; Water Consumption ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Services ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water Supply and Systems ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water Tariffs ; Water and Industry
    Kurzfassung: Why did reform in Santiago improve water system performance, when similar reform attempts under public management in other countries failed?In the late 1980s, Chile planned to privatize Santiago's sanitary works enterprise (EMOS) but instead reformed it under public ownership. It did so through a regulatory framework that mimicked the design of a concession with a private utility, setting tariffs that ensured at least a 7 percent return on assets, creating a neutral regulator independent of ministry intervention, and giving EMOS the right to appeal the regulator's tariff decisions. This reform of Santiago's water system is often cited as a case of successful reform under public management. Comparing a comprehensive measure of welfare with a counterfactual example, Shirley, Xu, and Zuluaga show surprisingly large gains from Santiago's reform, given the relatively good initial conditions. (The gains accrued largely to government and employees, but consumers benefited from improved service and coverage.) Why did reform in Santiago improve water system performance, when similar reform attempts under public management in other countries failed? Chile has a long tradition of private water rights, shaped by early recognition that water is a scarce and tradable private good. · The reformed regulatory framework was designed to attract private investors to the water system and to motivate them to operate efficiently and expand the system. · Chile's unique electoral institutions sustained this framework under state operation after democracy was restored. · Chile's strong bureaucratic norms and institutions (permitting little corruption), combined with Santiago's relatively low-cost water system, permitted prices that effectively increased quasi-rents for investing in the system while minimizing the risk of inefficiency or monopoly rents. The authors also address the question of why EMOS was reformed but not privatized, and what the costs of not privatizing were. The system was privatized in 1999, but the changes from privatization are likely to be less significant than those introduced in 1989-90. This paper - a product of Regulation and Competition Policy, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to draw lessons from regulatory reform and understand political and institutional change. This study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project Competition and Privatization in Urban Water Supply (RPO 682-64). Mary Shirley may be contacted at mshirleyworldbank.org
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  • 46
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (20 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Denizer, Cevdet Household Savings in Transition Economies
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Consumer ; Debt Markets ; Earnings ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Future Income ; Household Expenditure ; Household Savings ; Income ; Incomes ; Lifetime ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market Economies ; Poverty Reduction ; Precautionary Savings ; Private Sector Development ; Productivity ; Purchases ; Rapid Growth ; Retail Cred Savings Behavior ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Savings Rates ; Social Welfare ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Bank ; Consumer ; Debt Markets ; Earnings ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Future Income ; Household Expenditure ; Household Savings ; Income ; Incomes ; Lifetime ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market Economies ; Poverty Reduction ; Precautionary Savings ; Private Sector Development ; Productivity ; Purchases ; Rapid Growth ; Retail Cred Savings Behavior ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Savings Rates ; Social Welfare ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Bank ; Consumer ; Debt Markets ; Earnings ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Future Income ; Household Expenditure ; Household Savings ; Income ; Incomes ; Lifetime ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market Economies ; Poverty Reduction ; Precautionary Savings ; Private Sector Development ; Productivity ; Purchases ; Rapid Growth ; Retail Cred Savings Behavior ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Savings Rates ; Social Welfare ; Unemployment ; Wages
    Kurzfassung: In Bulgaria, Hungary, and Poland, the higher the relative household income is, the higher the savings rate is. But, surprisingly, savings rates appear to be unaffected by either sector of employment (public or private) or form of employment. Savings rates are significantly higher for households that do not own their own homes or that own few of the standard consumer durables - possibly because, with no retail credit or mortgage markets, households must save to purchase houses and durables. - During the transition from central planning to market economies now under way in Eastern Europe, output levels first collapsed by 40 to 50 percent in most countries, then staged a modest recovery in the last two years. Longer-term revival of growth requires a resumption of investment and thus, realistically, of domestic savings. To explore the determinants of household savings rates in transition economies, Denizer, Wolf, and Ying studied matching household surveys for three Central European economies: Bulgaria, Hungary, and Poland. They find that savings rates strongly increase with relative income, suggesting that increasing income inequality may play a role in determining savings rates. Savings rates are significantly higher for households that do not own their homes or that own few of the standard consumer durables - possibly because, with no retail credit or mortgage markets, households must save to purchase houses and durables. The influence of demographic factors broadly matches earlier findings for developing countries. Perhaps surprisingly, variables associated with the household's position in the transition process - including either sector of employment (public or private) or form of employment - do not play a significant role in determining savings rates. This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to understand determinants of savings, at both the household and the aggregate level
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  • 47
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (52 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Clarke, George Reforming the Water Supply in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
    Schlagwort(e): Central Government ; Concession Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Local Authorities ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Municipal Governments ; Municipalities ; Performance Indicators ; Population Growth ; Potable Water ; Private Operator ; Private Participation ; Service Quality ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Areas ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Supply ; Water Supply System ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water and Industry ; Central Government ; Concession Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Local Authorities ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Municipal Governments ; Municipalities ; Performance Indicators ; Population Growth ; Potable Water ; Private Operator ; Private Participation ; Service Quality ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Areas ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Supply ; Water Supply System ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water and Industry ; Central Government ; Concession Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Local Authorities ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Municipal Governments ; Municipalities ; Performance Indicators ; Population Growth ; Potable Water ; Private Operator ; Private Participation ; Service Quality ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Areas ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Supply ; Water Supply System ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water and Industry
    Kurzfassung: June 2000 - The success of Abidjan's water sector is attributable to the government's consistent support for private sector participation in the sector and to the institutions that have guaranteed the private operator's property rights. Strong institutions with adequate human capital allow the government to supervise the private operator and monitor the contractual arrangement well, at least by regional standards. Compared with other urban water systems in West Africa, the water supply system in Abidjan performs very well. Documenting the recent history of that system, Ménard and Clarke try to answer three questions: What motivated reform in a system that was already performing well? How and why did the reform affect sector performance, and what additional changes might improve performance further? And what explains the relatively strong performance of Abidjan's water system? Is the success attributable primarily to an efficient contractual arrangement or more generally to Côte d'Ivoire's institutional environment? In a region plagued by political instability, Ivoirian political institutions were remarkably stable for close to 40 years. In part, the success of the Ivoirian model is the result of these institutions' stability and credibility. The single-party system in place at the time of reform might suggest that there were few restraints in place to prevent the government from behaving opportunistically. But several features of the institutional environment protected against such opportunism. Because of this, and because reform was based on a system already performing well, the contractual arrangement with a private operator proved exceptionally capable of adjusting even in the face of dramatic changes in the external environment. Institutional environments are not as favorable in other countries in the region, so similar contractual arrangements might be less successful elsewhere. Reform in Côte d'Ivoire was motivated primarily by a macroeconomic crisis, which reduced the resources available for public investment. Without either a sector crisis or a realignment of political forces, the will for reform was weak. Consequently, opportunities for improvement were missed and some problems remain. Among other ways in which the system could be improved: Splitting the water system into autonomous subsystems for different cities, and allowing bidding for investment contracts, would increase the chances of competition for investment, which does not currently exist. This paper - a product of Public Economics, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to promote competition and private sector development. The study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project Institutions, Politics, and Contracts: Private Sector Participation in Urban Water Supply (RPO 681-87). The authors may be contacted at menarduniv-paris1.fr or gclarke@worldbank.org
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  • 48
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Schmukler, Sergio Global Transmission of Interest Rates
    Schlagwort(e): Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Regime ; Currency Regimes ; Currency Risks ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Interest Rates ; Economic Stabilization ; Economies ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Exchange Rate Regime ; Exchange Rate Risk ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rates ; Independent Monetary Policy ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rates ; International Monetary Economics ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Independence ; Monetary Policy ; Nominal Anchor ; Private Sector Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Regime ; Currency Regimes ; Currency Risks ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Interest Rates ; Economic Stabilization ; Economies ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Exchange Rate Regime ; Exchange Rate Risk ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rates ; Independent Monetary Policy ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rates ; International Monetary Economics ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Independence ; Monetary Policy ; Nominal Anchor ; Private Sector Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Regime ; Currency Regimes ; Currency Risks ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Interest Rates ; Economic Stabilization ; Economies ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Exchange Rate Regime ; Exchange Rate Risk ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rates ; Independent Monetary Policy ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rates ; International Monetary Economics ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Independence ; Monetary Policy ; Nominal Anchor ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: August 2000 - Hikes in U.S. interest rates in 1999-2000 have started to spill over to other economies' interest rates, which in many countries have risen to reflect the higher U.S. rates. Are countries with flexible exchange rates better able to isolate their domestic interest rates from this type of negative international shock? Less and less so, as economies become more integrated. Frankel, Schmukler, and Servén empirically study the sensitivity of local interest rates to international interest rates and how that sensitivity is affected by a country's choice of exchange rate regime. To establish the empirical regularities, they use a reduced-form empirical approach to compute both panel and single-country estimates of interest rate sensitivity for a large sample of developing and industrial economies between 1970 and 1999. When using the full sample, they find that: · Interest rates are typically lower in economies with fixed exchange rates than in those with flexible exchange rates. · More rigid currency regimes tend to exhibit higher transmission than more flexible regimes. In many cases in the 1990s, however, the authors cannot reject full transmission (a slope coefficient equal to 1), even for several countries with floating regimes. The data suggest an upward time trend in the degree to which domestic interest rates are sensitive to international capital movements and developing economies' increased financial integration with the rest of the world. As a result, country-specific estimates for the 1990s reveal few cases of less-than-full transmission of international interest rates to domestic rates, regardless of the currency regime. Country-specific results suggest that only large industrial countries can (or choose to) benefit from independent monetary policy. During the 1990s, interest rates in European countries were fully sensitive to German interest rates but insensitive to U.S. interest rates. This paper-a joint product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group, and the Chief Economist Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region-is part of a larger effort in the Bank to understand the functioning of alternative currency arrangements. The authors may be contacted at jeffrey_frankelharvard.edu, sschmukler@worldbank.org, or lserven@worldbank.org
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  • 49
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Ferri, Giovanni The Political Economy of Distress in East Asian Financial Institutions
    Schlagwort(e): Balance Sheet ; Banking System ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Distress ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Risks ; Good ; Interest ; Interest Income ; Investors ; Loan ; Loans ; Loss Of Confidence ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Political Economy ; Portfolio ; Private Sector Development ; Prudential Regulations ; Public Institution Analysis and Assessment ; Public Sector Development ; Reserves ; Return ; Return On Assets ; Balance Sheet ; Banking System ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Distress ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Risks ; Good ; Interest ; Interest Income ; Investors ; Loan ; Loans ; Loss Of Confidence ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Political Economy ; Portfolio ; Private Sector Development ; Prudential Regulations ; Public Institution Analysis and Assessment ; Public Sector Development ; Reserves ; Return ; Return On Assets ; Balance Sheet ; Banking System ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Distress ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Risks ; Good ; Interest ; Interest Income ; Investors ; Loan ; Loans ; Loss Of Confidence ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Political Economy ; Portfolio ; Private Sector Development ; Prudential Regulations ; Public Institution Analysis and Assessment ; Public Sector Development ; Reserves ; Return ; Return On Assets
    Kurzfassung: In the East Asian crisis, connections - with industrial groups or influential families - increased the probability of distress for financial institutions. Connections also made closure more, not less, likely, suggesting that the closure processes themselves were transparent. But larger institutions, although more likely to be distressed, were less likely to be closed, suggesting a too big to fail policy. - Politics and regulatory capture can play an important role in financial institutions' distress. East Asia's financial crisis featured many distressed and closed financial intermediaries in an environment with many links between government, politicians, supervisors, and financial institutions. This makes the East Asian financial crisis a good event for studying how such connections affect the resolution of financial institutions' distress. Bongini, Claessens, and Ferri investigate distress and closure decisions for 186 banks and 97 nonbank financial institutions in Indonesia, the Republic of Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand. They find that after July 1997, 42 percent of the institutions experienced distress (were closed, merged, or recapitalized, or had their operations temporarily suspended). By July 1999, 13 percent of all institutions in existence in July 1997 had been closed. Using financial data for 1996, the authors find that: · Traditional CAMEL-type variables - returns on assets, loan growth, and the ratio of loan loss reserves to capital, of net interest income to total income, and of loans to borrowings - help predict subsequent distress and closure. · None of the foreign-controlled institutions was closed, and foreign portfolio ownership lowered an institution's probability of distress. · Connections - with industrial groups or influential families - increased the probability of distress, suggesting that supervisors had granted forbearance from regulations. Connections also made closure more, not less, likely - suggesting that the closure processes themselves were transparent. · But larger institutions, although more likely to be distressed, were less likely to be closed, while (smaller) nonbank financial institutions were more likely to be closed. This suggests a too big to fail policy. · These policies, together with the fact that resolution processes were late and not necessarily comprehensive, may have added to the overall uncertainty and loss of confidence in the East Asian countries, aggravating the financial crisis. This paper - a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Group, Financial Sector Vice Presidency - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the causes and resolution of financial distress. The authors may be contacted at pbonginimi.unicatt.it, cclaessens@worldbank.org, or gferri@worldbank.org
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  • 50
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Budina, Nina Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices
    Schlagwort(e): Bond ; Bond Issues ; Bond Price ; Bond Prices ; Bonds ; Debt Management ; Debt Markets ; Debt Prices ; Debt Service ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Support ; Foreign Debt ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Macroeconomic Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Option ; Price Movement ; Private Sector Development ; Savings Bank ; Secondary Market ; Secondary Market Debt ; Secondary Market Price ; Bond ; Bond Issues ; Bond Price ; Bond Prices ; Bonds ; Debt Management ; Debt Markets ; Debt Prices ; Debt Service ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Support ; Foreign Debt ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Macroeconomic Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Option ; Price Movement ; Private Sector Development ; Savings Bank ; Secondary Market ; Secondary Market Debt ; Secondary Market Price ; Bond ; Bond Issues ; Bond Price ; Bond Prices ; Bonds ; Debt Management ; Debt Markets ; Debt Prices ; Debt Service ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Support ; Foreign Debt ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Macroeconomic Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Option ; Price Movement ; Private Sector Development ; Savings Bank ; Secondary Market ; Secondary Market Debt ; Secondary Market Price
    Kurzfassung: Macroeconomic variables and changes in foreign reserves affect the secondary market price of Brady bonds in Bulgaria. So do changes in the external environment, including crises in other parts of the world. - To analyze the main determinants of secondary market prices of Bulgarian Brady bonds, Budina and Mantchev investigate to what extent fluctuations in domestic fundamentals affect the bonds' secondary market price. They also assess the extent to which external shocks affect the bonds' prices. They estimate the long-term relationship between domestic fundamentals and market prices of the bonds, using cointegration techniques. In the long run, they find that gross foreign reserves and exports had a positive effect on bond prices and the real exchange rate and Mexico's nominal exchange rate depreciation had a negative effect. In the short run, the Asian crisis had a negative impact, and Bulgaria's change in political regime and introduction of a currency board had a positive impact. Mexico's economic crisis in 1995 had contagion effects. The authors' empirical results confirm the view that the so-called fundamentals approach should be used to supplement the analysis of spillover effects for Bulgarian Brady bonds. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study transition economies. The authors may be contacted at nbudinaworldbank.org or tmantchev@hotmail.com
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  • 51
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (48 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Loayza, Norman External Sustainability
    Schlagwort(e): Assets ; Capital Controls ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Current Account ; Current Account Deficits ; Current Account Imbalances ; Current Account Surplus ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Investors ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Equilibrium Condition ; External Deficits ; External Position ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Foreign Asset ; Foreign Asset Positions ; Imbalances ; Investment Opportunities ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Long-Run Equilibrium ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Risks ; Assets ; Capital Controls ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Current Account ; Current Account Deficits ; Current Account Imbalances ; Current Account Surplus ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Investors ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Equilibrium Condition ; External Deficits ; External Position ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Foreign Asset ; Foreign Asset Positions ; Imbalances ; Investment Opportunities ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Long-Run Equilibrium ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Risks ; Assets ; Capital Controls ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Current Account ; Current Account Deficits ; Current Account Imbalances ; Current Account Surplus ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Investors ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Equilibrium Condition ; External Deficits ; External Position ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Foreign Asset ; Foreign Asset Positions ; Imbalances ; Investment Opportunities ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Long-Run Equilibrium ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Risks
