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  • Maloney, William  (8)
  • Washington, D.C : The World Bank  (8)
  • Social Protections and Labor  (5)
  • Inflation  (2)
  • Environment
  • 1
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (82 pages)
    Series Statement: Latin America and Caribbean Semiannual Report
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Agriculture Extension Services ; Connectivity ; Digital ; EDTECH ; Growth ; Inflation ; Internet ; Latin America and the Caribbean ; Technology Adoption ; Telemedicine
    Abstract: Latin America and the Caribbean continues to face adverse global headwinds: high interest rates, modest G-7 growth, soft commodity prices and uncertain prospects in China will all depress growth. Well-grounded policy responses have led to largely recovering employment and income losses from the pandemic and falling rates of inflation. However, the region faces the mutually reinforcing triple challenges of low growth, limited fiscal space, and citizen dissatisfaction. Expanding digital connectivity offers a possibility to make progress on all three fronts. To maximize the social benefits of connectivity as well as to ensure that it does not exacerbate spatial, educational, gender or racial inequalities, three challenges are important to address: first, expanding coverage to the remaining unconnected areas as well as improving the quality of service; second, increasing the productive use of existing infrastructure, and; third, as with any other infrastructure "hardware," investments in "software" - such as digital and traditional skills, managerial capabilities, supportive regulatory frameworks, and deeper financial markets are critical
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  • 2
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (90 pages)
    Series Statement: LAC Semiannual Report
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Covid-19 ; Economic Integration ; Foreign Investment ; Growth ; Inflation ; Nearshoring ; Trade ; Uncertainty
    Abstract: The Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region has proved to be relatively resilient in the face of increased debt stress, stubborn inflation, and uncertainty arising from the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Income and employment have largely recovered from the pandemic, poverty has receded, and markets remain guardedly optimistic about the near future. However, global uncertainty is rising, including a recent wave of bank failures in the US and Europe. Strengthening resilience, both on the health and macroeconomic fronts, will be paramount. Progress remains pending in both vaccination coverage and health system preparedness, while the institutionality of macroeconomic policy in some countries is being questioned. The evolution of the global economy is providing two new areas of opportunity for the region: the trend toward nearshoring-moving production closer to the US and European markets-and the imperative to combat climate change, which is giving the region a new comparative advantage in sun, wind, hydro, and natural capital. Taking advantage of these will require greater integration into the global economy. Yet, paradoxically, in the face of these opportunities. LAC is becoming less integrated. Trade intensity has largely stagnated, and foreign direct investment (FDI) to most countries has declined. Beyond the long-term structural reforms needed to reduce systemic risk, raise the level and quality of education, invest in infrastructure, and ensure well-functioning financial markets, this report calls to preserve the reputational gains of the past 20 years in terms of macro stability and streamlining regulation dealing with customs and transport to lower the cost of doing business in the region. Export promotion agencies and investment promotion agencies can also help as they have proven track records. A comprehensive approach to both shorter- and longer-term reforms could move LAC toward a renewed and more dynamic engagement with the global economy
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  • 3
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (53 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Bosch, Mariano Cyclical Movements In Unemployment And Informality In Developing Countries
    Keywords: Adjustment process ; Formal labor market ; Job ; Jobs ; Labor ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Labor markets ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployment ; Unemployment rate ; Worker ; Workers ; Adjustment process ; Formal labor market ; Job ; Jobs ; Labor ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Labor markets ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployment ; Unemployment rate ; Worker ; Workers ; Adjustment process ; Formal labor market ; Job ; Jobs ; Labor ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Labor markets ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployment ; Unemployment rate ; Worker ; Workers
    Abstract: This paper analyzes the cyclical properties of worker flows in Brazil and Mexico, two important developing countries with large unregulated or "informal" sectors. It generates three stylized facts that are critical to the accurate modeling of the sector and which suggest the need to rethink the approaches to date. First, the unemployment rate is countercyclical essentially because job separations of informal workers increase dramatically in recessions. Second, the share of formal employment is countercyclical because of the difficulty of finding formal jobs from inactivity, unemployment and other informal jobs during recessions rather than because of increased separation from formal jobs. Third, flows from formality into informality are not countercyclical, but, if anything, pro-cyclical. Together, these challenge the conventional wisdom that has guided the modeling the sector that informal workers are primarily those rationed out of the formal labor market. They also offer a new synthesis of the mechanics of the cyclical adjustment process. Finally, the paper offers estimates of the moments of worker flows series that are needed for calibration
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  • 4
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (58 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Bosch, Mariano The Determinants of Rising Informality In Brazil
