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  • 2015-2019  (62)
  • Wirtschaftsindikator
  • Wirtschaftsprognose
Material
Language
Year
Keywords
  • 1
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    Lusaka : CSO, Research & Dissemination Branch, Desktop Publ. | Lusaka | Lusaka : CSO, Information & Research Branch, Desktop Publ. ; Nachgewiesen 2.1992 - 5.1996(1997); [6.]1997(1998); 7.1998 -
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: Nachgewiesen 2.1992 - 5.1996(1997); [6.]1997(1998); 7.1998 -
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Selected socio-economic indicators
    DDC: 300
    Keywords: Sozialer Indikator ; Entwicklungsindikator ; Sambia ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Sozialstatistik ; Sambia ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik
    Note: Zählung aus d. Vorwort; 6.1997 im Vorw. als 5 bez.
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Paris : Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques ; Édition 2015-
    Show associated volumes/articles
    Language: French
    Pages: Online-Ressource
    Dates of Publication: Édition 2015-
    Series Statement: Collection Insee références
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als La France et ses territoires
    Former Title: Fortsetzung von La France et ses régions
    DDC: 310
    Keywords: Regionalstatistik ; Frankreich ; Region ; Gliedstaat ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Regionale Wirtschaftsstruktur ; Regionalentwicklung ; Regionalplanung ; Bevölkerungsentwicklung ; Infrastruktur ; Branche ; Frankreich ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur ; Statistik ; Zeitschrift
    Note: Gesehen am 23.11.2022
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  • 3
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    Pretoria : Stats SA ; Nachgewiesen 2000 -
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: Nachgewiesen 2000 -
    Parallel Title: Online-Ausg. Südafrika. Statistics Stats in brief
    Former Title: Vorg. Südafrika Statistics in brief
    DDC: 310
    Keywords: Statistik ; Südafrika ; Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Sozialstatistik ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Südafrikanische Republik Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistik ; Wirtschaftliche und soziale Indikatoren ; Sozioökonomische Entwicklung ; Südafrika ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Statistik ; Graue Literatur ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik
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  • 4
    ISSN: 0295-9976
    Language: French
    Dates of Publication: Nachgewiesen 4.1985 -
    Parallel Title: Online-Ausg. Consommation et modes de vie
    DDC: 330
    Keywords: Sozialprodukt ; Verwendung ; Verbrauch ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Lebensstandard ; Gesellschaft ; Entwicklung ; Frankreich Verwendung des Sozialprodukts ; Konsum ; Wirtschaftliche und soziale Indikatoren ; Lebensstandard ; Gesellschaftliche Prozesse ; Sozialstruktur ; Frankreich ; Zeitschrift
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  • 5
    Book
    Book
    Hamburg : Hoffmann & Campe
    Show associated volumes/articles
    Language: German
    Series Statement: Programm Wissenschaft
    RVK:
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Politischer Prozess ; Regionalentwicklung ; Politisches System ; Unterentwicklung ; Entwicklungstheorie ; Hypothese ; Theorie ; Analyse ; Entwicklungsmodell ; Entwicklungspolitik ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Entwicklung ; Ursache ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Endogenes Potenzial ; Bevölkerungsstruktur ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Entwicklungsländer ; Afrika ; Asien ; Lateinamerika ; Entwicklungsländer ; Entwicklungstheorie ; Entwicklungspolitik
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  • 6
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    Dodoma : National Bureau of Statistics | Dar es Salaam : National Bureau of Statistics ; Nachgewiesen 1999 -
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: Nachgewiesen 1999 -
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Tanzania in figures
    Keywords: Statistik ; Tansania ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Sozialstatistik ; Tansania ; Statistik ; Graue Literatur ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik
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  • 7
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    Nairobi : [Verlag nicht ermittelbar] ; Nachgewiesen 2008 -
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: Nachgewiesen 2008 -
    DDC: 310
    Keywords: Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Sozialstatistik ; Kenia Sozioökonomische Entwicklung ; Wirtschaftliche und soziale Indikatoren ; Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistik ; Kenia ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik
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  • 8
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    Lagos : [Verlag nicht ermittelbar] ; 1.1951 -
    ISSN: 0029-0017
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: 1.1951 -
    DDC: 310
    Keywords: Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Nigeria ; Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Sozialstatistik ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Nigeria ; Graue Literatur ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Statistik ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik
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  • 9
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    Lagos : [Verlag nicht ermittelbar] ; 1.1951 -
    ISSN: 0029-0017
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: 1.1951 -
    DDC: 310
    Keywords: Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Nigeria ; Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Sozialstatistik ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Nigeria ; Graue Literatur ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Statistik ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik
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  • 10
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    New York, NY : UNFPA ; Nachgewiesen 1986 -
    ISSN: 1564-8567 , 1564-8567
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: Nachgewiesen 1986 -
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als The state of world population report
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Weltbevölkerungsbericht
    DDC: 050
    Keywords: Bevölkerung ; Welt ; Entwicklungsländer ; Bevölkerungsentwicklung ; Internationale Organisation ; Politisches Ziel ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Familienplanung ; Bevölkerungspolitik ; Bevölkerungsentwicklung Ziele und Programme internationalen Akteurs ; Wirtschaftliche und soziale Indikatoren ; Familienplanung ; Bevölkerungspolitik ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur ; Zeitschrift ; Weltbevölkerung ; Zeitschrift
    Note: Wechselnder Zusatz ist Thema des Jahresberichts
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  • 11
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    Lagos : [Verlag nicht ermittelbar] ; 1.1951 -
    ISSN: 0029-0017
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: 1.1951 -
    DDC: 310
    Keywords: Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Nigeria ; Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Sozialstatistik ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Nigeria ; Graue Literatur ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Statistik ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik
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  • 12
    Journal/Serial
    Journal/Serial
    Frankfurt, M. [u.a.] : Campus-Verl. | Frankfurt, M. : Herder u. Herder ; 1.1974 -
    ISSN: 0931-3451
    Language: German
    Dates of Publication: 1.1974 -
    Additional Information: 1=1/2; 2=3; 3=4/5; 4=6; 5=7; 6=8/9; 7=10; 8=11; 9=12 von Deutsche Gesellschaft für Soziologie. Sektion Soziale Indikatoren Berichte und Diskussionen, Arbeitskonferenz Frankfurt, M. : Herder & Herder, 1974
    Series Statement: H & H Campus: Studien
    Series Statement: Reihe Gesellschaftswissenschaften
    DDC: 050
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Sozialer Indikator ; Deutschland ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Wissenschaft ; Methode ; Daten ; Vergleichbarkeit ; Monografische Reihe
    Note: Ab 4.1976 Schriftenreihe
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  • 13
    ISSN: 1027-5924
    Language: English
    Dates of Publication: Nachgewiesen 10.2003 -
    DDC: 310
    Keywords: Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Bruttoinlandsprodukt ; Preisindex ; Zahlungsbilanz ; Wechselkurs ; Botswana ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik
    Note: Herausgebendes Organ bis Volume 23, No. 2 (Februar 2016): Monetary and Financial Stability Department , Beteil. Körp. früher: Research Department, Bank of Botswana
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  • 14
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Paris : OECD Publishing ;
    ISBN: 9789264731295 , 9789295104792
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (254 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: Africa's development dynamics 2019
    Series Statement: Africa's development dynamics
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Achieving productive transformation
    Keywords: Afrikanische Union ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Entwicklung ; Unterentwicklung ; Ursache ; Internationale Organisation ; Politisches Ziel ; Ordnungspolitik ; Wirtschaft ; Transformation ; Interesse ; Grundlage ; Regionale Wirtschaftsstruktur ; Regionalentwicklung ; Regionalplanung ; Soziales Netzwerk ; Exportorientiertes Entwicklungsmodell ; Marktzugang ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Wirtschaftswachstum ; Leistungssteigerung ; Tendenz ; Finance and Investment ; Governance ; Taxation ; Development ; Transport ; Trade ; Industry and Services ; Afrika
    Abstract: What are the major economic and social trends in Africa? What is Africa’s role in globalisation? This annual report presents an Africa open to the world and towards the future. Africa’s Development Dynamics uses the lessons learned in the five African regions – Central, East, North, Southern and West Africa – to develop recommendations and share good practices. The report identifies innovative policies and offers practical policy recommendations, adapted to the specificities of African economies. Drawing on the most recent available statistics, this analysis of development dynamics aims to help African leaders reach the targets of the African Union’s Agenda 2063 at all levels: continental, regional, national, and local. Every year this report will focus on one strategic theme. This 2019 edition explores policies for productive transformation. It proposes three main policy focus for transforming firms: providing business services to clusters of firms; developing regional production networks; and improving exporting firms’ ability to thrive in fast-changing markets. This volume feeds into a policy debate between African Union’s nations, citizens, entrepreneurs and researchers. It aims to be part of a new co-operation between countries and regions focused on mutual learning and the preservation of common goods. This report is the result of a partnership between the African Union Commission and the OECD Development Centre.