    Kurzfassung: The 1994 crisis in Mexico, developments in East Asia, and persistent turmoil in world financial markets have dramatized the role of external imbalances in macroeconomic crises. Some believe that the current account should be kept from rising beyond a sustainable level, some that a current account surplus is the only solid external position. Can those rules of thumb be justified analytically? - Calderón, Loayza, and Servén consider external sustainability from the perspective of equilibrium in net foreign asset positions. Under their approach, an external situation is sustainable if it is consistent with international and domestic investors' achieving their desired portfolio allocation across countries. They develop a reduced-form model of net foreign asset positions whose long-run equilibrium condition expresses the ratio of net foreign assets to the total wealth of domestic residents as a negative function of investment returns in the country relative to the rest of the world, a positive function of investment risk, and an inverse function of the ratio of foreign-owned to domestically owned wealth. To estimate this equilibrium condition, the authors use a newly constructed data set of foreign asset and liability stocks for a large group of industrial and developing countries, from the 1960s to the present. They also develop summary measures of country returns and risks. Their econometric methodology is an application of the Pooled Mean Group estimator recently developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (1999), which allows for unrestricted cross-country heterogeneity in short-term dynamics while imposing a common long-run specification. The estimation results lend considerable support to the model, especially when applied to countries with low capital controls or high or upper-middle income. The results for countries with high capital controls and, especially, lower-income countries are less supportive of the stock equilibrium model. As a byproduct of the model's estimation, the authors obtain estimates of the long-run equilibrium ratios of net foreign assets to wealth, conditional on the observed values of the country's relative returns, risks, and wealth. Then, for a selected group of industrial and developing countries, they evaluate the extent to which actual ratios diverge from their long-run counterparts - and hence the sustainability of current net foreign asset positions. This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region - is part of a larger effort to assess the sustainability of the external accounts of the major countries in the region. The authors may be contacted at nloayzacondor.bcentral.cl or lserven@worldbank.org
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  • 52
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Honohan, Patrick Controlling the Fiscal Costs of Banking Crises
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Guarantees ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Gambling ; Governments ; Inflation ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Real Sector ; Regulatory Forbearance ; Strategies ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Taxation ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Guarantees ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Gambling ; Governments ; Inflation ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Real Sector ; Regulatory Forbearance ; Strategies ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Taxation ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Guarantees ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Gambling ; Governments ; Inflation ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Real Sector ; Regulatory Forbearance ; Strategies ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Taxation
    Kurzfassung: September 2000 - Certain measures add greatly to the fiscal cost of banking crises: unlimited deposit guarantees, open-ended liquidity support, repeated recapitalization, debtor bail-outs, and regulatory forbearance. The findings in this paper tilt the balance in favor of a strict rather than an accommodating approach to crisis resolution. In recent decades, a majority of countries have experienced a systemic banking crisis requiring a major-and expensive-overhaul of their banking system. Not only do banking crises hit the budget with outlays that must be absorbed by higher taxes (or spending cuts), but they are costly in terms of forgone economic output. Many different policy recommendations have been made for limiting the cost of crises, but there has been little systematic effort to see which recommendations work in practice. Honohan and Klingebiel try to quantify the extent to which fiscal outlays incurred in resolving banking distress can be attributed to crisis management measures of a particular kind adopted by the government in the early years of the crisis. They find evidence that certain crisis management strategies appear to add greatly to fiscal costs: unlimited deposit guarantees, open-ended liquidity support, repeated recapitalization, debtor bail-outs, and regulatory forbearance. Their findings clearly tilt the balance in favor of a strict rather than an accommodating approach to crisis resolution. At the very least, regulatory authorities who choose an accommodating or gradualist approach to an emerging crisis must be sure they have some other way to control risk-taking. This paper-a product of Finance, Development Research Group, and Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Department-is part of a larger effort in the Bank to examine the effects of financial sector regulation. The authors may be contacted at phonohanworldbank.org or dklingebiel@worldbank.org
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  • 53
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (60 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Nenova, Tatiana Corporate Risk around the World
    Schlagwort(e): Accounting ; Asymmetric Information ; Bankruptcy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Common Law ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Debt Maturity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Instability ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Risk ; Financial Risks ; Financial Sector Development ; Financial Structure ; Financial Systems ; Firm Performance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Property ; Property Rights ; Social Protections and Labor ; Tax ; Taxes ; Valuation ; Accounting ; Asymmetric Information ; Bankruptcy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Common Law ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Debt Maturity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Instability ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Risk ; Financial Risks ; Financial Sector Development ; Financial Structure ; Financial Systems ; Firm Performance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Property ; Property Rights ; Social Protections and Labor ; Tax ; Taxes ; Valuation ; Accounting ; Asymmetric Information ; Bankruptcy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Common Law ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Debt Maturity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Instability ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Risk ; Financial Risks ; Financial Sector Development ; Financial Structure ; Financial Systems ; Firm Performance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Property ; Property Rights ; Social Protections and Labor ; Tax ; Taxes ; Valuation
    Kurzfassung: January 2000 - Corporate financing patterns around the world reflect countries' institutional environments. Weaknesses in the corporate sector have increasingly been cited as important factors in financial crises in both emerging markets and industrial countries. Analysts have pointed to weak corporate performance and risky financing patterns as major causes of the East Asian financial crisis. And some have argued that company balance sheet problems may also have played a role, independent of macroeconomic or other weaknesses, including poor corporate sector performance. But little is known about the empirical importance of firm financing choices in predicting and explaining financial instability. Firm financing patterns have long been studied by the corporate finance literature. Financing patterns have traditionally been analyzed in the Modigliani-Miller framework, expanded to incorporate taxes and bankruptcy costs. More recently, asymmetric information issues have drawn attention to agency costs and their impact on firm financing choices. There is also an important literature relating financing patterns to firm performance and governance. Several recent studies have focused on identifying systematic cross-country differences in firm financing patterns - and the effects of these differences on financial sector development and economic growth. They have also examined the causes of different financing patterns, particularly countries' legal and institutional environments. The literature has devoted little attention to corporate sector risk characteristics, however, aside from leverage and debt maturity considerations. Even these measures have been the subject of few empirical investigations, mainly because of a paucity of data on corporate sectors around the world. Building on data that have recently become available, Claessens, Djankov, and Nenova try to fill this gap in the literature and shed light on the risk characteristics of corporate sectors around the world. They investigate how corporate sectors' financial and operating structures relate to the institutional environment in which they operate, using data for more than 11,000 firms in 46 countries. They show that: · The origins of a country's laws, the strength of its equity and creditor rights, and the nature of its financial system can account for the degree of corporate risk-taking. · In particular, corporations in common law countries and market-based financial systems have less risky financing patterns. · Stronger protection of equity and creditor rights is also associated with less financial risk. This paper - a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Group, Financial Sector Vice Presidency - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to study the determinants of the riskiness of countries' corporate and financial systems
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  • 54
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Mehrez, Gil Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crises
    Schlagwort(e): Bank Lending ; Banking Crises ; Banking Crisis ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Depos Equity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Liberalization ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Fiscal Policy ; Information On Borrowers ; International Investments ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Lack Of Transparency ; Lenders ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Oligopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Stock ; Stock Market ; Transparency ; Bank Lending ; Banking Crises ; Banking Crisis ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Depos Equity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Liberalization ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Fiscal Policy ; Information On Borrowers ; International Investments ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Lack Of Transparency ; Lenders ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Oligopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Stock ; Stock Market ; Transparency ; Bank Lending ; Banking Crises ; Banking Crisis ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Depos Equity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Liberalization ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Fiscal Policy ; Information On Borrowers ; International Investments ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Lack Of Transparency ; Lenders ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Oligopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Stock ; Stock Market ; Transparency
    Kurzfassung: Lack of transparency increases the probability of a banking crisis following financial liberalization. In a country where government policy is not transparent, banks may tend to increase credit above the optimal level. - Mehrez and Kaufmann investigate how transparency affects the probability of a financial crisis. They construct a model in which banks cannot distinguish between aggregate shocks and government policy, on the one hand, and firms' quality, on the other. Banks may therefore overestimate firms' returns and increase credit above the level that would be optimal given the firms' returns. Once banks discover their large exposure, they are likely to roll over loans rather than declare their losses. This delays the crisis but increases its magnitude. The empirical evidence, based on data for 56 countries in 1977-97, supports this theoretical model. The authors find that lack of transparency increases the probability of a crisis following financial liberalization. This implies that countries should focus on increasing transparency of economic activity and government policy, as well as increasing transparency in the financial sector, particularly during a period of transition such as financial liberalization. This paper - a product of Governance, Regulation, and Finance, World Bank Institute - is part of a larger effort in the institute to research governance and transparency and apply the findings in learning and operational programs. (For details, visit www.worldbank.org/wbi/gac.) The authors may be contacted at gmehrezworldbank.org or dkaufmann@worldbank.org
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  • 55
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Budina, Nina Fiscal Deficits, Monetary Reform, and Inflation Stabilization in Romania
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Deficits ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Defic Exchange ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Expenditure ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fiscal Deficits ; Fiscal Policy ; Government Expenditures ; Inflation ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Policy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Debt ; Public Investment ; Public Sector Defic Revenues ; Tax ; Transition Economies ; Transition Economy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Deficits ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Defic Exchange ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Expenditure ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fiscal Deficits ; Fiscal Policy ; Government Expenditures ; Inflation ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Policy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Debt ; Public Investment ; Public Sector Defic Revenues ; Tax ; Transition Economies ; Transition Economy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Deficits ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Defic Exchange ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Expenditure ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fiscal Deficits ; Fiscal Policy ; Government Expenditures ; Inflation ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Policy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Debt ; Public Investment ; Public Sector Defic Revenues ; Tax ; Transition Economies ; Transition Economy
    Kurzfassung: March 2000 - Fiscal problems are a key factor behind the inflation that has persisted in Eastern Europe since 1989. Deficits need to be cut back, but by how much for a given inflation target? A simple framework links debt, the deficit, and inflation to assess the fiscal stance of the Romanian economy. Unsustainable fiscal deficits were the chief reason for the inflation that has persisted in Eastern Europe since 1989. Deficits need to be cut back, but by how much for a given inflation target? Budina and van Wijnbergen develop a simple framework for debt, the deficit, and inflation to study the interactions between fiscal and monetary policy in Romania's economy. This framework can be used to 1) determine the financeable deficit and the required deficit reduction for a given rate of output growth, inflation rate, and target for debt-output ratios, and 2) to find the inflation rate for which no fiscal adjustment is needed. They use this framework to assess consistency between inflation, monetary reform, and fiscal policy in Romania. Many of the issues in Romania are similar to those in other countries. But Romania is an interesting case because of its history of unsuccessful stabilization attempts. The authors' results suggest that fiscal problems during 1992-94 were masked by shifting government expenses to the books of the National Bank of Romania so that the government deficit did not fully reflect public spending. In addition, the effects of delayed fiscal adjustment were mitigated by exchange rate overvaluation and favorable debt dynamics. In the late 1990s, however, debt dynamics worsened and the economy experienced significant real depreciation. That exacerbated the fiscal problems and increased the fiscal adjustment needed to restore consistency. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study transition economies. The authors may be contacted at nbudinaworldbank.org or svw.heas@wxs.nl
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  • 56
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Kanbur, Ravi The Dynamics of Poverty
    Schlagwort(e): Chronically Poor ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Debt Markets ; Economic Policies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Farm Size ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Household Income ; Household Size ; Household Welfare ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Human Capital ; Incidence Of Poverty ; Income ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; New Poor ; Nonfarm Income ; Old Age ; Poor People ; Poverty ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Incidence ; Poverty Lines ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Reduction ; Rural ; Rural Areas ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Targeting ; Temporarily Poor ; Transfers ; Chronically Poor ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Debt Markets ; Economic Policies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Farm Size ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Household Income ; Household Size ; Household Welfare ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Human Capital ; Incidence Of Poverty ; Income ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; New Poor ; Nonfarm Income ; Old Age ; Poor People ; Poverty ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Incidence ; Poverty Lines ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Reduction ; Rural ; Rural Areas ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Targeting ; Temporarily Poor ; Transfers
    Kurzfassung: August 1995 - In urban areas of Côte d'Ivoire, human capital is the endowment that best explains welfare changes over time. In rural areas, physical capital - especially the amount of land and farm equipment owned - matters most. Empirical investigations of poverty in developing countries tend to focus on the incidence of poverty at a particular point in time. If the incidence of poverty increases, however, there is no information about how many new poor have joined the existing poor and how many people have escaped poverty. Yet this distinction is of crucial policy importance. The chronically poor may need programs to enhance their human and physical capital endowments. Invalids and the very old may need permanent (targeted) transfers. The temporarily poor, on the other hand, may best be helped with programs that complement their own resources and help them bridge a difficult period. Results from analyses of panel surveys show significant mobility into and out of poverty and reveal a dynamism of the poor that policy should stimulate. Understanding what separates chronic from temporary poverty requires knowing which characteristics differentiate those who escape poverty from those who don't. In earlier work, Grootaert, Kanbur, and Oh found that region of residence and socioeconomic status were important factors. In this paper they investigate the role of other household characteristics, especially such asset endowments as human and physical capital, in the case of Côte d'Ivoire. In urban areas of Côte d'Ivoire, human capital is the most important endowment explaining welfare changes over time. Households with well-educated members suffered less loss of welfare than other households. What seems to have mattered, though, is the skills learned through education, not the diplomas obtained. Diplomas may even have worked against some households in having oriented workers too much toward a formal labor market in a time when employment growth came almost entirely from small enterprises. In rural areas, physical capital - especially the amount of land and farm equipment owned - mattered most. Smallholders were more likely to suffer welfare declines. Households with diversified sources of income managed better, especially if they had an important source of nonfarm income. In both rural and urban areas, larger households suffered greater declines in welfare and households that got larger were unable to increase income enough to maintain their former welfare level. Households whose heads worked in the public sector maintained welfare better than other households, a finding that confirms earlier observations. The results also suggest that government policies toward certain regions or types of household can outweigh the effects of household endownments. Surprisingly, migrant non-Ivorian households tended to be better at preventing welfare losses than Ivorian households, while households headed by women did better than those headed by men (after controlling for differences in or changes in endowment). The implications for policymakers? First, education is associated with higher welfare levels and helps people cope better with economic decline. Second, targeting the social safety net to larger households - possibly through the schools, to reach children - is justified in periods of decline. Third, smallholders might be targeted in rural areas, and ways found to encourage diversification of income there. This paper - a joint product of the Social Policy and Resettlement Division, Environment Department, and the Africa Regional Office, Office of the Chief Economist - is the result of a research project on The Dynamics of Poverty: Why Some People Escape Poverty and Others Don't, A Panel Analysis for Côte d'Ivoire (RPO 678-70)
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  • 57
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (57 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Peria, Maria Do Depositors Punish Banks for Bad Behavior?
