ISBN:
9400704585
,
9789400704589
Language:
English
Pages:
Online-Ressource (xxii, 248 p)
Edition:
Online-Ausg.
Series Statement:
Environment & Policy v. 51
Parallel Title:
Print version Demography and Infrastructure : National and Regional Aspects of Demographic Change
DDC:
304.6
Keywords:
Infrastructure (Economics)
;
Demography
;
Deutschland
;
Bevölkerungsentwicklung
;
Infrastrukturleistung
;
Wirtschaftlichkeit
Abstract:
Population ageing has been going on for many decades, but population shrinking is a rather new phenomenon. The population of Germany, as in many other countries, has passed a plateau and is currently shrinking. Demographic change is a challenge for infrastructure planning due to the longevity of infrastructure capital and the need to match supply and demand in order to ensure cost-efficiency. This book summarises the findings of the INFRADEM project team, a multidisciplinary research group that worked together to estimate the effects of demographic change on infrastructure demand. Economists
Description / Table of Contents:
Acknowledgement; Contents; Contributors; List of Abbreviations; List of Figures; List of Tables; 1 Introduction to Infrastructure and Demography (InfraDem); 1.1 Background and Aim of the Project; 1.2 State of the Art; 1.2.1 InfrastructureIntergenerational Basis for Economic Welfare; 1.2.2 Demographic Development -- An Intergenerational Trend; 1.2.3 Sustainable Development Assessment; 1.3 Outline of the Content; References; Part I The Macroeconomic Perspective; 2 The Setting: Demographic Trends and Economic Development in Germany and Two Selected Regions; 2.1 Introduction
Description / Table of Contents:
2.2 Demographic Trends2.2.1 Demographic Trends in Germany; 2.2.2 Demographic Trends in Hamburg and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania; 2.2.3 Population Projections at District Level for Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania; 2.3 Household Projections; 2.3.1 Household Members; 2.3.2 Household Heads; 2.4 Labour Force Projections; 2.4.1 The Working-Age Population in Germany, Hamburg and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania; 2.4.2 Projection of the Labour Force; 2.5 Macroeconomic Development; 2.6 Conclusions; Appendix; References; 3 Macroeconomic Conditions for Infrastructure Adaptation to Demographic Change
Description / Table of Contents:
3.1 Introduction3.2 Endogenous Growth; 3.3 Model; 3.4 Calibration and Simulation; 3.5 Demography; 3.6 Results; 3.7 Conclusion; References; 4 Demographically Induced Changes in the Structure of Final Demand and Infrastructure Use; 4.1 Introduction; 4.2 Motivation; 4.3 Methodology; 4.3.1 Econometric Estimation of Consumption Patterns; 4.3.2 Macroeconomic Context; 4.3.3 The Structure of Households' Consumption Expenditure; 4.3.4 Sectoral Production and Emissions; 4.4 Results; 4.4.1 Effects on Consumption Expenditure; 4.4.2 Effects on Sectoral Production; 4.4.3 Effects on Energy Use and Emissions
Description / Table of Contents:
4.4.4 Results for Germany with a ''High'' Population4.4.5 Results for Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Hamburg; 4.5 Conclusion; Appendix; References; Part II Specific Types of Infrastructures; 5 Demographic Effects on Passenger Transport Demand; 5.1 Introduction; 5.2 The Relevance of Demographic Change for Future Transport Demand; 5.3 Estimating the Passenger Travel Demand 2030; 5.3.1 Modelling Approach of TAPAS; 5.3.1.1 Generation of a Synthetic Population; 5.3.1.2 Generation and Assignment of Activity Plans; 5.3.1.3 Destination and Mode Choice; 5.3.2 TAPAS: Summing up
Description / Table of Contents:
5.4 Results of Travel Demand Modelling5.4.1 Expected Changes in the Origin of Passenger Trips; 5.4.1.1 Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania; 5.4.1.2 Hamburg; 5.4.2 Expected Changes in Kilometres per Year; 5.4.3 Resulting Workload of the Road Infrastructure; 5.4.3.1 Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania; 5.4.3.2 Hamburg; 5.4.4 Public Transportation; 5.5 Conclusion; References; 6 The Demand for Air Transport and Consequences for the Airports of Hamburg and Rostock; 6.1 Introduction; 6.2 Methodology of Forecasting the German Air Transport Demand; 6.2.1 Structuring Air Transport Demand
Description / Table of Contents:
6.2.2 Methodological Forecast Approach
Note:
Includes bibliographical references and index
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