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  • 15
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department working papers no. 1542
    Keywords: Bruttoinlandsprodukt ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Konjunktur ; Zentralbank ; Probit-Modell ; Vergleich ; Schweden ; England ; Economics ; United Kingdom ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: Fan charts were pioneered by the Bank of England and Riksbank and provide a visually appealing means to convey the uncertainty surrounding a forecast. This paper describes a method for parameterising fan charts around GDP growth forecasts by which the degree of uncertainty is based on past forecast errors, but the skew is derived from a probit modelbased assessment of the probability of a future downturn. The probit-based fan charts clearly out-perform the Bank of England and Riksbank approaches when applied to forecasts made immediately preceding the Global Financial Crisis. These examples also highlight weaknesses with the Bank of England and Riksbank approaches. The Riksbank approach implicitly assumes that forecast errors are normally distributed, but over a long track record this is unlikely to be the case because forecasters are generally poor at predicting downturns, which leads to bias and skew in the pattern of forecast errors. Thus, the Riksbank fan chart is neither an accurate representation of past forecast errors, nor is it a reflection of the risk assessment underlying the forecast. The Bank of England approach relies heavily on the judgment of the members of the Monetary Policy Committee to assess risks. However, even when they have correctly foreseen the nature of future risks, the quantitative translation of these risks into the fan chart skew has been too timid. Perhaps one reason for this is that the fan chart prediction intervals based on historical forecast errors already appear quite wide so that inflating them by adding skew may appear embarrassing (at least ex ante). The approach advocated in this paper addresses these weaknesses by recognising that forecast errors are not symmetrical: firstly, this leads to more compressed prediction intervals in the upper part of the fan chart (representing the possibility of under-prediction); and secondly, using the large forecast errors from past downturns to calibrate downward skew clearly supports a more bold approach when there is a risk of a downturn. A weakness of the probit model-based approach is that it will not predict atypical downturns. For example, in the current conjuncture it would not pick up risks associated with a ‘no deal’ Brexit or a global trade war. However, a downturn triggered by atypical events may be more severe if risk factors describing a typical business-financial cycle are also high.
    Note: Zusammenfassung in französischer Sprache
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 16
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: OECD trade policy papers no. 223
    Keywords: Dienstleistungshandel ; Außenwirtschaftspolitik ; Handelsliberalisierung ; Handelshemmnisse ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Trade ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: This paper presents new data on regulatory barriers affecting services trade within the European Economic Area (EEA), covering 25 EEA countries, 22 sectors and five years (2014-2018). Following the methodology of the OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI), qualitative information is scored and weighted to produce binary composite indices. The resulting intra-EEA STRIs reveal that services trade restrictiveness within the Single Market is considerably lower than the applied MFN regime of those EEA members. Moreover, they show that EEA members have achieved significant regulatory harmonisation through their integration process.
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 17
    ISBN: 3593510464 , 9783593510460
    Language: German
    Pages: 318 Seiten , Diagramme , 21.3 cm x 14 cm
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Lahusen, Christian, 1962 - Das gespaltene Europa
    DDC: 306.2094
    RVK:
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Europäische Union ; Mitgliedsstaaten ; Europäische Integration ; Internationale Organisation ; Entwicklung ; Politisches Mandat ; Öffentliche Meinung ; Politische Einstellung ; Politisches Bewusstsein ; Gesellschaftliches Bewusstsein ; Euroskeptizismus ; Interdependenz ; Verflechtung ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Politische Soziologie ; Modell ; Analyse ; Europäische Union ; Bevölkerung ; Soziale Situation ; Politische Einstellung ; Europäische Integration ; Politische Berichterstattung ; Zeitung ; Europäische Union ; Mitgliedsstaaten ; Politische Willensbildung ; Europäische Union ; Krise
    Note: Literaturverzeichnis: Seiten 291-318
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  • 18
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2019 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: In 2018, Indonesia's coordinated and prudent macroeconomic policy framework underpinned steadyeconomic growth, amid global volatility and several natural disasters. Real GDP growth strengthened to 5.2 percent yoy in 2018 from 5.1 percent in 2017. Growth decelerated only slightly in Q1 2019, to 5.1 percent yoy. Quarterly GDP growth has been broadly stable, remaining within a narrow range of 4.9-5.3 percent yoy for 14 consecutive quarters. The drivers of growth shifted in Q4 2018 and Q1 2019, as investment growth decelerated from multi-year highs, and both private and government consumption picked up. Investment slowed because of inventory destocking and easing fixed investment growth due to delays in new public projects in response to current account concerns, political uncertainty ahead of the general elections, and deteriorating prices of thecountry's key commodity exports and a maturing investment cycle in the mining sector. On the other hand, growth of private and government consumption gained on stronger spending by political parties and civil servant bonuses. Private consumption was also supported by low inflation and abuoyant labor market. Indonesia's oceans can be leveraged to make a larger contribution to the economy, both through higher revenues from tourism and fisheries and by enhancing resilience to natural disasters and climate change. This edition therefore discusses the importance of the maritime economy to Indonesia's economic development and presents the challenges and opportunities the country faces in leveraging the maritime economy for greater prosperity
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  • 19
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: Amid challenging global economic conditions and a substantial deterioration of its terms-of-trade, Indonesia's economic growth decelerated to 5.0 percent in the third quarter of 2019, from 5.1 percent in Q2. Domestic drivers of growth slowed. Fixed investment growth weakened further in Q3 given the significant decline in commodity prices, and as political uncertainty lingered prior to the announcement of the new cabinet. Total consumption also slowed, with Government consumption decelerating markedly. This weakness in domestic demand was mirrored by a large contraction of import volumes, which together with flat exports meant that net exports made a large contribution to growth
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  • 20
    ISSN: 0997-3192
    Language: French
    Dates of Publication: Nr. 1.1989(Febr.)-no 1786 (décembre 2019)
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques (Frankreich) INSEE première
    Former Title: Vorg. Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques (Frankreich) Premiers résultats / Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques
    DDC: 310
    Keywords: Konjunktur ; Frankreich ; Amtliche Statistik ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Frankreich Amtliche Statistik ; Wirtschaftliche und soziale Indikatoren ; Frankreich ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur ; Zeitschrift ; Statistik ; Frankreich ; Wirtschaft ; Statistik
    Note: 2020 fortgesetzt als Online-Ausgabe
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  • 21
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Geneva, Switzerland : International Labour Office | Cheltenham, UK : Edward Elgar Publishing
    ISBN: 9781788978071 , 1788978072
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (xviii, 483 Seiten)
    Series Statement: Elgaronline
    Series Statement: Edward Elgar books
    Series Statement: Edward Elgar E-Book Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Towards convergence in Europe
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Soziale Lage ; Arbeitsbeziehungen ; EU-Sozialrecht ; EU-Sozialpolitik ; Arbeitsmarkt ; Soziale Sicherheit ; EU-Staaten ; European Pillar of Social Rights ; Convergence (Economics) ; European Union countries Economic integration ; Electronic books ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Europäische Union ; Mitgliedsstaaten ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Institutionenökonomie ; Arbeitsbeziehungen
    Abstract: Contents: 1. Convergence in the EU: what role for industrial relations? / Daniel Vaughan-Whitehead and Rosalia Vazquez-Alvarez -- 2. Social convergence of the Baltic states within the enlarged EU: is limited social dialogue an impediment? / Jaan Masso, Vladyslav Soloviov, Kerly Espenberg and Inta Mierina -- 3. Belgium: is strong social concertation a driver of upward social convergence? / Ive Marx -- 4. Is France converging or not?: the role of industrial relations / Pierre Courtioux and Christine Erhel -- 5. Does the German social model support the convergence of living conditions in the EU? / Gerhard Bosch -- 6. Ireland after the Great Recession: convergence or divergence? / Philip J. O'Connell -- 7. Italy: how could industrial relations help a return to economic and social convergence? / Annamaria Simonazzi, Valerio Ciampa and Luca Villamaina -- Case study - Italy and Slovenia: two paths to labour market flexibility and social dialogue / Branko Bembič and Annamaria Simonazzi -- 8. The Netherlands: from convergence to divergence in Europe?: social dialogue and industrial relations in the face of household labour supply / Wiemer Salverda -- 9. Social convergence, development failures and industrial relations: the case of Portugal / Pilar González and António Figueiredo -- 10. Slovenia: social dialogue and social convergence between coordinated and dependent capitalism / Branko Bembič -- 11. Economic and social convergence in Spain: the elusive goal of catching up with the EU / Rafael Muñoz de Bustillo -- 12. Convergence towards better working and living conditions: the crucial role of industrial relations in Sweden / Dominique Anxo -- 13. The United Kingdom's record on economic and social convergence with europe: a pre-Brexit appraisal / Damian Grimshaw -- Index.
