Language:
English
Pages:
Online-Ressource (20 p)
Edition:
2014 World Bank eLibrary
Parallel Title:
Geli, Patricia Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
Abstract:
A number of recent studies have empirically documented links between characteristics of World Bank projects and their ultimate outcomes as evaluated by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. This paper explores the in-sample and out-of-sample predictive performance of empirical models relating project outcomes to project characteristics observed early in the life of a project. Such models perform better than self-assessments of project performance provided by World Bank staff during the implementation of the project. These findings are applied to the problem of predicting eventual Independent Evaluation Group ratings for currently active projects in the World Bank's portfolio
DOI:
10.1596/1813-9450-7001
URL:
Volltext
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