    Keywords: Business cycles ; Drivers ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Informal sector ; Jobs ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Labor costs ; Labor force ; Labor legislation ; Labor market ; Labor markets ; Population Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Worker ; Business cycles ; Drivers ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Informal sector ; Jobs ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Labor costs ; Labor force ; Labor legislation ; Labor market ; Labor markets ; Population Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Worker ; Business cycles ; Drivers ; Health, Nutrition and Population ; Informal sector ; Jobs ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Labor costs ; Labor force ; Labor legislation ; Labor market ; Labor markets ; Population Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Worker
    Abstract: This paper studies gross worker flows to explain the rising informality in Brazilian metropolitan labor markets from 1983 to 2002. This period covers two economic cycles, several stabilization plans, a far-reaching trade liberalization, and changes in labor legislation through the Constitutional reform of 1988. First, focusing on cyclical patterns, the authors confirm that for Brazil, the patterns of worker transitions between formality and informality correspond primarily to the job-to-job dynamics observed in the United States, and not to the traditional idea of the informal queuing for jobs in a segmented market. However, the analysis also confirms distinct cyclical patterns of job finding and separation rates that lead to the informal sector absorbing more labor during downturns. Second, focusing on secular movements in gross flows and the volatility of flows, the paper finds the rise in informality to be driven primarily by a reduction in job finding rates in the formal sector. A small fraction of this is driven by trade liberalization, and the remainder seems driven by rising labor costs and reduced flexibility arising from Constitutional reform
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  • 5
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (50 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Bosch, Mariano Comparative Analysis of Labor Market Dynamics Using Markov Processes
    Keywords: Informal Labor Market ; Informal Sector ; Job Turnover ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployed ; Unemployment ; Worker ; Younger Workers ; Informal Labor Market ; Informal Sector ; Job Turnover ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployed ; Unemployment ; Worker ; Younger Workers ; Informal Labor Market ; Informal Sector ; Job Turnover ; Labor Force ; Labor Market ; Labor Markets ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployed ; Unemployment ; Worker ; Younger Workers
    Abstract: This paper discusses a set of statistics for examining and comparing labor market dynamics based on the estimation of continuous time Markov transition processes. It then uses these to establish stylized facts about dynamic patterns of movement using panel data from Argentina, Brazil and Mexico. The estimates suggest broad commonalities among the three countries, and establish numerous common patterns of worker mobility among sectors of work and inactivity. As such, we offer some of the first comparative work on labor dynamics. The paper then particularly focuses on the role of the informal sector, both for its intrinsic interest, and as a case study illustrating the strengths and limits of the tools. The results suggest that a substantial part of the informal sector, particularly the self-employed, corresponds to voluntary entry although informal salaried work may correspond more closely to the standard queuing view, especially for younger workers
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  • 6
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (28 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Maloney, William Human capital, trade liberalization, and income risk
    Keywords: Economic Theory and Research ; Elasticity ; Emerging Markets ; Foreign competition ; Free Trade ; Human Capital ; Income ; Incomplete Markets ; Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; International trade ; Labor Policies ; Lowering trade barriers ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade policy ; Wages ; Economic Theory and Research ; Elasticity ; Emerging Markets ; Foreign competition ; Free Trade ; Human Capital ; Income ; Incomplete Markets ; Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; International trade ; Labor Policies ; Lowering trade barriers ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade policy ; Wages ; Economic Theory and Research ; Elasticity ; Emerging Markets ; Foreign competition ; Free Trade ; Human Capital ; Income ; Incomplete Markets ; Inequality ; International Economics & Trade ; International trade ; Labor Policies ; Lowering trade barriers ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Private Sector Development ; Social Protections and Labor ; Trade Liberalization ; Trade policy ; Wages
    Abstract: Using data from Mexico, the authors study empirically the link between trade policy and individual income risk and the extent to which this varies across workers of different human capital (education) levels. They use longitudinal income data on workers to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in different manufacturing sectors in Mexico between 1987 and 1998, a period in which the Mexican economy experienced substantial changes in trade policy. In a second step, they use the variations in trade policy across different sectors and over time to estimate the link between trade policy and income risk for workers of varying education levels. The authors' findings are as follows. The level of openness of an economy is not found to be related to income risk for workers of any type. Furthermore, changes in trade policy (that is, trade policy reforms) are not found to have any effect on the risk to income faced by workers with either low or high levels of human capital. But workers with intermediate levels of human capital are found to experience a statistically and economically significant increase in income risk immediately following liberalization of trade. The findings thus point to an interesting non-monotonicity in the interaction between human capital, income risk and trade policy changes
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  • 7
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (25 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Rojas, Gabriel V. Montes Can foreign lobbying enhance development ?