    Abstract: The main original aim of the European Union was to promote convergence towards higher economic growth and social standards. However, EU countries have sometimes experienced different trajectories, due in part to their different starting points and the fact that their convergence on particular socio-economic indicators has varied. At the same time, little evidence has so far been presented on cross-country convergence within the EU. This book aims to answer a number of important questions. To what extent have European countries converged or diverged with EU-wide economic and social indicators over the past 20 years? What have been the drivers of convergence? Why do some countries lag behind, while others experience continuous upward convergence? Why are these trajectories not always linear? Particular attention is paid to the role of institutions, actors and industrial relations - focusing on the resources and strategies of governments, employers and trade unions - in nudging EU countries onto an upward convergence path. This book provides a unique analysis of socio-economic indicators to identify convergence trends in the EU. It defines a number of clusters that help to gauge the strengths and weaknesses of national socio-economic models and the European Social Model. Cross-country case studies help to identify the possible impact of global movements (migration, foreign investment) and policies (social protection, social dialogue, employment) on cross-country convergence. This book offers a timely assessment of convergence within the EU, identifying its drivers in the world of work and in institutions and industrial relations. It presents examples of where institutions and industrial relations can change convergence outcomes and proposes a range of useful policy options. Scholars and researchers will find it an invaluable reference for studies of European affairs and social policies
    Note: Includes bibliographical references and index
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  • 22
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 46 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department working papers no. 1521
    Keywords: Bruttoinlandsprodukt ; Konjunktur ; Probit-Modell ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; OECD-Staaten ; Economics ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: This paper describes a method for parameterising fan charts around GDP growth forecasts of the major OECD economies as well as the aggregate OECD. The degree of uncertainty – reflecting the overall spread of the fan chart – is based on past forecast errors, but the skew – reflecting whether risks are tilted to the downside – is derived from a probit model-based assessment of the probability of a future downturn. This approach is applied to each of the G7 countries separately, with combinations of variables found to be useful in predicting future downturns at different horizons up to 8 quarters: at short horizons of 2-4 quarters, a flattening or inverted yield curve slope, recent sharp falls in house prices, share prices or credit; at longer horizons of 6-8 quarters, sustained strong growth in house prices, share prices and credit; and at all horizons, a tight labour market and rapid growth in OECD-wide (or in some cases euro-wide) house prices, share prices or credit. The in-sample fit of the probit models appears reasonably good for all G7 countries. The predicted probabilities from the probit models provide a graduated assessment of downturn risk, which is reflected in the degree of skew in the fan chart. Fan charts computed on an out-of-sample basis around pre-crisis OECD forecasts published in June 2008 encompass the extreme outturns associated with the Global Financial Crisis for five of the G7 countries. A weakness of the approach is that, although it predicts a clear majority of past downturns, it will not predict atypical downturns. For example, in the current conjuncture, it is unlikely that current concerns about risks associated with Brexit, an escalation of trade tensions or spillovers from emerging markets would be picked up by the models. At the same time, a severe downturn triggered by such atypical events might be more severe if more typical risk factors are also high.
    Note: Zusammenfassung in französischer Sprache
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 23
    ISBN: 9789264309173 , 9789264309166 , 9789264307292
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (144 p.) , 21 x 28cm.
    Parallel Title: Parallele Sprachausgabe Poza PKB. Mierzmy To Co Ma Znaczenie Dla Rozwoju Społeczno Gospodarczego
    Parallel Title: Parallele Sprachausgabe Jenseits des BIP: Was bei der wirtschaftlichen und sozialen Entwicklung wirklich zählt
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Stiglitz, Joseph E., 1943 - Beyond GDP
    DDC: 330
    RVK:
    Keywords: Sozialer Indikator ; Lebensqualität ; Soziale Lage ; Bruttoinlandsprodukt ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Messung ; Environment ; Governance ; Social Issues/Migration/Health ; Economics ; Soziale Situation ; Lebensqualität ; Bruttoinlandsprodukt ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Messung
    Abstract: Metrics matter for policy and policy matters for well-being. In this report, the co-chairs of the OECD-hosted High Level Expert Group on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress, Joseph E. Stiglitz, Jean-Paul Fitoussi and Martine Durand, show how over-reliance on GDP as the yardstick of economic performance misled policy makers who did not see the 2008 crisis coming. When the crisis did hit, concentrating on the wrong indicators meant that governments made inadequate policy choices, with severe and long-lasting consequences for many people. While GDP is the most well-known, and most powerful economic indicator, it can’t tell us everything we need to know about the health of countries and societies. In fact, it can’t even tell us everything we need to know about economic performance. We need to develop dashboards of indicators that reveal who is benefitting from growth, whether that growth is environmentally sustainable, how people feel about their lives, what factors contribute to an individual’s or a country’s success. This book looks at progress made over the past 10 years in collecting well-being data, and in using them to inform policies. An accompanying volume, For Good Measure: Advancing Research on Well-being Metrics Beyond GDP, presents the latest findings from leading economists and statisticians on selected issues within the broader agenda on defining and measuring well-being.
