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  • 2000-2004  (55)
  • Washington, D.C : The World Bank  (55)
  • Debt Markets  (55)
  • 1
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (35 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Kee, Hiau Market Access for Sale
    Keywords: Debt Markets ; Export Growth ; Exporters ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Localization ; Market Access ; Multilateral Tariff Negotiations ; Preferential Access ; Preferential Scheme ; Public Sector Development ; Tariff ; Tariff ; Trade Policy ; Debt Markets ; Export Growth ; Exporters ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Localization ; Market Access ; Multilateral Tariff Negotiations ; Preferential Access ; Preferential Scheme ; Public Sector Development ; Tariff ; Tariff ; Trade Policy ; Debt Markets ; Export Growth ; Exporters ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Localization ; Market Access ; Multilateral Tariff Negotiations ; Preferential Access ; Preferential Scheme ; Public Sector Development ; Tariff ; Tariff ; Trade Policy
    Abstract: Kee, Olarreaga, and Silva assess the foreign lobbying forces behind the tariff preferences that the United States grants to Latin American and Caribbean countries. The authors extend the basic framework developed by Grossman and Helpman (1994) to explain the relationship between foreign lobbying and tariff preferences. Their results suggest that returns to Latin American and Caribbean exporters lobbying for tariff preferences in the United States are around 50 percent. The reason for these large returns is the relatively low estimated weight given to social welfare in the U.S. government's objective function when deciding whether or not to grant tariff preferences to Latin American and Caribbean exporters. This paper—a product of Trade, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to study the issues related to trade and growth
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  • 2
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (41 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Zhai, Fan Labor Market Distortions, Rural-Urban Inequality, and the Opening of China's Economy
    Keywords: Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Factor Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Household Survey ; Income Distribution ; Income Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Mobility ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Poverty Reduction ; Product Market ; Product Market Reform ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Social Protections and Labor ; Urban Development Policy ; Urban Housing and Land ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Factor Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Household Survey ; Income Distribution ; Income Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Mobility ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Poverty Reduction ; Product Market ; Product Market Reform ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Social Protections and Labor ; Urban Development Policy ; Urban Housing and Land ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Factor Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Household Survey ; Income Distribution ; Income Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Mobility ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Poverty Reduction ; Product Market ; Product Market Reform ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Social Protections and Labor ; Urban Development Policy ; Urban Housing and Land
    Abstract: Hertel and Zhai evaluate the impact of two key factor market distortions in China on rural-urban inequality and income distribution. They find that creation of a fully functioning land market has a significant impact on rural-urban inequality. This reform permits agricultural households to focus solely on the differential between farm and nonfarm returns to labor in determining whether to work on or off-farm. This gives rise to an additional 10 million people moving out of agriculture by 2007 and lends a significant boost to the incomes of those remaining in agriculture. This off-farm migration also contributes to a significant rise in rural-urban migration, thereby lowering urban wages, particularly for unskilled workers. As a consequence, rural-urban inequality declines significantly. The authors find that reform of the Hukou system has the most significant impact on aggregate economic activity, as well as income distribution. Whereas the land market reform primarily benefits the agricultural households, this reform's primary beneficiaries are the rural households currently sending temporary migrants to the city. By reducing the implicit tax on temporary migrants, Hukou reform boosts their welfare and contributes to increased rural-urban migration. The combined effect of both factor market reforms is to reduce the urban-rural income ratio dramatically, from 2.59 in 2007 under the authors' baseline scenario to 2.27. When viewed as a combined policy package, along with WTO accession, rather than increasing inequality in China, the combined impact of product and factor market reforms significantly reduces rural-urban income inequality. This is an important outcome in an economy currently experiencing historic levels of rural-urban inequality. This paper—a product of the Trade Team, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to evaluate the poverty impacts of trade policy reforms
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (30 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Do, Quy-Toan Trade and Financial Development
    Keywords: Comparative Advantage ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Sector ; GDP ; Goods ; Income ; Increasing Returns ; Increasing Returns To Scale ; International Trade ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Comparative Advantage ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Sector ; GDP ; Goods ; Income ; Increasing Returns ; Increasing Returns To Scale ; International Trade ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Comparative Advantage ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Sector ; GDP ; Goods ; Income ; Increasing Returns ; Increasing Returns To Scale ; International Trade ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development
    Abstract: The differences in financial systems between industrial and developing countries are pronounced. It has been observed, both theoretically and empirically, that the differences in countries' financial systems are a source of comparative advantage in trade. Do and Levchenko point out that to the extent a country's financial development is endogenous, it will in turn be influenced by trade. They build a model in which a country's financial development is an equilibrium outcome of the economy's productive structure: in countries with large financially intensive sectors, financial systems are more developed. When a wealthy and a poor country open to trade, the financially dependent sectors grow in the wealthy country, and so does the financial system. By contrast, as the financially intensive sectors shrink in the poor country, demand for external finance decreases and the domestic financial system deteriorates. The authors test their model using data on financial development for a sample of 77 countries. They find that the main predictions of the model are borne out in the data: trade openness is associated with faster financial development in wealthier countries, and with slower financial development in poorer ones. This paper—a product of the Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to investigate the relation between finance and trade
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  • 4
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (64 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: McNulty, Mary East Asia's Dynamic Development Model and the Republic of Korea's Experiences
    Keywords: Capital ; Competition ; Criteria ; Cultural Policy ; Culture & Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Development ; E-Business ; Economic Development ; Economic Progress ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economic Thought ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Influence ; Inheritance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Technology Industry ; Capital ; Competition ; Criteria ; Cultural Policy ; Culture & Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Development ; E-Business ; Economic Development ; Economic Progress ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economic Thought ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Influence ; Inheritance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Technology Industry ; Capital ; Competition ; Criteria ; Cultural Policy ; Culture & Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Development ; E-Business ; Economic Development ; Economic Progress ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economic Thought ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Influence ; Inheritance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Technology Industry
    Abstract: No region has been more dynamic in recent years than East Asia. Despite its successful economic development, evaluations of the East Asian development model have often been capricious, shifting from "miracle" to "cronyism." How can we explain East Asia's ups and downs consistently? To respond to this challenge, it is necessary to study the progress of East Asian development and to trace the influence of Asian cultural values. This study mainly focuses on cultural aspects of economic progress and analyzes East Asia's philosophical and historical backgrounds to explain the dynamic process. East Asians believe that balance between opposite but complementary forces, Yin and Yang, will ensure social stability and progress. Through repeated rebalancing to maintain harmony, the society comes to maturity. In traditional East Asian societies, a balance was maintained between Confucianism (Yang) and Taoism, Buddhism, and other philosophies (Yin). In modern societies, the challenge is to balance traditional systems (Yang) and Western style capitalism (Yin). This East Asian development model explains the Republic of Korea's rise, fall, and recovery. Korea was a poor country until the early 1960s, during the time when spiritualism (Yang) dominated. From the 1960s through the 1980s, Korea achieved rapid growth by finding a new balance and moving toward materialism (Yin) from spiritualism (Yang). But the failure to maintain a harmonious balance between cooperatism and collectivism (Yang) and individualism (Yin) led to major weaknesses in labor and financial markets that contributed significantly to the financial crisis in 1997. As Korea arrived at a new balance by instituting reform programs, the venture-oriented information and communication technology (ICT) industry blossomed and led to a rapid economic recovery. Since 2000, domestic financial scandals and political corruption have emerged as new social issues. Korea's next challenge is to find a new harmonization between moralism (Yang) and legalism (Yin). This paper—a product of the Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to examine institutional and cultural foundations of development across regions and countries
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  • 5
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (59 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Currie, Elizabeth Institutional Arrangements for Public Debt Management
    Keywords: Bank Policy ; Banks and Bank Policy ; Central Bank ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Market ; Emerging Market Countries ; Emerging Market Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debt ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Management ; International Economics & Trade ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Strategic Debt Management ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Bank Policy ; Central Bank ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Market ; Emerging Market Countries ; Emerging Market Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debt ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Management ; International Economics & Trade ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Strategic Debt Management ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Bank Policy ; Central Bank ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Market ; Emerging Market Countries ; Emerging Market Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Exchange Rate ; External Debt ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Management ; International Economics & Trade ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Strategic Debt Management ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics
    Abstract: This paper analyzes institutional arrangements for public debt management by reviewing the experience of OECD countries during the late 1980s and 1990s. It discusses principal-agent issues arising from the delegation of authority from the Minister of Finance to the debt management office and describes how countries have designed governance structures and control and monitoring mechanisms to deal with these issues. The paper also discusses what lessons emerging market countries and transition countries can draw from the experience of advanced OECD countries. The OECD experience clearly indicates that—regardless of whether the debt management office is located inside or outside the Ministry of Finance—four issues are of vital importance: • Giving priority to strategic public policy objectives rather than tactical trading objectives. • Strengthening the institutional capacity to deal with financial portfolio management and with the public policy aspects of debt management. • Modernizing debt management. • Creating mechanisms to ensure successful delegation and accountability to the Ministry of Finance and Parliament. This paper—a joint product of the Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics, and Public Debt Management Group, Banking, Capital Markets, and Financial Engineering Department—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to analyze the institutional dimentions of effective government policy
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  • 6
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Shleifer, Andrei The New Comparative Economics
    Keywords: Allocation ; Capital ; Capitalism ; Children and Youth ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Democracy ; Dictatorship ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economics ; Efficiency ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Gender ; Gender ; Institutional Economics ; Investment ; Labor Policies ; Law and Development ; Legal Products ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Protections and Labor ; Allocation ; Capital ; Capitalism ; Children and Youth ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Democracy ; Dictatorship ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economics ; Efficiency ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Gender ; Gender ; Institutional Economics ; Investment ; Labor Policies ; Law and Development ; Legal Products ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Protections and Labor ; Allocation ; Capital ; Capitalism ; Children and Youth ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Democracy ; Dictatorship ; Economic Growth ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economics ; Efficiency ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Gender ; Gender ; Institutional Economics ; Investment ; Labor Policies ; Law and Development ; Legal Products ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Protections and Labor
    Abstract: In recent years, comparative economics experienced a revival, with a new focus on comparing capitalist economies. The theme of the new research is that institutions exert a profound influence on economic development. The authors argue that, to understand capitalist institutions, one needs to understand the basic tradeoff between the costs of disorder and those of dictatorship. They then apply this logic to study the structure of efficient institutions, the consequences of colonial transplantation, and the politics of institutional choice. This paper—a product of the Private Sector Advisory Department, Private Sector Development Vice Presidency—is part of a larger effort to understand institutional differences in the regulation of business
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  • 7
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Martin, Will Economic Impacts of China's Accession to the World Trade Organization
    Keywords: Base Year ; Consumption ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Growth Rate ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Prices ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; Trade Reform ; World Trade Organization ; Base Year ; Consumption ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Growth Rate ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Prices ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; Trade Reform ; World Trade Organization ; Base Year ; Consumption ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Growth Rate ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Prices ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; Trade Reform ; World Trade Organization
    Abstract: Ianchovichina and Martin present estimates of the impact of accession by China and Chinese Taipei to the World Trade Organization. China is estimated to be the biggest beneficiary, followed by Chinese Taipei and their major trading partners. Accession will boost the labor-intensive manufacturing sectors in China, especially the textiles and apparel sector that will benefit directly from the removal of quotas on textiles and apparel exports to North America and Western Europe. Consequently, developing economies competing with China in third markets may suffer relatively small losses. China has already benefited from the reforms undertaken between 1995 and 2001 (US
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Ianchovichina, Elena The Impact of China's WTO Accession on East Asia
    Keywords: Capital ; Capital Markets ; Comparative Advantage ; Competition ; Competitiveness ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Development Economics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Exchange Rates ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; World Trade Organization ; Capital ; Capital Markets ; Comparative Advantage ; Competition ; Competitiveness ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Development Economics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Exchange Rates ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; World Trade Organization ; Capital ; Capital Markets ; Comparative Advantage ; Competition ; Competitiveness ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Development Economics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Exchange Rates ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Free Trade ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; World Trade Organization
    Abstract: China's World Trade Organization (WTO) accession will have major implications for China and present both opportunities and challenges for East Asia. Ianchovichina and Walmsley assess the possible channels through which China's accession to the WTO could affect East Asia and quantify these effects using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model. China will be the biggest beneficiary of accession, followed by the industrial and newly industrializing economies (NIEs) in East Asia. But their benefits are small relative to the size of their economies and to the vigorous growth projected to occur in the region over the next 10 years. By contrast, developing countries in East Asia are expected to incur small declines in real GDP and welfare as a result of China's accession, mainly because with the elimination of quotas on Chinese textile and apparel exports to industrial countries China will become a formidable competitor in areas in which these countries have comparative advantage. With WTO accession China will increase its demand for petrochemicals, electronics, machinery, and equipment from Japan and the NIEs, and farm, timber, energy products, and other manufactures from the developing countries in East Asia. New foreign investment is likely to flow into these expanding sectors. The overall impact on foreign investment is likely to be positive in the NIEs, but negative for the less developed East Asian countries as a result of the contraction of these economies' textile and apparel sector. As China becomes a more efficient supplier of services or a more efficient producer of high-end manufactures, its comparative advantage will shift into higher-end products. This is good news for the poor developing economies in East Asia, but it implies that the impact of China's WTO accession on the NIEs may change to include heightened competition in global markets. This paper—a product of the Economic Policy Division, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network—is part of a larger effort in the network to assess the impact of China's WTO accession
