ISBN:
9789048189540
Language:
English
Pages:
Online-Ressource
Edition:
Online-Ausg. Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
Series Statement:
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis 31
Series Statement:
SpringerLink
Series Statement:
Bücher
DDC:
304.620112
Keywords:
Social sciences
;
Statistics
;
Demography
Abstract:
Providing a unified and comprehensive treatment of the theory and techniques of sub-national population estimation, this much-needed publication does more than collate disparate source material. It examines hitherto unexplored methodological links between differing types of estimation from both the demographic and sample-survey traditions and is a self-contained primer that combines academic rigor with a wealth of real-world examples that are useful models for demographers. Between censuses, which are expensive, administratively complex, and thus infrequent, demographers and government officials must estimate population using either demographic modeling techniques or statistical surveys that sample a fraction of residents. These estimates play a central role in vital decisions that range from funding allocations and rate-setting to education, health and housing provision. They also provide important data to companies undertaking market research. However, mastering small-area and sub-national population estimation is complicated by scattered, incomplete and outdated academic sourcesan issue this volume tackles head-on. Rapidly increasing population mobility is making inter-census estimation ever more important to strategic planners. This book will make the theory and techniques involved more accessible to anyone with an interest in developing or using population estimates.
Description / Table of Contents:
Subnational Population Estimates; Preface; Reference; Acknowledgements; Contents; Chapter 1: Introduction; 1.1 What is a Population Estimate?; 1.2 How are Estimates Done?; 1.3 What makes a Good Estimate?; 1.4 Who makes Population Estimates?; 1.5 Why make Population Estimates?; 1.5.1 Political Redistricting in Florida; 1.5.2 The Country Mart Store, Omaha, Nebraska; 1.5.3 How many Visitors are in Hawai´i?; 1.5.4 The Impact of European Contact on Native Hawaiians; 1.6 About this Book; References; Chapter 2: Basic Concepts; 2.1 Demographic; 2.1.1 Size; 2.1.2 Distribution; 2.1.3 Composition
Description / Table of Contents:
2.1.4 Change2.1.4.1 Components of Population Change; 2.1.4.2 Fundamental Demographic Equation; 2.2 Geographic; 2.2.1 Geographic Information Systems (GIS); 2.2.2 Density; 2.2.3 Center of Population; 2.2.4 Spatial Distribution; 2.2.5 Distance, Accessibility, and Spatial Interaction; 2.3 Statistical; 2.3.1 Descriptive Statistics; 2.3.1.1 Central Tendency; 2.3.1.2 Variability; 2.3.1.3 Distribution Shape; 2.3.2 Inferential Statistics; 2.3.2.1 Sampling Methods; 2.3.2.2 Confidence Intervals; 2.3.2.3 Hypothesis Testing; 2.4 Regression; Endnotes; References; Chapter 3: Data Sources; 3.1 Choice of Data
Description / Table of Contents:
3.2 Decennial Census3.3 Vital Events; 3.4 Surveys; 3.4.1 Current Population Survey; 3.4.2 American Housing Survey; 3.4.3 Construction and Building Permits Survey; 3.4.4 American Community Survey; 3.5 Adminstrative Records; 3.5.1 Internal Revenue Service; 3.5.2 Department of Homeland Security; 3.5.3 Other Administrative Records; Endnotes; References; Chapter 4: Basic Measures; 4.1 Demographic; 4.1.1 Change; 4.1.2 Ratio, Proportion, Percentage, and Rate; 4.1.2.1 Fertility Rates; 4.1.2.2 Mortality Rates; 4.1.2.3 Life Tables and Survival Rates; 4.1.2.4 Migration Rates
Description / Table of Contents:
4.1.3 Indirect Estimates of Net Migration4.2 Geographic; 4.2.1 Concentration; 4.2.2 Center of Population and Distance; 4.2.3 Accessibility and Spatial Interaction; 4.3 Statistical; 4.3.1 Descriptive; 4.3.2 Inferential; 4.3.3 Regression; 4.4 Data Display; 4.4.1 Statistical Graphics; 4.4.1.1 Univariate Data; 4.4.1.2 Bivariate and Multivariate Data; 4.4.2 Maps; Endnotes; References; Chapter 5: Overview of Estimation Methods; 5.1 Classification of Estimates and Methods; 5.1.1 Pre-censal, Inter-censal, and Post-censal Estimates; 5.1.2 Classification Schemes; 5.2 Estimation Methods
Description / Table of Contents:
5.2.1 Extrapolation5.2.2 Housing Unit; 5.2.3 Regression; 5.2.4 Censal Ratio; 5.2.5 Component; 5.2.6 Sample Based; 5.2.7 Other Methods; 5.2.8 Inter-censal; References; Chapter 6: Extrapolation Methods1; 6.1 Simple Extrapolation; 6.1.1 Linear Change; 6.1.2 Geometric Change; 6.1.3 Exponential Change; 6.2 Complex Extrapolation; 6.2.1 Linear Model; 6.2.2 Polynomial Model; 6.2.3 Exponential Model; 6.2.4 Logistic Model; 6.2.5 Arima Model; 6.3 Ratio Extrapolation; 6.3.1 Constant-Share; 6.3.2 Shift-Share; 6.3.3 Share-of-Growth; 6.4 Analyzing Estimation Results; 6.5 Conclusions; Endnotes; References
Description / Table of Contents:
Chapter 7: Housing Unit Method
Note:
Description based upon print version of record
,
Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
DOI:
10.1007/978-90-481-8954-0
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