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  • MPI Ethno. Forsch.  (12)
  • 2015-2019  (12)
  • 1975-1979
  • Hallegatte, Stéphane  (12)
  • Washington, D.C : The World Bank  (12)
Datasource
  • MPI Ethno. Forsch.  (12)
Material
Language
Years
Year
  • 1
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (54 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Avner, Paolo Buses, Houses or Cash? Socio-Economic, Spatial and Environmental Consequences of Reforming Public Transport Subsidies in Buenos Aires
    Abstract: Transit subsidies in the urban area of Buenos Aires are high, amounting to a total of US
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    ISBN: 9781464806735
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource
    Edition: Online-Ausg.
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Druckausg.
    DDC: 362.5
    Keywords: Climatic changes Economic aspects ; Economic development ; Economic policy ; Poverty ; Climatic changes Economic aspects
    Note: Includes bibliographical references and index. - Description based on print version record
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  • 3
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (47 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Hallegatte, Stephane Socioeconomic Resilience: Multi-Hazard Estimates in 117 Countries
    Abstract: This paper presents a model to assess the socioeconomic resilience to natural disasters of an economy, defined as its capacity to mitigate the impact of disaster-related asset losses on welfare. The paper proposes a tool to help decision makers identify the most promising policy options to reduce welfare losses from natural disasters. Applied to riverine and storm surge floods, earthquakes, windstorms, and tsunamis in 117 countries, the model provides estimates of country-level socioeconomic resilience. Because hazards disproportionally affect poor people, each
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  • 4
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (29 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Hallegatte, Stephane Assessing Socioeconomic Resilience to Floods in 90 Countries
    Abstract: This paper presents a model to assess the socioeconomic resilience to natural disasters of an economy, defined as its capacity to mitigate the impact of disaster-related asset losses on welfare, and a tool to help decision makers identify the most promising policy options to reduce welfare losses due to floods. Calibrated with household surveys, the model suggests that welfare losses from the July 2005 floods in Mumbai were almost double the asset losses, because losses were concentrated on poor and vulnerable populations. Applied to river floods in 90 countries, the model provides estimates of country-level socioeconomic resilience. Because floods disproportionally affect poor people, each
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  • 5
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (10 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Rozenberg, Julie Model and Methods for Estimating the Number of People Living in Extreme Poverty Because of the Direct Impacts of Natural Disasters
    Abstract: Natural disasters have an impact on poverty through many different channels-economic growth, health, schooling, behaviors-that are difficult to quantify. It is nonetheless possible to assess the short-term impacts of income losses. A counterfactual scenario is built of what people's income would be in developing countries in the absence of natural disasters. This scenario uses surveys of 1.4 million households in 89 countries. Depending on where they live and work, what they consume, and the nature of their vulnerability, the additional income that each household in the survey could earn every year on average in the absence of natural disasters is calculated. The analysis concludes that if all disasters could be prevented next year, 26 million fewer people would be in extreme poverty-that is, living on less than
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  • 6
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (27 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Hallegatte, Stephane Are Losses from Natural Disasters More Than Just Asset Losses? The Role of Capital Aggregation, Sector Interactions, and Investment Behaviors
    Abstract: The welfare impact of a natural disaster depends on its effect on consumption, not only on the direct asset losses and human losses that are usually estimated and reported after disasters. This paper proposes a framework to assess disaster-related consumption losses, starting from an estimate of the asset losses, and leading to the following findings. First, output losses after a disaster destroys part of the capital stock are better estimated by using the average-not the marginal-productivity of capital. A model that describes capital in the economy as a single homogeneous stock would systematically underestimate disaster output losses, compared with a model that tracks capital in different sectors with limited reallocation options. Second, the net present value of disaster-caused consumption losses decreases when reconstruction is accelerated. With standard parameters, discounted consumption losses are only 10 percent larger than asset losses if reconstruction is completed in one year, compared with 80 percent if reconstruction takes 10 years. Third, for disasters of similar magnitude, consumption losses are expected to be lower where the productivity of capital is higher, such as in capital-scarce developing countries. This mechanism may partly compensate for the many other factors that make poor countries and poor people more vulnerable to disasters
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  • 7
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (22 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Rozenberg, Julie Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change on Future Vietnamese Households: A Micro-Simulation Approach
    Abstract: The impacts of climate change on poverty depend on the magnitude of climate change, but also on demographic and socioeconomic trends. An analysis of hundreds of baseline scenarios for future economic development in the absence of climate change in Vietnam shows that the main determinant of the eradication of extreme poverty by 2030 is the income of unskilled agriculture workers, followed by redistribution policies. Results from sector analyses of climate change impacts-in agriculture, health, and natural disasters-are introduced in each of the hundreds scenarios. By 2030 climate change is found to have a significant impact on poverty in Vietnam in about a quarter of the scenarios, with 400,000 to more than a million people living in extreme poverty just because of climate change impacts. Those scenarios in which climate change pushes the most people into poverty are scenarios with slow structural change away from agriculture, low productivity growth in agriculture, high population growth, and low redistribution levels. Conversely, in scenarios with rapid, inclusive, and climate-informed development, climate change has no impact on extreme poverty, although it still has an impact on the income of the bottom 40 percent
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  • 8
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (32 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Hallegatte, Stephane Higher Losses and Slower Development in the Absence of Disaster Risk Management Investments
