ISBN:
9781108877428
,
9781108792462
Language:
English
Pages:
1 online resource (77 pages)
,
digital, PDF file(s).
Series Statement:
Cambridge elements. Elements in campaigns and elections
Parallel Title:
Erscheint auch als
DDC:
303.38
Keywords:
Public opinion polls Cross-cultural studies Political aspects
;
Election monitoring
;
Election forecasting
Abstract:
Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.
Note:
Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 27 Sep 2021)
DOI:
10.1017/9781108877428
DOI:
10.1017/9781108877428
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