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (34 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Alam, Asad A Decade of Fiscal Transition
    Keywords: Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Recovery ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Adjustment ; Fiscal Imbalances ; Fiscal Management ; Fiscal Policies ; Fiscal Policy ; Fiscal Risks ; Fiscal Stabilization ; Fiscal Transition ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Recovery ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Adjustment ; Fiscal Imbalances ; Fiscal Management ; Fiscal Policies ; Fiscal Policy ; Fiscal Risks ; Fiscal Stabilization ; Fiscal Transition ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Recovery ; Expenditures ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Adjustment ; Fiscal Imbalances ; Fiscal Management ; Fiscal Policies ; Fiscal Policy ; Fiscal Risks ; Fiscal Stabilization ; Fiscal Transition ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management
    Abstract: Transition literature has emphasized stabilization and enterprise restructuring. Both cross-country analyses and country-specific studies have tended to focus on fiscal stabilization and its indicators, highlighting the importance of quantitative fiscal adjustment to stabilization outcomes. Less attention has been paid to the qualitative dimensions of fiscal adjustment in transition. Alam and Sundberg take stock of the extent to which fiscal adjustment has occurred during the first decade of transition in both qualitative and quantitative dimensions. They define quality as the extent to which: (1) pro-growth expenditure essential for creating future economic and social assets are maintained; (2) pro-poor expenditure, such as poverty-targeted transfers, necessary to ensure income for the poor and vulnerable are adequately provided; and (3) fiscal risks, impinging on both expenditure and revenue, are managed through transition. The authors conclude that while the quantitative magnitude of the fiscal adjustment was dramatic, the quality of this adjustment has compromised the social and economic objectives of transition, particularly in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). They draw four main conclusions: • Investments in public services fell in both absolute and relative terms. • Reduced spending on government transfers contributed to a sharp increase in income inequality in the CIS. • Fiscal risks increased during the transition. • Initial conditions allowed Central European and Baltic countries to maintain higher expenditures, which may have contributed to their faster economic recovery and political support for the reforms. The authors argue that the challenge today for fiscal policy in these countries is to facilitate the transition—particularly in reallocating resources from large state-owned enterprises to new small and medium-size firms, and providing priority public services and targeted transfers to assist those adversely affected by transition and reverse the deterioration in social outcomes. The interplay between fiscal policies and institutional arrangements is increasingly important as transition economies embark on their second decade of reforms. In particular, incentives embedded in the institutional arrangements for fiscal management needs to be strengthened so that policies, resources, and outcomes can be better aligned, and the fiscal adjustment is consistent with qualitative considerations. This paper—a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to understand economic transition in former centrally planned economies. The authors may be contacted at aalamworldbank.org or msundberg@worldbank.org
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  • 10
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Grigorian, A. David Determinants of Commercial Bank Performance in Transition
    Keywords: Bank ; Banking ; Banking System ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Consolidation ; Credit Enterprises ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Services ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Private Sector Development ; Privatization ; Profitability ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking System ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Consolidation ; Credit Enterprises ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Services ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Private Sector Development ; Privatization ; Profitability ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking System ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Consolidation ; Credit Enterprises ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Services ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Private Sector Development ; Privatization ; Profitability
    Abstract: Banking sectors in transition economies have experienced major transformations throughout the 1990s. While some countries have been successful in eliminating underlying distortions and restructuring their financial sectors, in some cases financial sectors remain underdeveloped and the rates of financial intermediation continue to be quite low. Grigorian and Manole estimate indicators of commercial bank efficiency by applying a version of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to bank-level data from a wide range of transition countries. They further extend the analysis by explaining the differences in efficiency between financial institutions and countries by a variety of macroeconomic, prudential, and institutional variables. In addition to stressing the importance of some bank-specific variables, the censored Tobit analysis suggests that: - Foreign ownership with controlling power and enterprise restructuring enhance commercial bank efficiency. - The effects of prudential tightening on the efficiency of banks vary across different prudential norms. - Consolidation is likely to improve efficiency of banking operations. Overall, the results confirm the usefulness of DEA for transition-related applications and may shed light on the optimal architecture of a banking system. This paper--a product of the Private and Financial Sector Development Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region--is part of a larger effort in the region to disseminate the results of research on transition issues. The authors may be contacted at dgrigorianimf.org or manole@wueconc.wustl.edu
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  • 11
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Dinh, Hinh The Impact of Cash Budgets on Poverty Reduction in Zambia
    Keywords: Budget ; Budget Discipline ; Budget Execution ; Cash Budget ; Cash Budget System ; Cash Budgeting ; Cash Budgeting System ; Cash Budgets ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Revenue ; Economic Growth ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial System ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Budget ; Budget Discipline ; Budget Execution ; Cash Budget ; Cash Budget System ; Cash Budgeting ; Cash Budgeting System ; Cash Budgets ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Revenue ; Economic Growth ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial System ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management ; Budget ; Budget Discipline ; Budget Execution ; Cash Budget ; Cash Budget System ; Cash Budgeting ; Cash Budgeting System ; Cash Budgets ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Revenue ; Economic Growth ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial System ; Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management
    Abstract: Facing runaway inflation and budget discipline problems in the early 1990s, the Zambian government introduced the so-called cash budget in which government domestic spending is limited to domestic revenue, leaving no room for excess spending. Dinh, Adugna, and Myers review Zambia's experience during the past decade, focusing on the impact of the cash budget on poverty reduction. They conclude that after some initial success in reducing hyperinflation, the cash budget has largely failed to keep inflation at low levels, created a false sense of fiscal security, and distracted policymakers from addressing the fundamental issue of fiscal discipline. More important, it has had a deeply pernicious effect on the quality of service delivery to the poor. Features inherent to the cash budgeting system facilitated a substantial redirection of resources away from the intended targets, such as agencies and ministries that provide social and economic services. The cash budget also eliminated the predictability of cash releases, making effective planning by line ministries difficult. Going forward, Zambia must adopt measures that over time will restore the commitment to budget discipline and shelter budget execution decisions from the pressures of purely short-term exigencies. This paper—a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Division 1, Africa Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to review public expenditure management
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  • 12
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Fremond, Olivier The State of Corporate Governance
    Keywords: Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capacity Building ; Capital Allocation ; Corporate Governance ; Corporate Law ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Exchange ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Good ; Governance ; Governance Indicators ; International Financial Institutions ; Law and Development ; Lending ; Microfinance ; National Governance ; Private Sector Development ; Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capacity Building ; Capital Allocation ; Corporate Governance ; Corporate Law ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Exchange ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Good ; Governance ; Governance Indicators ; International Financial Institutions ; Law and Development ; Lending ; Microfinance ; National Governance ; Private Sector Development ; Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capacity Building ; Capital Allocation ; Corporate Governance ; Corporate Law ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Exchange ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Good ; Governance ; Governance Indicators ; International Financial Institutions ; Law and Development ; Lending ; Microfinance ; National Governance ; Private Sector Development
    Abstract: Corporate governance deals with the ways in which the rights of outside suppliers of equity finance to corporations are protected and receive a fair return. Good practices reduce the risk of expropriation of outsiders by insiders and thus the cost of capital for issuers. Capaul and Fremond review the experience of the preparation of 15 corporate governance country assessments across five continents. The assessments have been prepared under the umbrella of the joint World Bank/IMF initiative of the "Reports on the Observance of Standards and Codes" (ROSCs). The assessments focus on the rights of shareholders, the equitable treatment of shareholders, the role of stakeholders, disclosure and transparency, and the duties of the board of listed companies, and use the OECD Principles of Corporate Governance as benchmark. The authors give an overview of the actual and potential contribution of the assessments to policy dialogue, diagnostic and strategic work, lending and nonlending operations, and technical assistance and capacity, and presents the unfinished agenda. This paper—a product of the Corporate Governance Unit, Private Sector Advisory Services Department—is part of a larger effort in the department to disseminate lessons learned in the assessment of the compliance of countries to global standards. The authors may be contacted at ofremondworldbank.org or mcapaul@worldbank.org
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  • 13
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Gonzalez, Y. Christian Stabilizing Intergovernmental Transfers in Latin America
    Keywords: Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Business Cycle ; Capital Accounts ; Capital Flows ; Capital Markets ; Consumption Smoothing ; Contingent Liability ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Developing Country ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Intergovernmental Fiscal ; Municipal Financial Management ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Business Cycle ; Capital Accounts ; Capital Flows ; Capital Markets ; Consumption Smoothing ; Contingent Liability ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Developing Country ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Intergovernmental Fiscal ; Municipal Financial Management ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics ; Access To Capital ; Bank Policy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Business Cycle ; Capital Accounts ; Capital Flows ; Capital Markets ; Consumption Smoothing ; Contingent Liability ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Developing Country ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Intergovernmental Fiscal ; Municipal Financial Management ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public and Municipal Finance ; Urban Development ; Urban Economics
    Abstract: The traditional theory of fiscal federalism assigns the role of macroeconomic stabilization to the federal government. In addition to this long-standing theoretical result, there is empirical observation that federal governments in developing countries typically have cheaper and more stable access to capital markets, relative to subnational governments. Drawing on the recent experience of four large federal countries in Latin America—Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico—Gonzalez, Rosenblatt, and Webb examine how intergovernmental transfers affect the division of the burden of stabilization across the levels of government, when the nation as a whole faces economic fluctuations. Imposing stabilizing rules on federal transfers that protect subnational governments from fluctuations in the business cycle can serve two purposes. During boom periods, stabilizing rules prevent subnational governments' tendency to increase inflexible expenditures. And during downturns, stabilizing rules place the burden of borrowing at the federal level—the level most appropriate for macroeconomic stabilization and often the level with superior access to credit. Despite the logic of these rules, recent experience of the four countries reveals that these rules can be risky, particularly in the face of high GDP volatility. Protection against falling revenues in the downturn constitutes a contingent liability for the central government. Argentina's stabilizing rule contributed to fiscal and political tensions during its ongoing crisis. Colombia is beginning to implement similar rules. Meanwhile, Brazilian and Mexican transfers do not implement such rules and fiscal and economic results do not appear to have fared any worse for this absence. The authors draw on the country experience to establish that certain conditions should be in place before establishing a stabilization rule to federal-to-subnational fiscal transfers—in particular the elimination of long-term structural fiscal imbalances, either within levels of government or across levels of government. This paper—a joint product of the Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics, and the Mexico, Colombia, and Venezuela Country Department, Latin America and the Caribbean Region—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to draw on lessons from cross-country experience on fiscal federalism. The authors may be contacted at cgonzalezworldbank.org, drosenblatt@worldbank.org, or swebb@worldbank.org
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  • 14
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Mckenzie, David An Econometric Analysis of the Creditworthiness of IBRD Borrowers
    Keywords: Arrears ; Bank Creditors ; Bank Policy ; Borrowers ; Commercial Bank ; Country Risk ; Creditor ; Creditworthiness ; Debt Markets ; Debt Service ; Default ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Government Budget ; Arrears ; Bank Creditors ; Bank Policy ; Borrowers ; Commercial Bank ; Country Risk ; Creditor ; Creditworthiness ; Debt Markets ; Debt Service ; Default ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Government Budget ; Arrears ; Bank Creditors ; Bank Policy ; Borrowers ; Commercial Bank ; Country Risk ; Creditor ; Creditworthiness ; Debt Markets ; Debt Service ; Default ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Government Budget
    Abstract: Mckenzie econometrically ascertains the determinants of default to the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) through panel logit analysis. Creditworthiness with a lag of one period is determined by the extent of arrears to private creditors, the proportion of total debt service that is being paid, the government budget deficit, the extent of military involvement in the government of a country, and by the G7's current account balance. Default to the IBRD falls into a graduated hierarchy, whereby default occurs first to Paris Club and commercial bank creditors, with subsequent default triggered by portfolios with high proportions of IBRD and short-term debt, as well as the factors mentioned above. Default to these other creditor groups can be explained by more traditional country risk variables, although Mckenzie's analysis highlights the importance of political and external factors in explaining default to all creditors studied. He finds sovereign default to be a state-dependent process, whereby the repayment behavior of a country changes once it enters into default. Operationally, Mckenzie arrives at a model that can be used to assess short-term creditworthiness, although data imperfections and availability still limit the usefulness of the model for some countries. Longer-term risk assessment proves more difficult, which raises operational questions for the IBRD. This paper—a product of the Credit Risk Division, Office of the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to monitor the creditworthiness of IBRD borrowers. The author may be contacted at mckenstanford.edu
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  • 15
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Cuevas, A. Mario Potential GDP Growth in Venezuela
    Keywords: Business Cycles ; Climate Change ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Fluctuations ; Economic Performance ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Energy ; Energy Demand ; Environment ; Exogenous Variables ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Growth Potential ; Growth Rate ; Industry ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Oil and Gas Industry ; Private Sector Development ; Business Cycles ; Climate Change ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Fluctuations ; Economic Performance ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Energy ; Energy Demand ; Environment ; Exogenous Variables ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Growth Potential ; Growth Rate ; Industry ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Oil and Gas Industry ; Private Sector Development ; Business Cycles ; Climate Change ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Fluctuations ; Economic Performance ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Energy ; Energy Demand ; Environment ; Exogenous Variables ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Growth Potential ; Growth Rate ; Industry ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Oil and Gas Industry ; Private Sector Development
    Abstract: Real GDP and oil prices are decomposed into common stochastic trend and cycle processes using structural time series models. Potential real GDP is represented by the level of the trend component of real GDP. The potential rate of growth of real GDP is represented by the stochastic drift element of the trend component. Cuevas finds that there is a strong association at the trend and cycle frequencies between real GDP and the real price of oil. This association is also robust in the presence of key economic policy variables. From 1970–80, when the underlying annual rate of increase of the real price of oil was 12 percent, the underlying annual rate of increase of potential GDP in Venezuela was 2.6 percent. By contrast, from 1981–2000 when the underlying rate of increase of the real price of oil was –5 percent, the underlying growth rate of potential GDP fell 1.5 percent. However, the strength of association between the underlying growth of oil prices and real GDP has fallen considerably since the early 1980s, suggesting that oil cannot be relied on as an engine for future growth in Venezuela. This paper—a product of the Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela Country Management Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to encourage research on macroeconomic issues. The author may be contacted at mcuevasworldbank.org