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  • 24
    ISBN: 3593508923 , 9783593508924
    Language: German
    Pages: 333 Seiten , Illustrationen, Diagramme , 21.3 cm x 14 cm
    Uniform Title: Wissenschaftliches Wissen über die wirtschaftliche Zukunft - eine Soziologie der Wirtschaftsprognostik
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Reichmann, Werner Wirtschaftsprognosen
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Reichmann, Werner Wirtschaftsprognosen
    Dissertation note: Habilitationsschrift Universität Konstanz 2016
    DDC: 306.42
    RVK:
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    Keywords: Wirtschaftsprognose ; Wissenssoziologie ; Wirtschaftssoziologie ; Deutschland ; Österreich ; Hochschulschrift ; Hochschulschrift ; Deutschland ; Österreich ; Konjunkturprognose ; Wissensproduktion ; Konjunkturprognose ; Wirtschaftssoziologie
    Note: Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 300 - 323
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  • 25
    ISBN: 9780300236941
    Language: English
    Pages: xxii, 279 Seiten , Diagramme , 20 cm
    Edition: New paperback edition
    DDC: 330.9
    RVK:
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    Keywords: Internationaler Wettbewerb ; Globalisierung ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Wirtschaftswachstum ; Westliche Staaten ; Schwellenländer ; Global Westliche Industrieländer ; Newly Industrializing Countries ; Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen ; Wirtschaftliche Entwicklung ; Globalisierung ; Internationale wirtschaftliche Dominanz/Abhängigkeit ; Herrschaftsstrukturen im internationalen System ; Strukturveränderungen im internationalen System ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Politischer Wandel ; Western countries Economic conditions 21st century ; Western countries Economic policy ; Developing countries Economic policy ; Weltwirtschaft ; Prognose ; Internationaler Wettbewerb ; Westliche Welt ; Wirtschaft
    Note: Formerly CIP , Includes bibliographical references and index
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  • 26
    ISBN: 9783593508924
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Reichmann, Werner Wirtschaftsprognosen
    DDC: 306.42
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    Keywords: Wirtschaftsprognose ; Wissenssoziologie ; Wirtschaftssoziologie ; Deutschland ; Österreich ; Hochschulschrift ; Deutschland ; Österreich ; Konjunkturprognose ; Wissensproduktion ; Konjunkturprognose ; Wirtschaftssoziologie
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  • 27
    Language: Spanish , Portuguese
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Aravena Reyes, Andrea La cuestión indígena en las ciudades de las Américas
    DDC: 305
    Keywords: Indigenes Volk ; Verstädterung ; Landflucht ; Großstadt ; Lebensbedingungen ; Soziales Grundrecht ; Vereinigungsfreiheit ; Koalitionsfreiheit ; Eigentumsgarantie ; Wirtschaftsfreiheit ; Staatstätigkeit ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Soziale Integration ; Identität ; Indígenas ; Políticas públicas ; Etnicidad ; Población indígena ; Urbanización ; Inclusión ; Identidad ; Lateinamerika ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Lateinamerika ; Stadt ; Indianer ; Soziale Situation ; Ausgrenzung
    Abstract: Esta es la primera obra resultante de la reflexión colectiva del Grupo de Trabajo Indígenas y espacio urbano de CLACO que reúne a investigadoras e investigadores de distintos países de las Américas. Cada uno de sus capítulos se basan en investigaciones realizadas en los últimos años sobre las problemáticas de la población indígena cuando reside o migra a las ciudades; en ellos se analizan las condiciones socioeconómicas de indígenas que viven en estos espacios urbanos y las distintas formas de ocupación, así como los avances y retrocesos en materia de políticas públicas con perspectiva intercultural, principalmente, enfocándose en la política social y en el cumplimiento de los derechos sociales en torno a la salud, educación, vivienda, trabajo digno, ocupación de la ciudad y cultura. Los trabajos también muestran las visiones de la población indígena, su relación con las instituciones públicas y con grupos y sectores de población no indígena en diferentes ámbitos sociales y espaciales de las ciudades. Destacan los distintos procesos de discriminación, especialmente la invisibilización de la población indígena que reside en las ciudades, invisibilización que se da tanto en las estadísticas oficiales, como en las políticas públicas y los imaginarios sociales urbanos. Para reflexionar sobre estos procesos, políticas e identidades realzamos su complejidad, asumiendo lo indígena como una cuestión que tiene un carácter conflictivo y problemático; ello supone privilegiar la tensión entre la tendencia a asimilar a las y los indígenas a la cultura occidental y una mirada culturalista que, al acentuar el respeto por las diferencias, aísla y despolitiza el asunto y corre el riesgo de atraparlo en lo local, restándole su capacidad de politizar la discusión en colectivos sociales más amplios.
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 28
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2018 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: After a challenging 10 months of capital outflows, currency depreciation, higher government bond yields and mounting pressures from fuel prices, November brought respite to Indonesia: global oil prices fell, and capital flows returned, leading to currency appreciation and lower bond yields. Nevertheless, the global and domestic dynamics that prevailed for the initial 10 months of 2018 remain mostly in place, and this edition of the Indonesian Economic Quarterly highlights the importance of structural reforms to increase exports and foreign direct investment, which will strengthen Indonesia's external position
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  • 29
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2018 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: This edition includes a focus topic that discusses how 15 years of education reforms have helped to improve education outcomes and human capital in Indonesia, and what challenges remain. The outcomes from 15 years of educational reform have been mixed, with a significant expansion inaccess, but a large deficit in quality. In 2002, Indonesia embarked on a series of policy reforms to strengthen access to and the quality of education, both key determinants of human capital development. After 15 years, however, the results of the reforms have been mixed. Enrolments have grown significantly, but student learning remains below the levels of other countries in the region. For example, 55 percent of 15-year olds are functionally illiterate, compared to lessthan 10 percent in Vietnam. Education reform covered the right areas, but implementation challenges led to uneven results. Most elements of the reforms were aligned with international best practices and had strong potential to improve Indonesian education outcomes. Educationreform included increasing financing for education, enhancing participation of local actors in sector governance, strengthening accountability, improving the quality of teachers, and ensuring students' preparedness as they enter schooling. Significant implementation challenges prevented the policy reform from reaching its full potential. While steps have been taken to address some ofthese challenges, further actions are urgently needed. In particular, measures need to be taken tostop growing inequality in student results, and to take advantage of the opportunity generated by the large number of teachers retiring in the next decade. Key recommendations include: defining and enforcing qualification criteria to be met by every teacher who enters the classroom, complementing the existing financing mechanisms for education with a targeted, performance-based transfer for lagging schools and districts, and launching a national education quality campaign to generate public awareness and pressure for effective action to improve student learning
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  • 30
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2018 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: Real GDP growth picked up to 5.2 percent yoy in Q4 from 5.1 percent in Q3, driven by higher domestic demand, in particular stronger investment. Private consumption growth also strengthened marginally, partly due to consumer price inflation easing in Q4. Export and import growth moderated from a peak in Q3 and remained robust due to a sustained recovery in global trade and commodity prices. Net exports, however, were a drag on growth in Q4, partly reflecting higher investment in machines and equipment and associated imports of capital goods. After significant destocking in Q3, inventories contributed positively to GDP growth. On the production side, growth in manufacturing accelerated, while construction and otherservices sectors saw the fastest growth
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  • 31
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2018 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: Real GDP grew 5.3 percent in the second quarter of 2018 from the previous year, as domestic demand strengthened. Private and government consumption accelerated thanks to higher subsidy and personnelspending, a pick-up in credit growth, higher agricultural incomes, and stable inflation. Strong job markets also helped: the employment rate reached a two-decade high of 65.7 percent in February, with the unemployment rate falling to 5.1 percent. Growth of machinery and equipment investment remained robust, but overall gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) slowed because investments in structures and buildings (three-quarters of GFCF) moderated, partly due to fewer working days. Despite escalating protectionism, both exports and imports grew over the quarter. Because import volumes grew nearly twice as fast as exports, net exports contracted, weighing on overall economic growth
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  • 32
    ISBN: 9781108399593 , 9781108423120 , 9781108423137 , 9781108423144 , 9781108399579 , 9781108436328 , 9781108436335 , 9781108436342
    Language: English
    Pages: viii, 366 pages , illustrations , 29 cm
    DDC: 306
    Keywords: Social change ; Progress ; Political science ; Civilization 21st century ; Gesellschaft ; Entwicklung ; Sozialpolitik ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Politischer Wandel ; Sozialer Wandel ; Soziokultureller Wandel ; Fortschritt ; Lebensqualität ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Politischer Prozess ; Internationale Politik ; Erde
    Note: Includes indexes , Volume 1. Socio-economic transformations -- Volume 2. Political regulation, governance and societal transformations -- Volume 3. Transformations in values, norms, cultures
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  • 33
    ISBN: 9788417133344
    Language: Spanish , Portuguese
    Pages: 374 Seiten , Karten , 23 cm
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Aravena Reyes, Andrea La cuestión indígena en las ciudades de las Américas
    DDC: 305
    Keywords: Indigenes Volk ; Verstädterung ; Landflucht ; Großstadt ; Lebensbedingungen ; Soziales Grundrecht ; Vereinigungsfreiheit ; Koalitionsfreiheit ; Eigentumsgarantie ; Wirtschaftsfreiheit ; Staatstätigkeit ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Soziale Integration ; Identität ; Lateinamerika ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Lateinamerika ; Stadt ; Indianer ; Soziale Situation ; Ausgrenzung
    Note: Literaturhinweise , Texts in Spanish and Portuguese
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  • 34
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Frankfurt ; New York :Campus Verlag,
    ISBN: 978-3-593-43863-4
    Language: German
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (333 Seiten) : , Illustrationen, Diagramme.