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Bank Deposits ; Bank Risk ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Sector ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Deposit Insurance Schemes ; Deposits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Guarantees ; Industry ; Interest ; Interest Rates ; Loans ; Market Discipline ; Monetary Policies ; Moral Hazard ; Prudential Regulations ; Savings ; Bank ; Bank Deposits ; Bank Risk ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Sector ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Deposit Insurance Schemes ; Deposits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Guarantees ; Industry ; Interest ; Interest Rates ; Loans ; Market Discipline ; Monetary Policies ; Moral Hazard ; Prudential Regulations ; Savings
    Kurzfassung: February 1999 - A study of the banking industries of Argentina, Chile, and Mexico in the 1980s and 1990s finds that across countries and across deposit insurance schemes, market discipline exists even among small insured depositors - who punish risky banks by withdrawing their deposits. Bank fundamentals are at least as important as other factors affecting deposit behavior. Peria and Schmukler examine the banking industries of Argentina, Chile, and Mexico to see if market discipline existed there in the 1980s and 1990s. Using a set of bank panel data, they test for the presence of market discipline by studying whether depositors punish risky banks by withdrawing their deposits. They find that across countries and across deposit insurance schemes, market discipline exists even among small insured depositors-who punish risky banks by withdrawing their deposits. Standardized coefficients and variance decomposition of deposits indicate that bank fundamentals are at least as important as other factors affecting deposits. GMM estimates confirm that the results are robust to the potential endo-geneity of bank fundamentals. This paper-a joint product of Finance, Development Research Group and the Office of the Chief Economist, Latin America and Carribean Region-is part of a larger effort in the Bank to study banking issues affecting developing countries. The study was funded by the LAC Regional Studies Program and by the Bank's Research Support Budget under research project Deposit Insurance Design and Use (RPO 682-90). The authors may be contacted at mmartinezperiaworldbank.org or sschmukler@worldbank.org
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  • 58
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (65 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: James, Estelle Mutual Funds and Institutional Investments
    Schlagwort(e): Administrative Costs ; Bank ; Contribution ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Industry ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Sustainability ; Individual Accounts ; Investment ; Investment Companies ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investments ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Money ; Money Market ; Mutual Fund ; Mutual Funds ; Populations ; Private Sector Development ; Research Assistance ; Retirement ; Retirement Benefits ; Saving ; Social Security ; Administrative Costs ; Bank ; Contribution ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Industry ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Sustainability ; Individual Accounts ; Investment ; Investment Companies ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investments ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Money ; Money Market ; Mutual Fund ; Mutual Funds ; Populations ; Private Sector Development ; Research Assistance ; Retirement ; Retirement Benefits ; Saving ; Social Security
    Kurzfassung: April 1999 - Among three options for constructing funded social security pillars, one system - individual accounts invested in the institutional market, with constrained choice among investment companies - appears to offer reduced administrative and marketing costs, significant worker choice, and more insulation from political interference than a single centralized fund or individual investments in the retail market would offer. One of the main criticisms of the defined-contribution, individual-account components of social security systems is that they are too expensive. James, Ferrier, Smalhout, and Vittas investigate the cost-effectiveness of three options for constructing funded social security pillars: ° Individual accounts invested in the retail market with relatively open choice. ° Individual accounts invested in the institutional market with constrained choice among investment companies. ° A centralized fund without individual accounts or differentiated investments across individuals. The authors asked several questions: What is the most cost-effective way to organize a system with mandatory individual accounts? How does the cost of an efficient individual account system compare with that of a single centralized fund? And are the cost differentials great enough to outweigh other important considerations? The authors concentrate on countries with well-functioning financial markets, such as the United States, but make comparative references to developing countries. Based on empirical evidence about U.S. mutual and institutional funds, the authors found that the retail market (option 1) allows individual investors to benefit from scale economies in asset management-but at the cost of the high marketing expenses needed to attract large pools of small investments. By contrast, a centralized fund (option 3) can be much cheaper because it achieves scale economies without high marketing costs. But it gives workers no choice and is subject to political manipulation and misallocation of capital. The system of constrained choice (option 2) is much cheaper than the retail option and only slightly more expensive than a single centralized fund. It allows scale economies in asset management and record-keeping while incurring low marketing costs and allowing significant worker choice. It is also more effectively insulated from political interference than a single centralized fund. The authors estimate that option 2 would cost only 0.14 percent-0.18 percent of assets annually. Such large administrative cost savings imply a Pareto improvement-so long as choice is not constrained too much. This paper-a product of Poverty and Human Resources and Finance, Development Research Group-was prepared for a National Bureau of Economic Research Conference on Social Security held on December 4, 1998. The authors may be contacted at ejames3worldbank.org or dvittas@worldbank.org
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  • 59
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (49 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Webb, B. Steven Decentralization and Fiscal Management in Colombia
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Decentralization ; Decentralization Process ; Deconcentration ; Deficits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Decentralization ; Fiscal Deficits ; Interest ; Intergovernmental Relations ; Laws ; Local Governments ; Macroeconomic Stability ; Municipal Financial Management ; Municipalities ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Revenue ; Risk ; Subnational Governments ; Transfers ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Value ; Bank ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Decentralization ; Decentralization Process ; Deconcentration ; Deficits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Decentralization ; Fiscal Deficits ; Interest ; Intergovernmental Relations ; Laws ; Local Governments ; Macroeconomic Stability ; Municipal Financial Management ; Municipalities ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Revenue ; Risk ; Subnational Governments ; Transfers ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Value
    Kurzfassung: May 1999 - Institutional arrangements have helped Colombia manage the fiscal aspects of decentralization, despite the country's political problems. Colombia's political geography contrasts sharply with its economy. Physical characteristics and guerilla war fragment the country geographically, yet it has a long tradition of political centrism and macroeconomic stability. Recently, with political and economic decentralization, there has been some weakening of macroeconomic performance. Dillinger and Webb explore institutional arrangements that have helped Colombia manage the fiscal aspects of decentralization, despite the country's political problems. Fiscal decentralization proceeded rapidly in Colombia. Education, health, and much infrastructure provision have been decentralized to the departmentos and municipios. Decentralization has led to substantial but not overwhelming problems, both in maintaining fiscal balance nationally (as resources are transferred to subnational levels) and in preventing unsustainable deficits by the subnational governments. The problems have arisen because central government interference prevents departments from controlling their costs and because of expectations of debt bailouts. Both are legacies of the earlier pattern of management from the center, and some recent changes-especially about subnational debt-may improve matters. Colombia's traditional political process has had difficulty dealing with problems of decentralization because traditional parties are weak in internal organization and have lost de facto rule over substantial territories. The fiscal problems of subnational government have been contained, however, because subnational governments are relatively weak politically and the central government, for the time being, has been able to enforce restrictions on subnational borrowing. This paper-a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Latin America and Caribbean Region-is part of a larger effort in the region to examine the macroeconomic consequences of decentralization. The authors may be contacted at wdillingerworldbank.org or swebb@worldbank.org
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  • 60
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (33 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Klapper, Leora Resolution of Corporate Distress
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Bankruptcy ; Bankruptcy Filing ; Bankruptcy Filings ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cred Creditor ; Creditors ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Earnings ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Expenses ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Distress ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Interest ; Loan ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Ownership ; Private Sector Development ; Probability ; Regression Analysis ; Stakeholders ; State University ; Bank ; Bankruptcy ; Bankruptcy Filing ; Bankruptcy Filings ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cred Creditor ; Creditors ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Earnings ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Expenses ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Distress ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Interest ; Loan ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Ownership ; Private Sector Development ; Probability ; Regression Analysis ; Stakeholders ; State University
    Kurzfassung: June 1999 - Evidence from East Asia suggests that a firm's ownership relationship with a family or bank provides insurance against the likelihood of bankruptcy during bad times, possibly at the expense of minority shareholders. Bankruptcy is more likely in countries with strong creditor rights and a good judicial system - perhaps because creditors are more likely to force a firm to file for bankruptcy. The widespread financial crisis in East Asia caused large economic shocks, which varied by degree across the region. That crisis provides a unique opportunity for investigating the factors that determine the use of bankruptcy processes in a number of economies. Claessens, Djankov, and Klapper study the use of bankruptcy in Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan (China), and Thailand. These economies differ in their institutional frameworks for resolving financial distress, partly because of the different origins of their judicial systems. One difference is the strength of creditor rights, which Claessens, Djankov, and Klapper document. They expect that differences in legal enforcement and judicial efficiency should affect the resolution of financial distress. Using a sample of 4,569 publicly traded East Asian firms, they observe a total of 106 bankruptcies in 1997 and 1998. They find that: · The likelihood of filing for bankruptcy is lower for firms with ownership links to banks and families, controlling for firm and country characteristics. · Filings are more likely in countries with better judicial systems. · Filings are more likely where there are both strong creditor rights and a good judicial system. These results alone do not allow Claessens, Djankov, and Klapper to address whether increased use of bankruptcy is an efficient resolution mechanism. This paper - a product of the Financial Economics Unit, Financial Sector Practice Department - is part of a larger effort in the department to study corporate financing and governance mechanisms in emerging markets
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  • 61
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (37 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Basu, Kaushik Interlinkage, Limited Liability, and Strategic Interaction
    Schlagwort(e): Amount Of Cred Borrower ; Contract Law ; Contracts ; Contractual Obligations ; Credit Contract ; Debt Markets ; Default ; Discount ; Discount Rates ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Instrument ; Instruments ; Labor Policies ; Law and Development ; Limited Liability ; Loan ; Loan Contracts ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moneylender ; Moral Hazard ; Option ; Risk Aversion ; Risk Neutral ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unlimited Liability ; Amount Of Cred Borrower ; Contract Law ; Contracts ; Contractual Obligations ; Credit Contract ; Debt Markets ; Default ; Discount ; Discount Rates ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Instrument ; Instruments ; Labor Policies ; Law and Development ; Limited Liability ; Loan ; Loan Contracts ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moneylender ; Moral Hazard ; Option ; Risk Aversion ; Risk Neutral ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unlimited Liability
    Kurzfassung: June 1999 - When will a landlord prefer to supply both land and credit to a tenant rather than allow the lender to borrow from a separate moneylender? The paper shows that if tenancy contracts are obtained prior to contracting with the moneylender, and the tenant has limited liability, interlinked deals will predominate over the alternative situation where the landlord and the moneylender act as noncooperative principals. Basu, Bell, and Bose analyze the example of a landlord, a moneylender, and a tenant (the landlord having access to finance on the same terms as the moneylender). It is natural to assume that the landlord has first claim on the tenant's output (as a rule, if they live in the same village, he may have some say in when the crop is harvested). The moneylender is more of an outsider, not well placed to exercise such a claim. A landless, assetless tenant will typically not get a loan unless he has a tenancy. Without interlinkage, the landlord is likely to move first. In the noncooperative sequential game where the landlord is the first mover and also enjoys seniority of claims if the tenant defaults, interlinkage is superior, even if contracts are nonlinear - a result unchanged with the incorporation of moral hazard. The main result is that if a passive principal - one whose decisions are limited to exercising his property rights to determine his share of returns - is the first mover, allocative efficiency is impaired unless his equilibrium payoffs are uniform across states of nature. The limited liability of the tenant creates the strict superiority of interlinkage by making uniform rents nonoptimal when, with noncollusive principals, the landlord (the passive principal) is the first mover. A change in seniority of claims from the first to the second mover (the moneylender) further strengthens this result. But uniform payoffs for the first mover are not essential for allocative efficiency if he is the only principal with a continuously variable instrument of control. So, the main result is sensitive to changes in the order of play but not to changes in the priority of claims. This paper - a product of the Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to understand the institutional structure of rural markets and its welfare implications. The authors may be contacted at kbasuworldbank.org, clive.bell@urz.uni-heidelberg.de, or psbose@cc.memphis.edu
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  • 62
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    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (67 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Levine, Ross A New Database on Financial Development and Structure
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Bond ; Bond Markets ; Commercial Banks ; Corporate Law ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Equity Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediaries ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Sector ; Financial Systems ; Insurance ; Insurance Companies ; Law and Development ; Money ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Ownership ; Pension ; Pension Funds ; Private Sector Development ; Stock ; Stock Market ; Bank ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Bond ; Bond Markets ; Commercial Banks ; Corporate Law ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Equity Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediaries ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Sector ; Financial Systems ; Insurance ; Insurance Companies ; Law and Development ; Money ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Ownership ; Pension ; Pension Funds ; Private Sector Development ; Stock ; Stock Market
    Kurzfassung: July 1999 - This new database of indicators of financial development and structure across countries and over time unites a range of indicators that measure the size, activity, and efficiency of financial intermediaries and markets. Beck, Demirgüç-Kunt, and Levine introduce a new database of indicators of financial development and structure across countries and over time. This database is unique in that it unites a variety of indicators that measure the size, activity, and efficiency of financial intermediaries and markets. It improves on previous efforts by presenting data on the public share of commercial banks, by introducing indicators of the size and activity of nonbank financial institutions, and by presenting measures of the size of bond and primary equity markets. The compiled data permit the construction of financial structure indicators to measure whether, for example, a country's banks are larger, more active, and more efficient than its stock markets. These indicators can then be used to investigate the empirical link between the legal, regulatory, and policy environment and indicators of financial structure. They can also be used to analyze the implications of financial structure for economic growth. Beck, Demirgüç-Kunt, and Levine describe the sources and construction of, and the intuition behind, different indicators and present descriptive statistics. This paper - a product of Finance, Development Research Group - is part of a broader effort in the group to understand the determinants of financial structure and its importance to economic development. The authors may be contacted at tbeckworldbank.org, ademirguckunt@worldbank.org, or rlevine@csom.umn.edu
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  • 63
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Schady, Norbert Seeking Votes
    Schlagwort(e): Allocation ; Business Cycles ; Business Environment ; Business in Development ; Competitiveness and Competition Policy ; Data On Expenditures ; Data Requirements ; Debt Markets ; Discretionary Funds ; Distribution Of Expenditures ; E-Government ; Econometric Techniques ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Governance ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Outcomes ; Parliamentary Government ; Politicians ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Public Expenditure ; Public Expenditures ; Public Sector Development ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Social Expenditures ; Social Funds ; Social Policy ; Social Programs ; Social Services ; Stated Objectives ; Structural Adjustment ; Allocation ; Business Cycles ; Business Environment ; Business in Development ; Competitiveness and Competition Policy ; Data On Expenditures ; Data Requirements ; Debt Markets ; Discretionary Funds ; Distribution Of Expenditures ; E-Government ; Econometric Techniques ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Governance ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Outcomes ; Parliamentary Government ; Politicians ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Public Expenditure ; Public Expenditures ; Public Sector Development ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Social Expenditures ; Social Funds ; Social Policy ; Social Programs ; Social Services ; Stated Objectives ; Structural Adjustment
    Kurzfassung: A revised version was published as The Political Economy of Expenditures by the Peruvian Social Fund (FONCODES), 1991-95. American Political Science Review 94 (2, June): 289-304, 2000. - As the literature on political influences on the allocation of discretionary funds predicts, spending by the Peruvian Social Fund, FONCODES, increased significantly before elections. FONCODES projects were also directed at provinces where the marginal political impact of expenditures was likely to be greatest. President Alberto Fujimori created the Peruvian Social Fund (FONCODES) in 1991 with the stated objectives of generating employment, helping to alleviate poverty, and improving access to social services. Schady uses province-level data on monthly expenditures, socioeconomic indicators, and electoral outcomes to analyze political influences on the timing and geographic distribution of FONCODES expenditures between 1991 and 1995. He finds that: ° FONCODES expenditures increased significantly before elections. ° FONCODES projects were directed at poor provinces, as well as provinces in which the marginal political impact of expenditures was likely to be greatest. The results are robust to many specifications and controls. The Peruvian data thus support predictions made in the literature on political business cycles as well as the literature on political influences on the allocation of discretionary funds. This paper - a product of the Poverty Division, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network - is part of a larger effort in the network to understand the functioning and impact of social funds
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  • 64
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
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    Paralleltitel: Dinh, T. Hinh Fiscal Solvency and Sustainability in Economic Management
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Defic Debt Service ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debt ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Adjustment ; Fiscal Defic Fiscal Effort ; Fiscal Policy ; Income Inequalities ; Income Levels ; International Financial Institutions ; Levy ; Long Term Debt ; Macroeconomic Policies ; Macroeconomic Stability ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Political Economy ; Poverty ; Private Sector Development ; Solvency ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Defic Debt Service ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debt ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Adjustment ; Fiscal Defic Fiscal Effort ; Fiscal Policy ; Income Inequalities ; Income Levels ; International Financial Institutions ; Levy ; Long Term Debt ; Macroeconomic Policies ; Macroeconomic Stability ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Political Economy ; Poverty ; Private Sector Development ; Solvency
    Kurzfassung: October 1999 - In a financially integrated world, it is misleading to assess fiscal performance separate from other aspects of economic development. The framework proposed here can help assess fiscal performance over time and across countries and point to a pace of fiscal adjustment consistent with a country's economic and social objectives. Fiscal policy is central to a country's economic and social objectives, from macroeconomic stability to sustainable growth and poverty reduction. But evaluations of a country's fiscal performance, over time or relative to other countries, are often conducted independent of other development objectives, disregarding the links between fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate policies. A budget deficit of 4 percent of GDP, for example, may be acceptable in one country but not in another, because of different initial conditions and policy priorities. In the same country, a level of fiscal deficit may be acceptable one year but not the next, depending on developments and changes in policy objectives. Dinh argues for assessing fiscal performance (1) as part of the entire framework of economic policy, (2) against a policy objective, (3) by taking into account both short- and long-term considerations, and (4) with an eye to the quality of adjustment (whether there are income inequalities or other social issues, for example) as well as its magnitude. The approach he proposes for assessing country fiscal performance requires a minimum of data and takes into account flow and stock variables on internal and external debt. The approach addresses the shortcomings of conventional analysis by incorporating the debt dynamics and other macroeconomic targets of growth, inflation, and external and internal debt. While its theoretical foundation is well known in the literature, this approach has not been adapted for assessing fiscal performance either over time or across countries, and he discusses practical issues arising from this adaptation. Dinh proposes two indicators to measure fiscal adjustment efforts: · Fiscal solvency adjustment, which measures how far additional fiscal efforts must be taken to restore solvency to the fiscal sector. · Fiscal sustainability adjustment, which measures how far additional fiscal efforts must be taken to maintain the ratios of internal and external debt to output. Dinh applies the proposed framework to evaluate recent fiscal performance in three countries - Argentina, India, and Zambia - each with a different income level and located on a different continent. The countries were selected on the basis of recent World Bank economic work using the proposed approach or an equivalent. Dinh finds the proposed approach useful for identifying key fiscal issues, for assessing the adequacy and pace of fiscal adjustment consistent with the overall economic and social objectives, and for highlighting the tradeoffs between policy initiatives. Sound fiscal policy is crucial for macroeconomic stability. When fiscal issues are under control, it is easier to coordinate other policies. When fiscal issues are part of the problem, the tradeoffs between policy outcomes become pronounced, and economic management, including the management of capital flows, becomes much more difficult. This paper is a product of Macroeconomics 1, Africa Technical Families. The author may be contacted at hdinhworldbank.org
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  • 65
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (22 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Gatti, Roberta Corruption and Trade Tariffs, or a Case for Uniform Tariffs
    Schlagwort(e): Accounting ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Customs Administration and Reform ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Economic Efficiency ; Economic Theory and Research ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Future ; Good ; Goods ; Government Revenue ; Government Revenues ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Prices ; Open Economy ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Public Sector Development ; Returns ; Revenue ; Share ; Tariff ; Tariffs ; Tax ; Tax Law ; Taxes ; Trade Policy ; Transparency ; Accounting ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Customs Administration and Reform ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Economic Efficiency ; Economic Theory and Research ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Future ; Good ; Goods ; Government Revenue ; Government Revenues ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Prices ; Open Economy ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Public Sector Development ; Returns ; Revenue ; Share ; Tariff ; Tariffs ; Tax ; Tax Law ; Taxes ; Trade Policy ; Transparency
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - A highly diversified trade tariff menu may fuel bribe-taking behavior. Setting trade tariff rates at a uniform level limits public officials' ability to extract bribes from importers. By explicitly accounting for the interaction between importers and corrupt customs officials, Gatti argues that setting trade tariff rates at a uniform level limits public officials' ability to extract bribes from importers. If the government's main objective is to raise revenues at the minimum cost to welfare, optimally-set tariff rates will be inversely proportional to the elasticity of demand for imports. So they will generally differ across goods. Such a menu of tariff rates endows customs officials with the opportunity to extract rent from importers. If officials have enough discretionary power, they might threaten to misclassify goods into more heavily taxed categories unless importers pay them a bribe. Because of the bribe, the effective tariff rate for the importing firm increases, so demand for the good decreases. The resulting drop in import demand implies an efficiency loss as well as lower government revenues, compared with the optimal taxation benchmark without corruption. A similar argument applies when customs officials offer to classify goods into low-tariff categories in exchange for a bribe. Setting trade tariffs at a uniform level eliminates officials' opportunities to extract rents. Thus, when corruption is pervasive, a uniform tariff can deliver more government revenues and welfare than the optimally set (Ramsey) tariff benchmark. The empirical evidence confirms that these considerations are relevant to policymaking, since a robust association between the standard deviation of trade tariffs - a measure of the diversification of tariff menus - and corruption emerges across countries. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study corruption. Please contact Roberta Gatti, Internet address rgattiworldbank.org
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  • 66
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Schiff, Maurice Labor Market Integration in the Presence of Social Capital
    Schlagwort(e): Bonds ; Capital ; Cred Economic Performance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Human Capital ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Liquidity ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Negative Externalities ; Population Policies ; Private Sector Development ; Production Function ; Production Functions ; Public Good ; Social Capital ; Social Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade Barriers ; Transactions Costs ; Transport ; Transport Economics, Policy and Planning ; Unemployment ; Utility ; Utility Function ; Voters ; Welfare ; Bonds ; Capital ; Cred Economic Performance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Human Capital ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Liquidity ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Negative Externalities ; Population Policies ; Private Sector Development ; Production Function ; Production Functions ; Public Good ; Social Capital ; Social Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade Barriers ; Transactions Costs ; Transport ; Transport Economics, Policy and Planning ; Unemployment ; Utility ; Utility Function ; Voters ; Welfare
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - Social capital raises productivity and falls with labor mobility. Because labor mobility generates a negative externality, integration of labor markets results in too much mobility, too low a level of social capital, and an ambiguous effect on welfare. Trade liberalization is superior to labor market integration because it reduces mobility and the negative externality associated with it. Labor market integration is typically assumed to improve welfare in the absence of distortions, because it allows labor to move to where returns are highest. Schiff examines this result in a simple general equilibrium model in the presence of a common property resource: social capital. Drawing on evidence that social capital raises productivity and falls with labor mobility, Schiff's main findings are that: · Labor market integration imposes a negative externality and need not raise welfare. · The welfare impact is more beneficial (or less harmful) the greater the difference in endowments is between the integrating regions. · Whether positive or negative, the welfare impact is larger the more similar the levels of social capital of the integrating regions are and the lower the migration costs are. · Trade liberalization generates an additional benefit-over and above the standard gains from trade - by reducing labor mobility and the negative externality associated with it. Trade liberalization is superior to labor market integration. · The creation of new private or public institutions in response to labor market integration may reduce welfare. Schiff shows that the welfare implications depend on two parameters of the model, the curvature of the utility function and the cost of private migration. This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the link between market performance and welfare. The author may be contacted at mschiffworldbank.org
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  • 67
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Easterly, William How Did Highly Indebted Poor Countries Become Highly Indebted?