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  • 16
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (30 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Pizzati, Lodovico Labor Market Implications of Switching the Currency Peg in a General Equilibrium Model for Lithuania
    Keywords: Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Board ; Currency Board Arrangement ; Currency Peg ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Domestic Currency ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange-Rate ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; General Equilibrium ; General Equilibrium Model ; Imports ; Labor Markets ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Board ; Currency Board Arrangement ; Currency Peg ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Domestic Currency ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange-Rate ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; General Equilibrium ; General Equilibrium Model ; Imports ; Labor Markets ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Board ; Currency Board Arrangement ; Currency Peg ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Domestic Currency ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange-Rate ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; General Equilibrium ; General Equilibrium Model ; Imports ; Labor Markets ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Abstract: On February 2, 2002, Lithuania switched its currency anchor from the dollar to the euro. While pegging to the dollar (since April 1994) has proven successful throughout the transition years, the recent decision to peg to the euro was motivated by the increasing trade relations with European economies. Pizzati does not argue which peg is more appropriate, but he analyzes the implications of changing the exchange rate regime for different sectors and labor groups. While pegging to the euro entails more stability for the export sector, Lithuania is still dependent on dollar-based imports of primary goods from the Commonwealth of Independent States, more so than other Baltic countries or Central European economies. Pizzati uses a multisector general equilibrium model to compare the effects of dollar-euro exchange rate movements under these alternative pegs. Overall, simulation results suggest that while a euro-peg will provide more stability to GDP and employment, it will also imply more volatility in prices, suggesting that under the new peg macroeconomic policy should be more concerned with inflationary pressures than before. From a sector-specific perspective, pegging to the euro will provide a more stable demand for unskilled-intensive manufacturing and commercial services. But other sectors, such as agriculture, will still face the same vulnerability to exchange rate movements. This suggests that additional policy measures may be needed to compensate sector-specific divergences. This paper—a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to address European Union integration issues in transition economies. Please contact Lodovico Pizzati, room H4-214, telephone 202-473-2259, fax 202-614-0683, email address lpizzatiworldbank.org
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  • 17
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Klingebiel, Daniela Financial Crises, Financial Dependence, and Industry Growth
    Keywords: Adverse Consequences ; Adverse Effects ; Adverse Selection ; Bank Lending ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Research ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Sector ; Inequality ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Social Protections and Labor ; Adverse Consequences ; Adverse Effects ; Adverse Selection ; Bank Lending ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Research ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Sector ; Inequality ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Social Protections and Labor ; Adverse Consequences ; Adverse Effects ; Adverse Selection ; Bank Lending ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cred Development ; Debt Markets ; Economic Growth ; Economic Research ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Sector ; Inequality ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Pro-Poor Growth ; Social Protections and Labor
    Abstract: Laeven, Klingebiel, and Kroszner investigate the link between financial crises and industry growth. They analyze data from 19 industrial and developing countries that have experienced financial crises during the past 30 years to investigate how financial crises affect sectors dependent on external sources of finance. Specifically, the authors examine whether the impact of a financial crisis on externally dependent sectors varies with the depth of the financial system. They find that sectors highly dependent on external finance tend to experience a greater contraction of value added during a crisis in deeper financial systems than in countries with shallower financial systems. They hypothesize that the deepening of the financial system allows sectors dependent on external finance to obtain relatively more external funding in normal periods, so a crisis in such countries would have a disproportionately negative effect on externally dependent sectors. In contrast, since externally dependent firms tend to obtain relatively less external financing in shallower financial systems (and hence have relatively lower growth rates in such countries during normal times), a crisis in such countries has less of a disproportionately negative effect on the growth of externally dependent sectors. This paper—a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Department—is part of a larger effort in the department to study the link between financial development and economic growth. The authors may be contacted at llaevenworldbank.org, dklingebiel@worldbank.org, or randy.kroszner@gsb.uchicago.edu
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  • 18
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Morisset, Jacques Administrative Barriers to Foreign Investment in Developing Countries
    Keywords: Accounting ; Administrative Costs ; Application Form ; Bank ; Consumer ; Consumer Markets ; Contribution ; Country Strategy and Periodical ; Debt Markets ; Direct Investment ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Investment ; Information ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; Investor ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Regulation ; Trade Law ; Accounting ; Administrative Costs ; Application Form ; Bank ; Consumer ; Consumer Markets ; Contribution ; Country Strategy and Periodical ; Debt Markets ; Direct Investment ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Investment ; Information ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; Investor ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Regulation ; Trade Law ; Accounting ; Administrative Costs ; Application Form ; Bank ; Consumer ; Consumer Markets ; Contribution ; Country Strategy and Periodical ; Debt Markets ; Direct Investment ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Investment ; Information ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; Investor ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Regulation ; Trade Law
    Abstract: Recent international experience has shown that excessively complex administrative procedures required to establish and operate a business discourage inflows of foreign direct investment. Morisset and Lumenga Neso present a new database on the administrative costs faced by private investors in 32 developing countries. The database is much more comprehensive than the existing sources, as it contains not only information on general entry procedures, such as business and tax registration, but also captures regulation on land access, site development, import procedures, and inspections. The data include measures on the number of procedures, direct monetary costs, and time. The cost of administrative procedures vary significantly across countries. The most important barriers appear to be the delays associated with securing land access and obtaining building permits, which in several countries take more than two years. Countries that impose excessive administrative costs on entry tend to be equally intrusive in firm operations, thereby weakening the argument that barriers to entry are a substitute for the government's unwillingness or inability to regulate enterprise operations. The level of administrative costs is positively correlated with corruption incidence and exhibits a negative correlation with the quality of governance, degree of openness, and public wages. These correlations suggest that administrative reforms need to be incorporated into the broader agenda for reforms such as trade and financial liberalization, the fight against corruption, and public sector administration. This paper—a product of the Foreign Investment Advisory Service—is part of a larger effort to study the role of administrative barriers in the investment decision of private firms. The authors may be contacted at jmorissetifc.org or lumenganeso@hec.unige.ch
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  • 19
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (60 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Laffont, Jean-Jacques Telecommunications Reform in Côte d'Ivoire
    Keywords: Administration ; Competitiveness ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fraud ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Institutions ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Performance ; Price ; Prices ; Private Sector ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Radio ; Result ; Results ; Security ; Supervision ; Technology Industry ; Teleco ; Telecommunications Infrastructure ; Administration ; Competitiveness ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fraud ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Institutions ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Performance ; Price ; Prices ; Private Sector ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Radio ; Result ; Results ; Security ; Supervision ; Technology Industry ; Teleco ; Telecommunications Infrastructure ; Administration ; Competitiveness ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fraud ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Institutions ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Performance ; Price ; Prices ; Private Sector ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Radio ; Result ; Results ; Security ; Supervision ; Technology Industry ; Teleco ; Telecommunications Infrastructure
    Abstract: This paper analyzes Côte d'Ivoire's experience with telecommunications liberalization and privatization. Côte d'Ivoire privatized its incumbent operator in 1997, and granted the newly privatized firm seven years of fixed-line exclusivity while introducing "managed competition" in the cellular market and free competition in value-added services (VAS). By March 2001, three cellular operators and a number of VAS providers had entered the market. Reform has thus significantly changed the landscape of Côte d'Ivoire's telecommunications sector and has brought with it tremendous improvement in sector performance. Between 1997 and 2001, fixed-line telephone penetration grew from 1.03 to 1.80 per hundred people, while mobile penetration skyrocketed from 0.26 to 4.46. But it is still too early to assess the validity of granting exclusivity to the incumbent operator. While penetration increased, the operator did not meet objectives regarding rural telephony and service quality. Moreover, fixed-line penetration increased in areas where the operator faced competition from mobile providers. This paper—a product of Regulation and Competition Policy, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to promote telecommunications competition, liberalization, and privatization in Africa
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  • 20
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Glewwe, Paul Economic Mobility in Vietnam in the 1990s
    Keywords: Communities & Human Settlements ; Correlation ; Covariance ; Data ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Equations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Inequality ; Instrumental Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Matrices ; Measurement ; Measurement Errors ; Poverty ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Reduction ; Probability ; Random Errors ; Reasoning ; Roads and Highways ; Science and Technology Development ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Transport ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Correlation ; Covariance ; Data ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Equations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Inequality ; Instrumental Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Matrices ; Measurement ; Measurement Errors ; Poverty ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Reduction ; Probability ; Random Errors ; Reasoning ; Roads and Highways ; Science and Technology Development ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Transport ; Communities & Human Settlements ; Correlation ; Covariance ; Data ; Debt Markets ; Econometrics ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Equations ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Housing and Human Habitats ; Inequality ; Instrumental Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Matrices ; Measurement ; Measurement Errors ; Poverty ; Poverty Diagnostics ; Poverty Reduction ; Probability ; Random Errors ; Reasoning ; Roads and Highways ; Science and Technology Development ; Statistical and Mathematical Sciences ; Transport
    Abstract: Vietnam's high economic growth in the 1990s led to sharp reductions in poverty, yet over the same time period inequality increased. This increased inequality may be less worrisome if Vietnamese households experience a high degree of income mobility over time. This is because high mobility implies that the long-run distribution of income is more equally distributed than the short-run distribution, since some individuals or households are poor in some years, while others are poor in other years. Glewwe and Nguyen examine economic mobility in Vietnam using recent household survey panel data. The problem of measurement error in the income variable, which exaggerates the degree of economic mobility, is directly addressed. Correcting for measurement error dramatically changes the results. At least one half of measured mobility is because of measurement error. This paper—a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to study household welfare and poverty reduction in Vietnam. Paul Glewwe may be contacted at pglewwedept.agecon.umn.edu
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  • 21
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (80 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Packard, G. Truman Pooling, Savings, and Prevention Mitigating the Risk of Old Age Poverty in Chile
    Keywords: Bank ; Contribution ; Contributions ; Debt Markets ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Investments ; Labor Market ; Minimum Pension ; Pension ; Pension Reform ; Pension System ; Population ; Private Sector Development ; Retireme ; Bank ; Contribution ; Contributions ; Debt Markets ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Investments ; Labor Market ; Minimum Pension ; Pension ; Pension Reform ; Pension System ; Population ; Private Sector Development ; Retireme ; Bank ; Contribution ; Contributions ; Debt Markets ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Investment ; Investments ; Labor Market ; Minimum Pension ; Pension ; Pension Reform ; Pension System ; Population ; Private Sector Development ; Retireme
    Abstract: Using data collected in a survey on risk and social insurance in Chile, Packard finds that workers who entered the labor market after the pension reform of 1981 have a greater "contribution density" than those who contributed to the previous social security system. Further, the expectation of care from children and the amount spent on their education significantly lowers the likelihood of contribution to the pension system. Workers who have met the contributory requirements to qualify for the minimum pension guaranteed by the government are significantly less likely to continue making contributions. The likelihood of contributions beyond the eligibility threshold being lowered further, the greater the market rental value of respondents' homes. Furthermore, individuals with a greater tolerance for risk contribute, suggesting that there are retirement security investments in Chile that are perceived as relatively less risky than saving in the reformed pension system. The results indicate that housing could be one such investment. This paper—a product of the Human Development Sector Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region—is part of a regional study on social security reform. The author may be contacted at tpackardworldbank.org
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  • 22
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Mattoo, Aaditya Regional Agreements and Trade in Services
    Keywords: Benefits ; Choice ; Competition ; Competitive Advantage ; Competitive Markets ; Consumer Choice ; Consumers ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Markets and Market Access ; National Income ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Corruption ; Public Sector Development ; Trade Law ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services ; Benefits ; Choice ; Competition ; Competitive Advantage ; Competitive Markets ; Consumer Choice ; Consumers ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Markets and Market Access ; National Income ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Corruption ; Public Sector Development ; Trade Law ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services ; Benefits ; Choice ; Competition ; Competitive Advantage ; Competitive Markets ; Consumer Choice ; Consumers ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Markets and Market Access ; National Income ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Corruption ; Public Sector Development ; Trade Law ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services
    Abstract: Every major regional trade agreement now has a services dimension. Is trade in services so different that there is need to modify the conclusions on preferential agreements pertaining to goods reached so far? Mattoo and Fink first examine the implications of unilateral policy choices in a particular services market. They then explore the economics of international cooperation and identify the circumstances in which a country is more likely to benefit from cooperation in a regional rather than multilateral forum. This paper--a product of Trade, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to assess the implications of liberalizing trade in services. The authors may be contacted at amattooworldbank.org or cfink@worldbank.org
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  • 23
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Caprio, Gerard Banking Policy and Macroeconomic Stability
    Keywords: Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Credit Emerging Markets ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Deepening ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Private Sector Development ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Credit Emerging Markets ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Deepening ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Private Sector Development ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Sector ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Capital ; Credit Emerging Markets ; Debt Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crises ; Financial Deepening ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Private Sector Development