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Reichmann, Werner Wirtschaftsprognosen
    Dissertation note: Habilitationsschrift Universität Konstanz 2016
    DDC: 306.42
    RVK:
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    Keywords: Konjunkturprognose. ; Wirtschaftssoziologie. ; Wissenssoziologie. ; Wirtschaft. ; Prognose. ; Prognose ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Zukunft ; Erwartungen ; Wirtschaftssoziologie ; Wissenschaftssoziologie ; Hochschulschrift ; Hochschulschrift ; Konjunkturprognose ; Wirtschaftssoziologie ; Wissenssoziologie ; Wirtschaft ; Prognose
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Cover
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  • 35
    ISBN: 9780191860430
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (xii, 333 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Edition: First edition
    Series Statement: Oxford scholarship online
    Series Statement: Business and management
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Uncertain futures
    DDC: 330.0112
    RVK:
    Keywords: Erwartungsbildung ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Wirtschaftstheorie ; Capitalism ; Risk ; Economics Psychological aspects ; Macroeconomics ; Economic forecasting ; Uncertainty ; Economic forecasting ; Uncertainty ; Risk ; Capitalism ; Macroeconomics ; Economics ; Psychological aspects ; Makroökonomie ; Neue Makroökonomie ; Wirtschaftstheorie
    Abstract: 'Uncertain Futures' considers how economists visualize the future and decide how to act in conditions of uncertainty. Because dynamic capitalist economies are characterized by innovation and novelty they exhibit an indeterminacy that cannot be reduced. This book questions how expectations can be formed and decisions made in spite of uncertainty
    Note: This edition previously issued in print: 2018. - Includes bibliographical references and index , Zielgruppe - Audience: Specialized
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 36
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 45 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: OECD statistics working papers 2017, 08
    Keywords: Wertschöpfung ; Globalisierung ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Internationale Arbeitsteilung ; Economics ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Arbeitspapier ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: Traditionally, the main source of data used to measure countries’ participation in international production networks or global value chains (GVCs) has been conventional international trade statistics. However, international fragmentation of production has weakened the analytic interpretability of these data as intermediate goods but also services cross borders many times on the way to their final destination. This is often referred to as the double (or multiple)-counting problem of international trade Statistics. This, in turn, has led to the development of a new branch of trade statistics, referred to as Trade in Value-Added (TiVA) providing new insights on GVCs, and corresponding databases, notably the OECD-WTO TiVA database, which provide a measure of international interdependencies through the construction of global input-output tables that show how producers in one country provide goods and/or services to producers and consumers in others. But with the field still relatively new, many users are struggling to fully understand how these new indicators should be used and indeed how they have been constructed. This document is designed to address those difficulties, providing, where appropriate guidance on “dos” and “don’ts”. It also reviews many other typical GVC indicators derived outside of input-output frameworks; recognising that gross measures of trade, and indicators derived from them, remain important and relevant for policy making.
    Note: Zusammenfassung in französischer Sprache
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 37
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department working papers no. 1429
    Keywords: Strukturpolitik ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Datenbank ; Wirtschaftsforschung ; Schwellenländer ; Wirtschaftswachstum ; OECD-Staaten ; Economics ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: This document describes the OECD’s new Structural Policy Indicators Database for Economic Research (SPIDER). The database compiles data from various existing databases. It contains indicators capturing structural policies (including institutions, framework condition policies and policies specifically related to labour markets and drivers of productivity and investment such as trade, skills and innovation). It also contains some basic macroeconomic indicators. The main idea of the database is to provide all the data needed for empirical analysis on structural policies in one place to facilitate empirical investigations. The indicators collected comprise three types of data: data with long-time series covering OECD countries, data covering a larger set of countries for a varying number of years, and finally a set of time-invariant indicators. The paper illustrates the use of the database on the basis of different growth regressions employed in the literature.
    Note: Zusammenfassung in französischer Sprache
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 38
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department working papers no. 1428
    Keywords: Bruttoinlandsprodukt ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Konjunktur ; OECD-Staaten ; Economics ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: Forecasts of GDP growth are typically over-optimistic for horizons beyond the current year, particularly because they fail to predict the occurrence or severity of future downturns. Macroeconomic forecasters have also long been under pressure to convey the uncertainty surrounding their forecasts, particularly since the financial crisis. The current paper proposes a method to address both these issues simultaneously by constructing fan charts which are parameterised on the basis of the historical forecasting track record, but distinguish between a "safe" regime and a "downturn-risk" regime. To identify the two regimes, use is made of recent OECD work on early warning indicators of a prospective downturn, relating to housing market or credit developments. Thus, when an early warning indicator is “flashing", the associated fan chart is not only wider to reflect increased uncertainty, but is also skewed to reflect greater downside risks using a two-piece normal distribution of the form used by central banks to provide fan charts around inflation forecasts. Conversely, in a safe regime, when the early warning indicators are not flashing, as well as being symmetric, the fan chart is narrower both relative to the downturn-risk regime and relative to what the fan chart would be if the dispersion was calculated with respect to the entire forecast track record with no distinction between regimes. The method is illustrated by reference to OECD GDP forecasts for the major seven economies made just prior to the global financial crisis, with fan charts calibrated using the track record of forecasts published in the OECD Economic Outlook. Fan charts which take account of early warning indicators in this way are much better at encapsulating the outturns associated with a downturn than a symmetrical fan chart calibrated indiscriminately on all forecast errors.
    Note: Zusammenfassung in französischer Sprache
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 39
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Keywords: 2017 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: This Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) reports on the key developments over the past three months in Indonesia's economy as on January 2017. The return of global policy uncertainty and financial market volatility represent risks to Indonesia's growth outlook. However, Indonesia's recent economic performance and policy reforms can help weather these risks. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth eased in third quarter as government consumption fell. The current account deficit narrowed and direct investment was strong in third quarter. Domestic financial conditions remain robust despite recent global headwinds. Fiscal policy credibility was enhanced through expenditure cuts in 2016 and more realistic revenue targets in the approved 2017 Budget. Baseline projections for real GDP growth remain at 5.1 percent for 2016 and 5.3 percent in 2017. Improving the quality of public spending is critical for Indonesia to achieve its development goals in the short to medium term. Student-centered teaching practices result in better student learning outcomes
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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  • 40
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2017 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: The Indonesian economy strengthened modestly in third quarter(Q3). Economic growth was supported by higher commodity prices, stronger global growth, rebounding international trade, and relatively accommodative monetary and financial conditions. At the same time, domestic conditions improved, with tentative green shoots in private consumption and stronger domestic demand overall. This article addresses three main questions: (i) what happened to local service delivery during decentralization? (ii) how do we move the needle on local government performance in terms of provision of local services? and (iii) what design mechanisms can incentivize local leaders and sub-national governments to improve local service delivery? The authors offer three key policy recommendations to help align incentives to promote service delivery performance by local leaders and public officials: i) implementing good practices for evaluating local government performance; ii) embedding results-orientation into intergovernmental fiscal transfers;l and iii) use transparent and comparative local government performance data to stimulate citizen engagement
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  • 41
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2017 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: The Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) has two main aims. First, it reports on the key developments over the past three months in Indonesia's economy, and places these in a longerterm and global context. Based on these developments, and on policy changes over the period, the IEQ regularly updates the outlook for Indonesia's economy and social welfare. Second, the IEQ provides a more in-depth examination of selected economic and policy issues, and analysis of Indonesia's medium-term development challenges. It is intended for a wide audience, including policy makers, business leaders, financial market participants, and the community of analysts and professionals engaged in Indonesia's evolving economy
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  • 42
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2017 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: With a robust rate of economic growth, low current account deficit, a conservative fiscal deficit and inflation at a record low, the fundamentals of the Indonesian economy continue to be strong. Despite global policy uncertainty, economic growth strengthened in 2016 on the back of higher private consumption growth. The economic outlook remains positive, supported by a projected pick-up in the global economy and recovering commodity prices, carrying both investment and exports.Major shifts in trade policies among advanced economies, unexpected changes in U.S. monetary policy, political uncertainty in Europe, a protracted period of elevated domestic inflation, and weak fiscal revenues pose significant downside risks. Real GDP growth in Q4 2016 eased to 4.9 percent yoy from 5.0 percent in Q3, as government expenditure continued contracting and import growth rebounded. The 4.0 percent decline in government expenditure was the largest since Q1 2010, due in part to base effects of strong expenditure growth in Q4 2015. Meanwhile investment growth rose and export growth turned positive after eight quarters of contraction, in line with stronger commodity prices
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  • 43
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2017 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: Indonesia's real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 5.0 percent yoy in Q2 2017, unchanged from Q1. Growth rates have been steady at around 5 percent since Q1 2014, lower than those recorded at the beginning of the decade. While this growth rate places Indonesia among the fastest-growing large economies in the world, the lack of an acceleration is a matter of concern, considering the favorable external environment and domestic policy reform momentum. Government consumption is expected to increase in 2018, but deficits will remain contained due to enhanced revenue performance linked to economic growth and tax reforms. It is critical to maintain reform momentum as gaps in physical and human capital, as well as institutional quality, are still significant. The government has begun to take measures, but accelerating the pace of private sector investments to close the infrastructure gap with emerging economies will require further efforts
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  • 44
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Paris : OECD Publishing
    ISBN: 9789264294486 , 9789264264687 , 9789264264700
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (168 p.) , 14.5 x 22cm.