    Schlagwort(e): Amount Of Debt ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Commercial Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Debt Payment ; Debt Relief ; Debt Service ; Debt Servicing ; Debt-Service ; Default ; Discount ; Discount Rate ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; External Debt ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Debt ; Foreign Loan ; Foreign Loans ; Forgiveness ; Good ; Indebted Countries ; International Economics & Trade ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Productive Investments ; Strategic Debt Management ; Third World Debt ; Amount Of Debt ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Commercial Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Debt Payment ; Debt Relief ; Debt Service ; Debt Servicing ; Debt-Service ; Default ; Discount ; Discount Rate ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; External Debt ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Debt ; Foreign Loan ; Foreign Loans ; Forgiveness ; Good ; Indebted Countries ; International Economics & Trade ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Productive Investments ; Strategic Debt Management ; Third World Debt
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - Theoretical models predict that countries with unchanged long-run savings preferences will respond to debt relief by running up new debts or by running down assets. And there are some signs that incremental debt relief over the past two decades has fulfilled those predictions. Debt relief is futile for countries with unchanged long-run savings preferences. How did highly indebted poor countries become highly indebted after two decades of debt relief efforts? A set of theoretical models predict that countries with unchanged long-run savings preferences will respond to debt relief with a mixture of asset decumulation and new borrowing. A model also predicts that a high-discount-rate government will choose poor policies and impose its intertemporal preferences on the entire economy. Reviewing the experience of highly indebted poor countries, compared with that of other developing countries, Easterly finds direct and indirect evidence of asset decumulation and new borrowing associated with debt relief. The ratio of the net present value of debt to exports rose strongly over 1979-97 despite the debt relief efforts. Average policies in highly indebted poor countries were generally worse than those in other developing countries, controlling for income. The trend for terms of trade was no different in highly indebted poor countries than in other developing countries, not were wars more likely in highly indebted poor countries. Over time there has been an important shift in financing for highly indebted poor countries, away from private and bilateral nonconcessional sources to the International Development Association and other sources of multilateral concessional financing. But this implicit form of debt relief also failed to reduce debt in net present value terms. Although debt relief is done in the name of the poor, the poor are worse off if debt relief creates incentives to delay reforms needed for growth. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the effectiveness of aid for growth. The author may be contacted at weasterlyworldbank.org
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  • 68
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    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Honohan, Patrick Fiscal Contingency Planning for Banking Crises
    Schlagwort(e): Accounting ; Balance Sheet ; Banking Crises ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Contingency Planning ; Conversion ; Debt Markets ; Depositors ; Emerging Markets ; Expenditure ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Instruments ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Authorities ; Fiscal Policy ; Future ; Liabilities ; Liability ; Monetary Authorities ; Moral Hazard ; Private Sector Development ; Revenue ; Tax ; Tax Rates ; Accounting ; Balance Sheet ; Banking Crises ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Contingency Planning ; Conversion ; Debt Markets ; Depositors ; Emerging Markets ; Expenditure ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Instruments ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Authorities ; Fiscal Policy ; Future ; Liabilities ; Liability ; Monetary Authorities ; Moral Hazard ; Private Sector Development ; Revenue ; Tax ; Tax Rates
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - Estimating the likely fiscal costs of future banking crises requires information about the size and composition of the banks' balance sheets and expert assessments about the accuracy of the accounting data and about certain short-term risks. There is constant demand for an estimate of the likely fiscal costs of future banking crises, but little precision can be expected in such an estimate. Honohan shows how information that is typically available to authorities could be used to get a general sense of the order of magnitude of the direct fiscal liability. What is required for such an estimate? · Information about the size and composition of the banks' balance sheets. · Expert assessments of the accuracy of the accounting data and of specific short-term risks to which the components are known to be subject. Honohan's method distinguishes between losses that have already crystallized and the changing risks for the immediate future. By including contingency planning for banking collapse in their fiscal calculations, authorities may risk destabilizing expectations or worsening the moral hazard in the system. But the risks of contingency planning generally outweigh the risks of sending confused signals. Insisting on ignorance is a poor way to protect against announcement errors that trigger panic. This paper - a product of Finance, Development Research Group - was produced for the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network thematic group studying the quality of fiscal adjustment. The author may be contacted at phonohanworldbank.org
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  • 69
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (48 p.))
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    Paralleltitel: Soloaga, Isidro What's Behind Mercosur's Common External Tariff?
    Schlagwort(e): Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Market ; Economic Policy ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; External Tariff ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Market ; International Markets ; International Prices ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Multilateral System ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Regionalism ; Share Of World Exports ; Tariff Data ; Tariff Levels ; Tariff Structures ; Tariffs ; Terms Of Trade ; Trade ; Trade Effects ; Trade Externalities ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; World Prices ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Market ; Economic Policy ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; External Tariff ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Market ; International Markets ; International Prices ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Multilateral System ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Regionalism ; Share Of World Exports ; Tariff Data ; Tariff Levels ; Tariff Structures ; Tariffs ; Terms Of Trade ; Trade ; Trade Effects ; Trade Externalities ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; World Prices
    Kurzfassung: Most researchers focus on the political economy (interest group pressures) approach to analyzing why customs unions are formed, but terms-of-trade effects were also important in formation of the Common Market of the Southern Cone (Mercosur). Terms-of-trade externalities among Mercosur's members have been internalized in the common external tariff. - The theoretical literature on trade follows two different approaches to explaining the endogenous formation of customs unions: (1) The terms-of-trade approach, in which integrating partners are willing to exploit terms-of-trade effects. Using the terms-of-trade approach, one concludes that tariffs on imports from the rest of the world should increase after the formation of a regional bloc, because the market power of the region increases and terms-of-trade externalities can be internalized in the custom union's common external tariff. As the union forms, the domestic market gets larger and members' international market power increases. (2) The interest group pressures (political economy) approach, in which, for example, the customs union may offer the potential for exchanging markets or protection within the enlarged market. Using this approach, one would usually conclude that tariffs for the rest of the world decline after the custom union's formation - a rationale related to free-rider effects in larger lobbying groups. It is important to recognize the forces behind the formation of customs unions. Most researchers have focused on the second approach and neglected terms of trade as a possible explanatory variable. Both rationales explain a significant share of tariff information. Results, write Olarreaga, Soloaga, and Winters, suggest that both forces were important in formation of the Common Market of the Southern Cone (Mercosur). Terms-of-trade effects account for between 6 percent and 28 percent of the explained variation in the structure of protection. There is also evidence that the terms-of-trade externalities among Mercosur's members have been internalized in the common external tariff. This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the political economy of trade protection. Marcelo Olarreaga may be contacted at molarreagaworldbank.org
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  • 70
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
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    Paralleltitel: Byamugish, K.F. Frank How Land Registration Affects Financial Development and Economic Growth in Thailand
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Climate Change ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Growth ; Economic Historians ; Economic Theory and Research ; Environment ; Equations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; GDP Per Capita ; Incentives ; Inequality ; Investment ; Land Use and Policies ; Liquidity ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Natural Resources ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Property ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Productivity ; Property Rights ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Real GDP ; Regression Analysis ; Rural Development ; Rural Land Policies for Poverty Reduction ; Theory ; Value ; Variables ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Climate Change ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Growth ; Economic Historians ; Economic Theory and Research ; Environment ; Equations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; GDP Per Capita ; Incentives ; Inequality ; Investment ; Land Use and Policies ; Liquidity ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Natural Resources ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Property ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Productivity ; Property Rights ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Real GDP ; Regression Analysis ; Rural Development ; Rural Land Policies for Poverty Reduction ; Theory ; Value ; Variables
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - Land registration in Thailand has significant positive long-run effects on financial development and economic growth. Using an economywide conceptual framework, the author analyzes how land registration affects financial development and economic growth in Thailand. He uses contemporary techniques, such as error correction and co-integration, to deal with such problems as time-series data not being stationary. He also uses the auto-regressive distributed lag model to analyze long lags in output response to changes in land registration. His key findings: -Land titling has significant positive long-run effects on financial development. -Economic growth responds to land titling following a J curve, by first registering a fall and recovering gradually, thereafter to post a long, strong rally. -The quality of land registration services, as measured by public spending on land registration, has strongly positive and significant long-run effects on economic growth. This paper - a product of the Rural Development and Natural Resources Sector Unit, East Asia and Pacific Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to increase the effectiveness of country assistance strategies in the area of property rights and economic development. The author may be contacted at fbyamugishaworldbank.org
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  • 71
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    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (26 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Ghani, Ejaz Productivity Growth, Capital Accumulation, and the Banking Sector
    Schlagwort(e): Accounting ; Accounting Framework ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Capital Employed ; Cred Debt ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Exchange ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Lending ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Productivity ; Projects ; Risk ; Risk Management ; Savings ; Social Protections and Labor ; Wages ; Accounting ; Accounting Framework ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Capital Employed ; Cred Debt ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Exchange ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Lending ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Productivity ; Projects ; Risk ; Risk Management ; Savings ; Social Protections and Labor ; Wages
    Kurzfassung: How did the East Asian miracle turn into one of the worst financial crises of the century? A case study of Malaysia provides some answers. - How did the East Asian miracle turn into one of the worst financial crises of the century? Ghani and Suri address the question using Malaysia as a case study. Many discussions of the East Asian crisis address proximate and short-run causes of the crisis, such as the current account deficit, exchange rate misalignment, and disproportionate short-run external debt relative to foreign exchange reserves. These indicators of vulnerability are themselves endogenous outcomes of deeper institutional features. Ghani and Suri argue that some long-term features of the development strategy that helped sustain high growth in the first place also contributed to the economy's increasing vulnerability. High output growth was driven by rapid growth in capital stock, for example. The banking sector played a critical role in transforming (and accelerating the transformation of) large savings into capital accumulation. But the banking sector may not have been allocating capital efficiently. Ghani and Suri find that the rapid growth in bank lending in Malaysia is negatively associated with total factor productivity growth. On the other hand, the economy's other structural strengths, such as openness to foreign direct investment and technology, helped improve productivity growth. Malaysia's exceptional growth record over the past quarter century was driven largely by the growth in physical capital stock. Total factor productivity growth may have slowed in the late 1990s, and sustaining high output growth will require greater emphasis on productivity improvements. Policies that encouraged the flow of foreign direct investment and better access to imported capital goods contributed to productivity growth. But rapid growth in bank lending relative to GDP may have slowed it. How policymakers can best slow the growth of credit is a question that remains unanswered. This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, East Asia and Pacific Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to better understand past and future sources of growth. The authors may be contacted at eghaniworldbank.org or vsuri@worldbank.org
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  • 72
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (30 p.))
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    Paralleltitel: Finger, Michael J Market Access Bargaining in the Uruguay Round
    Schlagwort(e): Concessions ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Market ; Duty Reduction ; Export Industries ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Foreign Markets ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Market Access ; Market Access Bargaining ; Public Sector Development ; Reciprocal Concessions ; Reciprocal Reduction ; Reciprocity ; Tariff ; Tariff Concessions ; Tariffs ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Negotiations ; Trade Policy ; Trade Restrictions ; Unilateral Free Trade ; Unilateral Liberalization ; Concessions ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Market ; Duty Reduction ; Export Industries ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Foreign Markets ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Market Access ; Market Access Bargaining ; Public Sector Development ; Reciprocal Concessions ; Reciprocal Reduction ; Reciprocity ; Tariff ; Tariff Concessions ; Tariffs ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Negotiations ; Trade Policy ; Trade Restrictions ; Unilateral Free Trade ; Unilateral Liberalization
    Kurzfassung: December 1999 - The Uruguay Round tariff negotiations did not achieve a country-by-country balancing of concessions given and concessions received. How governments bargained was determined less by their national interests than by the interests of their politically important industrial constituencies. How tightly are trade negotiators held to winning a dollar of concession for each dollar of concession granted? The outcome of the Uruguay Round tariff negotiations suggests that such constraints were not tight. None of the delegations interviewed by Finger, Reincke, and Castro had tried to calculate for themselves the extent of concessions received. And the surplus or deficit of concessions received (over concessions given) varied widely among countries. Measuring the percentage point dollar of concessions given and received (a percentage point dollar being a reduction of the tariff by one percentage point on
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  • 73
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (30 p.))