    Abstract: Whether and when does banking serve to stabilize the economy? Caprio and Honohan view the banking system as a filter through which foreign and domestic shocks feed through to the domestic economy. The filter can dampen or amplify the shocks through various credit market channels, including credit growth, import of foreign capital, and possibly interest rates. The question is whether the prudential quality of banking, as proxied by measures of regulatory quality and openness to foreign banking, amplify or dampen these shocks. The authors find that many of the regulatory characteristics that have been found to deepen a financial system and make it more robust to crises—notably those which empower the private sector—also appear to reduce the sector's ability to provide short-term insulation to the macroeconomy. It is as if prudent bankers are reluctant to absorb short-term risks that, if neglected, might cause solvency and growth problems in the longer run. Forbearance might dampen short-term volatility, but at the expense of the longer run health of the banking sector and the economy. One way to avoid this apparent tradeoff is evident: banking systems which have a higher share of foreign-owned banks, a feature already associated with financial deepening and lowered risk of crisis, also seem to score well in terms of short-term macroeconomic insulation. This paper—a joint product of Finance, Development Research Group, and the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Department—is part of a larger effort in the Bank to analyze bank regulation and supervision. The authors may be contacted at gcaprioworldbank. org or phonohan@worldbank.org
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  • 24
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (24 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Servén, Luis Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries
    Keywords: Capital Stock ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Development Bank ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Goods ; Income Level ; Inflation ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomic Un ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Capital Stock ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Development Bank ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Goods ; Income Level ; Inflation ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomic Un ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Capital Stock ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; Development Bank ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Goods ; Income Level ; Inflation ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomic Un ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development
    Abstract: Servén examines empirically the link between real exchange rate uncertainty and private investment in developing countries using a large cross country-time series data set. He builds a GARCH-based measure of real exchange rate volatility and finds that it has a strong negative impact on investment, after controlling for other standard investment determinants and taking into account their potential endogeneity. The impact of uncertainty is not uniform, however. There is some evidence of threshold effects, so that uncertainty only matters when it exceeds some critical level. In addition, the negative impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on investment is significantly larger in economies that are highly open and in those with less developed financial systems. This paper—a product of the Office of the Chief Economist, Latin America and the Caribbean Region—is part of a larger effort in the region to assess the effects of macroeconomic volatility. The author may be contacted at lservenworldbank.org
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  • 25
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Schiff, Maurice Trade Policy and Labor Services
    Keywords: Ban ; Benefits ; Choice ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Implications ; Economic Relations ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Political Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Taxes ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Ban ; Benefits ; Choice ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Implications ; Economic Relations ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Political Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Taxes ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Ban ; Benefits ; Choice ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Implications ; Economic Relations ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Income ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Political Economy ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Taxes ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Policies ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration
    Abstract: Schiff considers the policy options of the West Bank and Gaza with respect to trade and the export of labor services. He concludes that: • Nondiscriminatory trade policy is unambiguously superior to a free trade agreement with Israel. • The West Bank and Gaza should pursue a nondiscriminatory trade policy with all its neighbors, but only on the condition that the trade policy be open, transparent, and enforced by a credible lock-in mechanism. Otherwise, a customs union with Israel may be preferable. • The Palestinian Authority should establish a system of fee-based permits for Palestinians working in Israel. • The Palestinian Authority should consider allowing Jordanians access to the West Bank and Gaza labor market. This paper—a product of Trade, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to analyze trade and regional integration policies in the Middle East. The author may be contacted at mschiffworldbank.org
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  • 26
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Mattoo, Aaditya China's Accession to the World Trade Organization
    Keywords: World Trade Organization ; General Agreement on Trade in Services ; Service industries Government policy ; Air ; Air Transport ; Airports ; Aviation Sector ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies of Scale ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Costs ; Freight ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Information and Communication Technologies ; International Economics & Trade ; Investments ; Knowledge ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Maritime Transport ; Multimodal Transport ; Policies ; Private Sector Development ; Rates ; Trade and Services ; Transport ; Transport Economics, Policy and Planning ; Air ; Air Transport ; Airports ; Aviation Sector ; Costs ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economies of Scale ; Education ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Costs ; Freight ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Information and Communication Technologies ; International Economics & Trade ; Investments ; Knowledge ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Maritime Transport ; Multimodal Transport ; Policies ; Private Sector Development ; Rates ; Trade and Services ; Transport ; Transport Economics, Policy and Planning ; China Commercial policy
    Abstract: China's General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) commitments represent the most radical services reform program negotiated in the World Trade Organization. China has promised to eliminate over the next few years most restrictions on foreign entry and ownership, as well as most forms of discrimination against foreign firms. These changes are in themselves desirable. However, realizing the gains from, and perhaps even the sustainability of, liberalization will require the implementation of complementary regulatory reform and the appropriate sequencing of reforms. Three issues, in particular, merit attention: • Initial restrictions on the geographical scope of services liberalization could encourage the further agglomeration of economic activity in certain regions—to an extent that is unlikely to be reversed completely by subsequent countrywide liberalization. • Restrictions on foreign ownership (temporary in most sectors but more durable in telecommunications and life insurance) may dampen the incentives of foreign investors to improve firm performance. • Improved prudential regulation and measures to deal with the large burden of nonperforming loans on state banks are necessary to deliver the benefits of liberalization in financial services. And in basic telecommunications and other network-based services, meaningful liberalization will be difficult to achieve without strengthened pro-competitive regulation. This paper—a product of Trade, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to assess the implications of services trade reform. This research is supported in part by the U.K. Department for International Development
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  • 27
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (56 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Love, Inessa Investor Protection, Ownership, and the Cost of Capital
    Keywords: Capital Investment ; Capital Stock ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Equity Stakes ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Holding ; Investment ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investor ; Investor Protection ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Capital Investment ; Capital Stock ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Equity Stakes ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Holding ; Investment ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investor ; Investor Protection ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Capital Investment ; Capital Stock ; Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Equity Stakes ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Development ; Financial Literacy ; Holding ; Investment ; Investment Decisions ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investor ; Investor Protection ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Abstract: Himmelberg, Hubbard, and Love combine the agency theory of the firm with risk diversification incentives for insiders. Principal-agent problems between insiders and outsiders force insiders to retain a larger share in their firm than they would under a perfect risk diversification strategy. The authors predict that this higher share of insider ownership and the resulting exposure of insiders to higher idiosyncratic risk will result in underinvestment and higher cost of capital. Using firm-level data from 38 countries, the authors provide evidence in support of their theoretical model, showing that the premium for bearing idiosyncratic risk varies between zero and six percent and decreases in the level of outside investor protection. The results of the study imply that policies aimed at strengthening investor protection laws and their enforcement will improve capital allocation and result in higher growth. This paper—a product of Finance, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to study corporate governance and access to finance. The authors may be contacted at cph15columbia.edu or ilove@worldbank.org
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  • 28
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Hoekman, Bernard Economic Development and the World Trade Organization After Doha
    Keywords: Benchmarks ; Benefits ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Development Agencies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Generalized System of Preferences ; Goods ; Income ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Regulatory Policy ; Trade Law ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services ; Benchmarks ; Benefits ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Development Agencies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Generalized System of Preferences ; Goods ; Income ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Regulatory Policy ; Trade Law ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services ; Benchmarks ; Benefits ; Debt Markets ; Development ; Development Agencies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Generalized System of Preferences ; Goods ; Income ; Interest ; International Economics & Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Political Economy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Regulatory Policy ; Trade Law ; Trade Policy ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade and Services
    Abstract: Hoekman analyzes what actions could be taken in the context of the World Trade Organization's Doha negotiations to assist countries in reaping benefits from deeper trade integration. He discusses the policy agenda that confronts many developing countries and identifies a number of focal points that could be used both as targets and as benchmarks to increase the likelihood that WTO negotiations will support development. To achieve these targets, Hoekman proposes a number of negotiating modalities for both goods and services-related market access issues, as well as rule-making in regulatory areas. Throughout the analysis, the author refers to the work of J. Michael Finger, whose numerous writings in this area have not only greatly influenced the thinking of policymakers and researchers on the interaction between trade policy, economic development, and the GATT/WTO trading system, but also provides a model for how to pursue effective policy research. This paper--a product of Trade, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to analyze the development aspects of WTO rules. The author may be contacted at bhoekmanworldbank.org
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  • 29
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    ISBN: 0821350447 , 9780821350447
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (274 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics
    Keywords: Access to Finance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Access to Finance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Access to Finance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development
    Abstract: The Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics (ABCDE) is a global gathering of the world's leading scholars and development practitioners. Among the attendees were participants from developing countries, universities, think tanks, nongovernmental organizations, and international financial institutions. The 13th annual conference, held in May 2001, concentrated on the current thinking in development policy and the implications for the global economy with a particular focus on the two important and controversial themes of globalization and health. This book is a collection of conference papers from this forum
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  • 30
    ISBN: 0821351397 , 9780821351390
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (108 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Independent Evaluation Group Studies
    Keywords: Banks and Banking Reform ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Adjustment and Lending ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Adjustment and Lending ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Adjustment and Lending ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
    Abstract: This is the fifth Annual Review of Development Effectiveness (ARDE). This year's Review highlights the choice of lending and non-lending instruments and activities to achieve development objectives. It complements the Annual Report on Portfolio Performance, the Quality Assurance Group's assessment of the active lending portfolio and of recent analytical and advisory services. As in prior years, the Review concentrates on long-term development effectiveness trends. It finds that selecting the right combination and sequence of activities for a particular set of objectives can make the difference between success and failure. The findings of the 2001 ARDE demonstrate sustained progress in portfolio performance and suggest several directions for future Bank operations. First, the ongoing updating of the policy framework for investment and adjustment lending offer a good opportunity to offer operational guidance and improve instrument choice. Second in poor performing low-income countries simple operations, pilot projects, and non-financial activities have particular potential to deliver results. Third, for adjustment operations--a growing share of Bank lending-success is more likely when the domestic consensus for reform is strong and other Bank instruments are brought to bear both upstream and downstream of the adjustment process
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  • 31
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (52 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Wang, Zhi Implicit Pension Debt, Transition Cost, Options, and Impact of China's Pension Reform
    Keywords: Average Wage ; Bank ; Contribution ; Current Pension ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Situation ; Income ; Income Tax ; Individual Account ; Labor Force ; Ownership ; Pensions and Retirement Systems ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Average Wage ; Bank ; Contribution ; Current Pension ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Situation ; Income ; Income Tax ; Individual Account ; Labor Force ; Ownership ; Pensions and Retirement Systems ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Average Wage ; Bank ; Contribution ; Current Pension ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Situation ; Income ; Income Tax ; Individual Account ; Labor Force ; Ownership ; Pensions and Retirement Systems ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Abstract: China's population is aging rapidly: the old-age dependency ratio will rise from 11 percent in 1999 to 25 percent in 2030 and 36 percent in 2050. Currently, three workers support one retiree; without reform, the system dependency ratio will climb to 69 percent in 2030 and 79 percent in 2050. The pension system has been in deficit, with an implicit pension debt in 2000 as high as 71 percent of GDP. The lack of an effective, sustainable pension system is a serious obstacle to Chinese economic reform. The main problems with China's pension system—the heavy pension burdens of state enterprises and the aging of the population—have deepened in recent years. Using a new computable general equilibrium model that differentiates between three types of enterprise ownership and 22 groups in the labor force, Wang, Xu, Wang, and Zhai estimate the effects of pension reform in China, comparing various options for financing the transition cost. They examine the impact that various reform options would have on the system's sustainability, on overall economic growth, and on income distribution. The results are promising. The current pay-as-you-go system, with a notional individual account, remains unchanged in the first scenario examined. Simulations show this system to be unsustainable. Expanding coverage under this system would improve financial viability in the short run but weaken it in the long run. Other scenarios assume that the transition cost will be financed by various taxes and that a new, fully funded individual account will be established in 2001. The authors compare the impact of a corporate tax, a value-added tax, a personal income tax, and a consumption tax. They estimate the annual transition cost to be about 0.6 percent of GDP between 2000 and 2010, declining to 0.3 percent by 2050. Using a personal income tax to finance the transition cost would best promote economic growth and reduce income inequality. Levying a social security tax and injecting fiscal resources to finance the transition costs would help make the reformed public pillar sustainable. To finance a benefit of 20 percent of the average wage, a contribution rate of only 10 percent–12.5 percent would be enough to balance the basic pension pillar. Gradually increasing the retirement age would further reduce the contribution rate. This paper—a product of the Economic Policy and Poverty Reduction Division, World Bank Institute—was presented at the conference Developing through Globalization: China's Opportunities and Challenges in the New Century (Shanghai, China, July 5–7, 2000). The study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project "Efficiency and Distribution Effects of China's Social Security Reform" (RPO 683-52). The authors may be contacted at ywang2worldbank.org or zwang@ers.usda.gov
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  • 32
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (44 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Ianchovichina, Elena Trade Liberalization in China's Accession to the World Trade Organization
    Keywords: Comparative Advantage ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Monopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; World Trade Organization ; Comparative Advantage ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Monopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; World Trade Organization ; Comparative Advantage ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exports ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Free Trade ; Goods ; Influence ; Inputs ; International Economics & Trade ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets ; Monopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Production ; Public Sector Development ; Quotas ; Trade ; Trade Law ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Policy ; Trade Policy ; World Trade Organization
