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  • 1
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (20 pages)
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Orecchia, Carlo Assessing the Efficiency and Fairness of the Fit for 55 Package toward Net Zero Emissions under Different Revenue Recycling Schemes for Italy
    Keywords: Achieving Environmental Sustainability Goals ; Carbon Policy and Trading ; Carbon Pricing Impact ; Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases ; Environment ; European Green Deal ; Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction ; Inequality ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Poverty Reduction ; Revenue Recycling ; Tax System Reform ; Taxation and Subsidies
    Abstract: One of Italy's key objectives is to reform and modernize the tax system to increase tax efficiency and improve environmental sustainability and regional economic outcomes, in line with the European Union strategy. Within the framework of the European Green Deal, Italy is committed to contributing to the goal of becoming the first climate neutral region by 2050 (the "Fit for 55" package). As an intermediate step toward the 2050 target, the European Union must reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55 percent by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. Carbon pricing is at the core of the proposal, but its full implementation is also expected to have regressive effects, harming poorer households, and adverse economic impacts, reducing firms' competitiveness. This paper evaluates the effects of the carbon pricing proposal of the "Fit for 55" package on welfare, sectoral production, and income distribution. To tackle the adverse social and economic effects, it compares different revenue recycling schemes shifting the tax burden from major direct and indirect taxes to carbon emissions. It finds that well-targeted revenue recycling policies might significantly reduce the negative effects. The analysis adopts the Italian Regional and Environmental Computable General Equilibrium of the Department of Finance model, which is a new (recursive) dynamic computable general equilibrium model developed by the Italian Ministry of the Economy with technical assistance from the World Bank. It has a detailed energy specification that allows for capital/labor/energy substitution in production, intra-fuel energy substitution across all demand agents, a multi-output and multi-input production structure, an extended energy system with 11 different types of technologies, multiple households to address distributional impacts, and detailed information on the Italian tax system
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  • 2
    Language: English
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource (31 pages)
    Parallel Title: Erscheint auch als Baldassarre, Alessio Simulating the Effect of Business Tax Abolition through a New Regional CGE Model: Evidence from Italy
    Keywords: Applied Equalibrium Model ; Business Tax ; CGE Model ; Fiscal Policy ; Macroeconomics and Economic Growth ; Regional General Equilibrium Model ; Regional Social Accounting Matrix
    Abstract: The main goal of regional computable general equilibrium models is to analyze how different regions within a specific area react to certain shocks. Therefore, countries with high heterogeneity among regions, like Italy, constitute an interesting case study for regional computable general equilibrium model analysis. This paper presents the regional part of the new (recursive) dynamic single-country computable general equilibrium model called the Italian Regional and Environmental Computable General Equilibrium of the Department of Finance, based on the Mitigation, Adaptation and New Technologies Applied General Equilibrium model of the World Bank. A new regional social accounting matrix for Italy (20 regions at the Nomenclature of territorial units for statistics level) has been constructed. The social accounting matrix is used as input data to simulate the abolition of the regional tax on productive activities (regional business tax) through three different scenarios, focusing on the effects on gross domestic product, regional value added, and welfare. The results show that under the modeling assumptions, the complete abolition of the regional tax on productive activities would positively impact Italian economic growth and regional welfare
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