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  • Online Resource  (13)
  • 1990-1994  (13)
  • Dordrecht : Springer  (13)
  • Economics
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  • Online Resource  (13)
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  • 1
    ISBN: 9789401113946
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (XVI, 315 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Issues in Business Ethics 6
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Philosophy (General) ; Economics ; Ethics ; Economic policy ; Social sciences ; Management science. ; Business.
    Abstract: Multinational Corporations and the Impact of Public Advocacy on Corporate Strategy: Nestlé and the Infant Formula Controversy presents an in-depth analysis of the infant formula controversy and the resulting international boycott of Nestlé products launched by various social activist groups and church organizations. The actions of those groups culminated in the passage of the first international marketing code under the auspices of the World Health Organization. Based on exhaustive and unique research, the book details the Nestlé case and uses it to analyze a number of other major issues bearing on contemporary business strategy and operations in the national and international arena. Issues addressed include: The rising phenomenon of social activism and its affect on public opinion and public policy; The changing role of churches and other religious groups and their impact on corporate strategy and behavior; The emergence of UN affiliated international bodies, as both arbiters and regulators of market conduct of multinational corporations; The changing dynamics between multinational corporations and host countries; The factors which determine a company's behavior and its ability to adapt to changing societal expectations. £/LIST£ Multinational Corporations and the Impact of Public Advocacy on Corporate Strategy: Nestlé and the Infant Formula Controversy presents a microcosm of business society conflicts being played out in all parts of the world. This scholarly book will be of great interest to academics in the areas of management, business ethics, social conflict, and international regulation. It will also appeal to a broad corporate and government audience and to anyone interested in contemporary world affairs and the increasing globalization of socio-economic conflicts
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht : Springer
    ISBN: 9789401108881
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (XIV, 307 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Theory and Decision Library, Series A: Philosophy and Methodology of the Social Sciences 19
    Series Statement: Theory and Decision Library A:, Rational Choice in Practical Philosophy and Philosophy of Science 19
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Philosophy (General) ; Social sciences Philosophy ; Endogenous growth (Economics) ; Economics ; History ; Econometrics. ; Economic development. ; Philosophy and social sciences.
    Abstract: This book is concerned with the problems of whether a utility concept that is cardinal -- insofar as ratios between utility differences are significant -- exists or not, whether it is useful -- e.g. in creating testable models of behaviour -- or whether a merely ordinal preference function will do for all purposes. Some selected highlights from the debate between cardinalists and ordinalists are analyzed, but essentially this is a presentation of fresh elements in the case for cardinalism. Special themes analyzed include the distinction between utility and risk attitude, motivating decisions in case of uncertainty, multiperiod allocations and complementarity. Empirical evidence is presented and it seems that attempts at measuring utility give amazing results. The book will interest researchers, teachers and advanced students in economics, economic psychology, welfare theory and themes concerned with human behaviour
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  • 3
    ISBN: 9789401581202
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (X, 285 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Technology, Risk, and Society, An International Series in Risk Analysis 7
    DDC: 333.7
    Keywords: Environmental sciences ; Environmental management ; Economic policy ; Economics ; Operations research
    Abstract: Recent democratization and the accompanied liberalization of the media in Central and Eastern Europe has brought the devastating environmental impacts of the intensive and careless industrialization of the last 40 years to the surface. Less is known, however, about the social, political and institutional background of environmental risk management which led to the present situation, as well as about recent changes. Environment and Democratic Transition: Policy and Politics in Central and Eastern Europe provides an overview of the mechanism of policy making, the role of the scientific community, the environmental movements, and the public in risk controversies in Central and Eastern Europe from the 1970s until 1991. The book brings together studies by leading social scientists from the East and the West who investigate the economic, legal, institutional, behavioral, social and political aspects of environmental policy. In addition to analyzing past histories, most contributions focus also on challenges, pitfalls and dilemmas that the region's policy makers and environmentalists must face during the period of transition and into the future
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht : Springer
    ISBN: 9789401581837
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (XI, 276 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Issues in Business Ethics 5
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Philosophy (General) ; Ethics ; Metaphysics ; Economics ; Business. ; Management science.
