ISBN:
9783319048765
Language:
English
Pages:
XIX, 182 p. 64 illus., 44 illus. in color
Edition:
Online-Ausg.
DDC:
304.25
Keywords:
Environmental sciences
;
Climatic changes
;
Klimaänderung
;
Entscheidungsfindung
;
Wasserversorgung
;
Hochwasserschutz
;
Transportsystem
;
Kommunikation
Abstract:
Climate change highlights the challenges for long-term policy making in the face of persistent and irreducible levels of uncertainties. It calls for the development of flexible approaches, innovative governance and other elements that contribute to effective and adaptive decision-making. Exploring these new approaches is also a challenge for those involved in climate research and development of adaptation policy.The book provides a dozen real-life examples of adaptation decision making in the form of case studies:· Water supply management in Portugal, England and Wales and Hungary· Flooding, including flood risk in Ireland, coastal flooding and erosion in Southwest France, and flood management in Australias Hutt River region· Transport and utilities, including the Austrian Federal railway system, public transit in Dresden, and Québec hydro-electric power· Report examining communication of large numbers of climate scenarios in Dutch climate adaptation workshops.
Description / Table of Contents:
Sponsor; Foreword; Preface; Acknowledgements; Editors; List of Case-Study Authors; Contents; Chapter 1: Introduction to the Use of Uncertainties to Inform Adaptation Decisions; 1.1 Why Is Guidance on the Role of Uncertainty Needed and Who Is it for?; 1.1.1 Purpose of the Guidance; 1.1.2 Who Should Be Using the Guidance?; 1.1.3 Why Is the Guidance Needed?; 1.2 Why Is it Important to Include Uncertainties in Adaptation Planning?; 1.2.1 Why Cannot Decisions Wait Until Uncertainties are Resolved?; 1.2.2 Why Is Considering Uncertainty Important?; 1.2.3 How Can Uncertainty Be Managed?
Description / Table of Contents:
1.3 What Information Is Included in This Book and Where Can I Find it?1.4 How Can This Publication Be Used?; Suggested Reading; Online Resources; Chapter 2: Background on Uncertainty Assessment Supporting Climate Adaptation Decision-Making; 2.1 Introduction; 2.1.1 Climate Variability and Climate Change; 2.1.2 Climate Variability, Climate Change, and Projections of Risks; 2.1.3 Relationship Between the "Climate" and "Development" Communities; 2.2 Uncertainties in Climate Change; 2.3 Uncertainty Typology; 2.3.1 Uncertainty Location; 2.3.2 Uncertainty Level; 2.3.3 Nature of Uncertainty
Description / Table of Contents:
2.3.4 Qualification of the Knowledge Base2.3.5 Value-Ladenness of Choices; 2.4 Methods of Assessing Uncertainty; 2.5 Decision-Making Frameworks Under Climate Change Uncertainty; 2.5.1 Top-Down and Bottom-Up Approaches; Act on The Best Prediction; Robustness-Oriented Adaptation; Resilience-Oriented Adaptation; 2.6 Using Uncertainty Assessment in Decision-Making Practice on Climate Adaptation; 2.7 Cases, Types of Uncertainty, and Methods as Used in Chap. 4; 2.8 Communicating Uncertainty Assessment to Policy- Makers and Decision-Makers; 2.9 Conclusions; References
Description / Table of Contents:
Chapter 3: How Is Uncertainty Addressed in the Knowledge Base for National Adaptation Planning?3.1 Introduction; 3.2 Overview of National Adaptation Activities; 3.3 Consideration of Uncertainty in the Knowledge Base for Adaptation; 3.3.1 Sources of Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections; Status; Time Horizon; Emissions Scenarios; Climate Models; Discussion; 3.3.2 Communication of Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections; Comprehensiveness; Availability of Data and Maps; Uncertainty Communication in Graphs and Maps; Summary on Communication of Uncertainties in Climate Projections
Description / Table of Contents:
3.3.3 Non-climatic Scenarios3.3.4 Climate Impact, Vulnerability, and Risk Assessments; 3.3.5 Guidance for Adaptation Planning Under Uncertainty; 3.4 Conclusions; References; Chapter 4: Showcasing Practitioners' Experiences; 4.1 Introduction; 4.2 Real Life Case Studies; 4.2.1 Water Supply Management in Portugal; Key Messages; Background; Process; Uncertainty Assessment; Effect of Uncertainty on Decision-Making; 4.2.2 UK Climate Change Risk Assessment; Key Messages; Background; Process; Uncertainty Assessment; Effect of Uncertainty on Decision-Making
Description / Table of Contents:
4.2.3 Water Resources Management in England and Wales
Note:
Description based upon print version of record
DOI:
10.1007/978-3-319-04876-5
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