ISBN:
0739128280
,
0739128299
,
9780739128282
,
9780739128299
Language:
English
Pages:
Online-Ressource (vii, 277 p)
,
23 cm
Edition:
Online-Ausg. 2010 Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
Uniform Title:
Selections. 2009
Parallel Title:
Print version The Essential Herman Kahn : In Defense of Thinking
DDC:
303.49
Keywords:
Kahn, Herman Influence
;
Forecasting Sources History 20th century
;
Futurologists Biography
;
Futurologists Sources History 20th century
;
Kahn, Herman - Influence
Abstract:
The Essential Herman Kahn offers the public for the first time an anthology consisting of the best of Herman Kahn's work. It brings together, out of the several thousands of pages published in his life, the 'essential Kahn'_the most relevant, consequential, and interesting themes, ideas, and arguments of his work in areas such as international relations, public policy, environmentalism, strategic thinking, and futurology
Description / Table of Contents:
Contents; Acknowledgments; Introduction; Part I. ITHINKING ABOUT THE UNTHINKABLE: SCENARIOS, GRAND STRATEGY, AND THERMONUCLEAR WAR; Chapter 01. In Defense of Thinking; Chapter 02. Twelve Nonissues and Twelve Almost Nonissues; Chapter 03. The Revolution in Warfare: Continuities and Discontinuities; Chapter 04. On Escalation; Chapter 05. Seizing the Moral, Political, and Strategic High Ground; Part II. A WORLD TURNING POINT: ECONOMIC GROWTH, CULTURALCHANGE, AND THE LONG VIEW; Chapter 06. The Big Picture-and Some Details: Watersheds of History; Chapter 07. Viewing Growth in Context
Description / Table of Contents:
Chapter 08. Four Characteristic Views of Two Basic Images of the Earth-Centered PerspectiveChapter 09. Some Current Cultural Contradictions of Economic Growth: The New Emphases; Chapter 10. Economic Development: Economic and Cultural Parameter; Chapter 11. The Alienated-Affluent Society; Part III. THE CHALLENGE OF THE FUTURE: FUTUROLOGY, METHODOLOGY, AND POLICY RESEARCH; Chapter 12. The Objectives of Future-Oriented Policy Research; Chapter 13. The Agnostic Use of Information and Concepts; Chapter 14. Forecasting the Future: History Happens in Straight Lines and Curves
Description / Table of Contents:
Chapter 15. A Methodological Framework: The Alternative World Futures ApproachChapter 16. The Method of Classes of Variables; Chapter 17. Ways to Go Wrong; Chapter 18. Technological Innovation: Mistakes of Omission and Commission; Part IV. THE TASK AHEAD: OBSERVATIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS, AND PARTING POLEMICS; Chapter 19. The Normative Perspective and the Ideology of Tomorrow; Chapter 20. Transitional Problems; Chapter 21. The Expert and Educated Incapacity; Chapater 22. Current Western Cultural Trends; Chapter 23. Futurology and the Future of Economic Development; Chaptr 24. The Task Ahead
Description / Table of Contents:
Appendix. Herman Kahn: A Bio-Bibliographical NoteSelected Bibliography; Index; About the Editors
Note:
Includes bibliographical references (p. 273-274) and index
,
Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
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