    Abstract: Business Ethics: Japan and the Global Economy presents a multicultural perspective of global business ethics with special emphasis on Japanese viewpoints. In contrast to the typical business ethics book written primarily from the viewpoint of Western culture and economy, the majority of the work is by Asian scholars, providing an historical overview of the religious, scientific and cultural phenomena which converged to create modern Japanese business ethics. Perspectives from socioeconomics, sociology, social contract and applied business ethics contribute to the analysis of moral issues. A new Japanese approach to moral science, Moralogy, is introduced and its implications for phenomena such as the Keiretsu system are explored. Concurrently, prominent Western ethicists explore the role of moral language and the implications of Kantian ethics and contractarian approaches for developing universal moral standards. Because Japan is an economic superpower, it is critical to understand the hidden economic culture, work ethic, and way of thinking in business. We must realize these are the results of an integration of historical factors, such as Shintoism, Buddhism, Confuctianism and modern Western science and technology. Business Ethics: Japan and the Global Economy provides philosophical and anthropological analyses of the Japanese economic mind, departing from previous stereotyped approaches. Theoretical discussions based upon social contract theory are presented in order to build ethical norms with cross-cultural activity for multinational economic activities. From such a universal stance, practical proposals are presented to transnationalize the Keiretsu system and other Japanese economic institutions
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  • 5
    ISBN: 9789401120128
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (XIX, 366 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: The GeoJournal Library 25
    Series Statement: GeoJournal Library 25
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
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    Keywords: Economics ; Geology, economic ; International economics ; Renewable energy sources ; Social sciences ; International economic relations. ; Geology.
    Abstract: The former Soviet Union possessed some of the world's largest reserves of energy and mineral resources. With the dissolution of the country in 1991, the former Soviet republics are now exercising complete control over their mining industries. The new Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) consists of several new nations, well-endowed in hydrocarbons, metals, and industrial materials; efforts are now underway to boost development activities and attract foreign investment. Commonwealth members today are implementing policies to regulate energy and mineral development and enhance economic growth. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the energy and minerals industries of the CIS and other former Soviet republics outside the Commonwealth. Prospects for international cooperation and trade in hydrocarbons, metals, and nonmetals are examined, as are opportunities for joint ventures and technology transfers in mining. Economic relations between the CIS and several Asian nations are also analyzed. Contributors to the book from throughout the Commonwealth, Asia, Europe, and North America have a wide variety of backgrounds in the energy and mineral fields, including government, academia, and industry
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht : Springer
    ISBN: 9789401581653
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (VI, 154 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Issues in Business Ethics 4
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Philosophy (General) ; Economics ; Ethics ; Business. ; Management science.
    Abstract: The Ethics of Business in a Global Economy contains essays by business leaders from four nations. This is followed by analyses of three key topics by scholars active in the fields of economics and ethics, and statements by practitioners of four major world religions on the relevance of their respective traditions to the ethics of business. Finally, there are six brief case studies prepared by two business ethicists about specific ethical issues arising in international business. The authors address different facets of one of the most dramatic new facts of our time, the globalization of business. With many corporations now operating around the world and others planning a significant expansion of markets, this development is destined to accelerate in coming decades. The Ethics of Business in a Global Economy is a valuable resource both for the student of business ethics, as well as for those who want to explore the interrelationship between business, ethics, and religion in order to discover how collaboration between people in these three fields can contribute to a more just society
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht : Springer
    ISBN: 9789401129480
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (IX, 196 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Studies in Public Choice 7
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Economics ; Industrial organization (Economic theory) ; Econometrics ; Political science. ; Industrial organization.
