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  • Mejias, Ulises Ali  (4)
  • Ensmenger, Nathan  (3)
  • Gardner, Dan  (3)
  • Sozialer Wandel  (10)
  • Computer Science  (10)
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Material
Language
Years
Subjects(RVK)
  • 1
    ISBN: 9783100800244 , 3100800249
    Language: German
    Pages: 336 Seiten , Illustrationen, Diagramme , 22 cm
    Uniform Title: Superforecasting
    DDC: 303.49
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    Keywords: Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Entscheidungsunterstützung ; Prognose ; Sozialer Wandel ; Big Data ; Brier-Wert ; Daniel Kahneman ; Denkweise ; Fermisierung ; Geheimdienste ; Good Judgement Project ; IARPA ; Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity ; Metakognition ; Muster-Erkennung ; Prognose-Turniere ; Prognose-Wettbewerb ; Psychologie ; Rolf Dobelli ; Wahrscheinlichkeit ; Wirtschafts-Prognose ; Zufall ; Prognose ; Entscheidungsunterstützung ; Sozialer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Prognose
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  • 2
    ISBN: 9781847947154
    Language: English
    Pages: 340 Seiten , Diagramme
    DDC: 303.49
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    Keywords: Wirtschaft ; BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting ; SOCIAL SCIENCE / Future Studies ; PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting ; Sozialer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Prognose ; Entscheidungsunterstützung ; Prognose ; Entscheidungsunterstützung ; Sozialer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Prognose
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  • 3
    ISBN: 9780804136693
    Language: English
    Pages: 340 Seiten , Illustrationen , 25 cm
    Edition: First edition
    Parallel Title: Übersetzt als Tetlock, Philip E., 1954 - Superforecasting
    DDC: 303.49
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    Keywords: Economic forecasting ; Forecasting ; Sozialer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Prognose
    Abstract: "From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictions Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people--including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer--who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They've beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They've even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden's compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn't require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future--whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life--and is destined to become a modern classic"--
    Note: Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 291-328
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Minneapolis : University of Minnesota Press | Oxford : Oxford University Press
    ISBN: 9781452948355
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (xvii, 193 pages).
    Series Statement: Electronic mediations volume 41
    DDC: 303.4833
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    Keywords: Internet ; Sozialer Wandel ; Gesellschaftskritik ; Online social networks ; Social networks ; Organization
    Abstract: The digital world profoundly shapes how we work and consume and also how we play, socialise, create identities, and engage in politics and civic life. Indeed, we are so enmeshed in digital networks that it is hard to conceive of them from the outside or to imagine an alternative, let alone defy their seemingly inescapable power and logic. Is it possible to disconnect from the digital network - and why might we want to? This book offers an examination of how the hidden logic of the Internet, social media, and the digital network is changing users' understanding of the world - and why that should worry us.
    Note: Includes bibliographical references and index
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar] : University of Minnesota Press | The Hague : OAPEN FOUNDATION
    ISBN: 9780816684526 , 9780816679003
    Language: English
    Series Statement: Electronic Mediations
    DDC: 303.4833
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    Keywords: Internet ; Sozialer Wandel ; Gesellschaftskritik ; Politics & government ; Impact of science & technology on society ; Political Science ; Science & Technology Studies
    Abstract: The digital world profoundly shapes how we work and consume and also how we play, socialize, create identities, and engage in politics and civic life. Indeed, we are so enmeshed in digital networks-from social media to cell phones-that it is hard to conceive of them from the outside or to imagine an alternative, let alone defy their seemingly inescapable power and logic. Yes, it is (sort of) possible to quit Facebook. But is it possible to disconnect from the digital network-and why might we want to? Off the Network is a fresh and authoritative examination of how the hidden logic of the Internet, social media, and the digital network is changing users' understanding of the world-and why that should worry us. Ulises Ali Mejias also suggests how we might begin to rethink the logic of the network and question its ascendancy. Touted as consensual, inclusive, and pleasurable, the digital network is also, Mejias says, monopolizing and threatening in its capacity to determine, commodify, and commercialize so many aspects of our lives. He shows how the network broadens participation yet also exacerbates disparity-and how it excludes more of society than it includes. Uniquely, Mejias makes the case that it is not only necessary to challenge the privatized and commercialized modes of social and civic life offered by corporate-controlled spaces such as Facebook and Twitter, but that such confrontations can be mounted from both within and outside the network. The result is an uncompromising, sophisticated, and accessible critique of the digital world that increasingly dominates our lives.
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Minneapolis : University of Minnesota Press
    ISBN: 9780816679003 , 9780816684526 (Sekundärausgabe)
    Language: English
    Pages: 216 p.