    Keywords: Accommodation and Tourism Industry ; Developed countries ; Developing countries ; Economic Theory and Research ; Environment ; Export earnings ; Hotels ; Industry ; International Economics & Trade ; Lobbying ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Protectionism ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Public Sector Development ; Real income ; Tariff preferences ; Tourism ; Tourism and Ecotourism ; Trade Policy ; Trade promotion ; Accommodation and Tourism Industry ; Developed countries ; Developing countries ; Economic Theory and Research ; Environment ; Export earnings ; Hotels ; Industry ; International Economics & Trade ; Lobbying ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Protectionism ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Public Sector Development ; Real income ; Tariff preferences ; Tourism ; Tourism and Ecotourism ; Trade Policy ; Trade promotion ; Accommodation and Tourism Industry ; Developed countries ; Developing countries ; Economic Theory and Research ; Environment ; Export earnings ; Hotels ; Industry ; International Economics & Trade ; Lobbying ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Protectionism ; Public Sector Corruption and Anticorruption Measures ; Public Sector Development ; Real income ; Tariff preferences ; Tourism ; Tourism and Ecotourism ; Trade Policy ; Trade promotion
    Abstract: There exist legal channels for informational lobbying of U.S. policymakers by foreign principals. Foreign governments and private sector principals frequently and intensively use this institutional channel to lobby on trade and tourism issues. The authors empirically study whether such lobbying effectively achieves its goal of trade promotion in the context of Caribbean tourism and it is the first paper to examine the potential for using foreign lobbying as a vehicle for development. They use panel data to explore and quantify the association between foreign lobbying by Caribbean principals and U.S. tourist arrivals to Caribbean destinations. A variety of sensitivity analyses support the finding of a strong association. The policy implications are obvious and potentially important for developing countries
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  • 8
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (1 online resource (43 p.))
    Edition: Online-Ausg. World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Bosch, Mariano Labor Market Dynamics In Developing Countries
    Keywords: Business Cycle ; Disguised Unemployment ; Employment Spell ; Estimated Parameters ; Informal Sector ; Job ; Job Creation ; Job Destruction ; Job Destruction Rate ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Legislation ; Labor Market ; Labor Market Adjustment ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployed ; Unemployment ; Unemployment Spells ; Worker ; Workers ; Business Cycle ; Disguised Unemployment ; Employment Spell ; Estimated Parameters ; Informal Sector ; Job ; Job Creation ; Job Destruction ; Job Destruction Rate ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Legislation ; Labor Market ; Labor Market Adjustment ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployed ; Unemployment ; Unemployment Spells ; Worker ; Workers ; Business Cycle ; Disguised Unemployment ; Employment Spell ; Estimated Parameters ; Informal Sector ; Job ; Job Creation ; Job Destruction ; Job Destruction Rate ; Labor ; Labor Force ; Labor Legislation ; Labor Market ; Labor Market Adjustment ; Labor Markets ; Labor Policies ; Social Protections and Labor ; Unemployed ; Unemployment ; Unemployment Spells ; Worker ; Workers
    Abstract: The authors study the dynamics of three developing country labor markets using recent advances in the estimation of continuous time Markov processes. They first examine the flows of workers among five states: three types of paid labor, unemployment, and out of the labor force. The authors find a high degree of commonality in patterns of worker flows among the three countries and attempt to compare the flexibility of the markets by examining an index of overall mobility. Second, they seek to establish whether the issues of advanced country labor markets apply to developing country markets or whether the latter constitute a different phylum. Paralleling the mainstream literature on the role of being out of the labor force as discouraged unemployment, the authors then identify some common stylized facts about the role of the informal self-employed and salaried sectors and to what degree they serve as a holding pattern versus a desirable alternative to formal sector work. In the process, the authors identify very strong differences in mobility patterns between men and women and attempt to shed some light on whether these differences arise from discrimination or perhaps instead the constraints imposed by household responsibilities. Finally, they study labor market adjustment across the business cycle in Mexico and identify patterns of job creation and destruction among the three paid sectors and confirm the mainstream view of the role of out of the labor force as a procyclical phenomenon
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