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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Deep Trade Agreements and FDI in Partial and General Equilibrium : A Structural Estimation Framework (2023)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (62 pages)
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Larch, Mario Deep Trade Agreements and FDI in Partial and General Equilibrium: A Structural Estimation Framework
    Keywords: Deep Trade ; Deep Trade Agreements ; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) ; International Economics and Trade ; Trade Liberalization
    Abstract: This paper quantifies the relationships between deep trade liberalization and foreign direct investment. To this end, it focuses on the effects of deep trade agreements. The analysis relies on a structural framework that simultaneously enables (i) estimating the direct impact of deep trade agreements on foreign direct investment, (ii) translating the partial deep trade agreement estimates into general equilibrium effects on foreign direct investment; and (iii) obtaining partial deep trade agreement effects on trade and quantifying the impact of deep trade agreements on foreign direct investment through trade. The paper obtains sizeable, positive, and statistically significant estimates of the effects of deep trade agreements on both trade and foreign direct investment. A counterfactual analysis suggests that together with direct and indirect channels deep trade agreements have contributed
    DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-10338
    URL: lizenzpflichtig
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    MPI Ethno. Forsch.
  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dark Costs, Missing Data : Shedding Some Light on Services Trade (2015)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (65 p)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Anderson, James E Dark Costs, Missing Data: Shedding Some Light on Services Trade
    Abstract: A structural gravity model is used to estimate barriers to services trade across many sectors, countries, and time. Since the disaggregated output data needed to infer border barriers flexibly are often missing for services, this paper derives a novel methodology for projecting output data. The empirical implementation sheds light on the role of institutions, geography, size, and digital infrastructure as determinants of border barriers. The paper finds that border barriers have generally fallen over time, but there are differences across sectors and countries. Notably, border effects for the smallest economies have remained stable, giving rise to a divergent pattern across countries
    DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-7465
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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    Online Resource
    MPI Ethno. Forsch.
  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Shedding light on the drivers of services tradability over two decades (2022)
    Paris : OECD Publishing
    Details
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (44 p.) , 21 x 28cm.
    Series Statement: OECD Trade Policy Papers no.264
    Keywords: Trade
    Abstract: Services have become significantly more tradable in the first two decades of the 21st century. This paper documents that trade costs for financial services, communication services and business services fell by between 30% and 60% between 2000 and 2019. Information and communication technology and growth of air traffic have acted as key drivers of this development. While there is some variation across sectors, the analysis suggests that these two determinants jointly account for a quarter to half of the aggregate decline in trade costs for services during this 20-year period. Furthermore, services provisions in regional trade agreements (RTAs) can explain between 3% and 14% of the reduction in trade costs for communications services and financial and insurance services. These findings demonstrate the importance of whole-of-government strategies to promote services trade competitiveness, inter alia market access, regulatory reform, as well as investment in physical and digital infrastructure and adoption of new technologies.
    DOI: 10.1787/d5f3c149-en
    URL: lizenzpflichtig
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    MPI Ethno. Forsch.
  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    A Simple Method to Quantify the Ex-Ante Effects of "Deep" Trade Liberalization and "Hard" Trade Protection (2021)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (42 pages)
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Print Version: Larch, Mario A Simple Method to Quantify the Ex-Ante Effects of "Deep" Trade Liberalization and "Hard" Trade Protection
    Keywords: Cefta ; Free Trade Agreement ; International Economics and Trade ; International Trade and Trade Rules ; Structural Gravity ; Trade and Regional Integration ; Trade Costs ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade Policy ; Trade Protection
    Abstract: This paper proposes a simple and flexible econometric approach to quantify ex-ante the "deep" impact of trade liberalization and the "hard" effects of protection with the empirical structural gravity model. Specifically, the paper argues that the difference between the estimates of border indicator variables for affected and non-affected countries can be used as a comprehensive measure of the change in bilateral trade costs in response to a hypothetical policy change. To demonstrate the effectiveness of these methods, the paper focus on the integration between the countries from the Central European Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA) and the European Union (EU), which is an important policy application that has not been studied before due to lack of data. This analysis overcomes this challenge by utilizing a new dataset on trade and production that covers all EU countries and all CEFTA members (except for Kosovo). The partial equilibrium estimates that we obtain confirm the validity of our methods, while the corresponding general equilibrium effects point to significant and heterogeneous potential gains for the CEFTA countries from joining the EU. The proposed methods can also be extended to ex-post analysis and are readily applicable to other applications, for example, "hard" Brexit
    DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-9791
    URL: Deutschlandweit zugänglich
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    MPI Ethno. Forsch.
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