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    Paralleltitel: Budina, Nina Liquidity Constraints and Investment in Transition Economies
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Constraints ; Capital Markets ; Cash Flow ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Market ; Financial Structure ; Financial System ; Financial Weakness ; Investment ; Investment Function ; Investment Projects ; Liquidity ; Liquidity Constraints ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Economies ; Market Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Transition Economies ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Constraints ; Capital Markets ; Cash Flow ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Market ; Financial Structure ; Financial System ; Financial Weakness ; Investment ; Investment Function ; Investment Projects ; Liquidity ; Liquidity Constraints ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Economies ; Market Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Transition Economies
    Kurzfassung: January 2000 - In Bulgaria and other transition economies, liquidity constraints and hence access to external funds must be seen in the context of soft budget constraints and the financial system's failure to enforce the efficient allocation of funds. Liquidity constraints in Bulgaria may be seen as a sign of financial weakness. Budina, Garretsen, and de Jong use firm level data on Bulgaria to investigate the impact of liquidity constraints on firms' investment performance. Internal funds are an important determinant of investment in most industrial economies. The authors use a simple accelerator model of investment to test whether liquidity constraints are relevant in Bulgaria's case. Their estimates are based on data for 1993-95, before Bulgaria's financial crisis of 1996-97. It turns out that Bulgarian firms are liquidity-constrained and that firms' size and financial structure help to distinguish between firms that are more and less liquidity-constrained. In the authors' view, liquidity constraints in transition economies should be interpreted in different ways than those in industrial economies. In Bulgaria, liquidity constraints and hence access to external funds should be seen in the context of soft budget constraints and the financial system's failure to enforce the efficient allocation of funds. The relationship between liquidity constraints and firm characteristics may actually be the opposite of what is normally the case in industrial countries. In Bulgaria, lack of liquidity constraints may be a sign of financial weakness. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study transition economies. The authors may be contacted at nbudinaworldbank.org, h.garretsen@bw.kun.nl or e.dejong@bw.kun.nl
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  • 74
    Online-Ressource
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    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
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    Paralleltitel: Walle, devan Dominique Sources of Ethnic Inequality in Vietnam
    Schlagwort(e): Agricultural Knowledge and Information Systems ; Agriculture ; Basic Infrastructure ; Cash Crops ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Debt Markets ; Development Policies ; Disability ; Discrimination ; Ethnic Groups ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Health Care ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Ill-Health ; Income Inequality ; Indigenous Practices ; Knowledge ; Land Tenure ; Large Population ; Living Standards ; Minority ; Policies ; Policy ; Population Policies ; Poverty ; Poverty Reduction ; Public Services ; Rural Areas ; Rural Development ; Rural Development ; Rural Development Knowledge and Information Systems ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Social Protections and Labor ; Urban Development ; Urban Housing ; Agricultural Knowledge and Information Systems ; Agriculture ; Basic Infrastructure ; Cash Crops ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Debt Markets ; Development Policies ; Disability ; Discrimination ; Ethnic Groups ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Health Care ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Ill-Health ; Income Inequality ; Indigenous Practices ; Knowledge ; Land Tenure ; Large Population ; Living Standards ; Minority ; Policies ; Policy ; Population Policies ; Poverty ; Poverty Reduction ; Public Services ; Rural Areas ; Rural Development ; Rural Development ; Rural Development Knowledge and Information Systems ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Social Protections and Labor ; Urban Development ; Urban Housing
    Kurzfassung: March 2000 - To redress ethnic inequality in Vietnam, it is not enough to target poor areas. Policies must be designed to reach minority households in poor areas, to open up options by ensuring that minority groups are not disadvantaged (in labor markets, for example), to change the conditions that have caused their isolation and social exclusion, and to explicitly recognize behavior patterns (including compensating behavior) that have served the minorities well but intensify ethnic inequalities in the longer term. Vietnam's ethnic minorities, who tend to live mostly in remote rural areas, typically have lower living standards than the ethnic majority. How much is this because of differences in economic characteristics (such as education levels and land) rather than low returns to characteristics? Is there a self-reinforcing culture of poverty in the minority groups, reflecting patterns of past discrimination? Van de Walle and Gunewardena find that differences in levels of living are due in part to the fact that the minorities live in less productive areas characterized by difficult terrain, poor infrastructure, less access to off-farm work and the market economy, and inferior access to education. Geographic disparities tend to persist because of immobility and regional differences in living standards. But the authors also find large differences within geographical areas even after controlling for household characteristics. They find differences in returns to productive characteristics to be the most important explanation for ethnic inequality. But the minorities do not obtain lower returns to all characteristics. There is evidence of compensating behavior. For example, pure returns to location - even in remote, inhospitable areas - tend to be higher for minorities, though not high enough to overcome the large consumption difference with the majority. The majority ethnic group's model of income generation is a poor guide on how to fight poverty among ethnic minority groups. Nor is it enough to target poor areas to redress ethnic inequality. Policies must be designed to reach minority households in poor areas and to explicitly recognize behavior patterns (including compensating behavior) that have served the minorities well in the short term but intensify ethnic inequalities in the longer term. It will be important to open up options for minority groups both by ensuring that they are not disadvantaged (in labor markets, for example), and by changing the conditions that have caused their isolation and social exclusion. This paper - a product of Public Economics and Rural Development, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the determinants of poverty and the policy implications. Dominique van de Walle may be contacted at dvandewalleworldbank.org
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  • 75
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Majnoni, Giovanni International Contagion
    Schlagwort(e): Bankruptcy and Resolution of Financial Distress ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Crises ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debts ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Contagion ; Financial Crises ; Financial Fragility ; Foreign Interest ; Guarantees ; Interest Rates ; International Financial Contagion ; International Investors ; Liability ; Liquidity ; Market ; Maturity ; Options ; Policy Responses ; Private Sector Development ; Short-Term Debt ; Bankruptcy and Resolution of Financial Distress ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Crises ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debts ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Contagion ; Financial Crises ; Financial Fragility ; Foreign Interest ; Guarantees ; Interest Rates ; International Financial Contagion ; International Investors ; Liability ; Liquidity ; Market ; Maturity ; Options ; Policy Responses ; Private Sector Development ; Short-Term Debt
    Kurzfassung: March 2000 - What can the international community do to prevent financial contagion? Chang and Majnoni try to identify and evaluate the public policy implications of financial contagion on the basis of a very simple model of financial crises. In this model, financial contagion can be driven by a combination of fundamentals and by self-fulfilling market expectations. The model allows the authors to identify different notions of contagion, especially the distinction between monsoonal effects, spillovers, and switchers between equilibria. They discuss both domestic and international policy options. Domestic policies, they say, should be aimed at reducing financial fragility - that is, reducing unnecessary short-term debt commitments. With explicit commitments, the maturity of external debts should be lengthened. With implicit commitments, such as private liability guarantees, they emphasize limiting or eliminating such guarantees, to improve an economy's international liquidity and reduce its exposure to contagion. Internationally, they stress the need for improving financial standards, which makes it easier to assess when a country is subject to different kinds of contagion. The effectiveness of international rescue packages depends on the kind of contagion to which a country is exposed. Implications: The international community should help those countries that are already helping themselves. This paper - a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the determinants and policy implications of international financial contagion. The author Giovanni Majnoni may be contacted at gmajnoniworldbank.org
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  • 76
    Online-Ressource
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    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Loayza, Norman What Drives Private Saving around the World?
    Schlagwort(e): Capital Gains ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Demographic ; Developing Countries ; Developing Country ; Disposable Income ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Policy ; Housing Lending ; Income ; Inequality ; Inflation Episodes ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rates ; Liberalization ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Pension ; Pension System ; Poverty Reduction ; Prices ; Private Saving ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Public Policies ; Trade ; Capital Gains ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Demographic ; Developing Countries ; Developing Country ; Disposable Income ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Policy ; Housing Lending ; Income ; Inequality ; Inflation Episodes ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rates ; Liberalization ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Pension ; Pension System ; Poverty Reduction ; Prices ; Private Saving ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Public Policies ; Trade
    Kurzfassung: March 2000 - Saving rates vary considerably across countries and over time. Policies that spur development are an indirect but effective way to raise private saving rates - which rise with the level and growth rate of real per capita income. Loayza, Schmidt-Hebbel, and Servén investigate the policy and nonpolicy factors behind saving disparities, using a large panel data set and an encompassing approach including several relevant determinants of private saving. They extend the literature in several dimensions by: · Using the largest data set on aggregate saving assembled to date. · Using panel instrumental variable techniques to correct for endogeneity and heterogeneity. · Performing robustness checks on changes in estimation procedures, data samples, and model specification. Their main empirical findings: · Private saving rates show considerable inertia (are highly serially correlated even after controlling for other relevant factors). · Private saving rates rise with the level and growth rate of real per capita income. So policies that spur development are an indirect but effective way to raise private saving rates. · Predictions of the life-cycle hypothesis are supported in that dependency ratios generally have a negative effect on private saving rates. · The precautionary motive for saving is supported by the finding that inflation - conventionally taken as a summary measure of macroeconomic volatility - has a positive impact on private saving, holding other facts constant. · Fiscal policy is a moderately effective tool for raising national saving. · The direct effects of financial liberalization are largely detrimental to private saving rates. Greater availability of credit reduces the private saving rate; financial depth and higher real interest rates do not increase saving. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the determinants of saving in developing countries. The study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project Saving in the World: Puzzles and Policies (RPO 681-36). The authors may be contacted at nloayzaworldbank.org or lserven@worldbank.org
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  • 77
    Online-Ressource
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    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (72 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Alcázar, Lorena The Buenos Aires Water Concession
    Schlagwort(e): Debt Markets ; Decision Making ; Economics ; Emerging Markets ; Environment ; Environmental Economics and Policies ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Incentives ; Income ; Industry ; Information ; Information Asymmetries ; Infrastructure Economics ; Infrastructure Economics and Finance ; Interest ; Investment ; Marginal Cost ; Outcomes ; Perverse Incentives ; Prices ; Private Sector Development ; Productivity ; Regulation ; Revenues ; Supply ; Taking ; Tariffs ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water and Industry ; Welfare Effects ; Debt Markets ; Decision Making ; Economics ; Emerging Markets ; Environment ; Environmental Economics and Policies ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Incentives ; Income ; Industry ; Information ; Information Asymmetries ; Infrastructure Economics ; Infrastructure Economics and Finance ; Interest ; Investment ; Marginal Cost ; Outcomes ; Perverse Incentives ; Prices ; Private Sector Development ; Productivity ; Regulation ; Revenues ; Supply ; Taking ; Tariffs ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water and Industry ; Welfare Effects
    Kurzfassung: April 2000 - Transparent, rule-based decisionmaking is important to maintaining public trust in regulated infrastructure. The Buenos Aires water and sanitation concession led to remarkable improvements in delivery and coverage of services and to lower prices for consumers. But a poor information base, lack of transparency in regulatory decisions, and the ad hoc nature of executive branch interventions make it difficult to reassure consumers that their welfare is being protected and that the concession is sustainable. The signing of a concession contract for the Buenos Aires water and sanitation system in December 1992 attracted worldwide attention and caused considerable controversy in Argentina. It was one of the world's largest concessions, but the case was also interesting for other reasons. The concession was implemented rapidly, in contrast with slow implementation of privatization in Santiago, for example. And reform generated major improvements in the sector, including wider coverage, better service, more efficient company operations, and reduced waste. Moreover, the winning bid brought an immediate 26.9 percent reduction in water system tariffs. Consumers benefited from the system's expansion and from the immediate drop in real prices, which was only partly reversed by subsequent changes in tariffs and access charges. And these improvements would probably not have occurred under public administration of the system. Still, as Alcázar, Abdala, and Shirley show, information asymmetries, perverse incentives, and weak regulatory institutions could threaten the concession's sustainability. Opportunities for the company to act opportunistically - and the regulator, arbitrarily - exist because of politicized regulation, a poor information base, serious flaws in the concession contract, a lumpy and ad hoc tariff system, and a general lack of transparency in the regulatory process. Because of these circumstances, public confidence in the process has eroded. The Buenos Aires concession shows how important transparent, rule-based decisionmaking is to maintaining public trust in regulated infrastructure. This paper - a product of Regulation and Competition Policy, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to analyze institutional issues in regulated infrastructure. The study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project Institutions, Politics, and Contracts: Private Sector Participation in Urban Water Supply (RPO 681-87). Mary Shirley may be contacted at mshirleyworldbank.org
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  • 78
    Online-Ressource
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    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Smarzynska, Beata Technological Leadership and Foreign Investors' Choice of Entry Mode
    Schlagwort(e): Advertising ; Agricultural Knowledge and Information Systems ; Agriculture ; Buyer ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Foreign Investment ; Foreign Investments ; Industry ; Information ; Intangible Assets ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Joint Ventures ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Manufacturing ; Manufacturing Industries ; Marketing ; Microfinance ; New Technologies ; Private Information ; Private Sector Development ; Profits ; Proprietary Knowledge ; R&D ; Results ; Rural Development ; Technology ; Technology Industry ; Transactions ; Water Resources ; Water and Industry ; Advertising ; Agricultural Knowledge and Information Systems ; Agriculture ; Buyer ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Foreign Investment ; Foreign Investments ; Industry ; Information ; Intangible Assets ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Joint Ventures ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Manufacturing ; Manufacturing Industries ; Marketing ; Microfinance ; New Technologies ; Private Information ; Private Sector Development ; Profits ; Proprietary Knowledge ; R&D ; Results ; Rural Development ; Technology ; Technology Industry ; Transactions ; Water Resources ; Water and Industry
    Kurzfassung: April 2000 - Developing country governments tend to favor joint ventures over other forms of foreign direct investment, believing that local participation facilitates the transfer of technology and marketing skills. However, foreign investors who are technological or marketing leaders in their industries are more likely to invest in wholly owned projects than to share ownership. Thus in R&D-intensive sectors joint ventures may offer less potential for transferring technology and marketing techniques than wholly owned subsidiaries. Developing country governments tend to favor joint ventures over other forms of foreign direct investment, believing that local participation facilitates the transfer of technology and marketing skills. Smarzynska assesses joint ventures' potential for such transfers by comparing the characteristics of foreign investors engaged in joint ventures with those of foreign investors engaged in wholly owned projects in transition economies in the early 1990s. Unlike the existing literature, Smarzynska focuses on intra-industry differences rather than interindustry differences in R&D and advertising intensity. Empirical analysis shows that foreign investors who are technological or marketing leaders in their industries are more likely to invest in wholly owned projects than to share ownership. This is true in high- and medium-technology sectors but not in industries with low R&D spending. Smarzynska concludes that it is inappropriate to treat industries as homogeneous in investigating modes of investment. She also suggests that in sectors with high R&D spending joint ventures may present less potential for transfer of technology and marketing techniques than wholly owned subsidiaries. This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the contribution of trade and foreign direct investment to technology transfer. The author may be contacted at bsmarzynskaworldbank.org
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  • 79
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (66 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Levine, Ross Banking Systems Around the Globe
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Reform ; Banking Sector ; Banking Sector Development ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Commercial Banks ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Stability ; Financial Systems ; Governments ; Industry ; Insurance ; Investment Banking ; Markets ; Private Sector Development ; Projects ; Public Policy ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Reform ; Banking Sector ; Banking Sector Development ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Commercial Banks ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Stability ; Financial Systems ; Governments ; Industry ; Insurance ; Investment Banking ; Markets ; Private Sector Development ; Projects ; Public Policy
    Kurzfassung: April 2000 - Empirical results highlight the downside of imposing certain regulatory restrictions on commercial bank activities. Regulations that restrict banks' ability to engage in securities activities and to own nonfinancial firms are closely associated with more instability in the banking sector. And keeping commercial banks from engaging in investment banking, insurance, and real estate activities does not appear to produce positive benefits. Barth, Caprio, and Levine report cross-country data on commercial bank regulation and ownership in more than 60 countries. They evaluate the links between different regulatory/ownership practices in those countries and both financial sector performance and banking system stability. They document substantial variation in response to these questions: Should it be public policy to limit the powers of commercial banks to engage in securities, insurance, and real estate activities? Should the mixing of banking and commerce be restricted by regulating commercial bank's ownership of nonfinancial firms and nonfinancial firms' ownership of commercial banks? Should states own commercial banks, or should those banks be privatized? They find: · There is no reliable statistical relationship between restrictions on commercial banks' ability to engage in securities, insurance, and real estate transactions and a) how well-developed the banking sector is, b) how well-developed securities markets and nonbank financial intermediaries are, or c) the degree of industrial competition. Based on the evidence, it is difficult to argue confidently that restricting commercial banking activities benefits - or harms - the development of financial and securities markets or industrial competition. · There are no positive effects from mixing banking and commerce. · Countries that more tightly restrict and regulate the securities activities of commercial banks are substantially more likely to suffer a major banking crisis. Countries whose national regulations inhibit banks' ability to engage in securities underwriting, brokering, and dealing - and all aspects of the mutual fund business - tend to have more fragile financial systems. · The mixing of banking and commerce is associated with less financial stability. The evidence does not support admonitions to restrict the mixing of banking and commerce because mixing them will increase financial fragility. · On average, greater state ownership of banks tends to be associated with more poorly developed banks, nonbanks, and stock markets and more poorly functioning financial systems. This paper - a product of Finance, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to examine the effects of financial sector regulation. The authors may be contacted at jbarthbusiness.auburn.edu, gcaprio@worldbank.org, or rlevine@csom.umn.edu
