ISBN:
9783845250106
Language:
German
Pages:
1 online resource (339 pages)
,
illustrations, graphs, tables.
Edition:
1. Edition.
Series Statement:
Studien zur Wahl- und Einstellungsforschung Volume 27
Parallel Title:
Erscheint auch als
DDC:
304.60943
Keywords:
Germany--Population
;
Germany ; Population
;
Electronic books
Abstract:
Der demografische Wandel hat Deutschland fest im Griff. Die Konsequenzen dieser Entwicklung sind vielfältig und geraten in den letzten Jahren vermehrt in den Blickpunkt gesellschaftspolitischer Debatten und wissenschaftlicher Studien. Dieses Buch beschäftigt sich mit einem Aspekt des demografischen Wandels, der bislang vergleichsweise wenig Aufmerksamkeit erhielt. Seine leitende Fragestellung lautet: Welche Auswirkungen hat die gesellschaftliche Alterung auf die politischen Einstellungen und das politische Verhalten der Bevölkerung in Deutschland? Unter Verwendung verschiedener Daten und Analysemethoden wird dieser Frage aus mehreren Blickwinkeln mit jeweils unterschiedlichen thematischen Schwerpunkten nachgegangen. Dabei werden auch Projektionen zukünftiger Entwicklungen vorgelegt. In englischer Sprache. Demographic change holds Germany firmly in its grip. The consequences of this development are diverse and increasingly have come into the focus of political debates and scientific research over recent years. This book deals with one aspect of demographic change which as of yet has received comparatively little attention. Its basic question is: What consequences does the ageing society have on political attitudes and political behavior of the German population? Using various sources of data and methods of analysis this question is investigated from multiple perspectives, each with a different thematic thrust. Projections of future developments are also provided. Published in English. Reihe Studien zur Wahl- und Einstellungsforschung - Band 27.
Abstract:
Cover -- 1. Introduction -- 1.1 The Problem -- 1.2 Demographic Change in Germany: An Overview -- 1.2.1 Introductory Remarks -- 1.2.2 Development of the Total Fertility Rate -- 1.2.3 Development of Average Life Expectancy -- 1.2.4 Development of the Migration Balance -- 1.2.5 Development of the Total Population -- 1.2.6 Development of Population Ageing -- 1.3 Structure of the Book -- 2. Theoretical Background -- 2.1 Scope of the Chapter -- 2.2 Explaining Age Differences in Political Behavior and Political Attitudes -- 2.2.1 Age Effects -- 2.2.2 Cohort Effects -- 2.3 Implications for Upcoming Elections -- 3. Detecting Political Consequences of Demographic Change at the Aggregate Level -- 3.1 Scope of the Chapter -- 3.2 Data and Research Strategy -- 3.3 Overview of Political and Context Characteristics in Regions With an Extreme Age Structure -- 3.4 Demographic Change and the Changing Social-Economic Context -- 3.5 Consequences for Turnout -- 3.5.1 Description of Turnout in Federal Elections -- 3.5.2 Cross-Sectional Analyses of Turnout Differences -- 3.5.3 Longitudinal Analyses of Turnout Changes -- 3.6 Consequences for the Party Vote -- 3.6.1 Description of the Party Vote in Federal Elections -- 3.6.2 Cross-Sectional Analyses of Party Vote Differences -- 3.6.3 Longitudinal Analyses of Party Vote Changes -- 3.7 Summary -- 4. Detecting Political Consequences of Demographic Change Using the Representative Electoral Statistics (co-authored by Corina Wagner) -- 4.1 Scope of the Chapter -- 4.2 Data and Research Strategy -- 4.2.1 Data Sources -- 4.2.2 Weighting Procedure -- 4.2.3 Reduction of Cases -- 4.2.4 Research Strategy -- 4.3 Consequences for Turnout -- 4.3.1 Explanatory Power of the Cohort Analytic Model for Turnout -- 4.3.2 Net Effects on Turnout -- 4.3.2.1 Computation of Net Effects.
Note:
Includes bibliographical references and index. Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (ebrary, viewed May 5, 2016)
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