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  • Pollack, Kenneth M.  (3)
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  • 1
    Book
    Book
    Washington, D.C : Brookings Institution Press
    ISBN: 0815713797 , 9780815713791
    Language: English
    Pages: xiv, 239 S , map , 23 cm
    DDC: 303.64
    RVK:
    Keywords: Geschichte 2003- ; Nachkriegszeit ; Bürgerkrieg ; Irak
    Abstract: "Studies the history of recent civil wars to derive lessons regarding the impact of full-scale civil wars on the security, prosperity, and national interests of other states. Proposes recommendations for the United States as it confronts the possibility of a similar conflict in Iraq and its spillover into the region"--Provided by publisher
    Note: "Originally released as Analysis Paper 11, January 2007"--T.p. verso , "A Saban Center at the Brookings Institution book"--T.p. verso , Includes bibliographical references and index , Civil wars and spillover -- Policy options for containing spillover -- Afghanistan -- Congo -- Lebanon -- Somalia -- Yugoslavia
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    New York, NY : Brookings Institution Press | Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest
    ISBN: 9780815713807
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (258 pages)
    DDC: 303.6/4
    Keywords: Geschichte 2003- ; Nachkriegszeit ; Bürgerkrieg ; Irak
    Abstract: "Iraq is rapidly descending into all-out civil war. Unfortunately, the United States probably will not be able to just walk away from the chaos. Even setting aside the humanitarian nightmare that will ensue, a full-scale civil war would likely consume more than Iraq: historically, such massive conflicts have often had highly deleterious effects on neighboring countries and other outside states. Spillover from an Iraq civil war could be disastrous." Thus begins this sobering analysis of what the near future of Iraq could look like, and what America can do to reduce the threat of wider conflict. Preventing spillover of the Iraqi conflict into neighboring states must be a top priority. In explaining how that can be accomplished, Daniel Byman and Kenneth Pollack draw on their own considerable expertise as well as relevant precedents. The authors scrutinize several recent civil wars, including Lebanon, Chechnya, Afghanistan, Kosovo, and Bosnia. After synthesizing those experiences into lessons on how civil wars affect other nations, Byman and Pollack draw from them to produce recommendations for U.S. policy. Even while the Bush Administration attempts to prevent further deterioration of the situation in Iraq, it needs to be planning how to deal with a full-scale civil war if one develops.
    Note: Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
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  • 3
    ISBN: 9780815722267
    Language: English
    Pages: XVI, 381 S. , graph. Darst
    Additional Material: Reg.
    Series Statement: A Saban Center at the Brookings Institution book
    DDC: 956.05/4
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Arab Spring, 2010- ; Democratization History 21st century ; Protest movements History 21st century ; Machtwechsel ; Regierungswechsel ; Politisches System ; Politischer Wandel ; Demokratisierung ; Bedeutung ; Rolle ; Politischer Islam ; Militär ; Dschihadismus ; Militanz ; Islam ; Arab countries Politics and government 21st century ; United States Foreign relations ; Arab countries Foreign relations ; Arab countries Foreign relations 21st century ; Naher Osten ; Mittlerer Osten ; Nordafrika ; Arabische Staaten ; Arabische Staaten ; Demokratisierung
    Abstract: "Analyzes key aspects of the 2011 Mideast turmoil, such as Arab public opinion; socioeconomic and demographic conditions; the role of social media; influence of Islamists; the impact of political changes on the Arab-Israeli peace process; and ramifications for the United States and the rest of the world. Also provides country-by-country analysis of Middle East political evolution"--Provided by publisher
    Abstract: "Analyzes key aspects of the 2011 Mideast turmoil, such as Arab public opinion; socioeconomic and demographic conditions; the role of social media; influence of Islamists; the impact of political changes on the Arab-Israeli peace process; and ramifications for the United States and the rest of the world. Also provides country-by-country analysis of Middle East political evolution"--Provided by publisher
    Note: Includes bibliographical references and index , Preface: Why should you read this book? ; 1. Introduction : understanding the Arab Awakening , PART I. THE DYNAMICS OF THE ARAB SPRING ; 2. Arab public opinion : what do they want? , 3. Democratization 101 : historical lessons for the Arab Spring , 4. Islamists and the Brotherhood : political Islam and the Arab Spring , 5. The impact of new media : the revolution will be tweeted , 6. The impact on the peace process : peacemaker or peacebreaker? , 7. The Arab militaries : the double-edged swords , 8. The economic dimension : the price of freedom , 9. Terrorism : Al-Qaeda and the Arab Spring , PART II. COUNTRIES IN TRANSITION ; 10. Democratizers? The pursuit of pluralism , 11. Iraq : the roller coaster of democracy , 12. Egypt : the prize , 13. Tunisia : birthplace of the revolution , 14. Libya : from revolt to state-building , 15. The Palestinians : between national liberation and political legitimacy , PART III. THE IMPERATIVE OF REFORM ; 16. Reform : convincing reluctant regimes to change , 17. Making reform credible : the critical piece of the puzzle , 18. Saudi Arabia : the elephant in the living room , 19. Jordan : an imperfect state , 20. Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, and the UAE : the nervous bystanders , 21. Bahrain : island of troubles , 22. Morocco : the model for reform? , 23. Algeria : whistling past the graveyard , PART IV. STATES IN CRISIS ; 24. States in civil war : challenges for the United States , 25. Yemen : the search for stability and development , 26. Syria : the ghosts of Hama , PART V. OTHER REGIONAL ACTORS ; 27. Regional actors : the changing balance of power in the Middle East , 28. Israel : a frosty response to the Arab Spring , 29. Iran : the bogeyman , 30. Turkey : an interested party , PART VI. THE EXTERNAL POWERS ; 31. External powers : riding the tsunami , 32. Europe : muddling through , 33. Russia : Moscow does not believe in change , 34. China : unease from afar , 35. The international order and the emerging powers : implications of the Arab Awakening , 36. The United States : a new American grand strategy for the Middle East , Appendix: Political, social, and economic indicators of the Middle East.
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