    Abstract: (June 2001) - China's forthcoming access to the World Trade Organization involves reform in many sectors, both domestic and trade-related. The starting point for reform is a partially reformed economy with relatively high import duties, in which export sectors benefit from liberal duty exemptions on inputs. Both China and its major trading partners will gain from access—with China gaining most (perhaps half of the estimated
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  • 33
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (80 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: James, Estelle Administrative Costs and the Organization of Individual Retirement Account Systems
    Keywords: Administrative Costs ; Bank ; Contingencies ; Contribution ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Individual Account ; Individual Retirement ; Individual Retirement Account ; Individual Retirement Accounts ; Investing ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Administrative Costs ; Bank ; Contingencies ; Contribution ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Individual Account ; Individual Retirement ; Individual Retirement Account ; Individual Retirement Accounts ; Investing ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Administrative Costs ; Bank ; Contingencies ; Contribution ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Health Systems Development and Reform ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Individual Account ; Individual Retirement ; Individual Retirement Account ; Individual Retirement Accounts ; Investing ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development
    Abstract: Organizing individual retirement accounts through the institutional market and with constrained choice could substantially lower administrative costs. The tradeoff: rebidding problems, weaker performance incentives, inflexibility in the face of unforeseen contingencies, and an increased probability of corruption, collusion, and regulatory capture. What is the most cost-effective way to organize individual accounts that are part of a mandatory social security system? Defined-contribution individual-account components of social security systems are criticized for being too expensive. James, Smalhout, and Vittas investigate the cost-effectiveness of two methods for constructing mandatory individual accounts: Investing through the retail market with relatively open choice among investment companies (the method first used by Chile and adopted by most Latin American countries). Investing through the institutional market with constrained choice. For the retail market, they use data from mandatory pension funds in Chile and other Latin American countries and from voluntary mutual funds in the United States. For the institutional market, they use data from systems in Bolivia and Sweden and from larger pension plans and the federal Thrift Saving Plan in the United States. The institutional approaches aggregate numerous small accounts into large blocks of money and negotiate fees on a centralized basis, often through competitive bidding. They retain workers' choice on some funds. Fees and costs are kept low by reducing incentives for marketing, avoiding excess capacity at system start-up, and constraining choice to investment portfolios that are inexpensive to manage. In developed financial markets, the biggest potential cost saving stems from constrained portfolio choice, especially from a concentration on passive investment. The biggest cost saving for a given portfolio and for countries with weak financial markets comes from reduced marketing activities. In the retail market, where annualized fees and costs range from 0.8 percent to 1.5 percent of assets, use of the institutional market in individual retirement account systems has reduced those fees and costs to less than 0.2 percent to 0.6 percent of assets. This reduction can increase pensions by 10-20 percent relative to the retail market. Countries that can surmount rebidding problems, weaker performance incentives, inflexibility in the face of unforeseen contingencies, and an increased probability of corruption, collusion, and regulatory capture should seriously consider the institutional approach, especially at the start-up of a new multipillar system or for systems with small asset bases. This paper—a product of Finance, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to study pension systems. The authors may be contacted at ejames3worldbank.org or dvittas@worldbank.org
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  • 34
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (32 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Jack Public Policy toward Nongovernmental Organizations in Developing Countries
    Keywords: Bank ; Civil Society ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Government ; Income ; Intervention ; Labor Policies ; Learning ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; NGO ; Organizations ; Outcomes ; Participation ; Policies ; Policy ; Poverty ; Poverty Alleviation ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Reduction ; Programs ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Bank ; Civil Society ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Government ; Income ; Intervention ; Labor Policies ; Learning ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; NGO ; Organizations ; Outcomes ; Participation ; Policies ; Policy ; Poverty ; Poverty Alleviation ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Reduction ; Programs ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Bank ; Civil Society ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Government ; Income ; Intervention ; Labor Policies ; Learning ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Microfinance ; NGO ; Organizations ; Outcomes ; Participation ; Policies ; Policy ; Poverty ; Poverty Alleviation ; Poverty Monitoring and Analysis ; Poverty Reduction ; Programs ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Social Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Abstract: July 2001 - If a developing country government is not good at providing public services such as health care, education, and social protection, would NGOs be better at doing so? What advantages do NGOs have over for-profit providers of publicly funded services? And considering the importance of donor funding, which is better for delivering such services, an international NGO or a grassroots NGO? Jack presents two descriptive models of nongovernmental organizations and poses normative questions about public policy toward NGOs. In situations in which optimal government intervention in a distorted or inequitable economy employs an NGO-like body, he considers which kinds of NGO might be used. First, in many developing countries NGOs participate in the delivery of what are essentially private goods—in particular, health care and education. In an economy without NGOs, there may be good redistributive and efficiency reasons for the government to provide these goods in kind. But if direct government provision of such services is ineffective or inefficient, when is contracting out to an NGO-like institution preferable to using a traditional for-profit firm? (Another way to frame this is to ask: What is the optimal taxation and regulation of private providers of publicly financed services?) NGOs also provide useful real and financial links with external donors. They are used to provide services the government favors and donors are willing to fund. In this model, the service provider is chosen to yield the best outcome for both government and donor. In this context, Jack compares an international NGO and a grassroots organization. It may be more efficient to transfer donor funds through an international NGO than through a local NGO, but when donor-government cooperation fails, a project implemented by an international NGO is effectively killed. If a project implemented by a local organization can limp along, this otherwise less efficient organization might be preferred. This paper—a product of Public Service Delivery, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the role of NGOs in delivering basic public services. The author may be contacted at wgjgeorgetown.edu
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  • 35
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (69 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Cowhey, Peter The WTO Agreement and Telecommunications Policy Reform
    Keywords: Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; E-Business ; Economic Policies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Education for the Knowledge Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Entry Barriers ; Equipment ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Future ; Global Market ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Interest ; International Financial Markets ; Macroeconomic Policy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Access ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Technology Industry ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; E-Business ; Economic Policies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Education for the Knowledge Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Entry Barriers ; Equipment ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Future ; Global Market ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Interest ; International Financial Markets ; Macroeconomic Policy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Access ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Technology Industry ; Debt Markets ; Developing Countries ; E-Business ; Economic Policies ; Economic Theory and Research ; Education ; Education for the Knowledge Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Entry Barriers ; Equipment ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Future ; Global Market ; ICT Policy and Strategies ; Industry ; Information and Communication Technologies ; Interest ; International Financial Markets ; Macroeconomic Policy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Market Access ; Markets and Market Access ; Private Sector Development ; Technology Industry
    Abstract: Happily, the revolution going on in the telecommunications industry is benign. Technological change and competition are making possible changes considered improbable even 15 years ago. The WTO Agreement on Basic Telecommunications Services created a new regime for the world market. Now we must pay close attention to regulatory fundamentals. Every country serious about introducing competition finds that the transition from monopoly to competition is both economically rewarding and laden with policy dilemmas. As a new century begins, we have an essentially new market for telecommunications. Digital technology forced a reexamination of the opportunity costs of protecting traditional telecommunications equipment and service suppliers. An inefficient market for telecommunications threatened competitiveness in the computer, software, and information industry markets. Meanwhile, after dislocations created by global stagflation through the early 1980s, developing countries became interested in privatization of state enterprises as a tool of economic reform—and state telephone companies were especially promising targets for privatization. Those countries began exploring options for allowing selective competition, as phone companies in major industrial countries began looking to foreign markets for new business opportunities. The WTO Agreement on Basic Telecommunications Services created a new regime for the world market. Now we must pay close attention to regulatory fundamentals: • Low barriers to entry in the market for communications services. • Effective rebalancing of rates for services during the market transition. • Strong interconnection policies. • The creation of independent regulatory authorities with the resources and power necessary to foster competition and safeguard consumer welfare. Cowhey and Klimenko assess how developing and transition economies have fared in profiting from changes in the telecommunications market. They also examine the policy challenges that remain, paying special attention to the global market and regulatory milieu fostered by the 1997 WTO agreement. They ask what this latest transformation has taught us about wise management of this vital part of the world economy's infrastructure. They focus on the economics of managing the transition to competition, the design of proper regulatory policies and processes, and the embedding of domestic telecommunications in the world market. This paper—a product of Trade, Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the group to help developing countries formulate negotiating positions for WTO talks. Mikhail Klimenko may be contacted at mklimenkoucsd.edu
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  • 36
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    ISBN: 0821349295 , 9780821349298
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (92 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Independent Evaluation Group Studies
    Keywords: Banks and Banking Reform ; Corruption and Anitcorruption Law ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Corruption and Anitcorruption Law ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Corruption and Anitcorruption Law ; Country Strategy and Performance ; Debt Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
    Abstract: This Annual Review of Development Effectiveness (ARDE) builds on previous reviews, i.e., the 1998 review, released in a hostile environment of financial crisis, concluded that improvements in project performance cannot be enough, that improvements at a higher plane of program, and country performance should also be present; and, the 1999 review, inscribed within the Comprehensive Development Framework dilemmas, and challenges, identified practices for dealing with those challenges, namely to be based on country commitments to poverty reduction, and sustainable growth. The ARDE 2000 finds that progress was solid on a broad front, but that further progress is likely. Portfolio performance is likely to exceed the Strategic Compact target of seventy five percent satisfactory outcomes; and, sustainability, and institutional development ratings reflect improvements. Though progress is commendable, this review examines four tensions the Bank faces: learning to reconcile client, and corporate priorities; adapting global prescriptions to local conditions; balancing country performance and poverty incidence in allocating its resources; and, achieving efficiency/selectivity, seeking to implement a holistic vision of development. Bank strategies should acknowledge client needs, judicious adaptation to institutional, social, and political fronts should be pursued, and, an approach to poor-performing countries should be addressed
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  • 37
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    ISBN: 0821349813 , 9780821349816
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (450 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics
    Keywords: Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor
    Abstract: These are the proceedings of the Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, which gathers the global perspective of scholars, and practitioners of development policy from academic life, government, and the private sector. The selected topics seek to include new areas of concern, and current research, as well as areas believed to benefit from exposure to recent knowledge, and experience. This year's conference focused on new development thinking, crises and recovery, corporate governance and restructuring, and, social security, public and private savings. The opening address outlines challenges for development, that include the intransigence of poverty in Africa, and ways to establish public-private partnerships at the country, and global levels, while the keynote address identifies equilibrium, and change as the focus of development economics: long-term sustainable growth requires development of a consensus behind the reform policies. Discussions varied from crises and recovery, through perspectives on the recent history of transition economies, to arguments on the possibilities of poverty reduction on a grand scale. Other topics include the exploration of development strategies, revision of the role of aid in providing finance, changing policies, and knowledge transfer, and, how to coordinate development problems
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  • 38
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Ferri, Giovanni The Political Economy of Distress in East Asian Financial Institutions
    Keywords: Balance Sheet ; Banking System ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Distress ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Risks ; Good ; Interest ; Interest Income ; Investors ; Loan ; Loans ; Loss Of Confidence ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Political Economy ; Portfolio ; Private Sector Development ; Prudential Regulations ; Public Institution Analysis and Assessment ; Public Sector Development ; Reserves ; Return ; Return On Assets ; Balance Sheet ; Banking System ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Distress ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Risks ; Good ; Interest ; Interest Income ; Investors ; Loan ; Loans ; Loss Of Confidence ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Political Economy ; Portfolio ; Private Sector Development ; Prudential Regulations ; Public Institution Analysis and Assessment ; Public Sector Development ; Reserves ; Return ; Return On Assets ; Balance Sheet ; Banking System ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; E-Business ; Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis ; Financial Distress ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Risks ; Good ; Interest ; Interest Income ; Investors ; Loan ; Loans ; Loss Of Confidence ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Non Bank Financial Institutions ; Political Economy ; Portfolio ; Private Sector Development ; Prudential Regulations ; Public Institution Analysis and Assessment ; Public Sector Development ; Reserves ; Return ; Return On Assets
    Abstract: In the East Asian crisis, connections - with industrial groups or influential families - increased the probability of distress for financial institutions. Connections also made closure more, not less, likely, suggesting that the closure processes themselves were transparent. But larger institutions, although more likely to be distressed, were less likely to be closed, suggesting a too big to fail policy. - Politics and regulatory capture can play an important role in financial institutions' distress. East Asia's financial crisis featured many distressed and closed financial intermediaries in an environment with many links between government, politicians, supervisors, and financial institutions. This makes the East Asian financial crisis a good event for studying how such connections affect the resolution of financial institutions' distress. Bongini, Claessens, and Ferri investigate distress and closure decisions for 186 banks and 97 nonbank financial institutions in Indonesia, the Republic of Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand. They find that after July 1997, 42 percent of the institutions experienced distress (were closed, merged, or recapitalized, or had their operations temporarily suspended). By July 1999, 13 percent of all institutions in existence in July 1997 had been closed. Using financial data for 1996, the authors find that: · Traditional CAMEL-type variables - returns on assets, loan growth, and the ratio of loan loss reserves to capital, of net interest income to total income, and of loans to borrowings - help predict subsequent distress and closure. · None of the foreign-controlled institutions was closed, and foreign portfolio ownership lowered an institution's probability of distress. · Connections - with industrial groups or influential families - increased the probability of distress, suggesting that supervisors had granted forbearance from regulations. Connections also made closure more, not less, likely - suggesting that the closure processes themselves were transparent. · But larger institutions, although more likely to be distressed, were less likely to be closed, while (smaller) nonbank financial institutions were more likely to be closed. This suggests a too big to fail policy. · These policies, together with the fact that resolution processes were late and not necessarily comprehensive, may have added to the overall uncertainty and loss of confidence in the East Asian countries, aggravating the financial crisis. This paper - a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Group, Financial Sector Vice Presidency - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the causes and resolution of financial distress. The authors may be contacted at pbonginimi.unicatt.it, cclaessens@worldbank.org, or gferri@worldbank.org