    Edition: Online-Ausg. Online-Ressource ISBN 9780816684526
    Edition: [Online-Ausg.]
    Series Statement: Electronic Mediations
    DDC: 302.3
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    Keywords: Internet ; Sozialer Wandel ; Gesellschaftskritik ; Online-Publikation
    Abstract: Off the Network is a fresh and authoritative examination of how the hidden logic of the Internet, social media, and the digital network is changing users' understanding of the world-and why that should worry us. Ulises Ali Mejias suggests how we might begin to rethink the logic of the network and question its ascendancy.
    Note: Description based upon print version of record , Online-Ausg.:
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  • 7
    Book
    Book
    Minneapolis, Minnesota : Univ. of Minnesota Press
    ISBN: 9780816678990 , 9780816679003
    Language: English
    Pages: XVII, 193 S.
    Series Statement: Electronic mediations 41
    Series Statement: Electronic mediations
    DDC: 303.4833
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    Keywords: Internet ; Sozialer Wandel ; Gesellschaftskritik
    Note: Literaturverz. S. 177 - 188
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  • 8
    ISBN: 9780262517966 , 9780262050937 , 0262517965
    Language: English
    Pages: X, 320 S. , graph. Darst.
    Series Statement: History of computing
    DDC: 005.1
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    Keywords: Geschichte 1950-1975 ; Informationstechnik ; Programmierer ; Soziale Rolle ; Sozialer Wandel
    Note: Literaturverz. S. 287-314
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cambridge : The MIT Press | [Ann Arbor, Michigan] : [ProQuest]
    ISBN: 9780262289351
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (331 pages)
    Series Statement: History of Computing
    DDC: 005.1
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    Keywords: Geschichte 1950-1975 ; Informationstechnik ; Programmierer ; Soziale Rolle ; Sozialer Wandel
    Abstract: The contentious history of the computer programmers who developed the software that made the computer revolution possible.
    Note: Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cambridge, Mass. : MIT Press | Cambridge, Massachusetts : MIT Press
    ISBN: 9780262289351
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 online resource (x, 320 pages) , illustrations
    Series Statement: History of computing
    DDC: 005.1
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    Keywords: Geschichte 1950-1975 ; Informationstechnik ; Programmierer ; Soziale Rolle ; Sozialer Wandel
    Abstract: "This book provides the most holistic approach to the history of the development of programming and computer systems so far written. By embedding this history in a sociological and political context, Ensmenger has added hugely to our understanding of how the world of computing and its work practices came to be." Martin Campbell-Kelly, Professor of Computer Science, Warwick University.
    Abstract: "The Computer Boys Take Over shows how computer programmers struggled for professional legitimacy and organizational recognition from the early days of ENIAC through the $300 billion Y2K crisis. Ensmenger's descriptions of ̀computer science' and ̀software engineering, ' as well as his portraits of Maurice Wilkes, Alan Turing, John Backus, Edsger Dijkstra, Fred Brooks, and other pioneers, give a compelling introduction to the field." Thomas J. Misa, Director of the Charles Babbage Institute, University of Minnesota.
    Abstract: "The Computer Boys Take Over rewrites the history of computing by recounting the development of software in terms of labor, gender, and professionalization. Ensmenger meets the long-standing challenge to reform computer history by employing themes of vital interest to the general history of science and technology." Ronald Kline, Bovay Professor in History and Ethics of Engineering, Cornell University.
    Abstract: Like all great social and technological developments, the "computer revolution" of the twentieth century didn't just happen. People-not impersonal processes-made it happen. In The Computer Boys Take Over, Nathan Ensmenger describes the emergence of the technical specialists-computer programmers, systems analysts, and data processing managers-who helped transform the electronic digital computer from a scientific curiosity into the most powerful and ubiquitous technology of the modern era. They did so not as inventors from the traditional mold, but as the developers of the "software" (broadly defined to include programs, procedures, and practices) that integrated the novel technology of electronic computing into existing social, political, and technological networks. As mediators between the technical system (the computer) and its social environment (existing structures and practices), these specialists became a focus for opposition to the use of new information technologies. To many of their contemporaries, it seemed the "computer boys" were taking over, not just in the corporate setting, but also in government, politics, and society in general.
    Abstract: Ensmenger follows the rise of the computer boys as they struggled to establish a role for themselves within traditional organizational, professional, and academic hierarchies. He describes the tensions that emerged between the craft-centered practices of vocational programmers, the increasingly theoretical agenda of academic computer science, and the desire of corporate managers to control and routinize the process of software development. In doing so, he provides a human perspective on what is too often treated as a purely technological phenomenon. --Book Jacket.
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