    Abstract: Global economic losses from natural disasters continue to increase. Yet, investments in disaster risk management are not universal, as they are traditionally seen as in competition with other development and economic priorities. The multitude of benefits from disaster risk management investments are not traditionally accounted for in cost-benefit analyses. This paper contributes to this discussion by highlighting the multiple benefits from disaster risk management investments, focusing on the avoided losses when a disaster occurs, but also on the impacts on economic development even before a disaster strikes. The paper's main message is that disaster risk management investments can provide two dividends: reduced losses when a disaster strikes, and a shift of investment strategies and perhaps even an increase in investment value that would benefit the economy even before a disaster strikes. Providing evidence to policy makers and investors about the existence of both types of dividends can provide a narrative reconciling short-term and long-term objectives, thereby improving the acceptability and feasibility of disaster risk management investments
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  • 9
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (40 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Hallegatte, Stephane The Indirect Cost of Natural Disasters and an Economic Definition of Macroeconomic Resilience
    Abstract: The welfare impact of a disaster does not depend only on the physical characteristics of the event or its direct impacts in terms of lost lives and assets. Depending on the ability of the economy to cope, recover, and reconstruct, the reconstruction will be more or less difficult, and the welfare effects smaller or larger. This ability, which can be referred to as the macroeconomic resilience of the economy to natural disasters, is an important parameter to estimate the overall vulnerability of a population. Here, resilience is decomposed into two components: instantaneous resilience, which is the ability to limit the magnitude of the immediate loss of income for a given amount of capital losses, and dynamic resilience, which is the ability to reconstruct and recover quickly. The paper proposes a rule of thumb to estimate macroeconomic resilience, based on the interest rate (a higher interest rate decreases resilience and increases welfare losses), the reconstruction duration (a longer reconstruction duration increases welfare losses), and a "ripple-effect" factor that increases or decreases immediate losses (negative if enough idle resources are available to cope; positive if cross-sector and supply-chain issues impair the production of non-affected capital). An optimal risk management strategy is very likely to include measures to reduce direct impacts (disaster risk reduction actions) and measures to reduce indirect impacts (resilience building actions)
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  • 10
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (58 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Park, Jisung Households and Heat Stress: Estimating the Distributional Consequences of Climate Change
    Abstract: Recent economic research documents a range of adverse welfare consequences from extreme heat stress, including health, labor productivity, and direct consumption disutility impacts. Without rapid adaptation, climate change will increase the burden of heat stress experienced by much of the world's population in the coming decades. What will the distributional consequences of this added heat stress be, and how might this affect optimal climate policy? Using detailed survey data of household wealth in 690,745 households across 52 countries, this paper finds evidence suggesting that the welfare impacts of added heat stress caused by climate change may be regressive. Specifically, the analysis finds that poorer households tend to be located in hotter locations across and within countries, and poorer individuals are more likely to work in occupations with greater exposure to the elements not only across but also within countries. These findings-combined with the fact that current social cost of carbon estimates do not include climate damages arising from the productivity impacts of heat stress-suggest that optimal climate policy, especially when allowing for declining marginal utility of consumption, involves more stringent abatement than currently suggested, and that redistributive adaptation policies may be required to reduce the mechanical inequities in welfare impacts arising from climate change
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  • 11
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (52 p)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Rozenberg, Julie The Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty in 2030 and the Potential from Rapid, Inclusive, and Climate-Informed Development
    Abstract: The impacts of climate change on poverty depend on the magnitude of climate change, but also on demographic and socioeconomic trends. An analysis of hundreds of baseline scenarios for future economic development in the absence of climate change in 92 countries shows that the drivers of poverty eradication differ across countries. Two representative scenarios are selected from these hundreds. One scenario is optimistic regarding poverty and is labeled "prosperity;" the other scenario is pessimistic and labeled "poverty." Results from sector analyses of climate change impacts-in agriculture, health, and natural disasters-are introduced in the two scenarios. By 2030, climate change is found to have a significant impact on poverty, especially through higher food prices and reduction of agricultural production in Africa and South Asia, and through health in all regions. But the magnitude of these impacts depends on development choices. In the prosperity scenario with rapid, inclusive, and climate-informed development, climate change increases poverty by between 3 million and 16 million in 2030. The increase in poverty reaches between 35 million and 122 million if development is delayed and less inclusive (the poverty scenario)
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  • 12
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (35 Seiten)
    Series Statement: World Bank E-Library Archive
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Winsemius, Hessel C Disaster Risk, Climate Change, and Poverty: Assessing the Global Exposure of Poor People to Floods and Droughts
    Abstract: People living in poverty are particularly vulnerable to shocks, including those caused by natural disasters such as floods and droughts. Previous studies in local contexts have shown that poor people are also often overrepresented in hazard-prone areas. However, systematic evidence across countries demonstrating this finding is lacking. This paper analyzes at the country level whether poor people are disproportionally exposed to floods and droughts, and how this exposure may change in a future climate. To this end, household survey data with spatial identifiers from 52 countries are combined with present-day and future flood and drought hazard maps. The paper defines and calculates a "poverty exposure bias" and finds support that poor people are often overexposed to droughts and urban floods. For floods, no such signal is found for rural households, suggesting that different mechanisms-such as land scarcity-are more important drivers in urban areas. The poverty exposure bias does not change significantly under future climate scenarios, although the absolute number of people potentially exposed to floods or droughts can increase or decrease significantly, depending on the scenario and the region. The study finds some evidence of regional patterns: in particular, many countries in Africa exhibit a positive poverty exposure bias for floods and droughts. For these hot spots, implementing risk-sensitive land-use and development policies that protect poor people should be a priority
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