    Abstract: Economics has been basically a study of the interactions between organizations, with some organizations being so small we only have one person in them. The internal organization of the largest hierarchies has indeed been looked at, but a good reason for working less on these organizations is that the internal reactions are much harder to understand. It is sensible to solve the problems we can solve and put the others off until later. The author's basic purpose here is to look at these larger hierarchical organizations, and develop a scientific account of them. In Economic Hierarchies, Organization and the Structure of Production Gordon Tullock examines the internal functioning and organization of the corporation. In the author's personal tradition, the book relies on narrative analysis rather than mathematical complexity to convey insights into the functioning of the corporation
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  • 8
    ISBN: 9789401580540
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (VIII, 329 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Boston Studies in the Philosophy and History of Science 130
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Philosophy (General) ; Science Philosophy ; Humanities ; Economics ; Evolution (Biology) ; Econometrics. ; Science—Philosophy.
    Abstract: The question of origins is inseparable from a web of hypotheses that both shape and explain us. Although origin invites examination, it always seems to elude our grasp. Notions have always been produced which seek to interpret the genesis of life, mind, and the social order, and these notions have all been found to be unstable in the face of theoretical and empirical challenges. In any given period, the central ideas on origin have had a mutual resonance, frequently overlooked by specialists engaged in their particular fields. The main purpose of this truly interdisciplinary book is the drawing together of contributions from biology, the cognitive sciences and the humanities into a joint exploration of some of the main contemporary notions which deal with the understanding of origins in life, mind and society. The book consists of four central chapters (on social organization, symbols and money, life forms and perception) followed by acute and perceptive discussions. The book arose from an international meeting held at Stanford University
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht : Springer
    ISBN: 9789401138826
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (XVI, 368 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Studies in Public Choice 6
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Economics ; International economics ; Finance ; Finance, Public. ; Political science. ; International economic relations.
    Abstract: I: Economic Policies and Political Motives -- A. Theoretical Perspectives -- 1. Economic Policies and Political Competition -- 2. Voluntary collective action -- 3. Factor income taxation in a representative democracy -- B. Policy Choices -- 4. Macroeconomic stabilization policy: Does politics matter? -- 5. Accidental freedom -- 6. Europe 1992: From the common to the single market -- II: Markets and Socialism -- A. Market Socialism in Eastern Europe -- 7. Markets and ownership in socialist countries in transition -- 8. Socialism in less than one country -- B. Transitionary Policies -- 9. Restoring property rights -- 10. Liberalization dilemmas -- C. Economic Change in China -- 11. The failure of recentralization in China: Interplays among enterprises, local governments, and the center -- 12. Market-oriented reform and fiscal policy -- III: International Economic Policy -- A. International Trade -- 13. The political-economy perspective on trade policy -- 14. The economics and political economy of managed trade -- 15. Changes in trade-policy regimes -- B. International Monetary Transaction -- 16. Foreign-exchange markets and central-bank intervention -- 17. The political economy of the international debt crisis -- 18. Foreign-exchange market liberalization: Anatomy of a failure.
    Abstract: Arye L. Hillman There has been much economic theorizing directed at providing the politician with guidance in the design of policies that will amend market outcomes in ways that achieve specified efficiency or equity objectives. It has been common practice in economic models to portray the politician who implements the policy recommendations as a mechanistic individual who behaves as would a benevolent dictator to maximize a prespecified conception of social welfare or the utility of a representative consumer. The self-interest and discretion that is attributed to firms and consumers as optimizing agents is absent from the motives of such a politician. Economic policy choice is thereby depoliticized. How well depoliticized economic theory fares in explaining or predicting economic policy choice depends naturally enough upon how politicized is the economic system in which economic and political agents function. The papers in this volume recognize that politicians may exercise sufficient discretion so as not to behave mechanistically in correcting market inefficiencies or in pursuit of a somehow specified just income distribution. Since politicians are viewed as self-interested optimizing agents, just as are utility-maximizing consumers and profit-maximizing producers, the choice of economic policies is politicized. Coverage is provided of a broad spectrum of economic policy choice where markets and politicians interact. Section I is concerned with policy determination in western market economies, Section II with the introduction of markets into economies in transition from socialism, and Section III with international transactions.
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  • 10
    ISBN: 9789401133326
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (VIII, 269 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Technology, Risk, and Society, An International Series in Risk Analysis 5
    Series Statement: Risk, Governance and Society 5
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Social sciences ; Economics ; Political science. ; Business. ; Management science. ; Sociology.
