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  • HeBIS  (3)
  • 2010-2014  (3)
  • Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
  • Rand Corporation
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  • 1
    ISBN: 9780833079190 , 0833083201
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: 1 Online-Ressource (xxi, 88 pages)
    DDC: 303.6/2501
    Schlagwort(e): Terrorism ; Terrorism ; Insurgency ; Electronic books
    Kurzfassung: Introduction -- Specifying the Model -- Implementation in a High-Level Language -- Looking Ahead to Exploratory Analysis Under Uncertainty -- Using the Model for Knowledge Elicitation, Discussion, and Diagnosis -- Appendix A: Primer on Factor Trees (a reprint) -- Appendix B: Verification and Validation -- Appendix C: Eliciting Factor Values -- Appendix D: Mathematics for "And" and "Or" Relationships
    URL: Volltext  (Kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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  • 2
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    [Santa Monica, CA] : RAND Corporation | New York : JSTOR
    ISBN: 9780833083432 , 0833083430
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: 1 Online-Ressource (11 Seiten) , color Illustrationen, map
    Serie: RAND Corporation research report series ; RR296
    DDC: 303.6/9096623
    Schlagwort(e): Political stability ; Postwar reconstruction ; Internal security ; POLITICAL SCIENCE Security (National & International) ; Ethnic relations ; Internal security ; Political stability ; Postwar reconstruction ; Mali Ethnic relations
    Kurzfassung: The 2012 conflict in northern Mali has shown that many assumptions about Mali's political stability, internal cohesion, and military capabilities were deeply flawed. The January 2013 French-led military intervention scattered the insurgents, but the conditions and drivers that brought about the crisis in the first place have yet to be addressed. This report is intended to assist with the post-conflict planning in northern Mali by examining the historical, economic, and social factors that drive conflict in northern Mali and the different groups that have been involved in the conflict. The authors argue that, in the absence of a large international presence, durable security in northern Mali will have to be provided, to a large extent, by local actors. The authors draw on historical examples of rebellions in Mali since 1916 to show how detailed knowledge of the different local actors and their political dynamics can help in finding solutions that will bring lasting security and stability to the region.
    Anmerkung: Includes bibliographical references (page 11)
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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  • 3
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Santa Monica, CA : RAND | New York : JSTOR
    ISBN: 9780833079688 , 0833079689
    Sprache: Englisch
    Seiten: 1 Online-Ressource (xvii, 70 Seiten)
    Serie: Rand Corporation monograph series ; MG-1198-USFI
    DDC: 305.8009567/4
    Schlagwort(e): Ethnic conflict History 21st century ; Ethnic conflict Case studies ; Ethnic conflict ; Ethnic relations Political aspects ; Karkūk (Iraq) Ethnic relations ; Political aspects ; Case studies ; History ; Electronic books ; Electronic books ; Electronic books
    Kurzfassung: Tensions among Arabs, Kurds, and Turkomen in northern Iraq -- particularly regarding the city of Kirkuk -- have the potential to escalate into intercommunal violence that would greatly destabilize Iraq. The city's status is tied up in political, legal, and constitutional disputes over disputed territories, Iraq's oil and gas resources, and the power of Iraq's regions vis-à-vis Baghdad. Past efforts to resolve ethno-territorial conflicts, whether successful or not, offer insights that may facilitate a negotiated solution to the status of Kirkuk. An examination of agreements and negotiations regarding Brčko, Mostar, Northern Ireland, and Jerusalem demonstrates the importance of separating local disputes from national-level politics, emphasizing practical governance structures over symbols of sovereignty, developing adaptable power-sharing mechanisms and multi-ethnic security forces that protect the rights of current and potential future minorities, empowering local leaders, and marginalizing nationalistic spoilers who amplify ethnic tensions to consolidate their power. Confidence-building measures and successful resolution of local problems could demonstrate that meaningful inter-ethnic collaboration is possible and, by alleviating local tensions, provide "breathing space" for national-level officials to resolve strategic challenges. The negotiation process may be facilitated by considering whether a "grand bargain" can mitigate the zero-sum nature of the dispute, temporarily deferring especially contentious issues, and involving an impartial yet influential third party to bridge gaps and encourage compromise. The U.S. record of constructive engagement on Arab-Kurd issues, combined with its ability to influence debates on such unresolved national issues as federalism and hydrocarbons, suggests that active American diplomacy regarding Kirkuk could both eliminate a potential flashpoint and pave the way for Iraqi leaders to resolve broader political and economic disputes.
    Anmerkung: Title from PDF title page (viewed on May 10, 2012) , "Sponsored by U.S. Forces-Iraq , "National Defense Research Institute , Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-70)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
    BibTip Andere fanden auch interessant ...
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