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  • 1
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: Country Economic Memorandum
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Abstract: The report is structured in four chapters that outline the main sources of volatility in the region and suggest ways to mitigate the impacts of that volatility on growth. Chapter one presents stylized facts associated with the growth performance of the Eastern Caribbean over the last 40 years. It contrasts the growth performance of the OECS with the rest of the Latin America region and shows that the two groups of countries have shown significant heterogeneity over the business cycle. The chapter also highlights some of the factors that might be responsible for the volatility of growth in the OECS, including the region's exposure to natural disasters, high debt, and adverse developments in the financial sector. Chapter two provides new evidence on output volatility and the cyclicality of fiscal policy in the OECS and discusses why countries are better off avoiding a pro-cyclical fiscal policy stance. Chapter three assesses the level of financial development in the region as well as the relationship between financial development, growth, and volatility. The chapter also explores critical policy options to strengthen financial development in the OECS. Chapter four assesses empirically the combined effects of terms of trade volatility, fiscal policy (pro) cyclicality, and financial development on growth in the OECS and other countries using two complementary modeling approaches. First, through an econometric model using panel data for 175 countries over the period 1980-2010. Second, by using impulse-response analysis based on a structural model of the business cycle in the OECS region
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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  • 2
    ISBN: 9781464811906
    Language: Spanish
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (188 pages)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Series Statement: Directions in Development - Poverty
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Abstract: La Republica Dominicana se destaca por ser una economia en rapido crecimiento que no le ha sido posible generar una reduccion proporcional en la pobreza. Tres razones han sido planteadas anteriormente para explicar esta paradoja: (i) un mercado laboral que no traduce el aumento de la productividad en aumentos salariales; (ii) una economia interna con debiles encadenamientos intersectoriales; (iii) y un sector publico que ni gasta lo suficiente, ni particularmente bien, para reducir la pobreza. Ademas, el pais permanece mayormente expuesto a desastres naturales y choques exogenos que, si no se mitigan adecuadamente, pueden afectar la sostenibilidad del crecimiento a largo y mediano plazos. Esta obra conjuga varios analisis empiricos que exploran tres hipotesis complementarias que podrian ayudar a entender porque la Republica Dominicana, aun hoy, sigue experimentando altas tasas de crecimiento economico con reduccion limitada de la pobreza. La primera hipotesis trata de probar si el patron de rapido crecimiento economico con la pobreza persistente que se observa en la RD lo impulsa en parte una metodologia de la pobreza que no toma en cuenta la variacion de precios que claramente afecta los patrones de consumo de los hogares de ingresos bajo y aquellos de mejor posicion economica. Si se sostiene esa hipotesis, la RD puede enfrentar una situacion en la cual se subestiman los ingresos del hogar con respecto a los hogares en el extremo inferior de la distribucion. La segunda hipotesis intenta validar si el patron de especializacion en la RD podria ser tal que no favorece la mano de obra no calificada. Si se sostiene esa hipotesis, entonces el rendimiento del capital probablemente es mucho mayor que el rendimiento de la mano de obra lo que podria ser un indicio de que la RD ha tenido una ventaja comparativa en productos que son de uso intensivo de capital. La tercera hipotesis investiga si la pobreza y la desigualdad salarial en la RD se ven afectadas no solo por la inmigracion, sino tambien por la emigracion. El aporte del volumen, por tanto, descansa precisamente en ofrecer una exploracion mas cuidadosa de los asuntos especificos que giran en torno a explicaciones comunes para las deficiencias de la RD en reducir la pobreza de manera mas rapida
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  • 3
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive Also available in print
    Series Statement: Policy research working paper 4791
    Parallel Title: Varella Mollick, Andre Does inflation targeting matter for output growth?
    Keywords: Inflation targeting ; Inflation targeting
    Abstract: "This paper examines the effects of inflation targeting on industrial and emerging economies' output growth over the "globalization years" of 1986-2004. Controlling for trade openness and two indicators of financial globalization, the authors find systematic positive and significant effects of inflation targeting on real output growth. In dynamic models, the findings show strong output persistence in industrial economies, in which partial and full inflation targeting regimes have a positive long-run impact on growth. In emerging markets, only full inflation targeting policies have any output effect in the long-run. The results suggest that strict inflation targeting is needed to make the discipline effect of the disinflation process outweigh the output costs of promoting high interest rates to attract capital flows in a global world. These findings are robust to the treatment of endogenous globalization measures. "--World Bank web site
    Note: Includes bibliographical references , Title from PDF file as viewed on 5/8/2009 , Also available in print.
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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  • 4
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive Also available in print
    Series Statement: Policy research working paper 3147
    Parallel Title: Arabsheibani, G. R Human capital and earnings inequality in Brazil, 1988-98
    Keywords: Human capital ; Income distribution ; Rate of return ; Human capital ; Income distribution ; Rate of return
    Note: "September 26, 2003 , Includes bibliographical references , Title from title screen as viewed on September 29, 2003 , Also available in print.
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [Washington, D.C] : World Bank
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive Also available in print
    Series Statement: Policy research working paper 3866
    Parallel Title: Arabsheibani, G. Reza On defining and measuring the informal sector
    Keywords: Informal sector (Economics) ; Labor supply ; Informal sector (Economics) ; Labor supply
    Abstract: "A range of alternative empirical definitions of informal activity have been employed in the literature. Choice of definition is often dictated by data availability. Different definitions may imply very different conceptual understandings of informality. In this paper the authors investigate the degree of congruence between three definitions of informality based on employment contract registration, social security protection, and the characteristics of the employer and employment using Brazilian household survey data for the period 1992 to 2001. The authors present evidence showing that 64 percent of the economically active population are informal according to at least one definition, but only 40 percent are informal according to all three. Steady compositional changes have been taking place among informal workers, conditional on definition. The econometric analysis reveals that the conditional impact of particular factors (demographic, educational attainment, and family circumstances) on the likelihood of informality varies considerably from one definition to another. The results suggest growing heterogeneity within the informal sector. Therefore, the authors argue that informal activity may be as much associated with entrepreneurial dynamism as with any desire to avoid costly contract registration and social protection. However, the authors confirm there is no a priori reason for entrepreneurial activity to be unprotected. Consequently definitions of informality based on occupation and employer size seem the most arbitrary in practice even if conceptually well-founded. "--World Bank web site
    Note: Includes bibliographical references , Title from PDF file as viewed on 3/8/2006 , Also available in print.
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  • 6
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (30 p)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Brueckner, Markus The Effects of Volatility, Fiscal Policy Cyclicality and Financial Development on Growth: Evidence for the Eastern Caribbean
    Abstract: This paper presents estimates of the effects that terms of trade volatility has on growth of real gross domestic product per capita. Based on five-year non-overlapping panel data comprising 175 countries during 1980-2010, the paper finds that: (i) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has a significant negative average effect on economic growth; (ii) once country fixed effects are included in the model, the average effect of terms of trade volatility on economic growth is not significantly different from zero; (iii) robust to the inclusion of country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has significantly adverse effects on economic growth in countries with pro-cyclical fiscal policy; and (iv) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, financial development is a significant mediating factor with regard to the effect that terms of trade volatility has on economic growth, however, the significance of this effect vanishes once country fixed effects are included in the model. The paper also explores these relationships for the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States region. A key conclusion from the research is that countercyclical fiscal policy and deeper financial markets will have particularly high payoffs in reducing the adverse growth effects of terms of trade volatility in the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States region
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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