    Abstract: 1. Introduction -- Technological Factors: Discoveries, Uncertainties, and Limits on Safety Strategies -- Economic Factors: Shifting Electricity Demand and Financing Problems -- Managerial Factors -- Political Attitudes -- Summary and Outline of the Book -- 2. Shoreham’s Beginnings -- The Early Development of Nuclear Power -- The Surge in Orders -- The Decision to Build Shoreham -- Basic Design of the Plant -- Key Early Decisions -- Summary -- Appendix to Chapter 2 -- 3. The early Politics of Shoreham -- The Contrasting Reactions to Shoreham and Lloyd Harbor -- The Purpose of AEC/NRC Hearings -- The Licensing Process -- Shoreham’s Hearings -- Two Views of the Hearings -- Appendix to Chapter 3 -- 4. Shoreham’s Contruction -- The Review of Construction -- Oversight by LILCO’s Board of Directors and Others -- LILCO’s Management of the Regulatory System -- The Failure of Engineering to Support Construction -- LILCO’s Relationship with Stone and Webster -- Labor Productivity -- The Failure of the Diesel Generators -- Disallowance of Costs -- Appendix to Chapter 4 -- 5. The Emergency Planning Controversy -- The Strengthening of Planning Requirements -- The County’s Split with LILCO -- The Marburger Panel -- LILCO’s Tax Maneuver and Cohalan’s Switch -- The Federal Test of Emergency Planning -- The Federal Response to State and Local Opposition -- Appendix to Chapter 5 -- 6. Takeover, Settlement, or Shoreham? -- The Establishment of the Long Island Power Authority -- Takeover or Negotiated Settlement? -- Projected Costs of the Settlement and Alternatives -- Appendix to Chapter 6 -- 7. The Politics of Settling Shoreham -- The Reactions to the Settlement -- LILCO’s Progress in Licensing Shoreham -- Legislative Action on the Settlement -- The RICO Suit -- The Revised Shoreham Settlement -- The Federal Government’s Opposition to the Settlement -- The Economic Evaluation of the Settlement -- The Denouement at Shoreham -- Conclusion -- Appendix to Chapter 7 -- 8. Conclusion -- LILCO’S Problems and Changes -- State and Local Opposition -- Policy, Personal Stakes, and Decision Momentum -- References -- Appendix: Chronology of Significant Events in the Shoreham Project.
    Abstract: Several individuals noted the potentially important civilian uses of atomic energy shortly after the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945. That year J. Robert Oppenheimer told a national radio audience that "in the near future" it would be possible to generate profitable electric power from "controlled nuclear chain reaction units" (reactors). It was suggested that, after fIfteen to twenty-five years of development, mature nuclear technology could provide virtually inexhaustible, cheap energy given the abundance of nuclear fuel. Admiral Lewis Strauss, the Chairman of the Atomic Energy Commission, stated that atomic power would generate electricity "too cheap to meter" (A statement that, according to Brookhaven National Laboratories' physicist Herbert Kouts, immediately "caused consternation among his technical advisors" [Kouts, 1983: 3)). For a brief period it was thought that airplanes would fly using atomic power, and homes would install small nuclear reactors for heat and hot water. 1950s and early 1960s a small number of prototype nuclear In the reactors came on line in the United States. The first power plant protoype reactor began operation in Shippingport, Pennsylvania in 1957. It was followed by the Dresden 1 unit near Chicago in 1959, the Yankee plant in Rowe, Massachusetts (1960), and the Indian Point (New York) and Big Rock Point (Michigan) plants in 1%2. These five plants had a combined 800 megawatts (800 MW), or less than one generating capacity ofless than percent of the total American electricity generating capacity in 1962.
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  • 11
    ISBN: 9789400920835
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (276p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Additional Information: Rezensiert in Moore, Jennifer Mills International Reflections on Individual Autonomy and Corporate Effectiveness 1993
    Series Statement: Issues in Business Ethics 1
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Keywords: Philosophy (General) ; Economics ; Industrial management ; Ethics ; Management. ; Econometrics.