    Series Statement: OECD Insights
    Parallel Title: Parallele Sprachausgabe Débattre des enjeux : les nouvelles approches face aux défis économiques
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Debate the issues
    Keywords: Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Prognose ; Politik ; Welt ; Economics ; Bericht ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Weltwirtschaft
    Abstract: To capitalise on the new international resolve epitomised by COP21 and the agreement on the universal Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) requires a renewed effort to promote new policy thinking and new approaches to the great challenges ahead. Responding to new challenges means we have to adopt more ambitious frameworks, design more effective tools, and propose more precise policies that will take account of the complex and multidimensional nature of the challenges. The goal is to develop a better sense of how economies really work and to articulate strategies which reflect this understanding. The OECD’s New Approaches to Economic Challenges (NAEC) exercise challenges our assumptions and our understanding about the workings of the economy. This collection from OECD Insights summarises opinions from inside and outside the Organisation on how NAEC can contribute to achieving the SDGs, and describes how the OECD is placing its statistical, monitoring and analytical capacities at the service of the international community. The authors also consider the transformation of the world economy that will be needed and the long-term “tectonic shifts” that are affecting people, the planet, global productivity, and institutions.
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  • 45
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Paris : OECD Publishing
    ISBN: 9789264251861 , 9789264242661
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (100 p.) , 14.5 x 22cm.
    Series Statement: OECD Insights
    Parallel Title: Parallele Sprachausgabe Inversión: análisis de temas de actualidad
    Parallel Title: Parallele Sprachausgabe Débattre des enjeux : investissement
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Debate the issues
    Keywords: Auslandsinvestition ; Investition ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Prognose ; Politik ; Welt ; Finance and Investment ; Bericht ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Weltwirtschaft
    Abstract: Why do financial markets see so little risk, while companies that invest in the real economy appear to be much more prudent? How will we fund future pensions when interest on the products that finance them are so low? Where will the trillions of dollars needed to improve and extend infrastructures come from? How should international capital flows be regulated? These and other challenges are discussed in this collection of expert opinions on the social, economic and policy perspectives facing international investors, governments, businesses, and citizens worldwide.
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  • 46
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 30 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department working papers no. 1335
    Keywords: Finanzmarkt ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Schätztheorie ; OECD-Staaten ; Economics ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Arbeitspapier ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: Financial conditions indices (FCIs) have been developed to summarise financial conditions and also supplement more traditional macroeconomic forecasting. They capture market expectations but also quantitative and survey information. This paper seeks to provide up to date financial conditions indices for six countries, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States, as well as the euro area, updating earlier results by the OECD. The addition of the period of the financial crisis period has made radical changes to the original results of the FCI estimation. Country-specific estimates provide a number of wrong signs and insignificant coefficients. We find in general that the panel (and NiGEM) based FCIs are more satisfactory. Furthermore, a promising avenue for further research is the dynamic factor/principal components approach.
    Note: Zusammenfassung in französischer Sprache
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  • 47
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Paris : OECD Publishing
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 23 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department working papers no. 1336
    Keywords: Wirtschaftsprognose ; Prognoseverfahren ; OECD-Staaten ; Economics ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Arbeitspapier ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: This paper firstly describes the role of models in producing OECD global macroeconomic forecasts; secondly, reviews the OECD's forecasting track record; and finally, considers the relationship between forecast performance and models. OECD forecasts are not directly generated from a single global model, but instead rely heavily on expert judgment which is informed by inputs from a range of different models, with forecasts subjected to repeated peer review. For the major OECD economies, current year GDP growth forecasts exhibit a number of desirable properties including that they are unbiased, outperform naïve forecasts and mostly identify turning points. Moreover, there is a trend improvement in current-year forecasting performance which is partly attributed to the increasing use of high frequency ‘now-casting’ indicator models to forecast the current and next quarter’s GDP. Conversely, the track record of one-year-ahead forecasts is much less impressive; such forecasts are biased, often little better than naïve forecasts and are poor at anticipating downturns. Forecasts tend to cluster around those from other international organisations and consensus forecasts; it is particularly striking that differences in one-year-ahead forecasts between forecasters are relatively minor in comparison with the size of average errors made by all of them. This may reflect herding behaviour by forecasters as well as the mean reversion properties of models. These weaknesses in forecasting performance beyond the current year underline the importance of increased efforts to use models to characterise the risk distribution around the baseline forecast, including through the increased use of model-based scenario analysis.
    Note: Zusammenfassung in französischer Sprache
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  • 48
    Article
    Article
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    In:  CFDT: la revue (2016), 14, Seite 63-71 | year:2016 | number:14 | pages:63-71
    ISSN: 1280-8180
    Language: French
    Additional Material: Tab., Lit.Hinw.
    Titel der Quelle: CFDT: la revue
    Publ. der Quelle: Paris : CFDT, 1997
    Angaben zur Quelle: (2016), 14, Seite 63-71
    Angaben zur Quelle: year:2016
    Angaben zur Quelle: number:14
    Angaben zur Quelle: pages:63-71
    DDC: 306.4
    Keywords: Gesellschaft ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Wohlstand ; Lebensbedingungen ; Zufriedenheit ; Maßsystem ; Bruttoinlandsprodukt ; Indikator ; Methodologie ; Sozioökonomischer Wandel ; Frankreich
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  • 49
    Book
    Book
    Cambridge, Massachusetts : Harvard University Press
    ISBN: 9780674088825
    Language: English
    Pages: ix, 373 Seiten , Diagramme
    Parallel Title: Übersetzt als Beckert, Jens, 1967 - Imaginierte Zukunft
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Beckert, Jens, 1967 - Imagined futures
    DDC: 330.12/2
    RVK:
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    Keywords: Wirtschaftsprognose ; Erwartungsbildung ; Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit ; Kapitalismus ; Wirtschaftssoziologie ; Capitalism ; Economics ; Time and economic reactions ; Economic forecasting ; Decision making Economic aspects ; Bibliographie enthalten ; Kapitalismus ; Entscheidungsprozess ; Reaktion ; Zukunft ; Entscheidung ; Entscheidungsfindung ; Wirtschaftspolitik ; Wirtschaft ; Prognose ; Zukunftserwartung ; Gesellschaft ; Wirtschaftssoziologie
    Abstract: "Imagined Futures offers a new explanation for the dynamics of modern capitalism and the restlessness of our economy, based on our temporal orientation. Building on a historical account of how competition and the credit system have forced actors to orient their decisions towards a future that is portrayed and perceived as offering both limitless opportunities and immeasurable risks, Beckert shows how the uncertainty inherent in the future pressures actors to form expectations of distinct outcomes and prevents them from calculating optimal decisions. But how do actors make decisions in a world that contains such fundamental uncertainty? Beckert argues that decisions in the economy are based on imaginaries of the future, which he calls fictional expectations, which allow us to act as if we know the future, providing the reassurance needed to embrace endeavors whose outcomes are unknowable. Beckert shows how these fictional expectations are the underlying force that propels the economy, from investments and the operation of the monetary system to innovations and the purchase of new consumer goods, and how economic crises ensue when these fictional expectations collapse. With its focus on the role of expectations in the economy, Imagined Futures addresses the central macro-level question in the history of the social sciences: What are the sources of the epic growth and repeated crises in modern capitalism?"--Provided by publisher
    Description / Table of Contents: IntroductionPart One: Decision-making in an uncertain world -- The temporal order of capitalism -- Expectations and uncertainty -- Fictional expectations -- Part Two: Building blocks of capitalism -- Money and credit: the promise of future value -- Investments: imaginaries of profit -- Innovation: imaginaries of technological futures -- Consumption: value from meaning -- Part Three: Instruments of imagination -- Forecasting: creating the present -- Economic theory: the crystal ball of calculative devices -- Conclusion: the enchanted world of capitalism.
