Language:
English
Pages:
1 Online-Ressource (circa 39 Seiten)
,
Illustrationen
Series Statement:
Policy research working paper 8465
Series Statement:
World Bank E-Library Archive
Series Statement:
Policy research working paper
Parallel Title:
Erscheint auch als Corrado, Luisa Anatomy of Credit-Less Recoveries
Keywords:
1980 - 2014
;
Kreditgeschäft
;
Produktionspotenzial
;
Kredit
;
Betriebliche Liquidität
;
Probit-Modell
;
Konjunktur
;
Welt
;
Graue Literatur
Abstract:
The recovery from the global crisis that erupted in 2007 shows that the decoupling between real and financial variables during the business cycle can lead to negative and long-lasting consequences for the economy. A key feature of the past global crisis in many countries is that the recovery in aggregate output has not been accompanied by a contemporary pick-up in lending flows to the private sector, rendering the recovery credit-less. This paper uses data on output and credit to study the relative roles of demand and supply drivers of credit growth during economic recoveries on a sample of advanced and emerging countries between 1980 and 2014. Using a simple endowment economy model, the paper shows that credit-less recoveries are correlated with liquidity shocks in real and financial markets and with the pace of private sector deleveraging. The empirical analysis shows that during these episodes demand-side frictions played a relatively larger role in predicting the occurrence of the episodes, reflecting weak demand for liquidity by the private sector in the aftermath of the crisis
DOI:
10.1596/1813-9450-8465
URL:
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