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  • 39
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Schmukler, Sergio Global Transmission of Interest Rates
    Keywords: Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Regime ; Currency Regimes ; Currency Risks ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Interest Rates ; Economic Stabilization ; Economies ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Exchange Rate Regime ; Exchange Rate Risk ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rates ; Independent Monetary Policy ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rates ; International Monetary Economics ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Independence ; Monetary Policy ; Nominal Anchor ; Private Sector Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Regime ; Currency Regimes ; Currency Risks ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Interest Rates ; Economic Stabilization ; Economies ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Exchange Rate Regime ; Exchange Rate Risk ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rates ; Independent Monetary Policy ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rates ; International Monetary Economics ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Independence ; Monetary Policy ; Nominal Anchor ; Private Sector Development ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Currency ; Currency Regime ; Currency Regimes ; Currency Risks ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Interest Rates ; Economic Stabilization ; Economies ; Economy ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Exchange Rate Regime ; Exchange Rate Risk ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rate ; Flexible Exchange Rates ; Independent Monetary Policy ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rates ; International Monetary Economics ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Independence ; Monetary Policy ; Nominal Anchor ; Private Sector Development
    Abstract: August 2000 - Hikes in U.S. interest rates in 1999-2000 have started to spill over to other economies' interest rates, which in many countries have risen to reflect the higher U.S. rates. Are countries with flexible exchange rates better able to isolate their domestic interest rates from this type of negative international shock? Less and less so, as economies become more integrated. Frankel, Schmukler, and Servén empirically study the sensitivity of local interest rates to international interest rates and how that sensitivity is affected by a country's choice of exchange rate regime. To establish the empirical regularities, they use a reduced-form empirical approach to compute both panel and single-country estimates of interest rate sensitivity for a large sample of developing and industrial economies between 1970 and 1999. When using the full sample, they find that: · Interest rates are typically lower in economies with fixed exchange rates than in those with flexible exchange rates. · More rigid currency regimes tend to exhibit higher transmission than more flexible regimes. In many cases in the 1990s, however, the authors cannot reject full transmission (a slope coefficient equal to 1), even for several countries with floating regimes. The data suggest an upward time trend in the degree to which domestic interest rates are sensitive to international capital movements and developing economies' increased financial integration with the rest of the world. As a result, country-specific estimates for the 1990s reveal few cases of less-than-full transmission of international interest rates to domestic rates, regardless of the currency regime. Country-specific results suggest that only large industrial countries can (or choose to) benefit from independent monetary policy. During the 1990s, interest rates in European countries were fully sensitive to German interest rates but insensitive to U.S. interest rates. This paper-a joint product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group, and the Chief Economist Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region-is part of a larger effort in the Bank to understand the functioning of alternative currency arrangements. The authors may be contacted at jeffrey_frankelharvard.edu, sschmukler@worldbank.org, or lserven@worldbank.org
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  • 40
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (60 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Nenova, Tatiana Corporate Risk around the World
    Keywords: Accounting ; Asymmetric Information ; Bankruptcy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Common Law ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Debt Maturity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Instability ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Risk ; Financial Risks ; Financial Sector Development ; Financial Structure ; Financial Systems ; Firm Performance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Property ; Property Rights ; Social Protections and Labor ; Tax ; Taxes ; Valuation ; Accounting ; Asymmetric Information ; Bankruptcy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Common Law ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Debt Maturity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Instability ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Risk ; Financial Risks ; Financial Sector Development ; Financial Structure ; Financial Systems ; Firm Performance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Property ; Property Rights ; Social Protections and Labor ; Tax ; Taxes ; Valuation ; Accounting ; Asymmetric Information ; Bankruptcy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Common Law ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Debt Maturity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Instability ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Financial Risk ; Financial Risks ; Financial Sector Development ; Financial Structure ; Financial Systems ; Firm Performance ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Property ; Property Rights ; Social Protections and Labor ; Tax ; Taxes ; Valuation
    Abstract: January 2000 - Corporate financing patterns around the world reflect countries' institutional environments. Weaknesses in the corporate sector have increasingly been cited as important factors in financial crises in both emerging markets and industrial countries. Analysts have pointed to weak corporate performance and risky financing patterns as major causes of the East Asian financial crisis. And some have argued that company balance sheet problems may also have played a role, independent of macroeconomic or other weaknesses, including poor corporate sector performance. But little is known about the empirical importance of firm financing choices in predicting and explaining financial instability. Firm financing patterns have long been studied by the corporate finance literature. Financing patterns have traditionally been analyzed in the Modigliani-Miller framework, expanded to incorporate taxes and bankruptcy costs. More recently, asymmetric information issues have drawn attention to agency costs and their impact on firm financing choices. There is also an important literature relating financing patterns to firm performance and governance. Several recent studies have focused on identifying systematic cross-country differences in firm financing patterns - and the effects of these differences on financial sector development and economic growth. They have also examined the causes of different financing patterns, particularly countries' legal and institutional environments. The literature has devoted little attention to corporate sector risk characteristics, however, aside from leverage and debt maturity considerations. Even these measures have been the subject of few empirical investigations, mainly because of a paucity of data on corporate sectors around the world. Building on data that have recently become available, Claessens, Djankov, and Nenova try to fill this gap in the literature and shed light on the risk characteristics of corporate sectors around the world. They investigate how corporate sectors' financial and operating structures relate to the institutional environment in which they operate, using data for more than 11,000 firms in 46 countries. They show that: · The origins of a country's laws, the strength of its equity and creditor rights, and the nature of its financial system can account for the degree of corporate risk-taking. · In particular, corporations in common law countries and market-based financial systems have less risky financing patterns. · Stronger protection of equity and creditor rights is also associated with less financial risk. This paper - a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Group, Financial Sector Vice Presidency - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to study the determinants of the riskiness of countries' corporate and financial systems
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  • 41
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Desai, Raj The Vicious Circles of Control
    Keywords: Banks and Banking Reform ; Cash Flows ; Competitive Auctions ; Conversion ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Illiquidity ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investors ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Municipal Financial Management ; National Governance ; Outside Investors ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Property ; Property Rights ; Revenue ; Revenues ; Safety Nets ; Tax ; Tax Debt ; Urban Development ; Voucher Privatization ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cash Flows ; Competitive Auctions ; Conversion ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Illiquidity ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investors ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Municipal Financial Management ; National Governance ; Outside Investors ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Property ; Property Rights ; Revenue ; Revenues ; Safety Nets ; Tax ; Tax Debt ; Urban Development ; Voucher Privatization ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Cash Flows ; Competitive Auctions ; Conversion ; Corporate Governance ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equity ; Finance ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Governance ; Illiquidity ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Investors ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Municipal Financial Management ; National Governance ; Outside Investors ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Property ; Property Rights ; Revenue ; Revenues ; Safety Nets ; Tax ; Tax Debt ; Urban Development ; Voucher Privatization
    Abstract: In Russia and other transition economies that have implemented voucher privatization programs, how can one account for the puzzling behavior of insider-managers who, in stripping assets from the very firms they own, appear to be stealing from one pocket to fill the other? - How can one account for the puzzling behavior of insider-managers who, in stripping assets from the very firms they own, appear to be stealing from one pocket to fill the other? Desai and Goldberg suggest that such asset-stripping and failure to restructure are the consequences of interactions between insiders (manager-owners) and regional governments in a particular property rights regime. In this regime, the ability to realize value is limited by uncertainty and illiquidity, so managers have little incentive to increase value. As the central institutions that rule Russia have ceded their powers to the regions, regional governments have imposed various distortions on enterprises to protect local employment. Prospective outsider-investors doubt they can acquire the control rights they need for restructuring firms and doubt they can avoid the distortions regional governments impose on the firms in which they might invest. The result: little restructuring and little new investment. And regional governments, knowing the firms' taxable cash flows will have been reduced through cash flow diversion, have responded by collecting revenues in kind. To disentangle these vicious circles of control, Desai and Goldberg propose a pilot for transforming ownership in insider-dominated firms through a system of simultaneous tax-debt-for-equity conversion and resale through competitive auctions. The objective: to show regional governments, by example, that a more sustainable way to protect employment is to give managers incentives to increase enterprises' value by transferring effective control to investors. The proposed mechanism would provide cash benefits to insiders who agree to sell control to outside investors. The increased cash revenue (rather than in-kind or money surrogates) would enable regional governments to finance safety nets for the unemployed and to promote other regional initiatives. This paper - a product of the Private and Financial Sectors Development Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to address growth, governance, and poverty in the former Soviet Union. The authors may be contacted at desairgunet.georgetown.edu or igoldberg@worldbank.org
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  • 42
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Torre, ladeAugusto Resolving Bank Failures in Argentina
    Keywords: Bank ; Bank Capitalization ; Bank Failure ; Bank Failure Resolution ; Bank Failures ; Banking ; Banking Associations ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Bis ; Capital ; Criteria ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Deposits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Year ; Going Concern Value ; Governance ; Legal Protection ; Liquidation ; Moral Hazard ; Value ; Bank ; Bank Capitalization ; Bank Failure ; Bank Failure Resolution ; Bank Failures ; Banking ; Banking Associations ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Bis ; Capital ; Criteria ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Deposits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Year ; Going Concern Value ; Governance ; Legal Protection ; Liquidation ; Moral Hazard ; Value ; Bank ; Bank Capitalization ; Bank Failure ; Bank Failure Resolution ; Bank Failures ; Banking ; Banking Associations ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Bis ; Capital ; Criteria ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Insurance ; Deposits ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fiscal Year ; Going Concern Value ; Governance ; Legal Protection ; Liquidation ; Moral Hazard ; Value
    Abstract: When the international financial community finally develops core principles and minimum standards for resolving bank failures, Argentina's experience should serve as an important reference in identifying best practices. - Policies and procedures to resolve bank failures have evolved significantly in Argentina since the introduction of currency convertibility in 1991 and particularly in reaction to the 1995 tequila crisis, which exposed the inadequacy of the bank exit framework in place then. De la Torre reviews the institutional changes introduced in Argentina in 1995 to handle bank failures more effectively, particularly the creation of the deposit guarantee scheme and the procedural framework for resolving bank failures, embedded in Article 35 of the Financial Institutions Law. This framework enables the Central Bank to carve out the assets and privileged liabilities of the failing bank and transfer them to sound banks, thereby sending only a residual balance sheet to judicial liquidation. Subsequent refinements in the application of Article 35 procedures eventually led to current Argentine practice. The author examines this practice in detail by considering the handling of the recent failure of Banco Almafuerte. The author assesses a number of issues that arise from the Argentine model of bank failure resolution, taking into account both country-specific circumstances and more general concepts and concerns. He emphasizes the potential tradeoffs between reducing contagion risk, limiting moral hazard, and avoiding unnecessary destruction of asset value; the implications of priority-of-claims rules and least-cost criteria; the pros and cons of alternative organizational and institutional arrangements; and the need for legal security. Finally, he outlines two prototypical approaches to striking a balance between rules and discretion, an issue underlying much of the ongoing policy discussion on alternative bank exit frameworks. This paper - a product of the Finance Cluster, Latin America and the Caribbean Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to document best practices in bank exit frameworks. The author may be contacted at adelatorreworldbank.org
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  • 43
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (50 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Brixi, Polackova Hana Managing Fiscal Risk in Bulgaria
    Keywords: Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Defic Budget Deficits ; Contingent Liabilities ; Currency ; Debt Markets ; Deficits ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Good ; Government Debt ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rate Risks ; Maturity ; Pensions ; Private Sector Development ; Public Investment ; Risk Management ; Risk Management System ; Security ; Sovereign Debt ; State Guarantees ; Stock ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Defic Budget Deficits ; Contingent Liabilities ; Currency ; Debt Markets ; Deficits ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Good ; Government Debt ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rate Risks ; Maturity ; Pensions ; Private Sector Development ; Public Investment ; Risk Management ; Risk Management System ; Security ; Sovereign Debt ; State Guarantees ; Stock ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Defic Budget Deficits ; Contingent Liabilities ; Currency ; Debt Markets ; Deficits ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Good ; Government Debt ; Interest ; Interest Rate ; Interest Rate Risks ; Maturity ; Pensions ; Private Sector Development ; Public Investment ; Risk Management ; Risk Management System ; Security ; Sovereign Debt ; State Guarantees ; Stock
    Abstract: Governments need to manage their contingent liabilities and other off-budget sources of fiscal risk - through policy, the budgetary process, and an integrated asset and liability management strategy. - To understand the fiscal position of a country, contingent liabilities and other sources of fiscal risk need to be considered. Brixi, Shatalov, and Zlaoui develop a framework to assess and manage fiscal risk in Bulgaria. Bulgaria's Currency Board Arrangement has effectively imposed fiscal discipline, but leaves only limited room to accommodate potential fiscal shocks. Through risks embedded in the portfolio of government contingent and direct liabilities, significant fiscal pressures could arise in the future. Major sources of risk include environmental liabilities and investment requirements, collection capacities of the social protection institutions, and further engagement in off-budget programs, such as government guarantees. To limit the government's exposure to risks, yet accommodate investment needs crucial to growth and development, Bulgaria must find an optimal strategy for liability management, fiscal reserves, and risk mitigation. Priorities for dealing with existing risks and limiting further accumulation of risks include: · Mitigating currency and interest rate risks in the government liability structure. · Implementing proposed institutional and finance reform of the country's pension and health care systems. · Building adequate contingency reserves. · Introducing risk-sharing arrangements. · Prioritizing and placing strict limits on the amounts of new guaranteed obligations. · Developing government capacity to analyze and manage risks. · Fully integrating fiscal risk management with other policy considerations in fiscal management, as part of an integrated asset and liability management strategy. This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to study the quality of fiscal adjustment in its client countries. Copies of the paper are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW, Washington, DC 20433. The authors may be contacted at lzlaouiworldbank.org, hpolackova@worldbank.org, or sshatalov@worldbank.org
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  • 44
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (52 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Kraay, Aart Do High Interest Rates Defend Currencies during Speculative Attacks?