    Abstract: 1 Introduction -- I: Personal Convictions and Corporate Claims: Ethical Conflicts and Solutions -- 2 The Responsible Corporation and the Subversive Side of Ethics -- 3 Ethical Decision-making in a National Utility: The Electricity Industry in France -- 4 Using the Techniques of Ethical Analysis in Corporate Practice -- 5 Ethical Responsibilities Versus Corporate Effectiveness -- 6 The Corporation As an Open Organisation -- 7 The Function of Management Control Systems in Innovative Organisations -- 8 Ethics and Interpersonal Trust in Corporate Management -- 9 The Parameters of Ethical Decision-making in Organisations -- II: “Empowering” People: End or Means? -- 10 The Ethical Challenge to the Corporations: Meaningful Progress and Individual Development -- 11 The Individual Dimension in Corporations -- 12 Human Development and the Images of the Organisation -- 13 Empowering People as an End for Business -- 14 On the Demand for Meaningful Work -- 15 Ethics and Labour Contracts: an Economist’s Point of View -- 16 To Encourage or Repress? Corporate Policy and Whistle-blowing -- 17 The Responsibility of Individuals for a Company Disaster: The Example of the Zeebrugge Car Ferry -- III: Men and Women in Corporations: Repression, Competition or Co-operation? -- 18 Introductory Remarks -- 19 Male or Female Ethics for Corporations? -- 20 Demographic Pressure in Favour of the Promotion of Women -- 21 How to Include Women In Corporate Decision-Making -- IV: The Ethical Role of Top Managers -- 22 Who or What Is “the Boss”? Authority Without Authoritarianism -- 23 “I Am the Boss. Why Should I Be Ethical?” -- 24 Ethics and the Definition of Business Strategy -- 25 Management as the Symbolisation of Ethical Values -- 26 Values and Types of Entrepreneurs in Small Business -- 27 Executive Decisions and Values -- Outlook Some Perspectives -- 28 Spheres and Limits of Ethical Responsibilities in and of the Corporation -- 29 Philosophical Considerations of a Top Manager -- 30 The Importance of the Cultural Context for Business Ethics: The Italian Example -- Note on the Contributors.
    Abstract: Georges Enderle Before presenting some introductory remarks on the topic of this volume I should like to outline briefly the context from which this selection of articles originates. (It seems to me necessary to emphasise these circumstances in order to make clearer the contours of what is said and what is not said and to understand it better. ) This context involves, flrstly, a general evaluation of the state of the business ethics debate today and, secondly, considerations of the question of what attitude and strategy should be chosen in order to promote business ethics most effectively. On the present state of affairs of the business ethics debate Today, it is extremely difflcult, if not impossible, to gain even a rough overview of the business ethics debate in the different countries of Europe and North America. Many activities take place in informal circles and on a local and regional level; linguistic and other barriers impede the spread of information about them and, often, they are not even labelled "business ethics". At the same time, so many other things sail under the flag of "business ethics" that one sometimes wonders if it should not be replaced by another flag, for instance new methods of public-relations or better motivation of company's employees. Yet, in spite of these difflculties in deflning business ethics activities, one statement at least can be made with certainty. .
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  • 12
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht : Springer
    ISBN: 9789400919389
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (268p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Theory and Decision Library, Series A: Philosophy and Methodology of the Social Sciences 12
    Series Statement: Theory and Decision Library A:, Rational Choice in Practical Philosophy and Philosophy of Science 12
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
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    Keywords: Economics ; Endogenous growth (Economics) ; Economic development. ; Business. ; Management science.
    Abstract: 1/Introduction -- 2/Utility and Attitude -- 3/Choice Behavior with Respect to Durable Consumption Goods -- 4/Models for Scrapping Durable Consumption Goods -- 5/An Empirical Micro-Model of Scrapping Behavior -- 6/Reliability and Survival of a Durable Consumption Good -- 7/Evaluation and Applications -- References -- Author Index.