    Note: Hier auch später erschienene unveränderte Nachdrucke
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  • 50
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Keywords: 2015-2016 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: This Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) report discusses about the private investment which is essential for the economic growth of Indonesia. Indonesia needs to adjust to a global economy marked by slower growth, low commodity prices, and weaker trade and capital flows. In the short term, fiscal stimulus will help, but higher private investment is required for a firm recovery. Part C.1 of this edition further explores the issue of logistics sector reform. As Indonesia's economy expanded rapidly since 2000, its freight logistics system has struggled to keep up. Indonesia's transition to a more sustainable energy path can be supported by aligning pricing, regulations, and investment policies. The ultimate objective of the reform agenda is to reverse the recent trend of slower poverty reduction and rising inequality. Indonesians think reducing inequality is an urgent government priority. In addition to social protection programs and eradicating corruption, policies that create better work opportunities topped the list of policies respondents identified as important to address inequality
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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  • 51
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2016 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: This Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEG) quarterly report covers the economic growth of Indonesia as in June 2016. With the global recovery yet to be realized, Indonesia's resilience stands out among commodity exporters. A number of good policies have contributed to Indonesia's resilience. First, prudent monetary and exchange rate policies, along with international financial conditions that are more favorable than a year ago, have helped reduce inflation and stabilize the Rupiah. These factors, as well as lower energy prices, have supported aggregate household consumption. Second, public infrastructure spending has become a priority within Indonesia's limited fiscal space. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth in first quarter (Q1) 2016 was 4.9 percent year-on-year (yoy), with public spending lower than expected. The current account deficit narrowed to 2.1 percent of GDP, as imports fell faster than exports. Fiscal policy in Indonesia has not been very effective in reducing inequality, but the fuel subsidy reform has helped. The 2015 fuel subsidy reform, and related compensation for the poor, has helped reduce inequality, as savings were redirected into infrastructure, health, and social assistance
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  • 52
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Keywords: 2016 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: This edition of Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) reports on the key developments over the past three months in Indonesia's economy, and provides a more in-depth examination of selected economic and policy issues, and analysis of Indonesia's medium-term development challenges. Global growth was sluggish in the first half of the year, driven by weaker than expected growth in advanced economies. In addition, China's growth eased as expected as the economy continues to rebalance from investment- to consumption led growth, and as excess industrial capacity is reduced. However, import demand from China was weaker than expected. On the upside, the global financial market volatility leading up to and in the aftermath of the Brexit referendum in June has moderated significantly. Lower volatility in financial markets has contributed to the Rupiah's stabilization against the US Dollar (in line with most other emerging market currencies). Indonesia's growth remained resilient in Second Quarter (Q2), partly supported by government expenditure, and is forecast to pick-up gradually on the back of stronger private investment supported by investment climate reforms and credible fiscal policy. This resilience stands in contrast to the performance of several other emerging market commodity exporters
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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  • 53
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (40 S.) , graph. Darst.
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department working papers 1249
    Keywords: Konjunktur ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Vulnerabilitätsanalyse ; Coping-Strategie ; OECD-Staaten ; Economics ; Amtsdruckschrift ; Arbeitspapier ; Graue Literatur
    Abstract: The high costs of crises underscore the need to strengthen the resilience of economies, notably by assessing early on potential vulnerabilities that can lead to such costly events. This paper first discusses the source and nature of potential vulnerabilities in OECD countries that can lead to costly economic crises. Based on the most recent evidence from the early warning literature and lessons learned from the global financial crisis, it then proposes a new dataset of more than 70 vulnerability indicators that could be monitored to assess country risks in OECD economies. The indicators are grouped into five domestic areas: i) financial sector imbalances, ii) non-financial sector imbalances, iii) asset market imbalances, iv) public sector imbalances and v) external sector imbalances. An additional international “spillovers, contagion and global risks” category aims at capturing vulnerabilities that could transmit from one country to another through financial, trade or confidence channels. Evidence in a companion paper (Hermansen and Röhn, 2015) shows that the majority of the proposed indicators for which sufficiently long time series exists is helpful in predicting severe recessions and crises in the 34 OECD economies and Latvia between 1970 and 2014.
    Note: Zsfassung in franz. Sprache , Systemvoraussetzungen: PDF Reader.
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  • 54
    Article
    Article
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    In:  Revue française de sociologie 56(2015), 3, Seite 561-591 | volume:56 | year:2015 | number:3 | pages:561-591
    ISSN: 0035-2969
    Language: French
    Additional Material: graph. Darst., Tab., Lit. S. 585-589
    Titel der Quelle: Revue française de sociologie
    Publ. der Quelle: Paris : Presses de Sciences Po, 1960
    Angaben zur Quelle: 56(2015), 3, Seite 561-591
    Angaben zur Quelle: volume:56
    Angaben zur Quelle: year:2015
    Angaben zur Quelle: number:3
    Angaben zur Quelle: pages:561-591
    DDC: 305
    Keywords: Gruppe ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Wirtschaftsstatistik ; Sozialstatistik ; Statistik ; Statistische Analyse ; Sozialverhalten ; Freizeit ; Jugend ; Frankreich
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  • 55
    ISBN: 9781107596177 , 9781107036871
    Language: English
    Pages: xxv, 424 Seiten
    Edition: First paperback edition
    Keywords: Social responsibility of business ; Human rights and globalization ; Human rights advocacy ; Human rights ; Globalisierung ; Corporate Social Responsibility ; Management ; Unternehmenskultur ; Unternehmenspolitik ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Partizipation ; Ordnungspolitik ; Menschenrecht ; Kind ; Arbeitnehmer ; Kinderschutz ; Jugendschutz ; Erde ; Aufsatzsammlung
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  • 56
    ISBN: 9781138961807 , 9780415857130
    Language: English
    Pages: x, 160 Seiten
    Edition: First issued in paperback 2015
    Series Statement: Culture, economy and the social
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    DDC: 306.3/6
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Wirtschaftsindikator ; Statistik ; Kritik ; Wirtschaftsindikator / (DE-627)091400988 / (DE-2867)15075-1 ; Statistische Methode / (DE-627)091392101 / (DE-2867)15064-6 ; Economic indicators ; Economics / Statistical methods ; Finance ; Value ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Statistik ; Kritik
    Abstract: Do instruments such as performance indicators, valuation formulas, consumer tests, stock prices or financial contracts represent an external reality? Or do they rather constitute, in a performative fashion, what they refer to? The Provoked Economy tackles this question from a pragmatist angle, considering economic reality as a ceaselessly provoked reality. It takes the reader through a series of diverse empirical sites - from public administrations to stock exchanges, from investment banks to marketing facilities and business schools - in order to explore what can be seen from such a demanding standpoint. It demonstrates that descriptions of economic objects do actually produce economic objects and that the simulacrum of an economic act is indeed a form of realization. It also shows that provoking economic reality means facing practical tests in which what ought to be economic or not is subject to elaboration and controversy. This book opens paths for empirical investigation in the social sciences, but also for the philosophical renewal of the critique of economic reality. It will be useful for students and scholars in social theory, sociology, anthropology, philosophy and economics
    Note: Literaturverz. S. [131] - 157
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  • 57