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  • 80
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Min, G. Hong How the Republic of Korea's Financial Structure Affects the Volatility of Four Asset Prices
    Schlagwort(e): Asset Prices ; Banking Sector ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital Flows ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Crises ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Structure ; Financial System ; Government Bond ; Government Bond Yield ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Monetary Authority ; Monetary Policies ; Money Market ; Money Market Rate ; Private Sector Development ; Stock ; Asset Prices ; Banking Sector ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital Flows ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Crises ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Structure ; Financial System ; Government Bond ; Government Bond Yield ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Monetary Authority ; Monetary Policies ; Money Market ; Money Market Rate ; Private Sector Development ; Stock
    Kurzfassung: April 2000 - How Korea's financial structure affects the volatility of Korea's real effective exchange rate, money market rate, government bond yields, and stock prices. Min and Park explore how Korea's financial structure affects the volatility of asset prices. Documented empirical evidence of the relationship between financial structure and financial crisis sheds light on the relationship between asset price volatility - extreme variations in prices - and financial structure. And the volatility of financial and nonfinancial asset prices provides an indirect link between an economy's financial structure and the likelihood of financial crisis. Using time-series data and a set of indicators measuring financial structure, Min and Park examine how Korea's financial structure affects the volatility of the real effective exchange rate, the money market rate, government bond yields, and stock prices. They find: · There is a stable long-term relationship between financial structure and volatility in the real effective exchange rate, the money market rate, stock prices, and the yield on government housing bonds. · Financial structure affects asset price variables asymmetrically. Some variables' volatility increases and others' diminish, suggesting that monetary policies should target different asset markets to achieve different goals. If the goal of the monetary authority is to stabilize the money market rate, for example, intervening in the banking sector is more efficient than intervening in other financial subsectors. · The higher volatility of stock prices reflects the thin stock market in Korea. · The stability of the yield on government housing bonds reflects the Korean government's policy of stabilizing the nation's housing supply by isolating the housing market from the impact of Korea's financial structure. · Restrictions on foreigners' ownership of domestic stock in Korea during the period analyzed, and the fact that most capital flows through commercial banks, affect the exchange rate, which is determined (at least in the short run) by capital flows in the foreign exchange market. This paper - a product of the Macroeconomic Data Team, Development Data Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the financial structure of developing countries based on empirical data. The authors may be contacted at hmin56aol.com or jpark@worldbank.org
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  • 81
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (42 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Ferri, Giovanni Financial Intermediary Distress in the Republic of Korea
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Bank Examinations ; Bank Of Korea ; Banking Systems ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital Adequacy ; Commercial Banks ; Cred Deposits ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Ratios ; Loans ; Merchant Banking ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Risk Management ; Savings ; Services ; Small Banks ; Supervisory Agencies ; Bank ; Bank Examinations ; Bank Of Korea ; Banking Systems ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital Adequacy ; Commercial Banks ; Cred Deposits ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Ratios ; Loans ; Merchant Banking ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Risk Management ; Savings ; Services ; Small Banks ; Supervisory Agencies
    Kurzfassung: May 2000 - During a systemic financial crisis in Korea, the probability of financial distress was greater for large financial intermediaries (such as commercial banks and merchant banking corporations) than it was for tiny mutual savings and finance companies. Taking the Korean experience as a laboratory experiment in systemic financial crisis, Bongini, Ferri, and Kang analyze distress in individual institutions among two groups of financial intermediaries. They pool together a group of large financial intermediaries (commercial banks, merchant banking corporations) and another group of tiny mutual savings and finance companies. Both the too-big-to-fail doctrine and the credit channel approach suggest that the probability of distress would be greater for small intermediaries. But Bongini, Ferri, and Kang find that proportionately fewer small intermediaries were distressed than were large intermediaries. They offer two hypothetical explanations for this unexpected result: · Exchange rate exposure - a major shock to Korean intermediaries - was presumably negligible for the small financial intermediaries. · Small financial intermediaries allocated loans better, because of the peer monitoring natural to their mutual nature and deep local roots. Available data did not allow the authors to test the first hypothesis, but they did find support for the second one. Estimating a logit model, they find that the probability of distress was systematically smaller for the mutual savings and finance companies that stayed closer to their origins (for example, collecting many deposits as credit mutual installment savings) and for those with a longer history of doing business in their local community. This paper - a product of Finance, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the financial crises in East Asia. The authors may be contacted at pbonginimi.unicatt.it, gferri@worldbank.orgor tkang@worldbank.org
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  • 82
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (46 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Pritchett, Lant The Tyranny of Concepts
    Schlagwort(e): Accumulation ; Assets ; Capital ; Commodity Prices ; Cost Of Capital ; Debt Markets ; Disclosure ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Expected Value ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Investment Flows ; Investment Spending ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investments ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Ownership ; Private Capital ; Private Investors ; Private Sector Development ; Productive Capital ; Profitability ; Public Investment ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Share ; Shareholder Value ; Social Protections and Labor ; Value ; Accumulation ; Assets ; Capital ; Commodity Prices ; Cost Of Capital ; Debt Markets ; Disclosure ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Expected Value ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Investment Flows ; Investment Spending ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investments ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Ownership ; Private Capital ; Private Investors ; Private Sector Development ; Productive Capital ; Profitability ; Public Investment ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Share ; Shareholder Value ; Social Protections and Labor ; Value
    Kurzfassung: May 2000 - Using the word capital to represent two different concepts is not such a problem when government is responsible for only a small fraction of national investment and is reasonably effective (as in the United States). But when government is a major investor and is ineffective, the gap between capital and cumulative, depreciated investment effort (CUDIE) may be enormous. A public sector steel mill may absorb billions as an investment, but if it cannot produce steel it has zero value as capital. The cost of public investment is not the value of public capital. Unlike for private investors, there is no remotely plausible behavioral model of the government as investor that suggests that every dollar the public sector spends as investment creates capital in an economic sense. This seemingly obvious point has so far been uniformly ignored in the voluminous empirical literature on economic growth, which uses, at best, cumulated, depreciated investment effort (CUDIE) to estimate capital stocks. But in developing countries especially, the difference between investment cumulated at cost and capital value is of primary empirical importance: government investment is half or more of total investment. And perhaps as much as half or more of government investment spending has not created equivalent capital. This suggests that nearly everything empirical written in three broad areas is misguided. First, none of the estimates of the impact of public spending identify the productivity of public capital. Even where public capital could be very productive, regressions and evaluations may suggest that public investment spending has little impact. Second, everything currently said about total factor productivity in developing countries is deeply suspect, as there is no way empirically to distinguish between low output (or growth) attributable to investments that created no factors and low output (or growth) attributable to low (or slow growth in) productivity in using accumulated factors. Third, multivariate growth regressions to date have not, in fact, controlled for the growth of capital stock, so spurious interpretations have emerged. This paper - a product of Poverty and Human Resources, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the importance of public sector actions for economic growth
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  • 83
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (58 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Clarke, George A Transitory Regime Water Supply in Conakry, Guinea
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Cost Of Water ; Debt Markets ; Drinking Water ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Households ; Industry ; Mortality Rate ; Pipeline ; Pit Latrines ; Population Growth ; Price Of Water ; Private Operator ; Private Participation ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Raw Water ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Areas ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Supply ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water Use ; Water and Industry ; Wells ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cost Of Water ; Debt Markets ; Drinking Water ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Households ; Industry ; Mortality Rate ; Pipeline ; Pit Latrines ; Population Growth ; Price Of Water ; Private Operator ; Private Participation ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Raw Water ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Areas ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Supply ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water Use ; Water and Industry ; Wells
    Kurzfassung: June 2000 - In several ways, the reform introduced to the water sector in Conakry, Guinea, in 1989 under a World Bank-led project was remarkable. It showed that even in a weak institutional environment, where contracts are hard to enforce and political interference is common, private sector participation can improve sector performance. Why did the sector improve as much as it did, and what has inhibited reform? Both consumers and the government benefited from reform of the water system in Conakry, Guinea, whose deterioration since independence had become critical by the mid-1980s. Less than 40 percent of Conakry's population had access to piped water - low even by regional standards - and service was intermittent, at best, for the few who had connections. The public agency in charge of the sector was inefficient, overstaffed, and virtually insolvent. In several ways, the reform introduced to the sector in 1989 under a World Bank-led project was remarkable. It showed that even in a weak institutional environment, where contracts are hard to enforce and political interference is common, private sector participation can improve sector performance. Ménard and Clarke discuss the mechanisms that made progress possible and identify factors that inhibit the positive effects of reform. Water has become very expensive, the number of connections has increased very slowly, and conflicts have developed between SEEG (the private operator) and SONEG (the state agency). Among the underlying problems: · The lack of strong, stable institutions. · The lack of an independent agency capable of restraining arbitrary government action, regulating the private operator, and enforcing contractual arrangements. · The lack of adequate conflict resolution mechanisms for contract disputes. · Weak administrative capacity. This paper - a joint product of Public Economics and Regulation and Competition Policy, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to promote competition and private sector development. The study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project Institutions, Politics, and Contracts: Private Sector Participation in Urban Water Supply (RPO 681-87). The authors may be contacted at menarduniv-paris1.fr or gclarke@worldbank.org
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  • 84
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (22 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Duval-Hernandez, Robert Leading Indicator Project
    Schlagwort(e): Averaging ; Benchmark ; Business Cycles ; Cd ; Cred Economic Activity ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Research ; Economic Statistics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Expectations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Forecasting ; Forecasts ; Information Security and Privacy ; Interest Rate ; Knowledge for Development ; Leading Indicators ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Money ; Private Sector Development ; Science Education ; Science and Technology Development ; Scientific Research and Science Parks ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Trade ; Trends ; Trough ; Unemployment ; Value ; Variables ; Averaging ; Benchmark ; Business Cycles ; Cd ; Cred Economic Activity ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Research ; Economic Statistics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Expectations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Forecasting ; Forecasts ; Information Security and Privacy ; Interest Rate ; Knowledge for Development ; Leading Indicators ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Money ; Private Sector Development ; Science Education ; Science and Technology Development ; Scientific Research and Science Parks ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Trade ; Trends ; Trough ; Unemployment ; Value ; Variables
    Kurzfassung: June 2000 - A method for forecasting growth cycles in economic activity (measured as total industrial production), as applied to Lithuania. Everhart and Duval-Hernandez present a method for forecasting growth cycles in economic activity, measured as total industrial production. They construct a series which they aggregate into a composite leading indicator to predict the path of the economy in Lithuania. The cycle is the result of the economy's deviations from its long-term trend. A contractionary phase means a decline in the growth rate of the economy, not necessarily an absolute decline in economic activity. The indicator they select for economic activity is usually the Index of Industrial Production, plus a group of variables that, when filtered and adjusted, becomes the composite leading indicator that forecasts the reference series. Variables include economically and statistically significant financial, monetary, real sector, and business survey data. They base selection of the components of the leading indicator on the forecast efficiency and economic significance of the series. Once selected, the relevant variables are aggregated into a single composite leading indicator, which forecasts the detrended Index of Industrial Production. They apply the Hodrick-Prescott filter method for detrending the series. This is a smoothing technique that decomposes seasonally adjusted series into cyclical and trend components. One advantage of the Hodrick-Prescott filter is that it provides a reasonable estimate of a series' long-term trend. The OECD uses a system of leading indicators to predict growth cycles in the economies of its member countries. These exercises have been very effective in their forecasting ability and accuracy - but for the technique to work it is essential to have an adequate statistical system that provides many economic variables in a precise and timely manner, preferably monthly. The authors extend the OECD technique and present an application to a country of the former Soviet Union. This paper - a joint product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Units, Europe and Central Asia and Latin America and the Carribean Regions, and the Mexico Country Management Unit - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to foster the development of macroeconomic monitoring techniques. Authors may be contacted by email at severhartworldbank.org or rduval@worldbank.org
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  • 85
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (30 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Giugale, Marcelo A New Model for Market-Based Regulation of Subnational Borrowing
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Borrowing ; Capital ; Commercial Banks ; Cred Debt ; Debt Markets ; Decentralization ; Deposits ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Externalities ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Performance ; Governments ; Institutional Development ; Interest ; Interest Rates ; Lending ; Loans ; Macroeconomic Stability ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moral Hazard ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Bank ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Borrowing ; Capital ; Commercial Banks ; Cred Debt ; Debt Markets ; Decentralization ; Deposits ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Externalities ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Performance ; Governments ; Institutional Development ; Interest ; Interest Rates ; Lending ; Loans ; Macroeconomic Stability ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moral Hazard ; Private Sector Development ; Risk
    Kurzfassung: July 2000 - To bring fiscal discipline to state and municipal governments, Mexico's federal government has established a two-pillar framework that explicitly renounces federal bail-outs and establishes a Basel-consistent link between the capital-risk weighting of bank loans to subnational governments and the borrower's credit rating. Whether the framework succeeds will depend partly on market assessments of the government's commitment to enforce bank capital rules and refrain from bailing out defaulting subnational governments. Faced with weak subnational finances that pose a risk to macroeconomic stability, Mexico's federal government in April 2000 established an innovative incentive framework to bring fiscal discipline to state and municipal governments. That framework is based on two pillars: an explicit renunciation of federal bail-outs and a Basel-consistent link between the capital-risk weighting of bank loans to subnational governments and the borrower's credit rating. In theory, this new regulatory arrangement should reduce moral hazard among banks and their state and municipal clients; differentiate interest rates on the basis of the borrowers' creditworthiness; and elicit a strong demand for institutional development at the subnational level. But its success will depend on three factors critical to implementation: · Whether markets find the federal commitment not to bail out defaulting subnational governments credible. · Whether subnational governments have access to financing other than bank loans. · How well bank capital rules are enforced. This paper - a product of the Mexico- Country Department and Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to understand the subnational underpinnings of sustainable, national economic framework. The authors may be contacted at mgiugaleworldbank.org, akorobow@worldbank.org, or swebb@worldbank.org
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  • 86
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Loayza, Norman Determinants of Current Account Deficits in Developing Countries
    Schlagwort(e): Buffer ; Business Cycle ; Central Bank ; Consumption ; Cross-Country Studies ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Current Account ; Current Account Balance ; Current Account Defic Current Account Deficits ; Current Account Position ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Explanatory Variables ; External Debt ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Interest Rates ; International Economics ; International Economics & Trade ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomic Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; National Income ; Private Saving ; Private Sector Development ; Surplus ; World Economy ; Buffer ; Business Cycle ; Central Bank ; Consumption ; Cross-Country Studies ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Current Account ; Current Account Balance ; Current Account Defic Current Account Deficits ; Current Account Position ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Explanatory Variables ; External Debt ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Interest Rates ; International Economics ; International Economics & Trade ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomic Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; National Income ; Private Saving ; Private Sector Development ; Surplus ; World Economy
    Kurzfassung: July 2000 - In developing countries, increases in current account deficits tend to be associated with a rise in domestic output growth and shocks that increase the terms of trade and cause the real exchange rate to appreciate. Higher savings rates, higher growth rates in industrial economies, and higher international interest rates tend to have the opposite effect. Calderón, Chong, and Loayza examine the empirical links between current account deficits and a broad set of economic variables proposed in the literature. To accomplish this, they complement and extend previous research by using a large, consistent set of macroeconomic data on public and private domestic savings, external savings, and national income variables; focusing on developing economies by drawing on a panel data set for 44 developing countries and annual information for the period 1966-95; adopting a reduced-form approach rather than holding to a particular structural model; distinguishing between within-country and cross-country effects; and employing a class of estimators that controls for the problems of simultaneity and reverse causation. Among their findings: · Current account deficits in developing countries are moderately persistent. · A rise in domestic output growth generates a larger current account deficit. · Increases in savings rates have a positive effect on the current account. · Shocks that increase the terms of trade or cause the real exchange rate to appreciate are linked with higher current account deficits. · Either higher growth rates in industrial economies or higher international interest rates reduce the current account deficit in developing economies. This paper-a product of the Regional Studies Program, Latin America and the Caribbean Region-is part of an effort in the region to understand the determinants of external sustainability. The authors may be contacted at crcntroi.cc.rochester.edu, achong@worldbank.org, or nloayza@condor.bcentral.cl
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  • 87
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    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Ravallion, Martin How Did the World's Poorest Fare in the 1990s?