    Abstract: As a psychologist by education, my interest is in how people solve problems. At the Economic Institute of Leyden Universi ty, I learned that economists study human behavior too, although their studies are limited to economic affairs. At the Institute of Scientific Research on Consumer Affairs became (SWOKA), I aware of the needs of consumer organizations and the government for consumer research to base their policy on. At Erasmus University Rotterdam, I got the opportunity to integrate my interests and knowledge into this book. The first part of the book attempts to integrate psychological theories of attitude, perception, motivation and decision into economics. Both disciplines are concerned with human behavior, and the economic paradigm of demand, subj ect to restrictions, is combined with the psychological tradition of direct measurements of perceptions and motivations. This results in a micro-model of economic choice that can be tested by means of information obtained directly from consumers. The empirical study deals with the problem of scrapping a durable consumption good. By means of a consumer survey, the micro-model of choice is applied to the decision to scrap a durable good, or to repair the good in case of a defect. This individual decision obviously is connected with the large scale problem of waste, and with the manufacturer's problem of producing durable goods with a certain quality and durabili ty.
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  • 13
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht : Springer
    ISBN: 9789401578738
    Language: English
    Pages: Online-Ressource (XVII, 485 p) , digital
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
    Series Statement: Theory and Decision Library, Series A: Philosophy and Methodology of the Social Sciences 13
    Series Statement: Theory and Decision Library A:, Rational Choice in Practical Philosophy and Philosophy of Science 13
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als
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    Keywords: Economics ; Microeconomics ; Environmental economics ; Operations research
    Abstract: I. The Evolution of Scientific Conceptions of Uncertainty and Their Social Underpinnings -- 1. Coping with Uncertainty in Natural Science: 1200–1700 -- 2. Political, Moral, and Economic Decisions and the Origins of the Mathematical Theory of Probability: The Case of Jacob Bernoulli’s The Art of Conjecturing -- 3. The Quantification of Uncertainty After 1700: Statistics Socially Constructed? -- 4. Uncertainty and the Conditioning of Beliefs -- 5. The Unity of Probability -- 6. Necessity, Chance, and Freedom -- II. Risk Analysis and Social Responsibility -- 7. Risk in Cultural Perspective -- 8. Statistical Hypothesis Tests and Statistical Power in Pure and Applied Science -- 9. Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Assessment -- 10. Uncertainty in Morals and Politics -- III. Learning and Acting Under Uncertainty -- 11. Re-Modeling Risk Aversion: A Comparison of Bernoullian and Rank Dependent Value Approaches -- 12. Neither Gullible Nor Unteachable Be: Signal Extraction and the Optimal Speed of Learning from Uncertain News -- 13. Rethinking Rational Expectations -- 14. Multiattribute Decision Models: Task Order and Group Effects -- IV. Coping With Extreme Forms of Uncertainty -- 15. Measuring Vague Uncertainties and Understanding Their Use in Decision Making -- 16. Quantifying Vagueness and Possibility: New Trends in Knowledge Representation -- 17. Chaos and Complexity in Economic and Financial Science -- 18. Information.
    Abstract: Uncertainty could be associated with wisdom, enterprise, and discovery. In ordinary speech, however, it has mostly negative connotations. There is "fear of the unknown" and "ignorance is bliss;" there are maxims to the effect that "what you don't know doesn't hurt you" (or: "bother you") in several languages. This volume suggests that we need be bothered by the excessive confidence with which scientists, particularly social scientists, present some of their conclusions and overstate their range of application. Otherwise many of the questions that should be raised about all the major uncertainties attending a particular issue routinely may continue to be thwarted or suppressed. Down playing uncertainty does not lead to more responsible or surer action, it sidetracks research agendas, and leaves the decision makers exposed to nasty surprise. This volume demonstrates that recognizing the many forms of uncertainty that enter into the development of any particular subject matter is a precondition for more responsible choice and deeper knowledge. Our purpose is to contribute to a broader appreciation of uncertainty than regularly accorded in any of the numerous disciplines represented here. The seventeenth-century French philosopher Descartes, quoted in this volume, wrote that "whoever is searching after truth must, once in his life, doubt all things; insofar as this is possible. " White areas left on maps of the world in past centuries were a much more productive challenge than marking the end of the known world with the pillars of Hercules.
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