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2015 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: The Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) has two main aims. First, it reports on the key developments over the past three months in Indonesia's economy, and places these in a longerterm and global context. Based on these developments, and on policy changes over the period, the IEQ regularly updates the outlook for Indonesia's economy and social welfare. Second, the IEQ provides a more in-depth examination of selected economic and policy issues, and analysis of Indonesia's medium-term development challenges. It is intended for a wide audience, including policymakers, business leaders, financial market participants, and the community of analysts and professionals engaged in Indonesia's evolving economy. This quarterly report covers the economic growth of Indonesia as in October 2015. Indonesia's growth moderation has continued and an uncertain external environment has further limited the room for both monetary and fiscal stimulus and has turned the government's focus to structural and fiscal reforms to raise investor confidence in Indonesia. The government recognizes the need to improve business confidence and the investment climate in order to enhance Indonesia's potential growth rate and has taken several important steps in this direction. In addition to the policy packages, the draft 2016 State Budget signals the objective of further improving the composition of public expenditures by strengthening social programs and by redirecting spending from energy subsidies to infrastructure development. Timely and effective implementation of these reforms will contribute to returning to a higher sustainable pace of growth
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  • 58
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (1 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Economic Updates and Modeling
    Keywords: 2015 ; Wirtschaftslage ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Indonesien
    Abstract: The Indonesia Economic Quarterly (IEQ) has two main aims. First, it reports on the key developments over the past three months in Indonesia's economy, and places these in a longerterm and global context. Based on these developments, and on policy changes over the period, the IEQ regularly updates the outlook for Indonesia's economy and social welfare. Second, the IEQ provides a more in-depth examination of selected economic and policy issues, and analysis of Indonesia's medium-term development challenges. It is intended for a wide audience, including policymakers, business leaders, financial market participants, and the community of analysts and professionals engaged in Indonesia's evolving economy. This paper discusses about the economic conditions of Indonesia for the year 2015. Emerging market assets rebounded in October 2015 after the sharp losses recorded in August and September, when the uncertainty about the Chinese economic slowdown and the U.S. interest rate outlook was particularly high. Despite a more favorable market sentiment, capital flows to emerging economies have remained weak and borrowing costs relatively high. In addition to tight financing conditions, Indonesia faced subdued external demand for its exports in the near term and persistently low commodity prices over the medium run. In 2015, fire in Indonesia cost nearly twice that of reconstruction following the 2004 tsunami in Aceh. Agriculture and forestry have sustained losses and damages in trillions. Sustained exposure to haze could also lead to the volcano effect, id est, a decrease in plant productivity in the short term due to limited sun exposure and a deleterious effect on plant physiology and photosynthesis. The recurring nature of Indonesia's fire crisis is of particular concern. Another potential step in Indonesia's new reform process was the country's signaling its intention to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement in the near future. Whether membership materializes or not, the agreement is likely to have a limited impact on trade, because import tariffs in member countries are already low and Indonesia has trade agreements with most of them
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  • 59
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    ISBN: 9781464805530
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (176 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg.
    Series Statement: World Development Indicators
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Druckausg. The little data book on financial inclusion 2015
    Keywords: Wirtschaftsindikator ; Sozialer Indikator ; Entwicklung ; Daten ; Finanzwirtschaft ; Öffentliche Schulden ; Auslandsschulden ; Schuldentilgung ; Sparen ; Haushalt ; Entwicklungsfinanzierung ; Currency ; Currency composition ; Debt disbursements ; Debt ratios ; Debt service ; External debt ; Finance and Financial Sector Development ; Global development finance ; Interest payments ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Principal repayments ; Total debt ; Erde
    Abstract: The Little Data Book on Financial Inclusion 2015 is a pocket edition of the Global Financial Inclusion Database published in 2015 in "The Global Findex Database 2014: Measuring Financial Inclusion around the World?" by Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Leora Klapper, Dorothe Singer, and Peter Van Oudheusden (World Bank Policy Research Paper 7255). It provides 41 country-level indicators of financial inclusion summarized for all adults and disaggregated by key demographic characteristics-gender, age, income, and rural residence. The book also includes summary pages by region and by income group aggregates. Covering 143 economies, the indicators of financial inclusion measure how people save, borrow, make payments and manage risk
    Note: Description based on print version record
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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  • 60
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    New York, NY : Oxford University Press
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (XIII, 239 Seiten) , Diagramme
    Series Statement: Oxford scholarship online
    Series Statement: Economics and Finance
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Pearson, Charles S., 1937 - On the cusp
    DDC: 304.6/2
    RVK:
    Keywords: Bevölkerungswachstum ; Bevölkerungsentwicklung ; Alternde Bevölkerung ; Wirtschaftswachstum ; Bevölkerungspolitik ; Wirtschaftspolitik ; Bevölkerungsprognose ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Welt ; Demographie ; Bevölkerungsrückgang ; Alternde Bevölkerung
    Abstract: This study traces world population growth and (prospective) decline using the lens of economic demography. The starting point is the flawed theory of Malthus in 1798; the end point is unknown, but most probably features global aging and depopulation. While the Malthusian overpopulation threat of the post World War II decades has been thwarted, its obverse, fertility rates plunging below replacement level, creates new challenges.
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  • 61
    ISBN: 9781138961807 , 9780415857130
    Language: English
    Pages: X, 160 S.
    DDC: 306.36
    RVK:
    Keywords: Wirtschaftsindikator ; Statistik ; Kritik
    Note: Literaturverz. S. [131] - 157 , Originally published: 2014.
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  • 62
    ISBN: 9783428502028
    Language: German
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (298 pages)
    Edition: 1st ed.
    Series Statement: Schriftenreihe des ifo Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung v.149
    DDC: 303.48329999999999
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Geschichte 1996-1998 ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Strukturwandel ; Internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Deutschland
    Abstract: Die informationstechnische Revolution, die wachsende Bedeutung der Dienstleistungsmärkte und die Globalisierung der Wirtschaft sind die Mega-Trends, die den Strukturwandel der deutschen Wirtschaft heute und in Zukunft prägen. -- Mit der Strukturberichterstattung 1996 bis 1998, die das ifo Institut im Auftrag des Bundesministers für Wirtschaft durchgeführt hat, wird eine Analyse der bedeutendsten Wachstumsfaktoren vorgelegt. Dabei geht es vor allem um die Frage, welchen nachhaltigen Beitrag die veränderte internationale Arbeitsteilung, die neuen Technologien und die Tertiarisierung zur Lösung der Beschäftigungsprobleme leisten können (Teil A). Des weiteren werden Regulierungsbedarf und geeignete Instrumente der Regulierung des Informations- und Kommunikationssektors (IuK-Sektor) diskutiert und international verglichen (Teil B).   Inhaltsverzeichnis Inhaltsübersicht: Teil A: Neue Informations- und Kommunikationstechnologien, Tertiarisierung und Globalisierung: I. Einleitung - II. Der IuK-Sektor: Aktuelle Entwicklungen im IuK-Sektor - Internationaler Handel mit IuK-Gütern - Die deutsche Position im globalen Wettbewerb um die Entwicklung neuer IuK-Technologien - Zusammenfassung - III. Diffusion von IuK-Technologien: Der Einfluß der technischen Entwicklung auf die Investitionstätigkeit der Unternehmen - IuK-Sachinvestitionen - Verbreitung von IuK-Technologien im Unternehmenssektor - Zusammenfassung - IV. Auswirkungen von neuen Informations- und Kommunikationstechnologien, Tertiarisierung und Globalisierung: Neue Informations- und Kommunikationstechnologien und Tertiarisierung - Neue Informations- und Kommunikationstechnologien und Globalisierung - Globalisierung und Tertiarisierung - Zusammenfassung - V. Wirtschaftspolitische Schlußfolgerungen - Teil B: Die Rolle des Staates - Regulierung von Netzen und Diensten: I. Auf dem Weg zu Wettbewerb bei...
    Abstract: Netzen und Diensten: Besonderheiten von Netzwerken - Liberalisierungsschritte - Aufbau der Untersuchung - II. Ökonomische Besonderheiten und Trends im IuK-Sektor: Allgemeine Probleme allokativer Effizienz bei Netzwerkökonomien - Besonderheiten des Telekommunikationssektors - Besonderheiten des Mediensektors - Aktuelle technische und ökonomische Trends im IuK-Sektor - III. Regulierung des IuK-Sektors: Regulierungsbedarf und geeignete Instrumente und Maßnahmen - Internationaler Vergleich der Regulierung des IuK-Sektors - IV. Zusammenfassung und Bewertung - Anhang - Literaturverzeichnis - Sachregister   Reihe Schriftenreihe des ifo Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung - Band 149.
    Note: Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
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