    Schlagwort(e): Absolute Poverty ; Aggregate Poverty ; Consumer Price Index ; Consumption ; Consumption Basket ; Consumption Expenditure ; Consumption Expenditures ; Consumption Per Capita ; Consumption Poverty ; Debt Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Higher Inequality ; Household Living Standards ; Household Size ; Incidence Of Poverty ; Income Distribution ; Inequality ; Poor Countries ; Population Policies ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Line ; Poverty Lines ; Poverty Measures ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Rate ; Poverty Reduction ; Poverty Reduction ; Poverty Reduction Strategies ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Services and Transfers to Poor ; Absolute Poverty ; Aggregate Poverty ; Consumer Price Index ; Consumption ; Consumption Basket ; Consumption Expenditure ; Consumption Expenditures ; Consumption Per Capita ; Consumption Poverty ; Debt Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Higher Inequality ; Household Living Standards ; Household Size ; Incidence Of Poverty ; Income Distribution ; Inequality ; Poor Countries ; Population Policies ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Line ; Poverty Lines ; Poverty Measures ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Rate ; Poverty Reduction ; Poverty Reduction ; Poverty Reduction Strategies ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Services and Transfers to Poor
    Kurzfassung: August 2000 - Between 1987 and 1998, the incidence of poverty fell in Asia and the Middle East and North Africa, changed little in Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa, and rose in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Too little economic growth in the poorest countries and persistent inequalities (in income and other measures) are the main reasons for the disappointing rate of poverty reduction. Drawing on data from 265 national sample surveys spanning 83 countries, Chen and Ravallion find that there was a net decrease in the total incidence of consumption poverty between 1987 and 1998. But it was not enough to reduce the total number of poor people, by various definitions. The incidence of poverty fell in Asia and the Middle East and North Africa, changed little in Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa, and rose in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. The two main proximate causes of the disappointing rate of poverty reduction: too little economic growth in many of the poorest countries, and persistent inequalities (in both income and other essential measures) that kept the poor from participating in the growth that did occur. This paper-a product of Poverty and Human Resources, Development Research Group-is part of a larger effort in the group to monitor progress against poverty in the developing world. The authors may be contacted at schenworldbank.org or mravallion@worldbank.org
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  • 88
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (77 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Ng, Francis Good Governance and Trade Policy
    Schlagwort(e): Consumers ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Economic Growth ; Economic Performance ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; GDP ; GDP Per Capita ; Governance ; Governance Indicators ; Growth Rate ; Industrialization ; Influence ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; Investment ; Law and Development ; Low Tariffs ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Monopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Trade ; Trade Barriers ; Trade Law ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; Consumers ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Economic Growth ; Economic Performance ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; GDP ; GDP Per Capita ; Governance ; Governance Indicators ; Growth Rate ; Industrialization ; Influence ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; Investment ; Law and Development ; Low Tariffs ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Monopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Trade ; Trade Barriers ; Trade Law ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy
    Kurzfassung: Turning the economies of Sub-Saharan Africa around requires badly needed national policy reform-abandoning the region's restrictive fiscal, monetary, property, and wage policies and trade barriers. - Economists often argue that the level and structure of a country's trade barriers and the quality of its governance policies (for example, regulating foreign investment or limiting commercial activity with red tape) have a major influence on its economic growth and performance. One problem testing those relations empirically was the unavailability of objective cross-country indices of the quality of governance and statistics on developing countries' trade barriers. Ng and Yeats use new sources of empirical information to test the influence of trade and governance policies on economic performance. They use a model similar to those used in the literature on causes and implications of economic growth but focus more heavily on the World Bank's index of the speed with which countries are integrating into the world economy. Their results show that countries that adopted less restrictive governance and trade policies achieved significantly higher levels of per capita GDP; experienced higher growth rates for exports, imports, and GDP; and were more successful integrating with the world economy. Regression results indicate that national trade and governance regulations explain over 60 percent of the variance in some measures of economic performance, implying that a country's own national policies shape its rate of development, industrialization, and growth. Their tests provide new insights into the phenomenon of economic convergence, showing that poorer open countries are integrating more rapidly into the global economy than others. This finding parallels what others have observed about economic growth rates. They test their empirical results in a case study asking whether inappropriate national policies have caused Sub-Saharan Africa's dismal economic performance. The evidence strongly supports this proposition. Indices of the quality of national governance show that African countries have generally adopted the most inappropriate (restrictive) fiscal, monetary, property, and wage policies and that their own trade barriers (including customs procedures constraining commercial activity) are among the world's highest. Improving African trade and governance policies to levels currently prevailing in such (non-exceptional) countries as Jordan, Panama, and Sri Lanka would be consistent with a sevenfold increase in per capita GDP (to about
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  • 89
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (23 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Elbadawi, A. Ibrahim Can Africa Export Manufactures?
    Schlagwort(e): Capital Markets ; Comparative Advantage ; Comparative Advantages ; Competitiveness ; Costs ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Elasticity ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exports ; Failures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Human Capital ; Income Elasticity Of Demand ; Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Natural Resources ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Taxation ; Taxes ; Theory ; Trade ; Variables ; Capital Markets ; Comparative Advantage ; Comparative Advantages ; Competitiveness ; Costs ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Elasticity ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exports ; Failures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Human Capital ; Income Elasticity Of Demand ; Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Natural Resources ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Taxation ; Taxes ; Theory ; Trade ; Variables
    Kurzfassung: May 1999 - Africa's poor performance in manufactured exports in the 1990s (relative to East Asia) appears to be largely the result of bad policies-especially policies that affect transaction costs. Elbadawi analyzes the determinants of manufactured exports in Africa and other developing countries, guided by three pivotal views on Sub-Saharan Africa's (Africa's) prospects in manufactured exports: ° Adrian Woods holds that Africa cannot have comparative advantage in exports of labor-intensive manufactures (even if broadly defined to include raw material processing) because its natural resources endowment is greater than its human resources endowment (endowment thesis). ° Paul Collier argues that, for most of Africa, unusually high (policy-induced) transaction costs are the main source of Africa's comparative disadvantage in manufactured exports (transaction thesis). ° A third approach (Elbadawi and Helleiner) emphasizes the importance of stable, competitive real exchange rates for profitability of exports in low-income countries (exchange rate-led strategy). Elbadawi tests the implications of these three views with an empirical model of manufactured export performance (manufactured exports' share of GDP), using a panel of 41 countries for 1980-95. His findings: ° Corroborate the predictions of the transaction thesis, in that transaction costs are major determinants of manufactures exports. Investing in reducing these costs generates the highest payoff for export capacity. ° Lend support for the exchange rate-led strategy. After controlling for other factors, ratios of natural resources per worker were not robustly associated with export performance across countries, but this cannot be taken as formal rejection of the endowment thesis - unless one is prepared to assume that manufactured exports' share of GDP was highly correlated with ratios of manufactured to aggregate (or primary) exports. But this is not unlikely. This paper-a product of Public Economics, Development Research Group-is part of a larger effort in the group to research manufactures exports' competitiveness. The author may be contacted at ielbadawiworldbank.org
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  • 90
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (43 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Webb, B. Steven Fiscal Management in Federal Democracies
    Schlagwort(e): Bailouts ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Creditors ; Debt Markets ; Deficits ; Developing Countries ; Domestic Debt ; Emerging Markets ; External Debts ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Decentralization ; Fiscal Deficits ; Inflation ; Interest ; Levy ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Monetary Fund ; Municipal Financial Management ; Private Sector Development ; Public Finances ; Public Sector Deficits ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Spending ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Return ; Revenue ; Tax ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Bailouts ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Creditors ; Debt Markets ; Deficits ; Developing Countries ; Domestic Debt ; Emerging Markets ; External Debts ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Decentralization ; Fiscal Deficits ; Inflation ; Interest ; Levy ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Monetary Fund ; Municipal Financial Management ; Private Sector Development ; Public Finances ; Public Sector Deficits ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Spending ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Return ; Revenue ; Tax ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics
    Kurzfassung: May 1999 - Argentina and Brazil-two of the most decentralized public sectors in Latin America and (along with Colombia and India) among the most decentralized democracies in the developing world-faced similar problems in the 1980s: excessive public deficits and high inflation exacerbated by subnational deficits. In the 1990s, Argentina was more successful at macroeconomic stabilization, partly because it imposed harder budget constraints on the public sector nationally and partly because it had stronger party control of both national legislators and subnational governments. In shifting to decentralized public finances, a country's central government faces certain fiscal management problems. First, during and soon after the transition, unless it reduces spending or increases its own tax resources, the central government tends to have higher deficits as it shifts fiscal resources to subnational governments through transfers, revenue sharing, or delegation of tax bases. Reducing spending is hard not only because cuts are always hard but because subnational governments might not take on expected tasks, leaving the central government with a legal or political obligation to continue spending for certain services. Second, after decentralization, the local or state government faces popular pressure to spend more and tax less, creating the tendency to run deficits. This tendency can be a problem if subnational governments and their creditors expect or rely on bailouts by the central government. Econometric evidence from 32 large industrial and developing countries indicates that higher subnational spending and deficits lead to greater national deficits. Dillinger and Webb investigate how, and how successfully, Argentina and Brazil dealt with these problems in the 1990s. In both countries, subnational governments account for about half of public spending and are vigorous democracies in most (especially the largest) jurisdictions. The return to democracy in the 1980s revived and strengthened long-standing federal practices while weakening macroeconomic performance, resulting in unsustainable fiscal deficits, high inflation, sometimes hyperinflation, and low or negative growth. Occasional stabilization plans failed within a few years. Then Argentina (in 1991) and Brazil (in 1994) introduced successful stabilization plans. National issues were important in preventing and then bringing about macroeconomic stabilization, but so were intergovernmental fiscal relations and the fiscal management of subnational governments. State deficits and federal transfers were often out of control in the 1980s, contributing to national macroeconomic problems. Stabilization programs in the 1990s needed to establish control, and self-control, over subnational spending and borrowing. This paper-a product of Poverty Reduction and Economic Management, Latin America and the Caribbean Region-is part of the LCR regional studies program on fiscal decentralization in Latin America. The authors may be contacted at wdillingerworldbank.org or swebb@worldbank.org
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  • 91
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    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Ravallion, Martin Protecting the Poor from Macroeconomic Shocks
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Drought ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Deficits ; Household Income ; Individual Welfare ; Labor Demand ; Labor Policies ; Living Standards ; Macroeconomic Crisis ; Macroeconomic Shocks ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poor ; Poverty ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Public Transfers ; Recessions ; Resource Allocation ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Safety Net ; Safety Nets ; Safety Nets and Transfers ; Services and Transfers to Poor ; Shock ; Social Protections and Labor ; Structural Reforms ; Unemployment ; Wage Earners ; Welfare ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Drought ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Deficits ; Household Income ; Individual Welfare ; Labor Demand ; Labor Policies ; Living Standards ; Macroeconomic Crisis ; Macroeconomic Shocks ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poor ; Poverty ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Public Transfers ; Recessions ; Resource Allocation ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Safety Net ; Safety Nets ; Safety Nets and Transfers ; Services and Transfers to Poor ; Shock ; Social Protections and Labor ; Structural Reforms ; Unemployment ; Wage Earners ; Welfare
    Kurzfassung: August 1999 - To minimize the harmful impact on poor people of macroeconomic shocks, sound policies for dealing with crises - and an adequate public safety net - should be in place before a crisis starts. Many developing countries faced macroeconomic shocks in the 1980s and 1990s. The impact of the shocks on welfare depended on the nature of the shock, on initial household and community conditions, and on policy responses. To avoid severe and lasting losses to poor and vulnerable groups, governments and civil society need to be prepared for a flexible response well ahead of the crisis. A key component of a flexibly responsive system is an effective permanent safety net, which will typically combine a workfare program with targeted transfers and credit. Once a crisis has happened, several things should be done: ° Macroeconomic policies should aim to achieve stabilization goals at the least cost to the poor. Typically, a temporary reduction in aggregate demand is inevitable but as soon as a sustainable external balance has been reached and inflationary pressures have been contained, macroeconomic policy should be eased (interest rates reduced and efficient public spending restored, to help offset the worst effects of the recession on the poor). A fiscal stimulus directed at labor-intensive activities (such as building rural roads) can combine the benefits of growth with those of income support for poor groups, for example. ° Key areas of public spending should be protected, especially investments in health care, education, rural infrastructure, urban sanitation, and microfinance. ° Efforts should be made to preserve the social fabric and build social capital. ° Sound information should be generated on the welfare impacts of the crisis. This paper - a joint product of the Poverty Group, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network, and Poverty and Human Resources, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to inform policy choices aimed at minimizing the social costs of macroeconomic shocks. The authors may be contacted at fferreiraecon.puc-rio.br, gprennushi@worldbank.org, or mravallion@worldbank.org
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  • 92
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    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (18 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Wei, Shang-Jin Does Corruption Relieve Foreign Investors of the Burden of Taxes and Capital Controls?