    Keywords: Balance Of Payments ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Fixed Exchange Rates ; Fixed Nominal Exchange Rates ; Foreign Exchange ; Growth Rates ; Interest Rate Differentials ; Interest Rates ; International Capital Flows ; International Monetary Fund ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Authorities ; Monetary Authority ; Monetary Economics ; Monetary Policy ; Monetary Shocks ; Nominal Exchange Rate ; Private Sector Development ; Real Exchange Rate ; Real Interest Rates ; Tight Monetary Policy ; Balance Of Payments ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Fixed Exchange Rates ; Fixed Nominal Exchange Rates ; Foreign Exchange ; Growth Rates ; Interest Rate Differentials ; Interest Rates ; International Capital Flows ; International Monetary Fund ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Authorities ; Monetary Authority ; Monetary Economics ; Monetary Policy ; Monetary Shocks ; Nominal Exchange Rate ; Private Sector Development ; Real Exchange Rate ; Real Interest Rates ; Tight Monetary Policy ; Balance Of Payments ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Fixed Exchange Rate ; Fixed Exchange Rates ; Fixed Nominal Exchange Rates ; Foreign Exchange ; Growth Rates ; Interest Rate Differentials ; Interest Rates ; International Capital Flows ; International Monetary Fund ; Macroeconomic Management ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Authorities ; Monetary Authority ; Monetary Economics ; Monetary Policy ; Monetary Shocks ; Nominal Exchange Rate ; Private Sector Development ; Real Exchange Rate ; Real Interest Rates ; Tight Monetary Policy
    Abstract: January 2000 - No - there is no systematic association between interest rates and the outcome of speculative attacks. Drawing on evidence from a large sample of speculative attacks in industrial and developing countries, Kraay argues that high interest rates do not defend currencies against speculative attacks. In fact, there is a striking lack of any systematic association between interest rates and the outcome of speculative attacks. The lack of clear empirical evidence on the effects of high interest rates during speculative attacks mirrors the theoretical ambiguities on this issue. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the causes and consequences of financial crises. The author may be contacted at akraayworldbank.org
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  • 45
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (52 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Harrison, E. Ann Ownership versus Environment
    Keywords: Budget ; Capital ; Competition ; Corporation ; Cost ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Economic Theory and Research ; Efficiency ; Elasticity ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Incentive ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Hands ; Private Sector ; Production ; Productivity ; Prof Public Sector ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Management and Reform ; Republic ; Social Protections and Labor ; State ; State Owned Enterprise Reform ; Utility ; Budget ; Capital ; Competition ; Corporation ; Cost ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Economic Theory and Research ; Efficiency ; Elasticity ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Incentive ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Hands ; Private Sector ; Production ; Productivity ; Prof Public Sector ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Management and Reform ; Republic ; Social Protections and Labor ; State ; State Owned Enterprise Reform ; Utility ; Budget ; Capital ; Competition ; Corporation ; Cost ; Debt Markets ; Demand ; Economic Theory and Research ; Efficiency ; Elasticity ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Incentive ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Labor ; Labor Policies ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Microfinance ; Political Economy ; Private Hands ; Private Sector ; Production ; Productivity ; Prof Public Sector ; Public Sector Economics and Finance ; Public Sector Management and Reform ; Republic ; Social Protections and Labor ; State ; State Owned Enterprise Reform ; Utility
    Abstract: January 2000 - Is public sector inefficiency due primarily to agency-type problems (ownership) or to the environment in which public enterprises operate (as measured by soft budget constraints or barriers to competition)? Both. Bartel and Harrison compare the performance of public and private sector manufacturing firms in Indonesia for 1981-95. They analyze whether public sector inefficiency is due primarily to agency-type problems (ownership) or to the business environment in which public enterprises operate, as measured by soft budget constraints or barriers to competition. They nest the two alternatives in a production function framework. The results, obtained from fixed-effects specifications, provide support for both models. The business environment matters. Only public enterprises that received loans from state banks or those shielded from import competition performed worse than private enterprises. Ownership matters. For a given level of import competition or soft loans, public enterprises perform worse than their counterparts in the private sector. Eliminating soft loans to Indonesia's public enterprises would raise total factor productivity by 6 percentage points; the same result could be achieved by increasing import penetration by 15 percentage points. Bartel and Harrison show that these findings are not due to selection effects for either privatization or the receipt of soft loans. This paper - a product of Poverty and Human Resources, Development Research Group - was part of a study funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project The Impact of Labor Market Policies and Institutions on Economic Performance (RPO 680-96). Ann Harrison may be contacted at aharrisoresearch.gsb.columbia.edu
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  • 46
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Panagariya, Arvind Evaluating the Case for Export Subsidies
    Keywords: Adverse Selection ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Competitiveness ; Cred Export ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Export Performance ; Export Subsidies ; Export Subsidy ; Exports ; Externalities ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Trade ; Free Trade ; Interest ; Interests ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moral Hazard ; Perfect Competition ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Rent ; Tariff ; Tariffs ; Tax ; Tax Law ; Taxation and Subsidies ; Taxes ; Trade Policy ; Adverse Selection ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Competitiveness ; Cred Export ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Export Performance ; Export Subsidies ; Export Subsidy ; Exports ; Externalities ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Trade ; Free Trade ; Interest ; Interests ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moral Hazard ; Perfect Competition ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Rent ; Tariff ; Tariffs ; Tax ; Tax Law ; Taxation and Subsidies ; Taxes ; Trade Policy ; Adverse Selection ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Competitiveness ; Cred Export ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Export Performance ; Export Subsidies ; Export Subsidy ; Exports ; Externalities ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Foreign Trade ; Free Trade ; Interest ; Interests ; International Economics & Trade ; Investment ; Law and Development ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Moral Hazard ; Perfect Competition ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Development ; Rent ; Tariff ; Tariffs ; Tax ; Tax Law ; Taxation and Subsidies ; Taxes ; Trade Policy
    Abstract: January 2000 - With import-substitution policies discredited, many have argued for interventions on behalf of export interests. But aren't arguments for export subsidies as flawed as arguments for import substitution? Now that import-substitution policies have failed and been discredited, there has been a shift in favor of interventions on behalf of export interests. Panagariya argues that close scrutiny reveals these arguments to be as flawed as the old arguments for import substitution. Among other things, Panagariya concludes that: · Under perfect competition, a country trying to retaliate against a trading partner's export subsidies by instituting its own export subsidies will only hurt itself. · The argument that export subsidies may be useful for neutralizing import tariffs is spurious. In most practical situations, this is not possible. Removal of tariffs is a far superior policy. · In principle a case can be made for protecting infant export industries in the presence of externalities. But the empirical relevance of externalities remains as illusory for export industries as it was for import-substituting industries. · Adverse selection and moral hazard can lead to the thinning of the market for credit insurance but that is not a case for government intervention. · India's experience shows export subsidies to have little impact on exports. Brazil and Mexico's experience shows export subsidies to be a costly instrument of export diversification. · Those who argue that pro-export interventions were important in East Asia have not provided convincing evidence of a causal relationship between the interventions and growth. This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to explore conceptual and practical issues in the export policies of developing countries. The author may be contacted at panagariecon.umd.edu
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  • 47
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (58 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Klingebiel, Daniela The Use of Asset Management Companies in the Resolution of Banking Crises
    Keywords: Asset Management ; Asset Management Companies ; Bad Debt ; Bank ; Bank Restructuring ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Distress ; Banking System ; Bankruptcy ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Debt Restructuring ; Enterprises ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Governments ; Impaired Assets ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Laws ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Asset Management ; Asset Management Companies ; Bad Debt ; Bank ; Bank Restructuring ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Distress ; Banking System ; Bankruptcy ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Debt Restructuring ; Enterprises ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Governments ; Impaired Assets ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Laws ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Asset Management ; Asset Management Companies ; Bad Debt ; Bank ; Bank Restructuring ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking Distress ; Banking System ; Bankruptcy ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Debt Restructuring ; Enterprises ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Governments ; Impaired Assets ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Laws ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Systemic Banking Crises
    Abstract: Asset management companies have been used to address the overhang of bad debt in a country's financial system - by expediting corporate restructuring or rapidly disposing of corporate assets. A study of seven cases suggests that such companies tend to be ineffective at corporate restructuring and are good at disposing of assets only when they're used to meet fairly narrow objectives in the presence of certain factors: an easily liquefiable asset (such as real estate), mostly professional management, political independence, adequate bankruptcy and foreclosure laws, skilled resources, appropriate funding, good information and management systems, and transparent operations and processes. - Asset management companies have been used to address the overhang of bad debt in the financial system. There are two main types of asset management company: those set up to expedite corporate restructuring and those established for rapid disposal of assets. A review of seven asset management companies reveals a mixed record. In two of three cases, asset management companies for corporate restructuring did not achieve their narrow goal of expediting bank or corporate restructuring, suggesting that they are not good vehicles for expediting corporate restructuring. Only a Swedish asset management company successfully managed its portfolio, acting sometimes as lead agent in restructuring - and helped by the fact that the assets acquired had mostly to do with real estate, not manufacturing, which is harder to restructure, and represented a small fraction of the banking system's assets, which made it easier for the company to remain independent of political pressures and to sell assets back to the private sector. Asset management companies used to dispose of assets rapidly fared somewhat better. Two of four agencies (in Spain and the United States) achieved their objectives, suggesting that asset management companies can be used effectively for narrowly defined purposes of resolving insolvent and inviable financial institutions and selling off their assets. Achieving these objectives required an easily liquefiable asset - real estate - mostly professional management, political independence, adequate bankruptcy and foreclosure laws, appropriate funding, skilled resources, good information and management systems, and transparent operations and processes. The other two agencies (in Mexico and the Philippines) were doomed from the start, as governments transferred to them politically motivated loans or fraudulent assets, which were difficult for a government agency susceptible to political pressure and lacking independence to resolve or sell off. This paper - a product of the Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the management of banking crises. The author may be contacted at dklingebielworldbank.org
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  • 48
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Mehrez, Gil Transparency, Liberalization, and Banking Crises
    Keywords: Bank Lending ; Banking Crises ; Banking Crisis ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Depos Equity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Liberalization ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Fiscal Policy ; Information On Borrowers ; International Investments ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Lack Of Transparency ; Lenders ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Oligopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Stock ; Stock Market ; Transparency ; Bank Lending ; Banking Crises ; Banking Crisis ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Depos Equity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Liberalization ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Fiscal Policy ; Information On Borrowers ; International Investments ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Lack Of Transparency ; Lenders ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Oligopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Stock ; Stock Market ; Transparency ; Bank Lending ; Banking Crises ; Banking Crisis ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Depos Equity ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Intermediation ; Financial Liberalization ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Fiscal Policy ; Information On Borrowers ; International Investments ; Investment ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Lack Of Transparency ; Lenders ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Oligopoly ; Private Sector Development ; Prof Stock ; Stock Market ; Transparency
    Abstract: Lack of transparency increases the probability of a banking crisis following financial liberalization. In a country where government policy is not transparent, banks may tend to increase credit above the optimal level. - Mehrez and Kaufmann investigate how transparency affects the probability of a financial crisis. They construct a model in which banks cannot distinguish between aggregate shocks and government policy, on the one hand, and firms' quality, on the other. Banks may therefore overestimate firms' returns and increase credit above the level that would be optimal given the firms' returns. Once banks discover their large exposure, they are likely to roll over loans rather than declare their losses. This delays the crisis but increases its magnitude. The empirical evidence, based on data for 56 countries in 1977-97, supports this theoretical model. The authors find that lack of transparency increases the probability of a crisis following financial liberalization. This implies that countries should focus on increasing transparency of economic activity and government policy, as well as increasing transparency in the financial sector, particularly during a period of transition such as financial liberalization. This paper - a product of Governance, Regulation, and Finance, World Bank Institute - is part of a larger effort in the institute to research governance and transparency and apply the findings in learning and operational programs. (For details, visit www.worldbank.org/wbi/gac.) The authors may be contacted at gmehrezworldbank.org or dkaufmann@worldbank.org
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  • 49
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (40 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Honohan, Patrick Controlling the Fiscal Costs of Banking Crises
    Keywords: Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Guarantees ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Gambling ; Governments ; Inflation ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Real Sector ; Regulatory Forbearance ; Strategies ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Taxation ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Guarantees ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Gambling ; Governments ; Inflation ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Real Sector ; Regulatory Forbearance ; Strategies ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Taxation ; Bank ; Banking ; Banking Crises ; Banking System ; Banking Systems ; Banks ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Central Banks ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt Markets ; Deposit Guarantees ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Crisis Management and Restructuring ; Financial Institutions ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Systems ; Gambling ; Governments ; Inflation ; Liquidation ; Loans ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Real Sector ; Regulatory Forbearance ; Strategies ; Systemic Banking Crises ; Taxation
    Abstract: September 2000 - Certain measures add greatly to the fiscal cost of banking crises: unlimited deposit guarantees, open-ended liquidity support, repeated recapitalization, debtor bail-outs, and regulatory forbearance. The findings in this paper tilt the balance in favor of a strict rather than an accommodating approach to crisis resolution. In recent decades, a majority of countries have experienced a systemic banking crisis requiring a major-and expensive-overhaul of their banking system. Not only do banking crises hit the budget with outlays that must be absorbed by higher taxes (or spending cuts), but they are costly in terms of forgone economic output. Many different policy recommendations have been made for limiting the cost of crises, but there has been little systematic effort to see which recommendations work in practice. Honohan and Klingebiel try to quantify the extent to which fiscal outlays incurred in resolving banking distress can be attributed to crisis management measures of a particular kind adopted by the government in the early years of the crisis. They find evidence that certain crisis management strategies appear to add greatly to fiscal costs: unlimited deposit guarantees, open-ended liquidity support, repeated recapitalization, debtor bail-outs, and regulatory forbearance. Their findings clearly tilt the balance in favor of a strict rather than an accommodating approach to crisis resolution. At the very least, regulatory authorities who choose an accommodating or gradualist approach to an emerging crisis must be sure they have some other way to control risk-taking. This paper-a product of Finance, Development Research Group, and Financial Sector Strategy and Policy Department-is part of a larger effort in the Bank to examine the effects of financial sector regulation. The authors may be contacted at phonohanworldbank.org or dklingebiel@worldbank.org
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  • 50
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (48 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Loayza, Norman External Sustainability
    Keywords: Assets ; Capital Controls ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Current Account ; Current Account Deficits ; Current Account Imbalances ; Current Account Surplus ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Investors ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Equilibrium Condition ; External Deficits ; External Position ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Foreign Asset ; Foreign Asset Positions ; Imbalances ; Investment Opportunities ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Long-Run Equilibrium ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Risks ; Assets ; Capital Controls ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Current Account ; Current Account Deficits ; Current Account Imbalances ; Current Account Surplus ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Investors ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Equilibrium Condition ; External Deficits ; External Position ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Foreign Asset ; Foreign Asset Positions ; Imbalances ; Investment Opportunities ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Long-Run Equilibrium ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Risks ; Assets ; Capital Controls ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Current Account ; Current Account Deficits ; Current Account Imbalances ; Current Account Surplus ; Debt Markets ; Domestic Investors ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Equilibrium ; Equilibrium Condition ; External Deficits ; External Position ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Markets ; Foreign Asset ; Foreign Asset Positions ; Imbalances ; Investment Opportunities ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Long-Run Equilibrium ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Private Sector Development ; Risk ; Risks
