ISBN:
9783031472299
Language:
English
Pages:
1 Online-Ressource (XXVIII, 318 p. 80 illus., 1 illus. in color.)
Series Statement:
Contributions to Economics
Parallel Title:
Erscheint auch als
Parallel Title:
Erscheint auch als
Parallel Title:
Erscheint auch als
DDC:
330.95
Keywords:
Asia
;
Economic history.
;
Economic development.
;
Globalization.
;
Economics.
;
Economic history of China
;
China's strategic pathway
;
Economic development
;
Belt and Road Initiative
;
World-systems
;
Economic growth in China
;
Economic systems
;
Global futures
;
Dynamic strategy theory
;
Long range forecasting
;
China's economy
;
Globalisation
;
Macroeconomic dynamics
;
economic history
;
Big History
;
forecasting
;
Great Powers
Abstract:
Chapter 1. The Strategic Logic of China’s Economy -- Chapter 2. The Dynamic Strategy Theory, a Formal Statement -- Chapter 3. Industrialisation Sub-strategies: Theory and Practice -- Chapter 4. Asia’s First Industrial Giant: Japan’s Strategic Pursuit -- Chapter 5. China’s Millennial Pathway in a Strategic Mirror -- Chapter 6. China’s Economic Performance and Strategic Pathway From the Late Qing to the Death of Mao Zedong -- Chapter 7. China’s Strategic Pathway From Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping -- Chapter 8. The Xi Inheritance -- Chapter 9. China’s Strategic Pursuit Under Xi Jinping and the New Era -- Chapter 10. China in the World-system: Strategic Pathways to 2100.
Abstract:
This book reviews China’s strategic pathway over the last 1000 years and considers its prospects for ascending to high-income status by the end of the 21st century. It analyzes why, although China’s chances of joining the global core are sound, they are not outstanding; in addition, it faces mounting challenges, internal and external alike. The argument is presented in the framework of dynamic-strategy theory, which is expounded here in novel form. This exposition includes a wide ranging survey of global history, with a focus on the development of the industrialisation paths of the major economies of today, including a detailed study of Japan's long-run strategic pathway. The book’s closing section presents a scenario-based discussion of China’s potential place in the world in 2100. The analysis implies that China’s zenith is likely to be reached slightly before mid-century, after which its relative economic scale will likely decline. Beyond that general finding, the scenarios investigate the wide range of plausible outcomes that China may experience: a range that the author contends is much wider for China than for nations under-pinned by less complex political-economies. Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars of history, economics, geopolitics and sinology, and to anyone interested in learning about China’s economic prospects at a time of increasingly heated ideological and empirical debates.
DOI:
10.1007/978-3-031-47229-9