    Schlagwort(e): Capital Account ; Capital Control ; Capital Controls ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Capital ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Foreign Firms ; Foreign Investment ; Foreign Investors ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; International Investors ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Price ; Private Sector Development ; Public Policy ; Share ; Tax ; Tax Rate ; Tax Rates ; Taxation and Subsidies ; Taxes ; Capital Account ; Capital Control ; Capital Controls ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Capital ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Foreign Firms ; Foreign Investment ; Foreign Investors ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; International Investors ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Price ; Private Sector Development ; Public Policy ; Share ; Tax ; Tax Rate ; Tax Rates ; Taxation and Subsidies ; Taxes
    Kurzfassung: October 1999 - Other things being equal, countries with higher tax rates, more corruption, or more restrictions on capital account transactions attract less foreign investment. Taxes and capital controls hinder foreign investment, and bureaucratic corruption adds to those burdens rather than reducing them. In a sample of 14 source countries making bilateral investments in 45 host countries, Wei finds that taxes, capital controls, and corruption all have large, statistically significant negative effects on foreign investment. Moreover, there is no robust support in the data for the efficient grease hypothesis - that corruption helps attract foreign investment by reducing firms' tax burden and the irritant of capital controls. This paper - a product of Public Economics, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study effective anticorruption strategies. It will appear as a chapter in a book on taxation and foreign direct investment edited by James Hines Jr. and to be published by the University of Chicago Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research. The author may be contacted at sweiworldbank.org
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  • 93
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    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (70 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Martin, Will A Quantitative Evaluation of Vietnam's Accession to the ASEAN Free Trade Area
    Schlagwort(e): Access ; Capital Goods ; Comparative Advantage ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Industries ; Domestic Production ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Factor Endowments ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Free Trade Area ; Import Competition ; Intermediate Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Openness ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Tariff ; Trade Creation ; Trade Diversion ; Trade Law ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Patterns ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade Regime ; Unilateral Liberalization ; Access ; Capital Goods ; Comparative Advantage ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Industries ; Domestic Production ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Factor Endowments ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Free Trade Area ; Import Competition ; Intermediate Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Openness ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Tariff ; Trade Creation ; Trade Diversion ; Trade Law ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Patterns ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade Regime ; Unilateral Liberalization
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - The static economic benefits of Vietnam's accession to the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) are likely to be relatively small. The gains from increased access to ASEAN markets would be small, and they would be offset by the costs of trade diversion on the import side. But binding commitments on protection rates under the AFTA plan could provide an important stepping stone to more beneficial broader liberalization. Vietnam's accession to the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) has been an important step in its integration into the world economy. Fukase and Martin use a multiregion, multisector computable general equilibrium model to evaluate how different trade liberalization policies of Vietnam and its main trading partners affect Vietnam's welfare, taking into account the simultaneous impacts on trade, output, and industrial structure. They conclude that: · The static economywide effects of the AFTA liberalization to which Vietnam is currently committed are small. On the import side, the exclusion of a series of products from the AFTA commitments appears to limit the scope of trade creation, and the discriminatory nature of AFTA liberalization would divert Vietnam's trade from non-ASEAN members. · Vietnam's small initial exports to ASEAN make the gains from improved access to partner markets relatively modest. Since Singapore dominates Vietnam's ASEAN exports and initial protection in Singapore is close to zero, there are few gains from preferred status in this market. · When Vietnam extends its AFTA commitments to all of its trading partners on a most favored nation basis, its welfare increases substantially - partly because of the greater extent of liberalization, partly because the broader liberalization undoes the costly trade diversion created by the initial discriminatory liberalization, and finally because of the more efficient allocation of resources among Vietnam's industries. · AFTA, APEC, and unilateral liberalizations affect Vietnam's industries in different ways. AFTA appears to benefit Vietnam's agriculture by improving its access to the ASEAN market. · Broad unilateral liberalization beyond AFTA is likely to shift labor away from agriculture and certain import-competing activities toward relatively labor-intensive manufacturing. Reduced costs for intermediate inputs will benefit domestic production. These sectors conform to Vietnam's current comparative advantage, and undertaking broad unilateral liberalization now seems a promising way to facilitate the subsequent development of competitive firms in more capital- and skill-intensive sectors. By contrast, more intense import competition may lead some import substitution industries (now dependent on protection) to contract. · The higher level of welfare resulting from more comprehensive liberalization implies that the sectoral protection currently given to capital-intensive and strategic industries is imposing substantial implicit taxes on the rest of the economy. · All the above suggests that AFTA should be treated as an important initial step toward broader liberalization. Binding international commitments in AFTA and, in due course, at the World Trade Organization can provide a credible signal of Vietnam's commitment to open trade policies that will help stimulate the upgrading of existing firms and investment in efficient and dynamic firms. This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - was prepared as part of the AFTA Expansion Project in collaboration with the East Asia and Pacific Region. The authors may be contacted at efukaseworldbank.org or wmartin1@worldbank.org
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  • 94
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    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Fleming, Alex Integrated Financial Supervision
    Schlagwort(e): Accountability ; Bank ; Bank Of England ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Supervision ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Conglomerates ; Financial Crises ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Regulation ; Financial Services ; Financial Stability ; Financial Structure ; Governance ; Insurance ; Insurance and Risk Mitigation ; Interest ; Private Sector Development ; Safety & Soundness ; Supervisory Agencies ; Supervisory Framework ; Accountability ; Bank ; Bank Of England ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Supervision ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Conglomerates ; Financial Crises ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Regulation ; Financial Services ; Financial Stability ; Financial Structure ; Governance ; Insurance ; Insurance and Risk Mitigation ; Interest ; Private Sector Development ; Safety & Soundness ; Supervisory Agencies ; Supervisory Framework
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - In the past, financial supervision tended to be organized around specialist agencies for the banking, securities, and insurance sectors. In recent years, several countries have moved toward integrating these different supervisory functions in a single agency. Drawing on Northern European experience - where three Scandinavian countries have practiced integrated supervision for the past 10 years - Taylor and Fleming address three policy-related issues associated with the integrated model: · Under what conditions should (or should not) a country consider moving toward an integrated model of financial supervision? Clearly, for a small transition or developing economy, or an economy with a small financial sector, the economies of scale from establishing an integrated agency outweigh the costs of moving to such a model. A strong case can also be made for an integrated approach in a financial sector dominated by banks, with little role for capital markets or a highly integrated financial sector. · How should an integrated agency be structured, organized, and managed? There is no single obviously correct organizational structure, and existing agencies are experimenting with a variety of forms. An institutionally based structure has the virtue of simplicity and can be implemented fairly quickly, but tends to preserve the cultures and identities of the predecessor agencies more than is optimal. Whatever the structure, integrated supervision requires active management to secure the potential benefits that the approach offers. · How should the integration process be implemented? While the decision to move to an integrated agency must be carefully thought through in the context of the country concerned, the more difficult part is implementation, which must be sensitively managed. Once the decision has been made, implementation should take place as quickly as possible. A well-conceived change management process should aim to overcome the cultural barriers associated with the previous fragmented structure. Taylor and Fleming's review of Northern European experience with integration of financial supervision raises a range of questions relevant to developing and transition economies, which they discuss. This paper - a product of the Private and Financial Sectors Development Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to assist transition economies in strengthening the legal and regulatory framework for their financial sectors. The authors may be contacted at mtaylorimf.org or afleming@worldbank.org
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  • 95
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    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Klein, Michael Money, Politics, and a Future for the International Financial System
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Future ; Interest ; Interest Rates ; International Financial System ; Lending ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Discipline ; Moral Hazard ; Private Sector Development ; Prudential Regulation ; Regulatory Framework ; Regulatory Oversight ; Safety Nets ; Settlement ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Future ; Interest ; Interest Rates ; International Financial System ; Lending ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Discipline ; Moral Hazard ; Private Sector Development ; Prudential Regulation ; Regulatory Framework ; Regulatory Oversight ; Safety Nets ; Settlement
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - Three approaches to regulatory frameworks for financial systems - and a scenario for development of the world financial system that assumes a market solution. In developing the architecture for a financial system, the challenge is to combine deregulation and safety nets against systemic failure with effective prudential regulation and oversight. Klein analyzes three approaches to choosing an adequate regulatory framework for a financial system. · Those most worried about panic and herd behavior tend to favor relatively extensive controls on financial institutions' activities, including controls on interest rates and on the volume and direction of lending. · Those most concerned about moral hazard advocate abolishing controls and safety nets, seeing the solution in stronger market discipline and reduced powers and discretion for regulators. · Mainstream opinion advocates a mix of measures, to both strengthen market discipline and improve regulatory oversight. The approach a country opts for depends on (1) which monetary and exchange rate regime it chooses, (2) whether it is more concerned about moral hazard or about panic and herd behavior, and (3) how the politics of reform shape its solutions. Klein suggests a scenario for development of the global financial system over the next two or three decades that assumes that the final outcome will resemble the market solution - not because that is the optimal policy choice but because of how political weaknesses will interact with advances in settlement technology. In Klein's scenario, the world moves toward a monetary system in which fixed exchange rate systems or de facto currency competition limit the power of central banks. This limits options for discretionary and open-ended liquidity support to help deal with systemic financial crises. The costs of inflexible exchange rates are moderated by new types of wage contracts, using units of account that are correlated with the shocks a particular industry or kind of contract faces - thus maintaining the positive aspects of monetary systems with flexible nominal exchange rates. Mistrust in monetary authorities and the emergence of private settlement systems lead to a return of asset-backed money as the means of payment. The disciplines on financial systems come to resemble somewhat those of historical free banking systems, with financial institutions requiring high levels of equity and payments systems protected only by limited, fully funded safety nets. This paper - a product of Private Participation in Infrastructure, Private Sector Development Department - is part of a larger effort in the department to understand regulatory issues. The author may be contacted at michael.u.kleinsi.shell.com
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  • 96
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (22 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Herrera, Santiago User's Guide to an Early Warning System for Macroeconomic Vulnerability in Latin American Countries
    Schlagwort(e): Arts and Music ; Banking Crises ; Credit Growth ; Culture & Development ; Currency ; Currency Crises ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Cred Exchange ; Economic Conditions and Volatility ; Economic Theory and Research ; Educational Technology and Distance Learning ; Exchange Rate ; Federal Reserve ; Federal Reserve System ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Literacy ; Geographical Information Systems ; Good ; Inflation ; Inflation Rate ; Information Security and Privacy ; Instrument ; Interest ; Interest Rates ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Options ; Real Exchange Rate ; Reserves ; Science and Technology Development ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Arts and Music ; Banking Crises ; Credit Growth ; Culture & Development ; Currency ; Currency Crises ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Cred Exchange ; Economic Conditions and Volatility ; Economic Theory and Research ; Educational Technology and Distance Learning ; Exchange Rate ; Federal Reserve ; Federal Reserve System ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Literacy ; Geographical Information Systems ; Good ; Inflation ; Inflation Rate ; Information Security and Privacy ; Instrument ; Interest ; Interest Rates ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Options ; Real Exchange Rate ; Reserves ; Science and Technology Development ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences
    Kurzfassung: Models for an early warning system do a good job predicting vulnerability to macroeconomic crises in several Latin American countries. - Herrera and Garcia develop an early warning system for macroeconomic vulnerability for several Latin American countries, drawing on the work of Kaminsky, Lizondo, and Reinhart (1997) and Kaminsky (1988). They build a composite leading indicator that signals macroeconomic vulnerability, showing that, historically, crises tend to happen in certain vulnerable situations. Interested mainly in providing an operational tool, Herrera and Garcia use a different approach to the problem than Kaminsky did. First, they use fewer variables to generate the signals. Then, after the variables are aggregated, a signal is issued, depending on the behavior of the composite index. (Kaminsky's procedure was to generate signals with each variable and then aggregate them.) Their results are satisfactory both statistically and operationally. Statistically, Type I and Type II errors are smaller than those reported in previous papers. Operationally, this system of leading indicators is less costly to maintain, given fewer variables - which are widely available and reported with timeliness. Herrera and Garcia tested the models' out-of-sample predictive ability on crises that occurred after the first stage of their project was finished: Colombia (September 1998), Brazil (January 1999), and Ecuador (February 1999). In all cases the models correctly anticipated the speculative attacks. Moreover, Mexico's models, estimated with information available two years before the 1994 crisis, show that these signaling devices would have been useful for signaling the macroeconomic vulnerability before December 1994. This paper - a product of the Economic Policy Sector Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to build tools that policymakers can use to prevent crises. The authors may be contacted at cgarciacoradoworldbank.org or sherrera@worldbank.org
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  • 97
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    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (46 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Honohan, Patrick Beyond Capital Ideals
    Schlagwort(e): Bank ; Bank Failures ; Bankers ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Stability ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Capital Adequacy ; Capital Flows ; Debt Markets ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Externalities ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Deepening ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Systems ; Inflation ; Infrastructure ; Private Sector Development ; Bank ; Bank Failures ; Bankers ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Stability ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Capital Adequacy ; Capital Flows ; Debt Markets ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Externalities ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Deepening ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Systems ; Inflation ; Infrastructure ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: Hard on the heels of Mexico's crisis in 1994, a wave of financial crises swept across emerging economies - from East Asia and Russia to Brazil - bringing the fragility of banking and finance into unprecedented focus. What has gone wrong? - Caprio and Honohan examine why emerging markets, in particular, are susceptible to and affected by financial difficulties. They show that these difficulties have a richer, more complex structure than they are sometimes believed to have - with marked information asymmetries and substantial volatility. The sources of heightened regulatory failure in emerging markets in recent years include the volatility of real and nominal shocks, the difficulty of operating in uncharted territory after financial liberalization and other changes in regime, and the political pressures that can inhibit the enforcement of prudential regulation. Caprio and Honohan discuss what stronger regulation can and cannot accomplish, as well as options to improve the incentive structure for bankers, regulators, and other market participants. They probe the shortcomings of a regulatory paradigm that relies mainly on supervised capital adequacy and discuss the possible intermittent application of supplementary blunt instruments as an interim solution while longer-term reforms are being put in place. Certain well-worn messages remain valid, but are respected more in theory than in practice. There would be fewer problems, the authors say, if there were: · More diversification. · More balanced financial structures (for example, as between debt and equity). · More foreign banks in emerging markets' financial systems. · Better enforcement of both contracts and regulations. Participants in the financial sector will constantly try to get around rules that limit their profitability, so regulation must be seen as an evolutionary struggle. Prevention of financial failure is not costless, and a heavy repressive hand is not warranted. But a richer regulatory palette can be used to protect financial systems more successfully against crisis while preserving the systems' growth-enhancing effectiveness. This paper is a joint product of Finance, Development Research Group, and the Financial Sector Practice Department. The authors may be contacted at gcaprioworldbank.org or phonohan@worldbank.org
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  • 98
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (114 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Madani, Dorsati A Review of the Role and Impact of Export Processing Zones
    Schlagwort(e): Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital Goods ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Environment ; Environment ; Environmental ; Environmental Economics and Policies ; Environmental Issues ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Imports ; Incentives ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Investments ; Knowledge ; Labor ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Policy Instruments ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Revenue ; Social Protections and Labor ; Subsidies ; Technology ; Trade ; Trade Policy ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital Goods ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Environment ; Environment ; Environmental ; Environmental Economics and Policies ; Environmental Issues ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Imports ; Incentives ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Investments ; Knowledge ; Labor ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Policy Instruments ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Revenue ; Social Protections and Labor ; Subsidies ; Technology ; Trade ; Trade Policy ; Unemployment ; Wages
    Kurzfassung: As instruments for encouraging economic development, export processing zones have only limited usefulness. A better policy choice is general liberalization of a country's economy. - Traditional export processing zones are fenced-in industrial estates specializing in manufacturing for exports. Modern ones have more flexible rules, such as permitting more liberal domestic sales. They provide a free-trade and liberal regulatory environment for the firms involved. Their primary goals: to provide foreign exchange earnings by promoting nontraditional exports, to provide jobs and create income, and to attract foreign direct investment and attendant technology transfer and knowledge spillover. Domestic, international, or joint venture firms operating in export processing zones typically benefit from reduced red tape, flexible labor laws, generous long-term tax holidays and concessions, above-average communications services and infrastructure (and often subsidized utilities and rental rates), and unlimited duty-free imports of raw and intermediate inputs and capital goods needed for production. In this review of experience, Madani concludes that export processing zones have limited applications; the better policy choice is to liberalize a country's entire economy. Under certain conditions - including appropriate setup and good management - export processing zones can play a dynamic role in a country's development, but only as a transitional step in an integrated movement toward general liberalization of the economy (with revisions as national economic conditions change). The World Bank, writes Madani, should be cautious about supporting export processing zone projects, doing so only on a case-by-case basis, only with expert guidance, and only as part of a general reform package. It should not support isolated export processing zone projects in unreformed or postreform economies (in the last case they might encourage backsliding on trade policy). In general, if a policy is good for the economy as a whole, it is likely to be good for an export processing zone. Sound policy will encourage: · Sound, stable monetary and fiscal policies, clear private property and investment laws, and a business-friendly economic environment. · Moderate, simplified (but not overfriendly) corporate tax schedules, and generally liberal tariffs and other trade taxes. · Private development and management of export processing zones and their infrastructure and unsubsidized utilities. · Labor laws that are business-friendly but do not abuse workers' safety and labor rights. · A better understanding of the impact of industrial refuse on the quality of air, soil, water, and human health. This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the impact of trade policy and trade policy tools on development. The author may be contacted at dmadaniworldbank.org
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  • 99
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (22 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Byamugisha, K.F. Frank The Effects of Land Registration on Financial Development and Economic Growth
    Schlagwort(e): Bank Policy ; Collateral ; Common Property Resource Development ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Contracts ; Debt Markets ; Depos Deposit Mobilization ; Economic Development ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Labor Policies ; Land Title ; Land Titling ; Land Use and Policies ; Land and Real Estate Development ; Liquidity ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Municipal Housing and Land ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Property ; Private Sector Development ; Property Rights ; Rural Development ; Rural Land Policies for Poverty Reduction ; Security ; Seizure ; Social Protections and Labor ; Transaction ; Transaction Costs ; Transactions ; Bank Policy ; Collateral ; Common Property Resource Development ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Contracts ; Debt Markets ; Depos Deposit Mobilization ; Economic Development ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Labor Policies ; Land Title ; Land Titling ; Land Use and Policies ; Land and Real Estate Development ; Liquidity ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Municipal Housing and Land ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Property ; Private Sector Development ; Property Rights ; Rural Development ; Rural Land Policies for Poverty Reduction ; Security ; Seizure ; Social Protections and Labor ; Transaction ; Transaction Costs ; Transactions
    Kurzfassung: November 1999 - A theoretical framework to guide empirical analysis of how land registration affects financial development and economic growth. The author develops a theoretical framework to guide empirical analysis of how land registration affects financial development and economic growth. Most conceptual approaches investigate the effects of land registration on only one sector, nut land registration is commonly observed to affect not only other sectors but the economy as a whole The author builds on the well-tested link between secure land ownership and farm productivity, adding to the framework theory about positive information and transaction costs. To map the relationship between land registration and financial development and economic growth, the framework links: -Land tenure security and investment incentives. -Land title, collateral, and credit. -Land markets, transactions, and efficiency. -Labor mobility and efficiency. -Land liquidity, deposit mobilization, and investment. Empirical results from applying the framework to a single case study - of Thailand, described in a separate paper - suggest that the framework is sound. This paper - a product of the Rural Development and Natural Resources Sector Unit, East Asia and Pacific Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to increase the effectiveness of country assistance strategies in the area of property rights and economic development
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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  • 100
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (42 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Paralleltitel: Detragiache, Enrica Does Deposit Insurance Increase Banking System Stability?
    Schlagwort(e): Asset Portfolio ; Asset Quality ; Bank Asset ; Bank Depos Banking Crises ; Banking Market ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Depos Deposit Insurance ; Depositor ; Depositors ; Deposits ; Developing Countries ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Insurance Law ; Insurance and Risk Mitigation ; Law and Development ; Liquidity ; Loan ; Monetary Fund ; Moral Hazard ; National Bank ; Private Sector Development ; Asset Portfolio ; Asset Quality ; Bank Asset ; Bank Depos Banking Crises ; Banking Market ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Depos Deposit Insurance ; Depositor ; Depositors ; Deposits ; Developing Countries ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Insurance Law ; Insurance and Risk Mitigation ; Law and Development ; Liquidity ; Loan ; Monetary Fund ; Moral Hazard ; National Bank ; Private Sector Development
    Kurzfassung: Explicit deposit insurance tends to be detrimental to bank stability - the more so where bank interest rates are deregulated and the institutional environment is weak. - Based on evidence for 61 countries in 1980-97, Demirgüç-Kunt and Detragiache find that explicit deposit insurance tends to be detrimental to bank stability, the more so where bank interest rates are deregulated and the institutional environment is weak. The adverse impact of deposit insurance on bank stability tends to be stronger the more extensive is the coverage offered to depositors, and where the scheme is funded and run by the government rather than the private sector. This paper - a product of Finance, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study deposit insurance. The study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project Deposit Insurance: Issues of Principle, Design, and Implementation (RPO 682-90). The authors may be contacted at ademirguckuntworldbank.org or edetragiache@imf.org
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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