    Abstract: The 1994 crisis in Mexico, developments in East Asia, and persistent turmoil in world financial markets have dramatized the role of external imbalances in macroeconomic crises. Some believe that the current account should be kept from rising beyond a sustainable level, some that a current account surplus is the only solid external position. Can those rules of thumb be justified analytically? - Calderón, Loayza, and Servén consider external sustainability from the perspective of equilibrium in net foreign asset positions. Under their approach, an external situation is sustainable if it is consistent with international and domestic investors' achieving their desired portfolio allocation across countries. They develop a reduced-form model of net foreign asset positions whose long-run equilibrium condition expresses the ratio of net foreign assets to the total wealth of domestic residents as a negative function of investment returns in the country relative to the rest of the world, a positive function of investment risk, and an inverse function of the ratio of foreign-owned to domestically owned wealth. To estimate this equilibrium condition, the authors use a newly constructed data set of foreign asset and liability stocks for a large group of industrial and developing countries, from the 1960s to the present. They also develop summary measures of country returns and risks. Their econometric methodology is an application of the Pooled Mean Group estimator recently developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (1999), which allows for unrestricted cross-country heterogeneity in short-term dynamics while imposing a common long-run specification. The estimation results lend considerable support to the model, especially when applied to countries with low capital controls or high or upper-middle income. The results for countries with high capital controls and, especially, lower-income countries are less supportive of the stock equilibrium model. As a byproduct of the model's estimation, the authors obtain estimates of the long-run equilibrium ratios of net foreign assets to wealth, conditional on the observed values of the country's relative returns, risks, and wealth. Then, for a selected group of industrial and developing countries, they evaluate the extent to which actual ratios diverge from their long-run counterparts - and hence the sustainability of current net foreign asset positions. This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region - is part of a larger effort to assess the sustainability of the external accounts of the major countries in the region. The authors may be contacted at nloayzacondor.bcentral.cl or lserven@worldbank.org
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  • 51
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (76 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Zuluaga, MariaAna Reforming the Urban Water System in Santiago, Chile
    Keywords: Bill Collection ; Cubic Meters ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Infrastructure Economics and Finance ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Number Of Connections ; Price Of Water ; Private Participation in Infrastructure ; Private Sector Development ; Private Utility ; Public Works ; Sewage Treatment ; Sewerage Services ; Tariff Decisions ; Tariff Setting ; Tariff Setting Process ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Companies ; Water Conservation ; Water Consumption ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Services ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water Supply and Systems ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water Tariffs ; Water and Industry ; Bill Collection ; Cubic Meters ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Infrastructure Economics and Finance ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Number Of Connections ; Price Of Water ; Private Participation in Infrastructure ; Private Sector Development ; Private Utility ; Public Works ; Sewage Treatment ; Sewerage Services ; Tariff Decisions ; Tariff Setting ; Tariff Setting Process ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Companies ; Water Conservation ; Water Consumption ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Services ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water Supply and Systems ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water Tariffs ; Water and Industry ; Bill Collection ; Cubic Meters ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Infrastructure Economics and Finance ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Number Of Connections ; Price Of Water ; Private Participation in Infrastructure ; Private Sector Development ; Private Utility ; Public Works ; Sewage Treatment ; Sewerage Services ; Tariff Decisions ; Tariff Setting ; Tariff Setting Process ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Companies ; Water Conservation ; Water Consumption ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Services ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water Supply and Systems ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water Tariffs ; Water and Industry
    Abstract: Why did reform in Santiago improve water system performance, when similar reform attempts under public management in other countries failed?In the late 1980s, Chile planned to privatize Santiago's sanitary works enterprise (EMOS) but instead reformed it under public ownership. It did so through a regulatory framework that mimicked the design of a concession with a private utility, setting tariffs that ensured at least a 7 percent return on assets, creating a neutral regulator independent of ministry intervention, and giving EMOS the right to appeal the regulator's tariff decisions. This reform of Santiago's water system is often cited as a case of successful reform under public management. Comparing a comprehensive measure of welfare with a counterfactual example, Shirley, Xu, and Zuluaga show surprisingly large gains from Santiago's reform, given the relatively good initial conditions. (The gains accrued largely to government and employees, but consumers benefited from improved service and coverage.) Why did reform in Santiago improve water system performance, when similar reform attempts under public management in other countries failed? Chile has a long tradition of private water rights, shaped by early recognition that water is a scarce and tradable private good. · The reformed regulatory framework was designed to attract private investors to the water system and to motivate them to operate efficiently and expand the system. · Chile's unique electoral institutions sustained this framework under state operation after democracy was restored. · Chile's strong bureaucratic norms and institutions (permitting little corruption), combined with Santiago's relatively low-cost water system, permitted prices that effectively increased quasi-rents for investing in the system while minimizing the risk of inefficiency or monopoly rents. The authors also address the question of why EMOS was reformed but not privatized, and what the costs of not privatizing were. The system was privatized in 1999, but the changes from privatization are likely to be less significant than those introduced in 1989-90. This paper - a product of Regulation and Competition Policy, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to draw lessons from regulatory reform and understand political and institutional change. This study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project Competition and Privatization in Urban Water Supply (RPO 682-64). Mary Shirley may be contacted at mshirleyworldbank.org
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  • 52
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Budina, Nina Fiscal Deficits, Monetary Reform, and Inflation Stabilization in Romania
    Keywords: Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Deficits ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Defic Exchange ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Expenditure ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fiscal Deficits ; Fiscal Policy ; Government Expenditures ; Inflation ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Policy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Debt ; Public Investment ; Public Sector Defic Revenues ; Tax ; Transition Economies ; Transition Economy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Deficits ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Defic Exchange ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Expenditure ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fiscal Deficits ; Fiscal Policy ; Government Expenditures ; Inflation ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Policy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Debt ; Public Investment ; Public Sector Defic Revenues ; Tax ; Transition Economies ; Transition Economy ; Banks and Banking Reform ; Budget ; Budget Deficits ; Central Bank ; Currencies and Exchange Rates ; Debt ; Debt Markets ; Defic Exchange ; Economic Stabilization ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Exchange Rate ; Expenditure ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Fiscal Deficits ; Fiscal Policy ; Government Expenditures ; Inflation ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Monetary Policy ; Private Sector Development ; Public Debt ; Public Investment ; Public Sector Defic Revenues ; Tax ; Transition Economies ; Transition Economy
    Abstract: March 2000 - Fiscal problems are a key factor behind the inflation that has persisted in Eastern Europe since 1989. Deficits need to be cut back, but by how much for a given inflation target? A simple framework links debt, the deficit, and inflation to assess the fiscal stance of the Romanian economy. Unsustainable fiscal deficits were the chief reason for the inflation that has persisted in Eastern Europe since 1989. Deficits need to be cut back, but by how much for a given inflation target? Budina and van Wijnbergen develop a simple framework for debt, the deficit, and inflation to study the interactions between fiscal and monetary policy in Romania's economy. This framework can be used to 1) determine the financeable deficit and the required deficit reduction for a given rate of output growth, inflation rate, and target for debt-output ratios, and 2) to find the inflation rate for which no fiscal adjustment is needed. They use this framework to assess consistency between inflation, monetary reform, and fiscal policy in Romania. Many of the issues in Romania are similar to those in other countries. But Romania is an interesting case because of its history of unsuccessful stabilization attempts. The authors' results suggest that fiscal problems during 1992-94 were masked by shifting government expenses to the books of the National Bank of Romania so that the government deficit did not fully reflect public spending. In addition, the effects of delayed fiscal adjustment were mitigated by exchange rate overvaluation and favorable debt dynamics. In the late 1990s, however, debt dynamics worsened and the economy experienced significant real depreciation. That exacerbated the fiscal problems and increased the fiscal adjustment needed to restore consistency. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study transition economies. The authors may be contacted at nbudinaworldbank.org or svw.heas@wxs.nl
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  • 53
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (20 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Denizer, Cevdet Household Savings in Transition Economies
    Keywords: Bank ; Consumer ; Debt Markets ; Earnings ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Future Income ; Household Expenditure ; Household Savings ; Income ; Incomes ; Lifetime ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market Economies ; Poverty Reduction ; Precautionary Savings ; Private Sector Development ; Productivity ; Purchases ; Rapid Growth ; Retail Cred Savings Behavior ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Savings Rates ; Social Welfare ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Bank ; Consumer ; Debt Markets ; Earnings ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Future Income ; Household Expenditure ; Household Savings ; Income ; Incomes ; Lifetime ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market Economies ; Poverty Reduction ; Precautionary Savings ; Private Sector Development ; Productivity ; Purchases ; Rapid Growth ; Retail Cred Savings Behavior ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Savings Rates ; Social Welfare ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Bank ; Consumer ; Debt Markets ; Earnings ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Future Income ; Household Expenditure ; Household Savings ; Income ; Incomes ; Lifetime ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market Economies ; Poverty Reduction ; Precautionary Savings ; Private Sector Development ; Productivity ; Purchases ; Rapid Growth ; Retail Cred Savings Behavior ; Rural Development ; Rural Poverty Reduction ; Savings Rates ; Social Welfare ; Unemployment ; Wages
    Abstract: In Bulgaria, Hungary, and Poland, the higher the relative household income is, the higher the savings rate is. But, surprisingly, savings rates appear to be unaffected by either sector of employment (public or private) or form of employment. Savings rates are significantly higher for households that do not own their own homes or that own few of the standard consumer durables - possibly because, with no retail credit or mortgage markets, households must save to purchase houses and durables. - During the transition from central planning to market economies now under way in Eastern Europe, output levels first collapsed by 40 to 50 percent in most countries, then staged a modest recovery in the last two years. Longer-term revival of growth requires a resumption of investment and thus, realistically, of domestic savings. To explore the determinants of household savings rates in transition economies, Denizer, Wolf, and Ying studied matching household surveys for three Central European economies: Bulgaria, Hungary, and Poland. They find that savings rates strongly increase with relative income, suggesting that increasing income inequality may play a role in determining savings rates. Savings rates are significantly higher for households that do not own their homes or that own few of the standard consumer durables - possibly because, with no retail credit or mortgage markets, households must save to purchase houses and durables. The influence of demographic factors broadly matches earlier findings for developing countries. Perhaps surprisingly, variables associated with the household's position in the transition process - including either sector of employment (public or private) or form of employment - do not play a significant role in determining savings rates. This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to understand determinants of savings, at both the household and the aggregate level
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  • 54
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (36 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Budina, Nina Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices
    Keywords: Bond ; Bond Issues ; Bond Price ; Bond Prices ; Bonds ; Debt Management ; Debt Markets ; Debt Prices ; Debt Service ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Support ; Foreign Debt ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Macroeconomic Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Option ; Price Movement ; Private Sector Development ; Savings Bank ; Secondary Market ; Secondary Market Debt ; Secondary Market Price ; Bond ; Bond Issues ; Bond Price ; Bond Prices ; Bonds ; Debt Management ; Debt Markets ; Debt Prices ; Debt Service ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Support ; Foreign Debt ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Macroeconomic Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Option ; Price Movement ; Private Sector Development ; Savings Bank ; Secondary Market ; Secondary Market Debt ; Secondary Market Price ; Bond ; Bond Issues ; Bond Price ; Bond Prices ; Bonds ; Debt Management ; Debt Markets ; Debt Prices ; Debt Service ; Economic Theory and Research ; Emerging Markets ; Emerging Markets ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Financial Support ; Foreign Debt ; Macroeconomic Stabilization ; Macroeconomic Variables ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Market ; Markets and Market Access ; Option ; Price Movement ; Private Sector Development ; Savings Bank ; Secondary Market ; Secondary Market Debt ; Secondary Market Price
    Abstract: Macroeconomic variables and changes in foreign reserves affect the secondary market price of Brady bonds in Bulgaria. So do changes in the external environment, including crises in other parts of the world. - To analyze the main determinants of secondary market prices of Bulgarian Brady bonds, Budina and Mantchev investigate to what extent fluctuations in domestic fundamentals affect the bonds' secondary market price. They also assess the extent to which external shocks affect the bonds' prices. They estimate the long-term relationship between domestic fundamentals and market prices of the bonds, using cointegration techniques. In the long run, they find that gross foreign reserves and exports had a positive effect on bond prices and the real exchange rate and Mexico's nominal exchange rate depreciation had a negative effect. In the short run, the Asian crisis had a negative impact, and Bulgaria's change in political regime and introduction of a currency board had a positive impact. Mexico's economic crisis in 1995 had contagion effects. The authors' empirical results confirm the view that the so-called fundamentals approach should be used to supplement the analysis of spillover effects for Bulgarian Brady bonds. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study transition economies. The authors may be contacted at nbudinaworldbank.org or tmantchev@hotmail.com
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  • 55
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (52 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Clarke, George Reforming the Water Supply in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
    Keywords: Central Government ; Concession Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Local Authorities ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Municipal Governments ; Municipalities ; Performance Indicators ; Population Growth ; Potable Water ; Private Operator ; Private Participation ; Service Quality ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Areas ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Supply ; Water Supply System ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water and Industry ; Central Government ; Concession Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Local Authorities ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Municipal Governments ; Municipalities ; Performance Indicators ; Population Growth ; Potable Water ; Private Operator ; Private Participation ; Service Quality ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Areas ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Supply ; Water Supply System ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water and Industry ; Central Government ; Concession Contract ; Debt Markets ; Economic Theory and Research ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Financial Literacy ; Industry ; Investment and Investment Climate ; Local Authorities ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Municipal Governments ; Municipalities ; Performance Indicators ; Population Growth ; Potable Water ; Private Operator ; Private Participation ; Service Quality ; Town Water Supply and Sanitation ; Urban Areas ; Urban Water ; Urban Water Supply ; Urban Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water ; Water Conservation ; Water Resources ; Water Sector ; Water Supply ; Water Supply System ; Water Supply and Sanitation ; Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions ; Water System ; Water Systems ; Water and Industry
    Abstract: June 2000 - The success of Abidjan's water sector is attributable to the government's consistent support for private sector participation in the sector and to the institutions that have guaranteed the private operator's property rights. Strong institutions with adequate human capital allow the government to supervise the private operator and monitor the contractual arrangement well, at least by regional standards. Compared with other urban water systems in West Africa, the water supply system in Abidjan performs very well. Documenting the recent history of that system, Ménard and Clarke try to answer three questions: What motivated reform in a system that was already performing well? How and why did the reform affect sector performance, and what additional changes might improve performance further? And what explains the relatively strong performance of Abidjan's water system? Is the success attributable primarily to an efficient contractual arrangement or more generally to Côte d'Ivoire's institutional environment? In a region plagued by political instability, Ivoirian political institutions were remarkably stable for close to 40 years. In part, the success of the Ivoirian model is the result of these institutions' stability and credibility. The single-party system in place at the time of reform might suggest that there were few restraints in place to prevent the government from behaving opportunistically. But several features of the institutional environment protected against such opportunism. Because of this, and because reform was based on a system already performing well, the contractual arrangement with a private operator proved exceptionally capable of adjusting even in the face of dramatic changes in the external environment. Institutional environments are not as favorable in other countries in the region, so similar contractual arrangements might be less successful elsewhere. Reform in Côte d'Ivoire was motivated primarily by a macroeconomic crisis, which reduced the resources available for public investment. Without either a sector crisis or a realignment of political forces, the will for reform was weak. Consequently, opportunities for improvement were missed and some problems remain. Among other ways in which the system could be improved: Splitting the water system into autonomous subsystems for different cities, and allowing bidding for investment contracts, would increase the chances of competition for investment, which does not currently exist. This paper - a product of Public Economics, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to promote competition and private sector development. The study was funded by the Bank's Research Support Budget under the research project Institutions, Politics, and Contracts: Private Sector Participation in Urban Water Supply (RPO 681-87). The authors may be contacted at menarduniv-paris1.fr or gclarke@worldbank.org
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